TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082026
0900 UTC FRI AUG 14 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 131.9W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 30SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 131.9W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 131.9W
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.9N 132.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.5N 133.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.2N 135.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.1N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.1N 140.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 131.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=
TCMCP2
TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC FRI AUG 14 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 148.9W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......110NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......240NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 150SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 148.9W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 147.9W
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.9N 150.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...230NE 40SE 0SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 152.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...230NE 70SE 30SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.3N 154.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...210NE 70SE 40SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.2N 156.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 80SE 40SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.1N 159.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.7N 162.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.4N 166.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 22.5N 170.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 148.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC FRI AUG 14 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 16.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW W OF AREA NEAR 40N179E 999 MB MOVING NE 25 KT.
WITHIN 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
ELSEWHERE S OF 44N W OF 170W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5
M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER 48N169W 994 MB.
WITHIN 300 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 50N167W TO LOW TO 38N179W WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M...HIGHEST NEAR 45N169W. ELSEWHERE
FROM 31N TO 51N W OF 158W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N163W 994 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 600
NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 660 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST NEW COMPLEX LOW 40N176W 1002 MB. WITHIN 300 NM
SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW 40N174W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE
OF A LINE FROM 47N163W TO LOW CENTER TO 33N177W AND WITHIN 180
NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 53N157W 1005 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED BY LOW 52N177W BELOW. ASSOCIATED
CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 54N176W 1001 MB MOVING S 05 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N177W 1004 MB. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 58N TO 61N
BETWEEN 167W AND 175W AND WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM
54N162W TO 51N148W TO 45N145W TO 49N140W TO 59N150W TO 54N162W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 58N BETWEEN 167W AND 175W...AND
FROM 44N TO 50N BETWEEN 161W AND 174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 47N TO 56N BETWEEN 151W AND
164W...N OF 57N BETWEEN 167W AND 174W...AND WITHIN 60 NM SE OF A
LINE FROM 48N174W TO 42N171W.
.FORECASTER HYDE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 16.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HERNAN NEAR 16.1N 131.9W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
14 MOVING S OR 180 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE
...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N128W TO 20N130W TO
19N133W TO 16N133W TO 16N132W TO 18N131W TO 20N128W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N128W TO
22N137W TO 25N140W TO 15N140W TO 16N137W TO 14N132W TO 20N128W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERNAN NEAR 15.9N 132.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HERNAN NEAR 15.5N
133.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 18N133W
TO 18N135W TO 17N135W TO 15N135W TO 15N133W TO 16N133W TO
18N133W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
21N129W TO 24N138W TO 24N140W TO 15N140W TO 14N137W TO 15N134W TO
21N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HERNAN NEAR 15.1N
137.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN
19N135W TO 22N133W TO 22N135W TO 21N140W TO 14N140W TO 16N137W TO
19N135W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W TO 16N94W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT WINDS TO 30 KT AND SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N88W TO 11N89W TO 10N88W TO 10N87W TO 11N86W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N87W TO 12N88W TO 10N90W TO 09N90W TO
11N86W TO 12N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.WITHIN 03N96W TO 03N109W TO 05N113W TO 00N127W TO 03.4S120W TO
02S97W TO 03N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N105W TO 01N109W TO 00N112W TO
02S119W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S104W TO 00N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S98W TO 00N112W TO 02N116W TO 02N119W
TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S97W TO 01S98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0800 UTC FRI AUG 14...
.TROPICAL STORM HERNAN...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
BETWEEN 180 NM AND 510 NM NE QUADRANT.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES NEAR 10N74.5W TO 09.5N85W
TO 07N102W. ITCZ FROM 07N102W TO 10.5N112W TO 07.5N125W TO
09N130W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W...FROM 02N TO 05.5N
BETWEEN 91W AND 101W...FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 101W AND 107W...
FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W...AND WITHIN 360 NM S OF
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 113W AND 130W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 00N
TO 09N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W.
$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 14 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 15 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 16 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LALA NEAR 16.7N 148.9W 997 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 14
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE
QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 5 M. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT AND SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE
FROM 12N TO 24N E OF 155W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LALA NEAR 17.6N 152.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 230 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M FROM 16N TO 22N
BETWEEN 149W AND 156W. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO
24N BETWEEN 148W AND 162W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO
26N BETWEEN 141W AND 162W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LALA NEAR 19.2N 156.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN 151W AND 157W.
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 25N BETWEEN 150W AND
161W...AND SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 26N BETWEEN
165W AND 148W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
SEE THE LATEST BULLETIN ISSUED BY NHC UNDER WMO HEADER WTPA22
PHFO.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 14N TO 22N E OF 143W.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 13N146W 09N149W 08N154W 07N161W 08N169W 09N174W
10N180W ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH E OF
175W.
.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS ALONG A LINE 00N153W 10N143W
15N142W.
$$
.FORECASTER KINO. HONOLULU HI.=