METAREA 10 bulletinset


TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING DARWIN
WTAU03 ADRM 180116

IDD20130

40:2:2:24:10S130E999:11:00

SECURITE

OCEAN WIND WARNING

OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11

Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

at 0116 UTC 18 NOVEMBER 2025

PLEASE BE AWARE

Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages

given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION

At 0000 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 30 nautical miles of

latitude ten decimal two south (10.2S)

longitude one hundred and thirty decimal three east (130.3E)

Recent movement : east northeast at 5 knots

Maximum winds : 30 knots

Central pressure: 999 hPa

The low is expected to develop gales in the next 24 hours, but is not expected

to develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 to 36 hours.

AREA AFFECTED

Within 40 nautical miles in NE quadrant

and within 60 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST

Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 0000 UTC 19

November.

From 0000 UTC 19 November winds above 34 knots within 40 nautical miles in NE

quadrant

and within 60 nautical miles in NW quadrant with rough seas and moderate

swell.

Forecast positions

At 1200 UTC 18 November: Within 50 nautical miles of 10.0 south 130.7 east

Central pressure 998 hPa.

Winds to 30 knots near centre.

At 0000 UTC 19 November: Within 55 nautical miles of 9.6 south 131.2 east

Central pressure 996 hPa.

Winds to 35 knots near centre.

REMARKS

All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.

Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.

Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au.

Next warning will be issued by 0700 UTC 18 November 2025.

AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE


HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN
FQAU21 AMMC 180257

40:2:1:31:11:01:00

IDY10240

SECURITE

UPDATED HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11

NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST,

125E TO 142E

ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 17 NOVEMBER 2025

PART 1 WARNINGS

OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE.

PART 2 SITUATION AT 181800 UTC

TROUGH 06S093E TO LOW [1] 1008HPA NEAR 07S103E. FORECAST TROUGH

05S094E 08S101E

TO LOW [1] 1006HPA NEAR 09S106E AT 190000UTC.

TROPICAL LOW (02U) 999HPA NEAR 10.2S130.3E AT 1800000UTC. FORECAST

TROPICAL LOW

(02U) 996HPA NEAR 9.6S131.2E AT 190000UTC.

PART 3 FORECAST

WITHIN 420NM OF TROPICAL LOW (02U), OUTSIDE OF WARNING AREA:

CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/33 KNOTS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO

MODERATE SWELL.

WITHIN 180NM OF LOW [1]:

WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS SHIFTING NORTHWESTERLY QUARTER EAST OF TROUGH

AND

TURNING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 120NM OF LOW [1]. WIND SPEEDS 15/25 KNOTS.

MODERATE TO

ROUGH SEAS. LOW SWELL.

REMAINDER:

WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL.

RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT

MOST OF

AREA. HEAVY AT TIMES WITHIN 120NM OF LOW [1] AND WITHIN 180NM OF

TROPICAL LOW

(02U). VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION.

PLEASE BE AWARE

WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT

STRONGER

THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAXIMUM

WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 07:15 UTC TUESDAY.=


HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN
FQAU23 AMMC 172000

IDY10220

SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10

12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 17 November 2025

Part 1 Warnings

Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.

Melbourne Gale Warning 5.

Melbourne Gale Warning 8.

Part 2 Situation at 171800 UTC

Low [1] 1006hPa near 26S109E. Forecast low [1] 1007hPa near 26S108E at

181200UTC, and then low weakening thereafter.

Cold front near 36S072E 50S081E 60S087E 61S080E. Forecast weakening cold near

41S082E 50S089E at 181500UTC.

Trough near 45S118E 50S124E. Forecast trough near 43S127E 45S129E at 181800UTC,

and then east of area thereafter,

Part 3 Forecast

Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather

system.

East of line 33S111E 36S111E

Southeasterly quarter winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to

moderate swell.

West of line 38S080E 40S084E 50S091E:

Northwesterly quarter winds within 360nm east of cold front. Wind speeds 25/33

knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

South of line 39S129E 43S116E 49S107E, outside warning areas:

Southwesterly quarter winds within 360nm of trough. Wind speeds 25/33 knots.

Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder:

Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell,

increasing to moderate to heavy south of line 46S098E 39S120E 38S129E.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of

front, trough. Heavy at times within 60nm of trough. Visibility reducing below

2nm in precipitation.

Please be aware

Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger

than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum

waves can be twice the forecast height.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday.


HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN
FQAU22 AMMC 172000

IDY10210

SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10

SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO

50S129E TO COAST AT 129E

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 17 November 2025

Part 1 Warnings

Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.

Melbourne Gale Warning 8.

Melbourne Gale Warning 7.

Melbourne Gale Warning 10.

Part 2 Situation at 171800 UTC

Trough [1] 25S155E 30S163E 41S164E. Forecast trough near 32S167E 34S168E

36S167E at 180300UTC, and then exiting east of area.

Cold front near 43S151E 48S153E 50S148E. Forecast near 44S159E 48S161E 52S160E

at 180300UTC, and then east of area thereafter.

Trough [2] entering the area from the west near 45S117E 50S124E at 180300UTC,

near 41S134E 50S144E at 190000UTC.

Part 3 Forecast

Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather

system.

South of line 39S129E 37S156E 43S161E, outside warning areas:

Westerly quarter winds, shifting northerly quarter within 180nm east of trough

[1] and shifting northwesterly quarter within 180nm east of front. Wind speeds

20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate swell, increasing to

moderate to heavy south of line 38S129E 38S132E and line 41S160E 42S162E.

Remainder:

Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 360nm of

front and within 240nm of troughs. Visibility reducing below 2nm in

precipitation.

Please be aware

Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger

than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum

waves can be twice the forecast height.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday.


HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN
FQAU20 AMMC 172000

IDY10230

SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10

NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 17 November 2025

Part 1 Warnings

Nil.

Part 2 Situation at 171800 UTC

Southeasterly trade flow.

Part 3 Forecast

Remainder:

Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly north of line

17S142E 17S160E and east of line 17S164E 25S163E. Visibility reducing below 2nm

in precipitation.

Please be aware

Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger

than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum

waves can be twice the forecast height.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday.