IDW23100
40:2:2:24:22S114E999:11:00
SECURITE
OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10
Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
at 1812 UTC 8 FEBRUARY 2026
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Mitchell was centred within 15 nautical miles of
latitude twenty two decimal two south (22.2S)
longitude one hundred and thirteen decimal seven east (113.7E)
Recent movement : southwest at 7 knots
Maximum winds : 60 knots
Central pressure: 976 hPa
AREA AFFECTED
Within 95 nautical miles in NE quadrant
and within 50 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 55 nautical miles in SW quadrant
and within 65 nautical miles in NW quadrant.
FORECAST
Maximum winds to 60 knots near the centre, easing after 0600 UTC 09 February to
40 knots by 1800 UTC 09 February.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with very rough seas
and heavy swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 95 nautical miles in NE quadrant
and within 50 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 55 nautical miles in SW quadrant
and within 65 nautical miles in NW quadrant with rough seas and moderate
swell.
Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 09 February: Within 35 nautical miles of 24.1 south 113.5 east
(near the coast)
Central pressure 976 hPa.
Winds to 60 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 09 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 26.1 south 114.4 east
(near the coast)
Central pressure 991 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au.
Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 09 February 2026.
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
IDY10220
SECURITE
Updated High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10
12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 8 February 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.
Hurricane Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Cyclone
"Mitchell".
Melbourne Gale Warning 3.
Melbourne Gale Warning 4.
Part 2 Situation at 080600 UTC
Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell" 976hPa near 22.6S113.7E. Forecast Tropical Cyclone
"Mitchell" 983hPa near 25.0S114.1E at 091200UTC.
Trough 36S082E 39S088E. Forecast 37S086E 39S091E and weakening by 081200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather
system.
Within 240nm of Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell", outside warning area:
Clockwise winds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
East of line 23S102E 34S113E:
Southerly quarter winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate
swell.
South of line 46S080E 40S111E 48S129E, outside warning areas:
Westerly quarter winds shifting northwesterly quarter within 360nm east of
front and southwesterly quarter within 540nm west of front Wind speeds 20/33
knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of
front, cyclone and trough. Heavy at times within 120nm of Tropical Cyclone
"Mitchell". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Sunday.
IDY10210
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10
SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO
50S129E TO COAST AT 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 8 February 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Nil.
Part 2 Situation at 080600 UTC
Trough 40S148E to low 1013hPa near 46S148E. Forecast 37S155E 42S159E to low
1008hPa near 46S158E at 091200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
South of line 47S129E 50S134E:
Westerly quarter wind 20/30 knots, easing below 25 knots by 090000UTC. Rough
seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell to moderate
swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 120nm of
troughs and within 180nm of low. Heavy at times within 60nm of low. Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Sunday.
IDY10230
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10
NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 8 February 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Nil.
Part 2 Situation at 080600 UTC
Trough [1] 12S151E to low [1] 1005hPa near 13S156E to 17S170E. Forecast 12S152E
to low [1] 1009hPa near 13S155E to 18S168E at 091200UTC.
Low 1007hPa near 21S170E. Forecast low [2] 1011hPa near 23S168E at 091200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
South of line 22S170E 23S165E
Easterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell, increasing to
low to moderate south of line 20S170E 22S165E.
Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout most of
area. Heavy at times within 120nm of trough. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Sunday.
40:2:1:31:11:01:00
IDY10240
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11
NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST,
125E TO 142E
ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 8 FEBRUARY 2026
PART 1 WARNINGS
NIL.
PART 2 SITUATION AT 080600 UTC
TROUGH NEAR 09S090E 11S104E. FORECAST SLOW MOVING.
PART 3 FORECAST
WHOLE AREA:
WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL,
INCREASING TO
LOW TO MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 11S090E 07S110E 09S119E.
RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF
AREA.
VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION.
PLEASE BE AWARE
WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT
STRONGER
THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAXIMUM
WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC SUNDAY.=