TCMEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC WED JUL 22 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 121.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 121.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 121.0W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.3N 122.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 125.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.1N 127.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.4N 130.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.6N 133.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.8N 135.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 121.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER REINHART=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC WED JUL 22 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 24.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 59N151W 1017 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 240 NM SE...420 NM
SW...AND 360 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5
M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 57N179E 994 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE...AND 420
NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 62N166W 994 MB. WITHIN 600 NM SE...AND 420
NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS WELL N OF AREA.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 48N TO 57N BETWEEN 126W AND 138W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 48N TO 56N BETWEEN 139W AND 128W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 49N TO 55N BETWEEN 135W AND 129W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 59N143W 1006 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE...AND
480 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 37N126W 1010 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N130W 1012 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E...600 NM
W...AND 420 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N130W 1011 MB. WITHIN 600 NM W...AND 360
NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 36N E OF 121W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN 117W AND 124W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 50N TO 57N W OF 173W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 48N TO 59N W OF
170W.
.24 HOUR DENSE FOG FROM 49N TO 53N W OF 168W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 52N TO 56N W OF 169W...AND FROM
48N TO 54N BETWEEN 143W AND 152W.
.FORECASTER BYRD. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 24.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 16.7N 120.7W 981 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 22
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N119W TO 20N122W TO 17N123W TO 14N122W TO
13N120W TO 17N117W TO 20N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 6.5
M IN SE TO S SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 26N114W TO 24N123W
TO 16N127W TO 12N123W TO 12N118W TO 16N114W TO
26N114W...INCLUDING
WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 17.4N 123.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N AND 210 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 10.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N120W TO
21N124W TO 20N128W TO 16N126W TO 14N122W TO 16N120W TO 19N120W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 7.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 24N118W TO 24N127W TO 18N130W TO 12N126W TO 12N121W
TO 18N117W TO 24N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.0N 129.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NW AND 270 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N125W TO
24N132W TO 21N135W TO 18N134W TO 16N131W TO 16N126W TO 20N125W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 6.5 M IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 19N122W TO 27N123W TO 27N132W TO 21N140W TO 13N133W
TO 11N126W TO 19N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N119W TO 20N120W TO 21N126W TO
16N127W TO 13N123W TO 12N121W TO 18N119W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 IN S SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N117W TO 27N121W TO
24N128W TO 16N130W TO 11N123W TO 13N118W TO 23N117W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 24N128W TO 22N132W TO 19N133W TO
16N132W TO 14N127W TO 19N123W TO 24N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 M IN S SWELL.
.WITHIN 12N87W TO 11N88W TO 11N86W TO 12N87W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N136W TO 02N138W TO 02N140W TO
00N140W TO 00N131W TO 01N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S112W TO 00N114W TO 01N140W TO
02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S111W TO 01S112W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.21 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N115W TO 30N132W TO 27N114W TO
27N115W TO 29N115W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...N WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M IN MERGING S AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN
29N116W TO 29.5N116.5W TO 28.5N117W TO 28.5N116.5W TO
29N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MERGING S AND NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29.5N115W TO 30N115.5W TO 29.5N116W TO
29N116W TO 29N115W TO 29.5N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 2.5
M IN MERGING S AND NW SWELL. WITHIN 30N116W TO 29N117W TO 28N117W
TO 28N116W TO 27N115W TO 28N116W TO 30N116W...INCLUDING WITHIN
60 NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN IN MERGING S
AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N117W TO 30N119W TO 29N119W TO
29N120W TO 28N119W TO 28N117W TO 30N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN IN MERGING S AND NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N93W TO 09N94W TO 06N96W TO 06N98W TO
05N98W TO 04N96W TO 07N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N95W TO 10N98W TO 08N97W TO 05N100W
TO 05N96W TO 06N95W TO 11N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN
S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S117W TO 03S119.5W TO 03S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S116W TO 03S117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED JUL 22...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 15.5N TO 17N BETWEEN
119W AND 121W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 19.5N BETWEEN 115W AND 124W.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 03.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 83W AND 91W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09.5N74W TO 08N78W TO 08N84W TO 06N100W TO
07N107W...THEN RESUMES NEAR 12.5N127W TO BEYOND 09N140W.
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03.5N TO
09.5N E OF 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 04.5N TO 08N
BETWEEN 101W AND 116W AND FROM 05N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 126W AND
140W.
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 22 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 23 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 24 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N176W 29N178W 28N180W MOVING NW SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED NW OF AREA.
.TROUGH 30N170W TO 27N171W MOVING W 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N175W 28N174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N173W 23N174W.
.LOW NEAR 07N165W 1007 MB MOVING WNW SLOWLY. TROUGH FROM 13N156W
TO 08N159W THROUGH LOW TO 08N170W TO 10N174W MOVING W SLOWLY.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TSTMS S OF 13N BETWEEN 174W
AND 157W...AND FROM 16N TO 12N BETWEEN 159W AND 153W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 07N167W 1007 MB. TROUGH FROM 13N160W
TO 10N164W THROUGH LOW TO 09N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N169W 1006 MB. TROUGH FROM 12N163W
TO 09N166W THROUGH LOW TO 06N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 27N TO 15N BETWEEN 167W
TO 145W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 16N TO 12N BETWEEN 158W AND 150W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 18N TO 11N BETWEEN 163W
AND 153W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN AREA BOUNDED BY 27N169W
14N169W 11N157W 18N149W 27N165W 27N169W.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 08N140W 08N146W 08N152W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS
FROM 11N TO 02N E OF 154W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 12N TO 01N W OF 176W...AND FROM 12N
TO 10N BETWEEN 155W AND 152W.
$$
.FORECASTER TROTTER. HONOLULU HI.=