TCMCP4
HURRICANE LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC TUE SEP 08 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 160.7W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 55SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......110NE 90SE 80SW 130NW.
34 KT.......190NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.
4 M SEAS....330NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 160.7W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 160.7W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.8N 160.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 90SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 27.7N 161.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 70SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 28.6N 164.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 80SE 40SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.6N 166.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 20SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 28.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.0N 170.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 29.3N 171.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 32.5N 174.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 160.7W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 PHFO/HFOTCPCP4...AT 08/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TCMEP3
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132026
1500 UTC TUE SEP 08 2026
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 127.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 127.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 127.1W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 26.8N 128.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 28.7N 129.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 31.2N 131.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 127.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER EVANS/KELLY=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC TUE SEP 08 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 10.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 59N157W 1005 MB MOVING E 15 KT. WITHIN 540 NM S AND SE
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 59N142W 1009 MB. WITHIN 420 NM W AND
360 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. FROM 53N TO 59N BETWEEN 153W
AND 156W AREA OF NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 40N172W 1015 MB DRIFTING NW. WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N176W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180
NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N180W 1020 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 56N162E 990 MB. N OF 50N W OF
176E AREA OF S WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW W OF AREA 65N171E 990 MB. W OF A
LINE FROM 52N177W TO 64N163W AREA OF S TO SW WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 7 M...HIGHEST W AND NW.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 30N TO 34N BETWEEN 123W AND 133W AREA OF NE TO E WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 35N BETWEEN 124W AND 136W AREA OF
NE TO E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M...HIGHEST NEAR 31N129W.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE NEAR 31N131W 1008
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS TO 35 KT. FROM 30N TO
36N BETWEEN 125W AND 137W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE DISSIPATED. FROM
32N TO 38N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W AREA OF E TO NE WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 3 M.
.FROM 37N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 127W AREA OF N WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 35N TO 45N BETWEEN 125W AND 146W AREA OF
N TO NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 33N TO 40N BETWEEN 133W AND 155W AREA OF
NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM E
AND NE OF A LINE FROM 59N140W TO 54N133W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG W OF A LINE FROM 54N176E TO 61N179W.
.FORECASTER ROWLAND. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 8.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 9.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 10.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE NEAR 25.8N 127.4W 1000 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 08 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM
E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND
120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 28N123W
TO 30N128W TO 27N133W TO 24N129W TO 25N124W TO 28N123W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N123W TO
30N140W TO 24N140W TO 19N127W TO 22N122W TO 30N123W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 26.8N
128.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 28.7N
129.4W. WITHIN 30N125W TO 30N132W TO 29N130W TO 27N128W TO
27N126W TO 30N125W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N125W TO 30N140W TO 24N140W TO 25N136W TO
25N130W TO 27N125W TO 30N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN E SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 31.2N
131.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...LOW PRESSURE DISSIPATED. WITHIN 30N133W TO
30N139W TO 29N137W TO 29N135W TO 30N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN E SWELL.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 12N86W TO 12N87W TO 12N89W TO 11N90W TO 10N88W TO 11N86W
TO 12N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 00N113W TO 00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S110W TO 00N113W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S98W TO 01N109W TO 00N125W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S95W TO 01S98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE SEP 8...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 10N85W TO 08N100W TO 1007 MB LOW
PRESSURE NEAR 15N112W...AND TO BEYOND 10N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 85W AND 105W.
SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W TO 115W...AND FROM 10N TO
15N BETWEEN 122W AND 129W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 08 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 09 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 10 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LOWELL NEAR 23.7N 160.7W 967 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 08
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 190 NM NE
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 200 NM
NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 34 KT ELSEWHERE FROM N OF 18N BETWEEN
165W AND 157W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 12 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE DESCRIBED BELOW. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS FROM 27N TO 22N BETWEEN 163W AND 156W.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 25.8N 160.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 27.7N 161.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 170 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 34 KT ELSEWHERE
N OF 25N BETWEEN 165W AND 153W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
N OF 23N BETWEEN 168W AND 153W WITH SEAS TO 9 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M
ELSEWHERE DESCRIBED BELOW.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 28.6N 166.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 34 KT ELSEWHERE
N OF 24N BETWEEN 166W AND 153W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
N OF 26N BETWEEN 171W AND 159W WITH SEAS TO 7 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M
ELSEWHERE DESCRIBED BELOW.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.LOW NEAR 24N153W 1008 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. TROUGH FROM 28N150W TO
LOW TO 23N150W MOVING NW 10 KT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT N OF 23N
BETWEEN 157W AND 147W. SEAS DESCRIBED BELOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND TROUGH WEAKENED AND ABSORBED INTO
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL.
.TROUGH 30N166W 25N166W MOVING NNW 15 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS N OF 28N BETWEEN TROUGH AND 165W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED N OF AREA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 13N142W 04N154W.
.WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 09N TO 03N BETWEEN 178W AND 164W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED TO 20 KT OR LESS.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF 05N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF 14N E OF 173W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF LINE 28N180W 22N168W
25N155W 30N148W.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 08N140W 09N144W 07N147W...AND 15N169W 12N174W
12N180W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 11N TO 05N E OF 147W...AND
FROM 09N TO 02N W OF 170W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS S OF 02N BETWEEN 169W AND
161W...AND S OF 05N E OF 142W.
$$
.FORECASTER TROTTER. HONOLULU HI.=