METAREA 10 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN
FQAU22 AMMC 270807

IDY10210

SECURITE

Updated High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10

SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO

50S129E TO COAST AT 129E

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 27 December 2025

Part 1 Warnings

Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.

Melbourne Gale Wind Warning 2.

Part 2 Situation at 270600 UTC

Low [1] 999hPa east of area near 41S164E. Forecast 1001hPa near 33S166E at

281200UTC.

Trough [1] from low [2] 999hPa near 24S163E to 25S170E. Forecast 28S171E to low

[2] 992hPa east of area near 25S169E at 280600UTC, then exiting east of area.

Low [2] 1001hPa north of area near 25S160E to trough 29S170E. Forecast trough

25S167E to low [2] 997hPa near 28S170E at 280000UTC.

Cold front near 40S131E 50S129E. Forecast near 46S141E 50S142E at 280600UTC,

then weakening.

Forecast trough [2] entering area from west near 46S130E to low [3] 983hPa

moving south of area near 50S129E at 271500UTC, and trough [2] near 47S135E

50S134E at 272100UTC, moving south of area thereafter.

Part 3 Forecast

Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather

system.

West of line 50S143E 44S139E 41S129E, outside warning area:

Westerly quarter winds shifting northerly quarter east of cold front, shifting

northwesterly quarter west of cold front and east of trough. Wind speeds 20/33

knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

North of line 33S152E 46S160E: Southerly quarter winds, shifting southeasterly

within 300nm south of trough, shifting northwesterly north of trough, turning

clockwise within 90nm of low [2] and within 420nm of low [1]. Wind speed 20/33

knots. Rough seas. Moderate swell.

Remainder:

Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell,

increasing to heavy swell west of line 33S129E 39S135E 50S141E.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of

troughs, cold front, and within 180nm of low [2] and within 420nm of low [1].

Heavy at times within 120nm of low [2]. Visibility reducing below 2nm in

precipitation.

Please be aware

Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger

than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum

waves can be twice the forecast height.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.


HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN
FQAU20 AMMC 270806

IDY10230

SECURITE

Updated High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10

NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 27 December 2025

Part 1 Warnings

Nil.

Part 2 Situation at 270600 UTC

Trough 18S147E 19S153E to low 999hPa near 24S163E to 25S170E. Forecast trough

14S153E 15S161E 23S170E at 281200UTC.

Low [1] 999hPa near 24S163E. Forecast 999hPa moving southeast of area near

26S170E at 280000UTC.

Part 3 Forecast

South of line 18S146E 14S161E 18S170E:

Northwesterly quarter winds east of trough, shifting southeasterly quarter

south of trough. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder:

Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 240nm of

trough, west of line 06S144E 22S152E and north of line 04S151E 02S165E. Heavy

at times within 120nm of trough south of 21S. Visibility reducing below 2nm in

precipitation.

Please be aware

Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger

than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum

waves can be twice the forecast height.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.


HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN
FQAU23 AMMC 270800

IDY10220

SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10

12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 27 December 2025

Part 1 Warnings

Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.

Storm Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC La Reunion for Tropical Cyclone "Grant".

Melbourne Gale Wind Warning 2.

Part 2 Situation at 270600 UTC

Tropical Cyclone "Grant" 986hPa near 11.9S89.3E west of area.

Tropical Low (08U) 1004hPa near 12S119E. Forecast Tropical Low (08U) 1005hPa

near 13S119E at 281200UTC.

Trough [1] near 42S125E to low [1] 981hPa near 47S123E. Forecast 46S130E to low

[1] 983hPa near 50S129E at 271500UTC and exiting area thereafter.

Trough from low [1] near 45S118E to 50S118E. Forecast trough from low [1] near

49S127E to 50S126E at 271200UTC, and south of area thereafter.

Part 3 Forecast

Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather

system.

West of line 23S090E 19S095E 12S090E, outside warning area:

Southeasterly quarter winds 20/30 knots turning clockwise 20/33 knots around

Tropical Cyclone "Grant". Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

South of line 50S094E 45S100E 41S129E, outside warning area:

Southwesterly quarter winds tending westerly quarter from 271200UTC. Winds

shifting northerly quarter east of trough, and clockwise within 300nm of low

[1]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

West of line 41S080E 50S094E:

Northwesterly quarter winds below 25 knots, increasing to 25/33 knots from

270000UTC. Moderate to rough seas, rising to very rough seas from 270000UTC.

Moderate to heavy swell.

Area bounded by 16S112E 26S102E 35S116E 19S116E:

Southerly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder:

Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell,

rising to heavy south of line 50S093E 45S095E 34S117E.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of

trough and lows. Heavy at times within 180nm of Tropical Cyclone "Grant" and

Tropical Low (08U). Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

Please be aware

Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger

than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum

waves can be twice the forecast height.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.


HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN
FQAU21 AMMC 270715

40:2:1:31:11:01:00

IDY10240

SECURITE

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11

NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST,

125E TO 142E

ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 27 DECEMBER 2025

PART 1 WARNINGS

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED.

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING ISSUED BY TCWC LA REUNION FOR TROPICAL

CYCLONE "GRANT".

PART 2 SITUATION AT 270600 UTC

TROPICAL CYCLONE "GRANT" 986HPA NEAR 11.9S89.3E WEST OF AREA.

TROUGH NEAR 12S090E 09S117E TO TROPICAL LOW (08U) 1004HPA NEAR

12S119E.

FORECAST TROUGH 11S090E 08S114E TO TROPICAL LOW (08U) 1005HPA NEAR

13S119E AT

281200UTC.

MONSOON TROUGH OVER AUSTRALIA NEAR 18S142E 18S139E 14S135E. FORECAST

SLOW

MOVING.

PART 3 FORECAST

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF

WEATHER

SYSTEM.

WITHIN 180NM OF TROPICAL CYCLONE GRANT, OUTSIDE WARNING AREA:

CLOCKWISE WINDS AROUND TROPICAL CYCLONE "GRANT". WIND SPEEDS 20/33

KNOTS. ROUGH

TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL.

SOUTH OF LINE 09S131E 08S136E 10S142E:

NORTHWESTERLY QUARTER WINDS 20/30 KNOTS. ROUGH SEAS. LOW SWELL.

SOUTH OF LINE 09S116E 10S123E:

NORTHWESTERLY QUARTER WINDS, SHIFTING WESTERLY QUARTER WEST OF TROUGH

AND

TURNING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 60NM OF TROPICAL LOW (08U). WIND SPEEDS

20/30 KNOTS.

ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL.

REMAINDER:

WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL,

INCREASING TO

MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 02S090E 09S118E 12S120E.

RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT

AREA. HEAVY

AT TIMES WITHIN 120NM OF TROPICAL CYCLONE "GRANT" AND TROPICAL LOW

(08U), AND

WITHIN 180NM OF MONSOON TROUGH. SQUALLS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF LINE

09S131E 08S136E

10S142E. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION.

PLEASE BE AWARE

WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT

STRONGER

THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAXIMUM

WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC SATURDAY.=