TCMEP3
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026
0900 UTC TUE OCT 06 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 118.6W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 118.6W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 118.2W
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.4N 119.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...115NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.7N 120.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.2N 122.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.8N 123.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.2N 124.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.6N 125.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.7N 124.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.9N 119.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 118.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC TUE OCT 06 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
FROM OCTOBER 15 TO APRIL 1, DUE TO THE CLIMATOLOGY OF THE NORTH
PACIFIC AND THE FREQUENCY AND VOLUME OF WEATHER HAZARDS, ALONG
WITH CUSTOMER FEEDBACK, HIGH SEAS FORECASTS WILL BE LIMITED TO
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND HIGHER, AND SEAS OF 4 METERS OR
GREATER, ALONG WITH FREEZING SPRAY, DENSE FOG, VOLCANIC ASH, AND
ANYTHING TROPICAL (INCLUDING A DEPRESSION). LESSER CONDITIONS
WILL BE INCLUDED FOR WARNING CONDITIONS AND TO PRESERVE
CONTINUITY WHERE APPROPRIATE.
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 08.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.30 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW WELL W OF AREA. FROM 51N TO 57N W OF
175E AREA OF S WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST ORIGINAL LOW WELL W OF AREA, FROM 51N TO 60N W
OF 177W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ORIGINAL LOW WELL W OF AREA AND NEW LOW...POST
TROPICAL CHOI-WAN...52N167E 968 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE
FROM 56N178W TO 58N177W AND FROM 50N TO 55N W OF 179W WINDS 45
TO 60 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE NW AND W OF A LINE FROM
44N180W TO 52N175W TO 60N175W TO 62N177W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS
3 TO 6 M...HIGHEST NEAR 59N180W. ELSEWHERE NW AND W OF A LINE
FROM 41N180W TO 50N172W TO 63N172W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 4 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 58N151W 990 MB DRIFTING NE 05 KT. WITHIN 720 NM NW...600 NM
SE...AND 1500 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5
M...HIGHEST NEAR 49N155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N147W 1005 MB. WITHIN 720 NM S AND 660
NM W QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N149W 1016 MB. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON NOLO CENTERED SW OF AREA. FROM 30N TO
35N BETWEEN 180W AND 174W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MOVED W OF AREA.
.FROM 38N TO 43N E OF 127W AREA OF N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3
M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 44N BETWEEN 129W AND 124W AREA OF
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 32N TO 50N BETWEEN 130W AND 123W AREA OF
N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 42N152W 1010 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND
SE OF A LINE FROM 47N146W TO LOW CENTER TO 37N158W WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ORIGINAL LOW MOVED NE TO NEAR 52N134W 1014 MB
AND NEW LOW FORMED NEAR 52N15634W 1015 MB. FROM 45N TO 54N
BETWEEN 130W AND 144W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW TO FORM NEAR 33N164W 1014 MB. WITHIN
360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 33N164W 1003 MB. S OF 43N BETWEEN 151W AND
172W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.DENSE FOG. 48 HOUR FORECAST VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM W
OF A LINE FROM 51N179W TO 57N176W.
.FORECASTER HYDE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 8.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.4N 117.9W 973 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 06
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS
100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...120
NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N115W TO 24N116W
TO 22N120W TO 19N121W TO 18N118W TO 19N115W TO 21N115W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N113W TO
26N121W TO 21N124W TO 15N120W TO 15N114W TO 18N112W TO 24N113W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.6N 120.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N118W TO
24N121W TO 23N123W TO 19N124W TO 17N121W TO 19N118W TO 23N118W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N115W TO 27N122W TO 20N127W TO 16N125W TO 14N120W TO 17N114W TO
23N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 21.5N 123.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N120W TO
25N122W TO 24N126W TO 22N126W TO 19N123W TO 20N121W TO 23N120W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
26N119W TO 27N125W TO 25N129W TO 19N129W TO 15N123W TO 16N117W TO
26N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S105W TO 01S110W TO 01S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S102W TO 01S105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M
IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S97W TO 01N106W TO 00N120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S95W TO 02S97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03N95W TO 05N110W TO 04N119W TO 00N123W
TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S95W TO 03N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
13N100W 1006 MB. WITHIN 16N97W TO 17N99W TO 16N102W TO 15N101W
TO 15N98W TO 16N97W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14N103W 1005 MB. WITHIN 17N100W TO 18N102W TO 17N103W TO 16N104W
TO 15N102W TO 15N101W TO 17N100W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC TUE OCT 6...
.HURRICANE RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 17N
TO 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 121W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 15N99W...FROM 12N119W TO BEYOND
12N140W. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH.
$$
.FORECASTER DELGADO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 06 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 07 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 08 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 06N157W 1009 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. NUMEROUS MODERATE TSTMS
NEAR
AND SE OF LOW FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 148W AND 158W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED BY MONSOON TROUGH.
.LOW NEAR 11N141W 1008 MB MOVING E 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS
WITHIN 180 NM N OF LOW BETWEEN 140W AND 143W.
.TROUGH 27N151W TO 30N150W MOVING WSW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 25N161W TO 30N158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.TROUGH 18N148W TO 20N151W MOVING SW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.TROUGH 12N158W TO 15N159W TO 18N157W MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH FROM 12N TO 15N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 10N164W TO 15N163W TO 18N160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 10N167W TO 15N163W TO 20N161W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N166W 27N170W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N160W 25N162W 23N165W 21N176W 21N180W. N
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M NW OF FRONT.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 24N TO 30N W OF 178W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS LOWERED TO 2.5 M OR LESS OTHER THAN SEAS
DESCRIBED IN FEATURE ABOVE.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF
FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 12N140W 07N151W 05N154W 07N161W 06N171W 07N173W
14N180W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS S OF MONSOON TROUGH...AND WITHIN
180 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH.
$$
.FORECASTER TSAMOUS. HONOLULU HI.=