TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
0900 UTC WED JUL 01 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 126.9W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 126.9W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 126.8W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.2N 127.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.3N 127.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.4N 127.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.4N 127.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 128.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 129.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.3N 132.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 126.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KELLY=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC WED JUL 01 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 03.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 33N TO 52N BETWEEN 121W AND 131W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 33N TO 52N BETWEEN 121W AND 131W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 44N BETWEEN 122W AND 129W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 44N BETWEEN 122W AND 129W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 55N180W 1002 MB MOVING NE 20 KT FOR 24 HOURS THEN TURNING
SE. W OF A LINE FROM 60N170W TO 56N163W TO 45N170W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N168W 1007 MB. BETWEEN 300 NM AND 720 NM
S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N150W 1006 MB. WITHIN 600 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.LOW 56N163W 1008 MB MOVING SE 20 KT. WITHIN 780 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N150W 1012 MB. WITHIN 780 NM SE...AND 360
NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 61N164W 1006 MB. WITHIN 300 NM W
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 44N TO 57N
BETWEEN 172W AND 141W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 51N BETWEEN 168W AND
134W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 46N BETWEEN 180W AND
157W...AND N OF 62N W OF ALASKA.
.FORECASTER BYRD. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 3.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E NEAR 14.5N 126.9W 1005
MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 01 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 15N124W TO 19N126W TO
18N129W TO 15N130W TO 10N127W TO 10N124W TO 15N124W E TO SE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 3.5 M IN SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
15N126W TO 18N121W TO 20N140W TO 15N139W TO 12N131W TO 06N125W TO
15N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE AND S
SWELLS.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOUR-E NEAR 15.2N 127.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. WITHIN 15.5N126W TO
15.5N126.5W TO 15N127W TO 14.5N127W TO 14.5N126.5W TO 15N126W TO
15.5N126W S WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS NEAR 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
20N126W TO 18N129W TO 15N129W TO 12N127W TO 12N123W TO 15N122W TO
20N126W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 3.5 M. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 16N129W TO 19N121W TO 21N127W TO 18N140W TO
14N140W TO 09N128W TO 16N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN NE AND S SWELLS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOUR-E NEAR 16.3N 127.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M NEAR CENTER. WITHIN 19N121W TO
20N128W TO 18N130W TO 16N129W TO 16N125W TO 18N125W TO 19N121W NE
TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 3.5 M IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 19N121W TO 21N122W TO 22N130W TO 16N140W TO 13N134W TO
11N124W TO 19N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE
AND S SWELLS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E NEAR 18.4N 127.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M NEAR
AND UP TO 120 NM N OF CENTER. WITHIN 22N125W TO 23N128W TO
21N130W TO 18N131W TO 16N126W TO 22N125W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 3.5 M IN N TO NE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N123W TO 24N131W TO 20N136W TO 15N133W TO 14N129W TO 19N121W TO
23N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N AND S
SWELLS.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 11N87W TO 12N89W TO 10N90W TO 09N89W TO 09N88W TO 10N86W
TO 11N87W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS NEAR 2.5 M IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N87W TO 12N88W TO 11N91W TO 10N90W TO
11N87W TO 12N87W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS NEAR
2.5 M IN N AND S SWELLS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 02S89W TO 02S100W TO 03S100W TO 03S96W TO 03S88W TO
02S89W...
INCLUDING WATERS SW TO SE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02.5S88.5W TO 02.5S89.5W TO 03S90W TO
03.4S90W TO 03.4S88W TO 02.5S88.5W...INCLUDING WATERS S OF
GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.33 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N133W TO 01N135W TO 01N137W TO 01N140W
TO 00N140W TO 00N133W TO 00N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN E TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.39 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N98W TO 09N101W TO 08N102W TO 07N102W
TO 06N101W TO 06N99W TO 08N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS NEAR
2.5 M IN E AND SW SWELLS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0600 UTC WED JUL 1...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 10N85W TO 05N102W TO
TD 4E TO 07N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG FROM 01N
TO 09N E OF 90W...AND FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 123W AND 132W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W
AND 121W.
.FORECASTER CHAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 01 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 02 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 03 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 23N161W 19N157W MOVING W 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 23N168W 19N167W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.TROUGH 08N166W 02N166W MOVING W 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 07N171W 03N171W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 11N172W 04N171W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 27N TO 23N BETWEEN
161W AND 166W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS LOWERED TO 2.5 M OR LESS.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS ELSEWHERE OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 07N140W 04N148W 03N163W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN
120 NM OF ITCZ.
.SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 28N TO 22N BETWEEN 166W AND 178W.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF A POINT 14N173W.
$$
.FORECASTER THOMAS. HONOLULU HI.=