TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC MON NOV 09 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 158.4W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 30SE 30SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 158.4W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 158.0W
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 11.3N 160.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 11.2N 162.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 11.0N 164.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 11.0N 166.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 11.1N 169.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 11.4N 171.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 12.8N 178.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 14.3N 177.1E
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 158.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC MON NOV 09 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC NOV 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 11.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 50N146W 964 MB MOVING NE 15 KT.
WITHIN 300 NM NE...600 NM SE...300 NM SW...AND 180 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7.5 M. ALSO WITHIN 360 NM
NE...720 N SE...480 NM SW...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 43N149W. ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT
WHERE OTHERWISE DESCRIBED...FROM 30N TO 56N BETWEEN 134W AND 160W
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 56N145W 955 MB.
WITHIN 180 NM NE...240 NM SE...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS AND
BETWEEN 240 NM AND 300 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 6
TO 12 M...HIGHEST NE QUADRANT. ALSO N OF 51N E OF 156W...AND
WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A FRONT FROM 55N135W TO 53N131W TO 51N129W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9.5 M...HIGHEST SW OF LOW. ELSEWHERE
N OF 48N BETWEEN 126W AND 158W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER NEAR 59N152W 980
MB. WITHIN 480 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5
M.
...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 48N170W 979 MB MOVING E 25 KT.
EXCEPT WHERE OTHERWISE DESCRIBED...WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT AND
780 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 48N159W 970 MB.
FROM 36N TO 45N BETWEEN 159W AND 175W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5
TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE EXCEPT WHERE OTHERWISE DESCRIBED...FROM 34N TO
50N W OF 150W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 M...HIGHEST SW OF
LOW.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 47N154W 973 MB
AND NEW SECOND CENTER NEAR 46N148W 978 MB. WITHIN 780 NM SW
QUADRANT OF FIRST CENTER AND 480 NM SE QUADRANT OF SECOND CENTER
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SECOND CENTER COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER
50N140W 970 MB AND NEW SECOND CENTER NEAR 45N147W 984 MB. EXCEPT
WHERE OTHERWISE NOTED...FROM 30N TO 54N BETWEEN 124W AND 172W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 M...HIGHEST NEAR 42N153W.
...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 48N146W
975 MB. WITHIN 720 NM SE...AND 600 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 53N139W 970
MB. WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE
FROM 54N136W TO 52N131W TO 48N130W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 57N141W 978
MB. EXCEPT WHERE OTHERWISE DESCRIBED...N OF 54N E OF 151W WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW W OF AREA 49N178E 988 MB. FROM 38N TO 46N W OF 174W WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 48N159W
ABOVE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 60 NM NE OF A
LINE FROM 49N180W TO 49N178W...WITHIN 60 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
49N172W TO 47N164W...FROM 51N TO 56N BETWEEN 139W AND 150W...AND
N OF 62N BETWEEN 167W AND 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 60 NM N OF A LINE FROM 49N160W
TO 49N149W...FROM 54N TO 61N BETWEEN 146W AND 160W...AND FROM 60N
TO 62N W OF 174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
49N130W TO 47N125W...WITHIN 60 NM OF 59N152W...AND FROM 59N TO
63N W OF 169W.
.LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY N OF 63N W OF ALASKA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 61N W OF ALASKA.
.FORECASTER HYDE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 9.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 11.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N96W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 12N88W TO 13N89W TO 12N90W TO 11N90W TO 11N89W TO 12N88W
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 04N115W TO 04N136W TO 00N139W TO 00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S102W TO 04N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MERGING SE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N107W TO 20N116W TO 09N134W TO
00N137W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S99W TO 12N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02N102W TO 11N111W TO 05N127W TO
00N132W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S91W TO 02N102W...EXCEPT LEE OF
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW
TO N SWELL.
.WITHIN 23N110W TO 30N116W TO 30N140W TO 05N140W TO 04N114W TO
23N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N140W TO 08N140W TO
16N124W TO 30N116W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY... WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N115W TO 25N129W TO 30N140W TO
05N140W TO 05N129W TO 10N114W TO 29N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC MON NOV 9...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 1007 MB LOW PRES NEAR 11N89W TO
06N95W. ITCZ FROM 06N95W TO 08N125W...FROM 09N130W TO BEYOND
07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 07N BETWEEN 85W
AND 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 116W AND
128W.
.FORECASTER DELGADO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC NOV 09 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 10 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 11 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.4N 157.6W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 09
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS
50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40
NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...45
NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.3N 161.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 166W AND
160W WITH SEAS TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.2N 165.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER 11N TO 15N
BETWEEN 170W AND 165W WITH SEAS TO 5 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N144W 25N156W NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N144W 24N153W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW FRONT 30N176W 29N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N153W 27N170W THENCE TROUGH 26N180W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF 10N BETWEEN 170W AND 140W... AND FROM 12N
TO 24N
W OF 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 160W...
AND N OF 12N E OF 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 4 TO 5 M NW OF A LINE 30N168W 26N180W.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE 30N150W 28N170W 24N180W...
AND FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 160W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 10N E OF 155W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 04N140W 08N150W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM ITCZ TO 10N
E OF 150W.
.MONSOON TROUGH 08N158W 05N162W 06N173W 05N180W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS S OF 05N BETWEEN 164W AND 148W... AND 08N
TO 13N BETWEEN 175W AND 169W.
$$
.FORECASTER SHIGESATO. HONOLULU HI.=