TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026
0300 UTC SAT JUL 18 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 122.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 170SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 122.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 122.1W
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 123.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.9N 124.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.7N 125.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.7N 126.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.9N 127.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 28.3N 128.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 32.5N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 36.0N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 122.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER REINHART=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC SAT JUL 18 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUL 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 20.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 56N170W 998 MB MOVING E 10 KT. FROM 49N TO 58N BETWEEN 161W
AND 179W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N164W 999 MB. FROM 49N TO 60N BETWEEN
148W AND 170W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N160W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E OF A
FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 59N154W TO 51N151W TO 41N158W WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 32N TO 43N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W...AND FROM 50N TO 55N
BETWEEN 130W AND 135W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 46N BETWEEN 123W AND 129W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M. ALSO FROM 51N TO 55N BETWEEN 130W AND
135W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 55N BETWEEN 124W AND 135W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 50N TO 54N W
OF 179E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 47N TO 56N BETWEEN 147W AND
159W...AND FROM 51N TO 57N W OF 178E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 56N BETWEEN 149W AND
156W...AND FROM 46N TO 59N W OF 176W.
.FORECASTER KELLS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 20.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.4N 122.5W 992 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
18 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...170 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM
SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N116W TO 22N120W TO 20N126W TO
14N125W TO 12N122W TO 15N114W TO 21N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N115W TO 23N127W TO
16N127W TO 09N123W TO 09N119W TO 14N113W TO 22N115W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 19.9N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 26N121W TO
27N126W TO 24N131W TO 18N130W TO 16N123W TO 19N117W TO 26N121W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
25N116W TO 28N127W TO 22N135W TO 10N124W TO 11N118W TO 18N115W TO
25N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 23.7N 126.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
25N120W TO 29N123W TO 29N127W TO 23N133W TO 20N130W TO 21N123W TO
25N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 26N119W TO 29N131W TO 22N138W TO 19N138W TO 14N125W TO
20N119W TO 26N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO 10N88W TO 10N86W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. WITHIN 10N88W TO 10N89W TO 10N91W
TO 10N92W TO 09N91W TO 08N90W TO 10N88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE TO E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO
10N88W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 105W. WITHIN 11N104W TO
12N104W TO 11N106W TO 10N105W TO 09N106W TO 08N104W TO 11N104W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...INVEST EP97...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...NEAR 11N108W 1004 MB. WITHIN 13N104W TO 14N106W TO
13N109W TO 09N108W TO 08N106W TO 10N104W TO 13N104W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...INVEST EP97...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...NEAR 11.5N112W 1000 MB. WITHIN 15N108W TO 15N112W TO
14N114W TO 11N115W TO 09N111W TO 11N108W TO 15N108W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N106W TO 18N108W TO
17N114W TO 10N115W TO 08N111W TO 09N108W TO 14N106W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S119W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S118W TO 03S118W TO 02S119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S111W TO 01S114W TO 02S115W TO
01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S109W TO 01S111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N112W TO 05N109W TO 06N112W TO
02N117W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S106W TO 01N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0150 UTC SAT JUL 18...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90
NM S QUADRANT...WITHIN 150 NM W QUADRANT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E QUADRANT...300 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 480 NM S QUADRANT. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS
BETWEEN 480 NM AND 1200 NM SW QUADRANT.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM LOW PRES NEAR 10N74.5W TO 08N91W TO LOW
PRES NEAR 10N105W TO 17N114W...THEN RESUMES SW OF ELIDA FROM
14N125W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 420 NM EITHER SIDE OF MONSOON TROUGH E OF ELIDA.
$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUL 18 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 19 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 20 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 14N167W 1007 MB MOVING W SLOWLY. MONSOON TROUGH 08N180W
TO LOW. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN 120 NM OF N SEMICIRCLE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW WEAKENS TO TROUGH. TROUGH 10N180W 15N175W.
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 120 NM OF N SEMICIRCLE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 15N177W 10N177W.
.LOW 03N152W 1008 MB MOVING NW 5 KT. MONSOON TROUGH 02N159W TO LOW
TO 07N147W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 07N155W 1008 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 03N160W
TO LOW TO 09N150W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 09N159W 1009 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 05N165W TO
LOW TO 05N155W.
.LOW 09N143W 1006 MB MOVING W 5 KT. MONSOON TROUGH 07N147W TO LOW
TO 09N140W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 09N146W 1006 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 09N150W
TO LOW TO 10N140W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 05N152W 1007 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 05N155W
TO LOW TO 08N140W.
.TROUGH 30N172W 27N172W MOVING NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N171W 27N172W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 160W
AND 155W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WIND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OR LESS.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 18N TO 14N BETWEEN 168W AND 164W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 177W
AND 173W...AND FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 157W AND 153W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2.5 M OR LESS.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 155W AND
142W...AND FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 180W AND 177W.
$$
.FORECASTER PECHACEK. HONOLULU HI.=