TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
2100 UTC WED JUL 01 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 127.0W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 127.0W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.9W
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.7N 127.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.7N 127.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.8N 127.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.7N 128.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 129.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N 130.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N 133.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 127.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BEVEN=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC WED JUL 01 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 03.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 30N TO 43N BETWEEN 132W AND 121W AREA OF N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 41N TO 43N E OF 125W AREA OF N WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 42N BETWEEN 129W AND 121W AREA OF N
TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 33N TO 40N BETWEEN 125W AND 123W AREA OF N
TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 58N174W 1005 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A
LINE FROM 41N180W TO 41N175W TO 55N156W TO 57N178E TO 51N173E TO
41N180W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 62N172W 1007 MB. FROM 47N TO THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS AND ALASKA PENINSULA BETWEEN 174W AND 157W WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ORIGINAL LOW DISSIPATED AND NEW LOW FORMED NEAR
57N143W 1007 MB. FROM 47N TO 53N BETWEEN 156W AND 143W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 32N BETWEEN 166W AND 154W AREA OF E
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 31N BETWEEN 172W AND 159W AREA OF E
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 61N165W 1007 MB. WITHIN 90 NM EITHER
SIDE OF A LINE FROM 67N168W TO 60N170W TO 57N163W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN AN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 40N178W TO 49N133W TO 55N151W TO 40N178W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 42N180W TO 47N144W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM
40N180W TO 44N163W TO 48N173W TO 46N180W TO 40N180W.
.FORECASTER CONNELLY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 3.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS NEAR 15.7N 127.0W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 01 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 0
NM W SEMICIRCLE...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 19N124W TO 20N125W TO 19N130W
TO 12N127W TO 12N125W TO 14N123W TO 19N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 19N122W TO 21N129W
TO 17N135W TO 18N140W TO 15N140W TO 11N124W TO 19N122W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS NEAR 17.7N 127.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT SEAS TO
4.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 19N125W TO 21N122W TO 23N126W TO
20N131W TO 13N127W TO 14N125W TO 19N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 20N121W TO 22N124W TO
22N132W TO 19N135W TO 15N135W TO 12N125W TO 20N121W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS NEAR 18.8N 127.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER ALL QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 4.0 M.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 22N123W TO 23N129W TO 19N131W TO 18N131W TO
16N127W TO 22N123W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 20N122W TO 23N123W TO 24N130W TO
19N136W TO 15N132W TO 14N128W TO 20N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL DOUGLAS NEAR 19.7N 128.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER ALL QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 4.0 M.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 23N127W TO 24N128W TO 22N131W TO 21N131W TO
19N127W TO 23N127W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 21N123W TO 24N125W TO 26N131W TO
23N134W TO 17N134W TO 15N130W TO 21N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 11N90W TO 09N91W TO 09N91W TO 09N88W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
.WITHIN 03S88W TO 02S88W TO 02S90W TO 03S91W TO 03.4S91W TO
03.4S88W TO 03S88W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N139W TO 01N140W TO 00N140W TO
00N139W TO 01N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN E
TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC WED JUL 1...
.TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM
12 TO 18N BETWEEN 124W AND 131W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 10N85W TO 05N103W TO 15N123W. ITCZ AXIS
FROM 09N135W TO 07N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM
01N TO 09N EAST OF 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM
02N TO 15N BETWEEN 89W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO
16N BETWEEN 111W AND 121W.
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 01 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 02 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 03 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 25N165W 22N163W 19N159W MOVING W 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 23N171W 20N171W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 21N TO 25N BETWEEN 160W AND 165W...AND
FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 153W AND 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 21N TO 26N BETWEEN 166W
AND 173W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 25N TO 29N BETWEEN 160W
AND 170W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 155W AND 163W...AND FROM
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 140W AND 148W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS EASED TO 2.5 M OR LESS.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS ELSEWHERE OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 07N140W 03N153W 03N161W 04N165W 06N180W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF ITCZ E OF 164W...AND ISOLATED MODERATE
TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM S OF ITCZ W OF 164W.
.NUMEROUS TO SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 19N TO 29N BETWEEN
167W AND 180W.
$$
.FORECASTER ALMANZA. HONOLULU HI.=