IDW23100
40:2:2:24:20S117E999:11:00
SECURITE
OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10
Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
at 1323 UTC 7 FEBRUARY 2026
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Mitchell was centred within 15 nautical
miles of
latitude twenty decimal zero south (20.0S)
longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal seven east (116.7E)
Recent movement : west southwest at 9 knots
Maximum winds : 70 knots
Central pressure: 965 hPa
AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles in NE quadrant
and within 70 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 70 nautical miles in SW quadrant
and within 70 nautical miles in NW quadrant.
FORECAST
Maximum winds to 70 knots near the centre increasing to 85 knots by 0000 UTC 08
February.
Winds above 64 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with high seas.
Winds above 48 knots within 45 nautical miles of centre with very rough seas,
and heavy swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles in NE quadrant
and within 70 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 70 nautical miles in SW quadrant
and within 70 nautical miles in NW quadrant with rough seas and moderate
swell.
Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 08 February: Within 35 nautical miles of 20.8 south 115.9 east
Central pressure 952 hPa.
Winds to 85 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 08 February: Within 45 nautical miles of 22.0 south 114.8 east over
land
Central pressure 968 hPa.
Winds to 65 knots near centre.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au.
Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 07 February 2026.
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
IDY10210
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10
SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO
50S129E TO COAST AT 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 7 February 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Nil.
Part 2 Situation at 070600 UTC
Trough [1] near 38S154E 40S164E. Forecast slow moving.
Trough [2] 43S157E 44S160E, forecast exiting east near 44S164E 45S168E at
071200UTC.
Forecast trough [3] developing near 40S140E 42S142E 44S145E at 080000UTC, then
near 39S146E 43S148E 46S147E at 081200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
West of line 32S154E 40S152E to Australian coast:
Northerly quarter winds increasing speed from 080300UTC. Wind speeds 20/30
knots. Rough seas. Low swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell to moderate
swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of
troughs. Heavy at times within 60nm of trough [1]. Visibility reducing below
2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
IDY10220
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10
12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 7 February 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.
Hurricane Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Cyclone
"Mitchell".
Melbourne Gale Warning 3.
Part 2 Situation at 070600 UTC
Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell" 978hPa near 19.4S117.6E. Forecast Tropical Cyclone
"Mitchell" 980hPa near 22.1S114.9E at 081200UTC.
Cold front [1] 42S100E 50S104E. Forecast cold front [1] near 43S121E 50S131E at
081200UTC.
Forecast cold front [2] near 46S075E 50S079E at 071200UTC entering from west,
then near 43S089E 50S103E at 081200UTC.
Trough near 36S079E 39S095E. Forecast slow moving.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather
system.
Within 240nm of Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell", outside warning area:
Clockwise winds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
East of line 22S101E 29S101E 34S113E:
Southerly quarter winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate
swell.
South of line 47S080E 41S092E 47S126E, outside warning areas:
Westerly quarter winds shifting northwesterly quarter within 240nm east of
front [1] and [2], and southwesterly quarter within 420nm west of front [2].
Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of
fronts, cyclone and trough. Heavy at times within 120nm of Tropical Cyclone
"Mitchell". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
IDY10230
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10
NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 7 February 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Nil.
Part 2 Situation at 070600 UTC
Trough [1] near 12S152E 17S171E, forecast slow moving.
Trough [2] forecast to enter the area near 20S171E 23S170E at 080300UTC, then
near 20S169E 23S169E at 081200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
South of line 22S170E 23S167E:
Easterly quarter winds developing from 080600UTC. Wind speeds 20/30 knots.
Rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell, increasing to
low to moderate south of line 20S170E 21S166E.
Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout most of
area. Heavy at times within 180nm of troughs. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
40:2:1:31:11:01:00
IDY10240
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11
NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST,
125E TO 142E
ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 7 FEBRUARY 2026
PART 1 WARNINGS
NIL.
PART 2 SITUATION AT 070600 UTC
TROUGH NEAR 09S090E 11S105E. FORECAST SLOW MOVING.
PART 3 FORECAST
WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 07S110E 10S121E:
WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS. WIND SPEEDS 15/25 KNOTS. MODERATE TO ROUGH
SEAS. LOW
SWELL, INCREASING TO MODERATE SWELL SOUTH OF 09S.
REMAINDER:
WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL,
INCREASING TO
LOW TO MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 09S097E 09S110E.
RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF
AREA.
VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION.
PLEASE BE AWARE
WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT
STRONGER
THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAXIMUM
WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC SATURDAY.=