TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026
0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 124.8W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 60SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 124.8W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 124.5W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.9N 125.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 126.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.4N 127.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.0N 127.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.4N 127.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 33.9N 127.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 124.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 109.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 109.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 108.4W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.9N 110.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.6N 112.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.4N 114.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.4N 117.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N 119.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 16.7N 122.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 109.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUL 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 21.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 56N164W 997 MB MOVING NE 05 KT. FROM 46N TO 60N BETWEEN
149W
AND 176W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N164W 1005 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E QUADRANT
AND N OF 43N BETWEEN 143W AND 154W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
3.5
M. ELSEWHERE FROM 48N TO 56N BETWEEN 154W AND 163W WINDS LESS
THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH NEW LOW TO FORM NEAR
60N149W 1018 MB. N OF 58N BETWEEN 143W AND 149W WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.FROM 38N TO 44N E OF 128W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 54N E OF 133W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 44N TO 54N E OF 136W NW TO N WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 55N E OF 136W WINDS
LESS
THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA S OF AREA AND DESCRIBED
IN
PART II BELOW. S OF 32N BETWEEN 119W AND 135W WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N178W 999 MB. WITHIN 540 NM SE AND 600
NM
S QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 47N TO 54N
BETWEEN 148W AND 162W AND FROM 50N TO 56N W OF 177E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 180 NM E OF A LINE FROM
44N157W TO 49N153W TO 55N151W...FROM 58N TO 60N BETWEEN 144W AND
151W...AND FROM 45N TO 58N W OF 178W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 49N TO 59N W OF 170W.
.FORECASTER KELLS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 21.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E NEAR 11.3N 109.1W 1008 MB AT 0300 UTC
JUL 19 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 15N106W TO 14N109W TO 11N109W TO
08N110W TO 08N107W TO 11N104W TO 15N106W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIX-E NEAR 11.9N 110.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIX-E NEAR 12.6N 112.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT WITHIN 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 15N109W TO 16N112W TO 14N114W TO 10N114W TO 09N112W TO
11N109W TO 15N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N108W TO 17N115W TO 12N116W TO 08N113W
TO 09N109W TO 12N107W TO 17N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIX-E NEAR 14.6N 116.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...270 NM
SE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N111W TO 18N113W TO 18N118W TO 13N120W TO
08N118W TO 10N113W TO 16N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N108W TO 21N113W TO 18N120W TO
04N125W TO 01N122W TO 09N112W TO 15N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 20.6N 124.8W 993 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
19 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...
240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N120W TO 27N125W TO 23N133W TO 17N130W TO
16N123W TO 20N117W TO 24N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N115W TO 26N120W TO 27N129W TO
23N135W TO 17N131W TO 10N120W TO 21N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 24.0N 126.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...360 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 28N122W TO 29N128W TO
26N133W TO 20N132W TO 19N125W TO 22N121W TO 28N122W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N119W TO
27N120W TO 30N127W TO 22N138W TO 15N134W TO 13N126W TO 21N119W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 29.0N 127.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 270 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N123W TO 30N133W TO 25N132W TO 25N126W TO
27N123W TO 30N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N122W TO 24N129W TO 30N133W TO 27N136W
TO 17N135W TO 16N128W TO 27N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS BUILDING 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 10N90W TO 09N93W TO
08N94W TO 08N89W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 09N93W TO 10N94W TO 08N96W TO 05N96W TO 05N94W TO 06N92W
TO 09N93W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST BROAD LOW PRES NEAR 09N101.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN
10N99W TO 11N100W TO 11N102W TO 10N103W TO 08N101W TO 09N100W TO
10N99W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST BROAD LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 00N112W TO 02S114W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S115W TO
03S110W TO 00N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03N113W TO 00N127W TO 01S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S109W TO 03N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S111W TO 01S116W TO 01N123W TO
00N128W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S107W TO 01S111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0100 UTC SUN JUL 19...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 17N TO 27N
BETWEEN 122W AND 129W...WITH ISOLATED STRONG FROM 19N TO 20.5N
BETWEEN 124W AND 126W.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 08N TO 17N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM LOW PRES NEAR 10N74.5W TO 10N86W TO 08N98W
TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E NEAR 11N108.5W TO 15N116W...THEN
RESUMES SSE OF ELIDA FROM 16N119W TO 09N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE
TO STRONG FROM 00N TO 14N BETWEEN 77W AND 90W...AND FROM 03N TO
13N BETWEEN 90W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240
NM SSE OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 119W AND 135W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUL 19 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 20 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 21 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW NEAR 13N172W 1008 MB MOVING W SLOWLY. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM
19N TO 16N BETWEEN 175W AND 169W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TSTMS WITH 270 NM OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 14N178W. WINDS EASED 20 KT OR LESS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED W OF AREA.
.LOW NEAR 04N154W 1010 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED MODERATE
TSTMS WITH 180 NM OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.
.TROUGH 30N168W 25N171W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED TSTMS N OF
26N W OF 169W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 19N TO 12N BETWEEN 158W AND 148W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED 20 KT OR LESS.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 21N TO 14N BETWEEN 174W AND 165W...AND FROM
24N TO 11N BETWEEN 157W AND 144W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 19N TO 16N BETWEEN 178W
AND 173W...AND FROM 19N TO 09N BETWEEN 162W AND 148W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 17N TO 09N BETWEEN 168W
AND 154W.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N180E TO FIRST LOW NEAR 14N173W TO SECOND
LOW NEAR 04N152W TO 08N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 420 NM
OF MONSOON TROUGH.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 12N TO 07N BETWEEN 146W AND 161W.
$$
.FORECASTER FOSTER. HONOLULU HI.=