TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC WED NOV 11 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 166.7W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 30SE 60SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 166.7W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 166.3W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 10.0N 168.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 10.2N 171.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 10.6N 174.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 11.0N 177.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 11.4N 179.5E
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 166.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC WED NOV 11 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC NOV 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 13.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW W OF AREA NEAR 47N174E 987 MB MOVING NE 40 KT WHILE RAPIDLY
INTENSIFYING. WITHIN 540 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 3.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N176W 975 MB. WITHIN 540 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 7 M.
.24 HOUR LOW 52N163W 962 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 240 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420
NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS
5 TO 10 M...EXCEPT NW QUADRANT 2.5 TO 5 M. ALSO WITHIN 720 NM
NW...240 NM NE...960 NM SE AND 1080 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M...EXCEPT 3 TO 6 M IN N SEMICIRCLE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N140W 961 MB. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 600 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND WITHIN 120 NM NE AND E OF A COLD FRONT FROM
51N140W TO 48N135W TO 43N134W TO 39N136W WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS
8 TO 15 M...EXCEPT 3.5 TO 7 M NE AND E OF THE COLD FRONT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1020 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 660 NM NW AND 420 NM
NE QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M...EXCEPT 5 TO 10
M IN SW QUADRANT. ALSO WITHIN 1200 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 50N139W 972 MB MOVING NE 20 KT
THEN TURNING NW AFTER 12 HOURS. WITHIN 420 NM NE...720 NM SE AND
1320 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM NW...840 NM SE AND 1320 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M. ALSO WITHIN 1140 NM SE...1620 NM SW AND
1200 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N143W 976 MB. WITHIN 480 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 57N141W 972 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 4 TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW...360 NM SW AND 180
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND ASSOCIATED CONDITONS
DIMISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N179E 986 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 660
NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M...HIGHEST IN SE
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM NE AND 780 NM SE QUADRANTS
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 35N134W 1008 MB. WITHIN 360 NM OF LOW
CENTER EXCEPT 780 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.5 M...EXCEPT 3 TO 6 M IN SW QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N125W 1006 MB. WITHIN 360 NM OF LOW
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM
FROM 57N TO 61N BETWEEN 147W AND 153W AND FROM 56N TO 59N
BETWEEN 165W AND 171W AND FROM 49N TO 55N BETWEEN 153W AND 169W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 49N W OF 168W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY FROM 61N TO 65N W OF 172W
.FORECASTER HOLLEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU NOV 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI NOV 13.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 23N111W TO 30N118W TO 30N140W TO 00N140W TO 10N130W TO
12N120W TO 23N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N119W TO 30N118W TO 25N140W TO
00N140W TO 00N133W TO 10N128W TO 19N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N118W TO 23N119W TO 19N140W TO
00N140W TO 00N132W TO 05N131W TO 18N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 03N103W TO 11N109W TO 11N115W TO 00N133W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S92W TO 03N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW
TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT W OF AREA. WITHIN 30N133W TO
30N140W TO 27N140W TO 27N138W TO 30N133W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN W TO NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N135W TO 26N140W. WITHIN 30N130W
TO 30N140W TO 25N140W TO 26N135W TO 30N130W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N122W TO 21N140W. WITHIN 30N124W
TO 30N136W TO 28N134W TO 29N130W TO 27N128W TO 29N124W TO 30N124W
NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
30N119W TO 30N140W TO 18N140W TO 23N122W TO 30N119W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC WED NOV 11...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 06N91W. ITCZ FROM 06N91W TO
09N132W. SCATTERED MODERATE S OF 15N W OF 105W.
$$
.FORECASTER DELGADO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC NOV 11 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 12 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC NOV 13 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 10.5N 166.0W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV
11 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 25N
BETWEEN 160W AND 170W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO
25N BETWEEN 160W AND 170W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS UP TO 225 NM N
AND E OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 10.4N 169.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 24N W OF 167W.
SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 169W AND 175W WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE N OF 07N W OF 168W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.2N 176.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 170W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE
FROM 04N TO 26N W OF 170W. .
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COLD FRONT 30N151W TO 27N163W...THEN WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT
TO 26N173W TO 26N180W. COLD FRONT MOVING SE 10 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.5 M N OF COLD FRONT...AND 3 TO 4 M N OF STATIONARY FRONT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 25N140W TO 23N155W TO 23N168W...
STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATED. N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT N OF
FRONT E OF 146W. NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT UP TO 115 NM N OF
FRONT W OF 146W. N OF FRONT...SEAS 4 TO 6 M E OF 160W...AND 2.5
TO 4 M W OF 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 20N140W TO 20N155W TO 18N170W. NE TO
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT UP TO 350 NM N OF FRONT. N OF FRONT...SEAS
3.5 TO 4.5 M E OF 150W...AND 2.5 TO 3.5 M W OF 150W.
.NEW LOW NEAR 05N139W 1007 MB MOVING W SLOWLY. SCATTERED MODERATE
TSTMS FROM 05N TO 09N E OF 142W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 02N143W 1007 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 06N145W 1007 MB.
.LOW NEAR 05N177W 1011 MB WITH TROUGH FROM LOW TO 06N180W...BOTH
NEARLY STATIONARY
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 06N174W 1011 MB WITH TROUGH FROM LOW
TO 08N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 04N178W 1011 MB WITH TROUGH FROM LOW
TO 04N180W.
.NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 150W AND
170W...AND FROM 12N TO 24N W OF 170W.
.24 HR FORECAST NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 12N TO 22N BETWEEN
140W AND 160W. ENE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 11N TO 18N W OF 167W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NE TO ENE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 09N TO 19N W
OF 170W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M FROM 10N TO COLD 26N BETWEEN 140W AND
160W...AND FROM 06N TO 26N W OF 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 07N TO 23N E OF 150W. SEAS
3 TO 4 M FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 160W AND 170W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M FROM 08N TO 18N BETWEEN 140W
AND 170W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA UNLESS OTHERWISE DESCRIBED IN TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ABOVE.
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM LOW NEAR 05N139W TO 04N150W TO 07N162W TO
LOW NEAR 05N177W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 00N TO 08N E OF
145W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=