METAREA 12 bulletinset


HURRICANE ADVISORY
WTPA22 PHFO 281451

TCMCP2

HURRICANE NOLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026

ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1500 UTC MON SEP 28 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 162.3W AT 28/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 929 MB

EYE DIAMETER 20 NM

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.

64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.

50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.

34 KT.......130NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

4 M SEAS....300NE 150SE 180SW 420NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 162.3W AT 28/1500Z

AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 161.9W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.3N 163.3W

MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.

64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.

50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 163.9W

MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.

50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.7N 164.0W

MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.

50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.6N 164.0W

MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.

50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.8N 164.4W

MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.

50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

34 KT...110NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.1N 165.3W

MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.

50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 23.7N 167.2W

MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.

34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 24.1N 170.0W

MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 162.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 28/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER ADAMS


HURRICANE ADVISORY
WTPZ22 KNHC 281443

TCMEP2

HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026

1500 UTC MON SEP 28 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 113.5W AT 28/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.

64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.

50 KT....... 55NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.

34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.

4 M SEAS....120NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 113.5W AT 28/1500Z

AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 113.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.4N 112.7W

MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

64 KT... 20NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.

50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 35NW.

34 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.4N 111.0W...OVER WATER

MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.

50 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 20NW.

34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.9N 108.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND

MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 113.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 28/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER PAPIN=


HURRICANE ADVISORY
WTPZ23 KNHC 281438

TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026

1500 UTC MON SEP 28 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 101.2W AT 28/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.

34 KT....... 80NE 140SE 140SW 40NW.

4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 101.2W AT 28/1500Z

AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 100.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.5N 102.6W

MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

50 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.

34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.5N 104.4W

MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.

34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.7N 106.1W

MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 20NW.

34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.8N 107.2W

MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.

50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.7N 108.2W

MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.

50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 35NW.

34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.3N 108.8W

MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.

50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 35NW.

34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N 109.4W

MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 20.5N 110.3W

MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.

34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 101.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 28/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN=


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FZPN02 KWBC 281725

HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

1745 UTC MON SEP 28 2026

CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE

MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE

THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).

SECURITE

PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT

TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 28.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 29.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...

.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 45N147W 1010 MB MOVING E 35 KT AND

SECOND CENTER 39N169W 1014 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SE

OF A FRONT FROM 54N132W TO 49N138W TO FIRST CENTER TO SECOND

CENTER TO 35N180W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.

.06 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 47N142W 1010 MB

AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 40N163W 1013 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE OF A

FRONT FROM 53N130W TO 49N135W TO FIRST CENTER WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.

SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FIRST CENTER DISSIPATED INLAND. REMAINING LOW

NEAR 41N156W 1008 MB. WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF A FRONT FROM

43N150W TO LOW CENTER TO 36N165W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO

3.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 44N149W 1008

MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO

3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 46N136W

TO 44N150W TO 30N169W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

...GALE WARNING...

.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 50N175E 996 MB. WITHIN 360

NM E AND 540 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER W OF AREA NEAR

52N165E 986 MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 51N178E 996 MB. WITHIN 420

NM NE QUADRANT OF FIRST CENTER...AND WITHIN 600 NM SE QUADRANT OF

SECOND CENTER WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE

FROM 40N TO 58N W OF 167W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 34N TO 43N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO

2.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 42N BETWEEN 119W AND 129W WINDS 20 TO 30

KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 43N BETWEEN 119W AND 132W WINDS 20 TO 30

KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.

.LOW 59N147W 989 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. WITHIN 600 NM SE AND 780 NM

SW QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN THE BERING SEA E OF 171W WINDS 20 TO 30

KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M...HIGHEST SE OF CENTER NEAR 45N145W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N140W 997 MB. WITHIN 540 NM S AND 660 NM

SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND NEW COMPLEX LOW WITH

MAIN CENTER NEAR 59N149W 1005 MB. WITHIN 900 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW NEAR 48N127W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM

EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM LOW CENTER TO 45N134W TO 43N147W WINDS

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND CONDITIONS

DIMINISHED.

.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW W OF AREA WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR

60N180W 1008 MB. N OF 56N W OF 170W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5

M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N165W 1009 MB. WITHIN 540 NM NW AND W

QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 150 NM EITHER

SIDE OF A LINE FROM 52N128W TO 45N150W TO 37N175W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 60N W OF 170W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 58N TO 61N BETWEEN 163W AND

171W...FROM 44N TO 49N BETWEEN 131W AND 146W...AND FROM 43N TO

55N W OF 171W.

.FORECASTER ANDERSON. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 28.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 29.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 24.2N 113.5W 958 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 28

MOVING NE OR 035 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT

GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM S

SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR

GREATER WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210

NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 24N111W TO

26N112W TO 25N115W TO 22N116W TO 20N115W TO 22N112W TO

24N111W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.

SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 22N109W TO 30N116W

TO 25N116W TO 30N118W TO 19N119W TO 17N114W TO

22N109W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO OVER WATER NEAR 27.4N 111.0W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...40 NM NW QUADRANT AND 60

NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER ALL

QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 27N109W TO

27N111W TO 28N111W TO 28N112W TO 24N110W TO 25N109W TO

27N109W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.

SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.

.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL POLO NEAR 29.9N 108.8W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST

WATERS...CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN

2.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS

THAN 2.5 M.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 13.8N 101.2W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP

28 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT

GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM S

SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR

GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT

AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE....WITHIN

15N96W TO 17N102W TO 12N104W TO 08N100W TO 10N96W TO 15N96W WINDS

20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 15.5N 104.4W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180

NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO

6.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N100W TO 19N105W TO 15N107W TO

10N106W TO 10N102W TO 14N100W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS

3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 16N98W TO 20N106W TO

18N108W TO 10N107W TO 09N100W TO 12N97W TO 16N98W...INCLUDING

NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN

MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 17.8N 107.2W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180

NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO

8.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N101W TO 20N106W TO 17N110W TO

13N108W TO 10N111W TO 10N105W TO 15N101W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO

CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF

AREA...WITHIN 17N99W TO 23N108W TO 23N112W TO 18N114W TO 09N107W

TO 10N102W TO 17N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN

MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES...INVEST EP91...NEAR 14N137W 1005 MB. WITHIN 13N131W

TO 16N134W TO 15N137W TO 08N140W TO 08N135W TO 09N132W TO 13N131W

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN

13N125W TO 17N134W TO 17N140W TO 06N140W TO 06N133W TO 08N128W TO

13N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...INVEST EP91...POSSIBLE TROPICAL

CYCLONE...NEAR 15N131W 1001 MB. WITHIN 17N131W TO 18N134W TO

16N135W TO 13N134W TO 12N132W TO 13N131W TO 17N131W WINDS 20 TO

30 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N126W TO 20N132W

TO 19N140W TO 07N138W TO 10N127W TO 15N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...INVEST EP91...POSSIBLE TROPICAL

CYCLONE...NEAR 16N127W 1000 MB. WITHIN 18N128W TO 18N129W TO

17N130W TO 15N129W TO 14N128W TO 15N127W TO 18N128W WINDS 20 TO

30 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE. WITHIN 21N124W TO 24N131W TO

23N138W TO 18N135W TO 13N135W TO 13N124W TO 21N124W WINDS 20 KT

OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 23N123W 1004 MB. WITHIN 26N123W TO 26N124W TO

23N126W TO 21N125W TO 21N123W TO 22N122W TO 26N123W WINDS 20 TO

25 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 30N120W TO 30N140W

TO 19N140W TO 20N129W TO 18N121W TO 30N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 21N122W 1006 MB. WITHIN 30N118W

TO 30N140W TO 23N140W TO 20N125W TO 30N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WITHIN 30N120W TO 30N130W

TO 27N127W TO 28N124W TO 30N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5

TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON SEP 28...

.HURRICANE POLO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF

CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N85W TO 12N92W AND FROM

16N117W TO 14N128W TO 12N137W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE

ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 128W AND 132W.

.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 28 2026.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 29 2026.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 30 2026.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE NOLO NEAR 17.1N 162.3W 929 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 28

MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT

GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE

QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW

QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 155W

AND 165W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM

SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT WITH

SEAS TO 11 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE N OF 11N BETWEEN 154W

AND 177W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM SW

SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM NE SEMICIRCLE.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NOLO NEAR 20.0N 163.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT

AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO

25N BETWEEN 160W AND 167W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 18N TO 22N

BETWEEN 157W AND 170W WITH SEAS TO 11 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M

ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 27N BETWEEN 156W AND 170W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NOLO NEAR 22.6N 164.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT

AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO

27N BETWEEN 157W AND 168W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 20N TO 25N

BETWEEN 161W AND 167W WITH SEAS TO 9 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M

ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 29N BETWEEN 158W AND 170W.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW COLD FRONT 30N162W TO 27N174W. WINDS 20 TO

25 KT UP TO 110 NM NW OF FRONT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 27N BETWEEN

165W AND 177W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 22N166W TO 30N166W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 26N163W TO 29N161W.

.WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 21N TO 27N BETWEEN 153W AND 173W...AND

FROM 05N TO 10N E OF 147W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 15N AND E OF

154W...AND FROM 06N TO 15N E OF 146W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 156W

AND 160W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 14N TO 27N E OF 156W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED BELOW 20 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM

16N TO 27N W OF 170W.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF

FORECAST AREA.

.MONSOON TROUGH 12N140W TO 12N144W TO 13N156W...AND 15N165W TO

12N173W TO 11N180. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TSTMS S

OF TROUGH FROM 00N TO 07N BETWEEN 146W AND 157W...AND FROM 06N TO

08N BETWEEN 164W AND 176W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 07N TO

10N BETWEEN 140W AND 164W.

$$

.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=