IDY10230
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10
NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 22 February 2025
Part 1 Warnings
Gale Warning by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Low (22U).
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Tropical Low (22U) 1000hPa near 15S149E. Forecast 983hPa near 14S152E at
231200UTC, with a moderate chance of development into a tropical cyclone,
increasing to high chance from late tomorrow. Refer to
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/7dayforecast/ for more information.
Trough near 11S162E to low 1004hPa near 13S167E to 13S171E. Forecast near
09S165E to low 1001hPa near 13S170E at 231200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
East of line 06S160E 13S160E:
Northwesterly quarter winds 20/33 knots northeast of trough. Moderate to rough
seas. Low to moderate swell.
South of 17S:
Southeasterly quarter winds 20/25 knots, increasing to 25/30 knots west of line
17S151E 24S155E. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
West of line 10S153E 13S155E 17S152E, outside warning area:
Clockwise winds 20/33 knots within 240nm of Tropical Low (22U). Rough to very
rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Through Vitiaz Strait:
Northwesterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms throughout the area.
Heavy at times within 180nm of tropical low and within forecast area northeast
of trough. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
IDY10220
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10
12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 22 February 2025
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 1.
Melbourne Gale Warning 3.
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Tropical low (21U) 1006hPa near 15.3S111.1E. Forecast 1001hPa near 17S106.3E at
231200UTC, with a moderate chance of developing into a tropical cyclone by the
end of the forecast period. Refer to latest warning and forecast
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/7dayforecast/ for more information.
Low [1] 979hPa near 45S126E. Forecast 990hPa near 45S136E at 230000UTC then
well east of area.
Cold front [1] near 46S101E 50S107E. Forecast decaying to a trough near 45S106E
47S116E at 230600UTC then weakening.
Cold front [2] near 30S081E to low [2] 1005hPa near 40S085E, extending as warm
front to near 42S089E. Forecast cold front [2] near 32S092E to low [2] 1004hPa
near 45S103E, extending as warm front to near 47S110E at 231200UTC.
Cold front [3] forecast to enter area and develop from southwest near 48S080E
58S082E at 222100UTC and then near 42S090E 46S096E 51S096E at 231200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
East of line 36S116E 50S116E, outside warning area:
Clockwise winds 20/33 knots within 600nm if low [1], becoming southwesterly
quarter winds from 221200UTC. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
South of line 41S080E 41S116E:
Northwesterly quarter winds within 120nm east of cold front [1]/trough and
within affected area northwest of warm front shifting southwesterly quarter
southwest of cold fronts [2] and [3]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very
rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
West of line 34S095E 41S103E, outside warning area:
Northwesterly quarter winds within 120nm east of cold front [2] shifting
southwesterly quarter within 240nm west of cold front, and tending clockwise
within 60nm of low [2]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas.
Moderate to heavy swell.
East of line 26S111E 30S113E:
Southerly quarter winds 20/30 knots then decreasing below 25 knots from
221500UTC. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Within 120nm of tropical low (21U):
Clockwise winds 20/33 knots in the southern semicircle. Rough to very rough
seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell,
increasing to moderate to heavy swell east of line 33S113E 41S113E.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of
fronts and trough and low [2], and within 420nm of low [1]. Heavy at times
within 90nm of tropical low in the southwest semicircle. Visibility reducing
below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
IDY10210
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10
SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO
50S129E TO COAST AT 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 22 February 2025
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 1.
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Cold front near 34S134E 45S137E 50S132E. Forecast near 37S150E 50S152E at
231200UTC.
Low 979hPa west of area near 45S126E. Forecast decaying into a trough, near
43S146E 50S145E at 231200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
South of line 35S129E 35S152E 45S160E, outside warning area:
Northerly quarter winds 20/33 knots within 300nm east of cold front, shifting
westerly quarter west of cold front. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate
swell, increasing to moderate to heavy swell north of line 46S129E 46S143E.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell,
increasing to moderate to heavy swell south of line 32S129E 35S138E.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 240nm of
front, low and trough, and north of line 29S155E 30S170E. Visibility reducing
below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
40:2:1:31:11:01:00
IDY10240
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11
NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST,
125E TO 142E
ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 22 FEBRUARY 2025
PART 1 WARNINGS
NIL.
PART 2 SITUATION AT 0600 UTC
NIL SIGNIFICANT FEATURES.
PART 3 FORECAST
REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS.
WHOLE AREA:
WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL,
INCREASING TO
LOW TO MODERATE SWELL SOUTH OF LINE 12S101E 10S111E.
RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT
MOST OF
AREA. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION.
PLEASE BE AWARE
WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT
STRONGER
THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAXIMUM
WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC SATURDAY.=