TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC THU NOV 12 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 170.6W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 60SE 60SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 170.6W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 169.9W
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 9.9N 172.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 10.0N 175.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 10.1N 178.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 10.3N 179.1E
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 170.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC WED NOV 11 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC NOV 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 13.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 50N169W 966 MB MOVING E 40 KT. FROM 47N TO 51N BETWEEN 167W
AND 171W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO
53N BETWEEN 156W AND 180W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 54N BETWEEN 154W AND 179E WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N161W 962 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 300 NM
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N145W 962 MB. BETWEEN 150 NM AND 480 NM
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
35N TO 53N BETWEEN 133W AND 158W...EXCEPT WITHIN 180 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE...WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
32N TO 54N BETWEEN 127W AND 170W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N133W 973 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW OF A LINE
FROM 43N130W TO 44N135W TO 47N140W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO
14 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 53N BETWEEN 123W AND 144W WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 11 M...HIGHEST S OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE S OF 58N
BETWEEN 122W AND 150W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 9 M...HIGHEST S
OF CENTER.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST W OF AREA NEAR 43N179E 990 MB. FROM
38N TO 45N W OF 176W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 48N W OF 170W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4
M.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N179W 983 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N168W 969 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE
AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N163W 971 MB. FROM 40N TO 49N BETWEEN
158W AND 169W WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
37N TO 51N BETWEEN 152W AND 173W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8
M. ELSEWHERE FROM 34N TO 53N BETWEEN 150W AND 179W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 52N133W 989 MB MOVING N 20 KT
AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 47N135W 994 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 120
NM SE QUADRANT...FROM 42N TO 46N BETWEEN 134W AND 143W...AND FROM
41N TO 50N E OF 127W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE
FROM 40N TO 58N E OF 154W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.NEW LOW 34N135W 1010 MB MOVING NE THEN SE 15 KT. S OF 36N
BETWEEN 132W AND 147W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4.5 TO 7 M.
ELSEWHERE S OF 40N BETWEEN 129W AND 167W...EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED
WITH LOW 50N169W ABOVE IN HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING
ABOVE...WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N128W 1007 MB. S OF 40N BETWEEN 125W AND
137W...EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED WITH LOW 49N145W ABOVE...WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS MERGED WITH LOW
46N133W DESCRIBED ABOVE.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 59N147W 971 MB MOVING N 10 KT. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 49N TO 54N
BETWEEN 158W AND 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 48N W OF 171W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 53N TO 55N W OF 180W...AND 46N
TO 50N BETWEEN 153W AND 165W.
.FORECASTER POCHE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED NOV 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU NOV 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI NOV 13.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COLD FRONT FROM 30N139W TO 29N140W. WITHIN 30N136W TO 30N140W
TO 28N140W TO 30N136W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT NW WINDS W OF
FRONT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.0 M IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N137W
TO 30N134W TO 30N136W TO 29N139W TO 28N140W TO 27N140W TO 29N137W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N126.5W TO 25N130W TO
21.5N140W. WITHIN 30N127W TO 30N132W TO 28N131W TO 28N130W TO
28N128W TO 30N127W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT SW WINDS AHEAD
OF FRONT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.0 M IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
29N125W TO 30N140W TO 20N140W TO 20N136W TO 29N125W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.0 M IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 29N136W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 31.5N114W TO 24N120W
TO 19N136W. WITHIN 30N129W TO 30N136W TO 29N137W TO 29N135W TO
30N129W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.0 M IN W TO NW
SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N140W TO 10N140W TO
17N122W TO 30N116W...INCLUDING NEAR SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.0 M IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR
30N140W.
.WITHIN 19N106W TO 30N130W TO 25N140W TO 00N140W TO 09N129W TO
08N120W TO 19N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N123W TO 17N132W TO 20N140W TO
07N140W TO 13N133W TO 15N126W TO 19N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH FEATURE ABOVE.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 15N95W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 02N111W TO 08N124W TO 00N131W TO 00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S94W TO 02N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N109W TO 09N110W TO 03N122W TO
00N134W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S92W TO 04N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N98W TO 01N104W TO 03N112W TO 01S119W
TO 03.4S120W TO 03S99W TO 01N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.45 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT ENTERING NW GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N114W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N114W TO
31N114W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
...SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1900 UTC WED NOV 11...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 1008 MB LOW PRES AT 10.5N74.5W TO 09.5N84.5W
TO 04.5N100.5W. ITCZ FROM 04.5N100.5W TO 06.5N136.5W TO 1010 MB
LOW PRES NEAR 08.5N139.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 00N TO 04.5N BETWEEN 78.5W AND 82.5W...FROM 00.5N TO 08N
BETWEEN 106W AND 118W...AND FROM 00N TO 13N BETWEEN 128W AND
140W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 115.5W AND
120W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC NOV 11 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 12 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 13 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 9.9N 169.4W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV 11
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS
50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS
4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 5 M. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS FROM 13N TO
07N BETWEEN 157W AND 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 10.2N 174.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENA W OF FORECAST AREA NEAR
10.6N 179.6E. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED
WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FRONT FROM 29N140W TO 25N150W TO 25N157W MOVING SE 15 KT. WINDS
20 TO 30 KT N OF FRONT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 22N140W TO 20N150W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
WITHIN 120 NM N OF FRONT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED WINDS EASED TO 20
KT OR LESS.
.EXCEPT FOR WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. PENA...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT IN
AREA BOUNDED BY 25N157W 18N140W 11N140W 09N169W 12N180W 24N180W
25N157W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT FOR WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. PENA...
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT IN AREA BOUNDED BY 25N160W 19N140W 10N140W
09N175W 10N180W 19N180W 25N160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT IN AREA BOUNDED BY 24N160W
20N140W 13N140W 08N160W 12N180W 20N180W 24N160W.
.SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M N OF LINE 30N143W 25N166W 30N170W. REMAINDER OF
AREA EXCEPT FOR SEAS DESCRIBED WITH T.S. PENA...SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N
OF LINE 07N140W 09N155W 07N170W 10N180W.
.24 HOUR SEAS 4 TO 5 M N OF 22N E OF 157W. REMAINDER OF AREA
EXCEPT FOR SEAS DESCRIBED WITH T.S. PENA...SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF
LINE 07N140W 08N170W 07N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 4 TO 5 M N OF LINE 30N150W 28N140W. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N160W 30N140W 10N140W
06N160W 20N180W 22N180W 30N160W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF
FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 05N140W TO 01N150W TO 05N160W...AND FROM
08N170W TO 05N175W TO 05N180W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS S OF
TROUGH W OF 175W.
$$
.FORECASTER WROE. HONOLULU HI.=