IDW23100
40:2:2:24:15S120E999:11:00
SECURITE
OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10
Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
at 0649 UTC 23 JANUARY 2026
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 30 nautical miles of
latitude fourteen decimal six south (14.6S)
longitude one hundred and twenty decimal five east (120.5E)
Recent movement : southeast at 13 knots
Maximum winds : 35 knots
Central pressure: 997 hPa
The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 18
hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles in NE quadrant
and within 60 nautical miles in SE quadrant
and within 60 nautical miles in SW quadrant
and within 100 nautical miles in NW quadrant.
FORECAST
Maximum winds to 35 knots near the centre increasing to 60 knots by 0600 UTC 24
January.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre from 0000 UTC 24
January with very rough seas and moderate swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 100 nautical miles in NE quadrant
and within 60 nautical miles in SE quadrant from 1800 UTC 23 January
and within 60 nautical miles in SW quadrant from 1800 UTC 23 January
and within 100 nautical miles in NW quadrant with rough seas and moderate
swell.
Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 23 January: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.8 south 121.8 east
Central pressure 991 hPa.
Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 24 January: Within 55 nautical miles of 16.5 south 123.2 east
Central pressure 980 hPa.
Winds to 60 knots near centre.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours.
Regular weather observing ships use normal channels.
Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au.
Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 23 January 2026.
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
40:2:1:31:11:01:00
IDY10240
SECURITE
UPDATED HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11
NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST,
125E TO 142E
ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 23 JANUARY 2026
PART 1 WARNINGS
REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED.
STORM FORCE WARNING ISSUED BY TCWC MELBOURNE FOR TROPICAL LOW (16U).
PART 2 SITUATION AT 230600 UTC
MONSOON TROUGH 13S137E TO TROPICAL LOW (18U) 1004HPA NEAR 14S141E,
FORECAST
13S137E TO TROPICAL LOW (18U) 1004HPA NEAR 15S141E AT 241200UTC.
TROUGH NEAR 10S090E 10S100E 12S106E, SLOW MOVING.
PART 3 FORECAST
REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF
WEATHER
SYSTEM.
WEST OF LINE EQ107E 11S126E 14S128E AND EAST OF LINE EQ093E 06S095E
12S107E,
OUTSIDE WARNING AREA:
NORTHWESTERLY QUARTER WINDS 20/33 KNOTS NORTH OF TROUGH. MODERATE TO
ROUGH
SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL.
SOUTH OF LINE 09S133E 09S142E:
WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS, TURNING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 120NM OF TROPICAL
LOW (18U).
WINDS SPEEDS 20/30 KNOTS. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW SWELL
REMAINDER:
WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL,
INCREASING TO
LOW TO MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 05S090E 03S102E 08S113E 10S128E.
RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF
AREA. HEAVY
AT TIMES WITHIN 420NM OF TROUGH, AND 90NM OF TROPICAL LOW (18U).
VISIBILITY
REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION.
PLEASE BE AWARE
WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT
STRONGER
THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAXIMUM
WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC FRIDAY.=
IDY10220
SECURITE
Updated High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10
12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 23 January 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.
Storm Force Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Low (16U)
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 6.
Part 2 Situation at 230600 UTC
Tropical Low (16U) 997hPa near 14.6S120.5E, forecast 985hPa near 16.9S123.7E at
241200UTC.
Cold front [1] 39S090E 46S092E to low 967hPa near 51S087E, forecast 32S103E
39S112E to low 978hPa near 44S107E 241200UTC.
Warm front near 50S094E 51S091E 51S087E, forecast warm front 44S107E 49S113E
49S126E at 241200UTC.
Cold front [2] near 35S127E 50S128E, forecast to exit area to the east by
231200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather
system.
South of line 38S080E 32S098E 37S118E, outside warning area:
Westerly quarter winds, shifting northwesterly quarter winds within 180nm east
of cold front [1], easterly south of warm front and turning clockwise within
120nm of low. Wind speeds 25/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to
heavy swell.
East of line 12S115E 19S121E, outside of warning area:
Clockwise winds 20/33 knots within 240nm of Tropical Low (16U). Rough to very
rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell,
increasing to moderate to heavy swell south of line 41S118E 41S129E.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 120nm of
fronts. Very heavy rain at times within 240nm of Tropical Low (16U). Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Friday.
IDY10210
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10
SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO
50S129E TO COAST AT 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 23 January 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.
Melbourne Gale Warning 4.
Part 2 Situation at 230600 UTC
Cold front forecast to enter area from the west near 34S131E 43S131E 50S130E at
231200UTC, then near 41S145E 48S148E 50S145E at 241200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather
system.
South of line 41S131E 41S150E, outside warning area:
Northerly quarter winds within 300nm east of cold front, shifting westerly
quarter within 180nm of cold front. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very
rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
East of line 32S164E 38S158E 50S156E, outside warning area:
Southerly quarter winds 25/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to
heavy swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell,
increasing to moderate to heavy swell south of line 30S164E 28S170E.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of
front. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Friday.
IDY10230
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10
NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 23 January 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Nil.
Part 2 Situation at 230600 UTC
Trough 16S148E to Tropical Low (17U) 1003hPa near 19S153E to 19S159E. Forecast
trough 15S148E to Tropical Low (17U) 1008hPa near 18S154E to 18S166E at
241200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather
system.
Within 300nm south of trough:
Easterly quarter winds 20/30 knots south of trough. Rough seas. Low to moderate
swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout most of
area. Heavy at times within 120nm of Tropical Low (17U) and trough. Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Friday.