TCMEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 128.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 15SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE 60SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 150SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 128.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 127.7W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N 130.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 65NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 133.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 55NE 40SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 65SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.1N 135.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 20SW 45NW.
34 KT...140NE 85SE 60SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.6N 137.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 35SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 85SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 35NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 45SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 142.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 65SE 40SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.7N 149.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 70NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.3N 154.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE 40SE 20SW 65NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 128.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/BERG
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUL 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 26.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 53N TO 60N BETWEEN 139W AND 160W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 57N139W 1008 MB. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 720
NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N138W 1008 MB. BETWEEN 540 NM AND 1080 NM
W QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 43N131W 1011 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 480 NM W AND NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N130W 1011 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN 118W AND 123W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 38N BETWEEN 119W AND 124W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 38N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.FROM 50N TO 56N W OF 170W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 51N TO 57N W OF 174W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 52N TO 56N W OF
175W...AND FROM 48N TO 54N BETWEEN 143W AND 152W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 59N W OF 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 58N W OF 162W.
.FORECASTER BYRD. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 26.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.3N 128.4W 976 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 24
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND
180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N125W
TO 22N129W TO 19N130W TO 16N129W TO 17N125W TO 19N124W TO
21N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 18N122W TO 25N125W TO 20N134W TO 13N131W TO 12N124W TO
18N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.8N 133.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...65 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270
NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N130W TO
24N136W TO 17N137W TO 17N130W TO 19N128W TO 24N130W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N126W TO 29N131W TO
26N140W TO 14N140W TO 10N132W TO 16N126W TO 21N126W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 19.6N 137.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...85 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N134W TO 25N137W TO 23N140W TO
17N140W TO 17N137W TO 20N132W TO 24N134W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N130W TO 26N132W TO 27N140W TO
10N140W TO 11N136W TO 14N132W TO 20N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 09N97W 1007 MB. WITHIN 13N93W TO 13N95W TO 10N99W
TO 09N99W TO 05N96W TO 08N93W TO 13N93W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...INVEST EP98...POSSIBLE TRPCL CYCLONE
...NEAR 11N101W 1003 MB. WITHIN 11N99W TO 11N100W TO 09N100W TO
09N100W TO 09N99W TO 11N99W S WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N98W TO 14N103W TO 11N104W TO 08N102W TO
07N97W TO 10N96W TO 15N98W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...INVEST EP98...POSSIBLE TRPCL
CYCLONE...NEAR 12N106W 999 MB. WITHIN 14N103W TO 14N105W TO
12N106W TO 11N105W TO 11N104W TO 12N103W TO 14N103W WINDS 45 TO
55 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N102W TO 16N106W TO
12N108W TO 10N106W TO 10N103W TO 12N101W TO 16N102W SE WINDS 35
TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N98W TO
17N102W TO 17N107W TO 15N109W TO 09N107W TO 07N100W TO 15N98W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 30N117W TO 30N123W TO 27N122W TO 24N117W TO 27N115W TO
30N117W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M..
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02N108W TO 03N112W TO 02N120W TO
00N123W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S107W TO 02N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0315 UTC FRI JUL 24...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150
NM E SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT.
.LOW PRES NEAR 09N97W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM
06N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W AND FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 103W
AND 105W.
.AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N
BETWEEN 119W AND 123W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 10N90W TO LOW
PRES...INVEST EP98...NEAR 09N97W TO 08N107W AND TO 09N116W.
IT RESUMES SW OF FAUSTO NEAR 11N139W TO BEYOND THE AREA.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE
TROUGH BETWEEN 78W AND 85W.
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUL 24 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 25 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUL 26 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N178W 27N179W MOVING NW 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS
WITHIN 210 NM E OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED NW OF AREA.
.LOW 09N171W 1008 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 1007 MB 09N170W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 10N152W 1009 MB.
.WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 165W AND 155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 15N TO 25N BETWEEN 175W
AND 155W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 18N TO 25N E OF 145W.
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 173W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 167W AND 160W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 172W
AND 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M E OF LINE 30N140W 20N148W
15N145W 10N140W.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 05N180W 05N175W 10N170W 11N165W...AND 15N164W
08N152W 12N145W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 05N TO 13N
BETWEEN 175W AND 167W...AND FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 167W AND
160W...AND FROM 05N TO 15N BETWEEN 155W AND 140W.
$$
.FORECASTER PECHACEK. HONOLULU HI.=