TCMEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC THU JUL 23 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 125.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 10SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE 50SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 125.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 124.8W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.1N 127.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N 130.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 132.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.1N 135.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.4N 140.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.1N 145.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 125.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER REINHART=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC THU JUL 23 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUL 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 25.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 64N162W 994 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN 660 NM S...420 NM
SW...AND 300 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED WELL INLAND. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 60N146W 1006 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S AND
360 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N140W 1006 MB. FROM 53N TO 59N BETWEEN
135W AND 154W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N136W 1007 MB. FROM 49N TO 59N BETWEEN
142W AND 161W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 30N TO 36N E OF 123W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 38N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.FROM 48N TO 56N BETWEEN 128W AND 140W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 42N131W 1011 MB MOVING N 05 KT. FROM 36N TO 48N BETWEEN 131W
AND 146W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N131W 1011 MB. FROM 37N TO 48N BETWEEN
131W AND 146W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N128W 1011 MB. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 49N TO 55N W OF 176W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 45N TO 50N
BETWEEN 151W AND 161W AND FROM 46N TO 54N W OF 178W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 49N BETWEEN 157W AND
171W...AND FROM 52N TO 57N W OF 167W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 59N W OF 153W.
.FORECASTER HYDE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 25.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 17.9N 125.3W 982 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 23
MOVING
W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE
QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS
TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 270 NM NW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE
AREA
FROM 12N TO 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.5N 130.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN
150 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF
CENTER...
EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
240
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 270 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0
TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13N TO 27N BETWEEN 123W AND
138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 19.1N 135.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M.
ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33
KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 27N W OF
127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW PRES NEAR 08N95.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND
90
NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...PSBL TRPCL CYCLONE...NEAR 09N98.5W
1006
MB. WITHIN 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20
TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W
AND
100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M PRIMARILY IN SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...PSBL TRPCL CYCLONE...NEAR 10.5N102W
1005 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NE QUADRANT
WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN
95W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M PRIMARILY IN
SW
SWELL.
.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 91W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE
TO
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.N OF 26N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 117W AND 121W NW WINDS 20 TO
25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N BETWEEN 16W AND 122W
WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.S OF 01N W 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU JUL 23...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90
NM OF CENTER.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N78W TO 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED NEAR 08N95.5W TO 06N110W TO 10N120W, THEN RESUMES SW OF
FAUSTO FROM 11N134W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG
CONVECTION IS N OF 04N E OF 81W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA,
INCLUDING
THE GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION
IS NOTED FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W.
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUL 23 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 24 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 25 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N176W TO 27N176W MOVING NW 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE
TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF TROUGH N OF 28N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N179W 29N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED N OF AREA.
.LOW NEAR 07N171W 1008 MB MOVING W 10 KT. MONSOON TROUGH FROM
07N157W TO LOW TO 08N175W 09N180W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN
90 NM OF LOW. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF TROUGH
E OF 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N171W 1007 MB. MONSOON TROUGH FROM
06N159W TO LOW TO 08N180W. WINDS DECREASED TO 20 KT OR LESS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 10N172W 1007 MB. MONSOON TROUGH FROM
06N161W TO LOW TO 07N180W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 17N TO 13N BETWEEN 158W AND 164W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M BOUNDED BY AREA 20N167W
12N158W 14N170W 20N167W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 11N BETWEEN 158W AND
174W.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 10N140W TO 07N146W TO 07N154W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS
WITHIN 180 NM OF ITCZ.
$$
.FORECASTER THOMAS. HONOLULU HI.=