TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152026
0900 UTC TUE SEP 15 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 122.6W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 122.6W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 122.1W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.8N 124.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.4N 128.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.5N 130.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N 132.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.6N 134.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.3N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 122.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KELLY=
TCMCP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP142026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC TUE SEP 15 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 141.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 141.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 141.1W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.6N 143.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.6N 146.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 141.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC TUE SEP 15 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 17.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 59N172W 982 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M. ALSO WITHIN 360 NM OF LOW
CENTER AND WITHIN 540 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 4.5 M...HIGHEST S AND SE OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE N OF 47N BETWEEN
156W AND 178E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 64N164W 988 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S AND 240 NM
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
THE BERING SEA E OF 175W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL N OF AREA AND CONDITIONS DESCRIBED
WITH LOW 59N177W BELOW.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 33N174W 1003 MB NEARLY STATIONARY THEN MOVING SW 10 KT AFTER
12 HOURS. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 540 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 44N W OF 167W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST S OF AREA 29N179W 1006 MB. BETWEEN 120
NM AND 600 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5
M. ELSEWHERE S OF 42N W OF 168W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW SW OF AREA. S OF 40N W OF 171W AREA OF E TO
SE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.S OF 41N BETWEEN 119W AND 128W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 36N TO 42N E OF 128W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 54N BETWEEN 120W
AND 132W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 35N TO 52N BETWEEN 124W AND 132W AREA OF N
TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.LOW 36N145W 1023 MB MOVING W 10 KT. WITHIN 180 NM N AND NW
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 58N169E 998 MB. WITHIN 660 NM SE
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 59N177W 1002
MB. WITHIN 720 NM SE AND 540 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M...HIGHEST SW OF MEAN CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW NEAR 60N149W 1010 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE
OF A FRONT FROM LOW CENTER TO 50N155W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 60N149W 1015 MB. CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 240 NM EITHER
SIDE OF A LINE FROM 61N171W TO 64N165W TO 36N172W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 45N162W TO 54N153W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 45N162W TO 61N149W.
.FORECASTER ANDERSON. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 17.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 13N96W TO
13N95W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N96W TO 13N97W TO 13N95W TO 15N94W
TO 15N96W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.1N 122.6W 1005 MB AT 0900
UTC SEP 15 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 4 M WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM
NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N120W TO
20N123W TO 19N125W TO 16N124W TO 16N120W TO 17N118W TO 20N120W NE
TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N
126.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 4 M WITHIN 90
NM N SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N121W TO 23N126W TO 24N136W
TO 21N138W TO 15N128W TO 17N122W TO 20N121W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.5N
130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 21N124W
TO 26N140W TO 17N140W TO 15N133W TO 15N128W TO 21N124W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT CENTERED W OF AREA NEAR 20.2N
140.5W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 15 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W WITHIN 27N136W TO 27N140W TO 20N140W TO
20N136W TO 22N135W TO 27N136W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.0 M IN E TO SE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N88W TO 11N90W TO 10N89W TO 10N87W TO 10N86W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 30N121W TO 30N126W TO 28N124W TO 28N122W TO 30N121W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 03N101W TO 05N104W TO 03N113W TO 00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03S101W TO 03N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE SEP 15...
.T.D. FIFTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM TO 240 NM IN THE SE SEMICIRCLE.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 08N90W TO 10N105W TO 06N120W...AND
FROM 13N120W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04N TO 12N
BETWEEN 80W AND 100W...AND FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 125W AND
130W.
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 15 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 16 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 17 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT NEAR 20.1N 141.1W 1008 MB MOVING W
AT 13 KT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW
CENTER E OF 142W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M S OF 28N E OF 143W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NORBERT NEAR 20.6N
146.3W. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW CENTER
BETWEEN 145W AND 148W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 21N TO 25N BETWEEN E
OF 149W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NORBERT WEAKENED TO TROUGH FROM
21N153W TO 18N153W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 21N
TO 24N BETWEEN 150W AND 154W.
.FRONT FROM 30N173W TO 26N175W TO 23N180W NEARLY STATIONARY.
TRAILING POST-FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 30N175W TO 27N177W TO 26N180W
MOVING W SLOWLY. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 270 NM E OF FRONT
N OF 26N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW NEAR 29N179W 1006 MB. FRONT AND TROUGH
MERGED FROM 30N176W TO 24N180W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 28N W
BETWEEN 173W AND 176W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M W OF LINE FROM 30N173W TO
26N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA. WINDS AND SEAS
LOWERED TO 20 KT OR LESS OR SUBSIDED TO 2.5 M OR LOWER...
RESPECTIVELY.
.TROUGH FROM 13N147W TO 10N151W MOVING W SLOWLY. SCATTERED
MODERATE TSTMS FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN TROUGH AND 144W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 13N150W TO 10N152W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 12N155W TO 08N159W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER THE
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS S OF 06N BETWEEN 146W AND 156W. ISOLATED
TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N173W TO 22N173W.
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N140W TO 10N150W TO 10N165W TO 06N180W.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 240 NM OF TROUGH.
$$
.FORECASTER BLOOD. HONOLULU HI.=