TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC SUN NOV 08 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 154.5W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 60SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 154.5W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 154.1W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.6N 155.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 11.6N 157.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 11.5N 159.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 11.5N 161.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 11.6N 163.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 11.8N 166.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 12.6N 172.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 14.0N 178.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 154.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/REINHART
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC SUN NOV 08 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC NOV 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 10.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 49N137W 964 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 55 TO 65 KT. SEAS 8.5 TO 10.5 M. ALSO FROM 42N TO 48N
BETWEEN 142W AND 130W...AND WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 40
TO 55 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 58N BETWEEN 146W
AND 123W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 6 M...HIGHEST NEAR LOW
CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS ABSORBED
BY LOW 49N145W DESCRIBED BELOW.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 45N161W 985 MB MOVING NE 35 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
FROM 30N TO 49N BETWEEN 180W AND 150W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5
TO 7 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N145W 959 MB. FROM 47N TO 54N BETWEEN
150W AND 137W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 M. ALSO FROM 32N TO
56N BETWEEN 155W AND 130W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 33N TO 50N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN
25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N146W 958 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 51N E OF 156W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 M...HIGHEST NEAR LOW CENTER.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW W OF AREA NEAR 43N172E 1001 MOVING NE 35 KT. ASSOCIATED
CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH LOW 45N161W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N167W 972 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 32N TO 50N W OF
158W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N160W 972 MB. FROM 39N TO 47N BETWEEN
180W AND 154W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
30N TO 50N W OF 132W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 6 M...HIGHEST
SW OF CENTER.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 55N TO 58N
BETWEEN 157W AND 151W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 62N W OF ALASKA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.FORECASTER BYRD. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN NOV 8.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 9.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 10.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 13N96W TO 14N94W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 29N114W TO 30N113W TO
31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 29N118W TO 30N140W TO 04N140W TO 11N124W TO 20N113W TO
29N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N140W TO 03N140W TO
11N113W TO 30N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N119W TO 30N116W TO 30N140W TO
08N140W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S100W TO 20N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.WITHIN 02N104W TO 03N112W TO 03N129W TO 00N132W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S98W TO 02N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N115W TO 04N133W TO 00N136W TO
00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S102W TO 06N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N87W TO 13N89W TO 13N90W TO 12N90W TO
11N89W TO 11N87W TO 12N87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M..
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC SUN NOV 8...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 10N86W AND
TO 07N99W. ITCZ FROM 07N99W TO 11N119W...FROM 10N122W TO BEYOND
07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 13N E OF
97W...FROM 08N TO 17N AND BETWEEN 109W AND 124W.
.FORECASTER DELGADO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC NOV 08 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 09 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 10 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.4N 154.5W 993 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 08
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS
60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0
NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.6N 157.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 11N TO
18N BETWEEN 163W AND 157W WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.5N 161.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 11N TO
17N BETWEEN 165W AND 158W WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FRONT 30N143W 28N150W 26N154W NEARLY STATIONARY. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M
N OF FRONT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT WEAKENED TO TROUGH 30N143W 25N157W. SEE
SEAS BELOW.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N141W 26N150W.
.LOW NEAR 05N162W 1007 MB MOVING W SLOWLY. ISOLATED MODERATE
TSTMS S OF LOW BETWEEN 162W AND 158W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND MERGED INTO MONSOON TROUGH.
.TROUGH 16N164W 11N166W MOVING SW 15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS
FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 167W AND 160W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 13N TO 22N W OF 160W... AND FROM 13N TO
20N E OF 150W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 12N TO 23N W OF 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 13N TO 20N W OF
170W... AND FROM 12N TO 20N E OF 150W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF 09N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 12N TO 24N W OF 165W... AND
FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 165W AND 150W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 160W...AND
FROM 11N TO 20N E OF 160W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 07N140W 06N146W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 06N TO 10N
BETWEEN 152W AND 147W.
.MONSOON TROUGH 04N152W 05N158W TO LOW TO 04N180W. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 170W AND 150W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS S OF 04N BETWEEN 153W AND 148W.
$$
.FORECASTER SHIGESATO. HONOLULU HI.=