TCMEP2
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
2100 UTC MON JUL 27 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 113.9W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 934 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 90SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 113.9W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 113.5W
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.2N 116.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.7N 118.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N 119.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.1N 121.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.0N 124.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 22.6N 129.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 24.6N 134.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 113.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PAPIN=
TCMCP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC MON JUL 27 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 147.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 25SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 270SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 147.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 146.8W
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.8N 149.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 22.3N 152.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.8N 154.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 23.1N 156.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.6N 159.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.0N 161.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 147.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC MON JUL 27 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 29.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 49N136W 1000 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 360 NM NE...SE AND
420 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N135W 999 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N132W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N...90 NM
NE...180 NM SE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 31N TO 43N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W AREA OF NW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 42N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W AREA OF
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 52N149W 1005 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE OF A
LINE FROM 51N146W TO 47N151W...WITHIN 300 NM S AND SW OF A LINE
FROM 50N153W TO 52N169W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF A LINE FROM
49N169W TO 47N180W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW 48N140W 1005 MB.
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND N OF A LINE FROM 51N147W TO 52N137W...WITHIN
360 NM NE...240 NM SE...540 NM SW QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 180 NM S
AND SW OF A LINE FROM 44N150W TO 46N162W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM S OF A LINE FROM 49N172W TO
47N180W AREA OF S TO SW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 42N TO 48N W OF
175W...FROM 48N TO 55N W OF 157W AND IN THE BERING SEA W AND NW
OF A LINE FROM 55N163W TO 59N176W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE OF A LINE FROM
46N180W TO 49N162W AND WITHIN 180 NM N AND NE OF LINE FROM
49N162W TO 47N157W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 240 NM S OF A LINE FROM
49N180W TO 49N164W.
.FORECASTER FUTTERMAN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 29.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 16.6N 113.9W 934 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 27
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 13 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N111W TO 20N114W TO 19N116W TO
15N117W TO 13N111W TO 15N109W TO 20N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N107W TO 24N111W TO
22N117W TO 12N120W TO 08N117W TO 08N109W TO 20N107W...INCLUDING
NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 18.2N 116.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 12.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N112W TO 22N117W TO
21N119W TO 15N120W TO 14N115W TO 15N112W TO 21N112W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N119W TO
30N124W TO 15N127W TO 11N124W TO 10N114W TO 18N108W TO
30N119W...INCLUDING NEAR SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY AND WITHIN 60 NM
OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GENEVIEVE NEAR 19.3N 119.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
21N114W TO 24N117W TO 24N123W TO 19N124W TO 16N122W TO 15N116W TO
21N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 21N111W TO 30N118W TO 25N136W TO 16N137W TO 12N122W TO
13N114W TO 21N111W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 26N138W TO 28N140W TO 17N140W TO 22N138W TO 26N138W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 04N103W TO 06N120W TO 00N131W TO 03S110W TO 01S94W TO
04N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03N93W TO 00N110W TO 00N137W TO 01S111W
TO 03.4S113W TO 03.4S88W TO 03N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
2.5 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N114W TO 30N114W TO
29N113W TO 30N112W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2000 UTC MON JUL 27...
.HURRICANE GENEVIEVE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE
...AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN
210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT WITHIN 150 NM NW QUADRANT.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04N TO 09.5N
BETWEEN 99W AND 103W...AND FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 99W AND 102W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM LOW PRES NEAR 10N75.5W TO 07N11W TO 09N87W
TO 07N98W TO 11N107.5W...THEN RESUMES SW OF GENEVIEVE FROM
10.5N114.5W TO 04N129W TO 05N138W. ITCZ FROM 05N138W TO BEYOND
05N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 01N
TO 09N BETWEEN 77W AND 92W...WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 114.5W AND 125W...AND FROM 00N TO 08N BETWEEN
125W AND 140W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF COAST OF
MEXICO BETWEEN 100W AND 110W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 27 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 28 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 29 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 21.3N 147.5W...994 MB MOVING WNW OR 285
DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS TO 80 KT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 25 NM NE QUADRANT...15 NM NW
QUADRANT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 25N BETWEEN
153W AND 143W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE
QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM
10N TO 30N BETWEEN 155W AND 145W...AND FROM 18N TO 30N BETWEEN
145W AND 140W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 22.3N 152.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 25N BETWEEN
155W AND 150W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 20N TO 24N BETWEEN 148W
AND 153W WITH SEAS TO 6 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 16N
TO 28N BETWEEN 158W AND 152W...AND FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN
152W AND 144W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 23.1N 156.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM
22N TO 28N BETWEEN 160W AND 155W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM
20N TO 25N BETWEEN 155W AND 150W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM
18N TO 28N BETWEEN 158W AND 147W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 30N177W 26N180W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH N OF 28N.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N179W 28N180W. WINDS DIMINISHING TO
20 KT OR LESS.
.TROUGH 14N167W 08N165W 05N160W MOVING SLOWLY W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TSTMS FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 167W AND 155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 11N168W 08N166W 05N164W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 12N180W 07N172W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM
00N TO 15N W OF 175W.
.ITCZ 04N157W 05N150W 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO LOCALLY
STRONG TSTMS FROM 00N TO 08N BETWEEN 160W AND 158W. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ.
.SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS N OF 27N W OF 173W.
$$
.FORECASTER PECHACEK. HONOLULU HI.=