TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
2100 UTC THU JUL 02 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....100NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 127.3W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.8N 127.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.0N 128.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.0N 128.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.8N 129.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.6N 130.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.4N 132.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 127.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC THU JUL 02 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 04.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST W OF AREA NEAR 50N177E 1004 MB. FROM
50N TO 56N W OF 172W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 300 NM SE AND S OF A LINE FROM 50N172W TO 45N180W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 57N158W 1005 MB MOVING E 20 KT. FROM 49N TO 55N BETWEEN 150W
AND 171W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 43N TO 55N
BETWEEN 150W AND 176W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N142W 1008 MB. FROM 44N TO 56N BETWEEN
134W AND 165W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST 53N130W 1017 MB. FROM 45N TO 54N BETWEEN 131W
AND 147W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.FROM 36N TO 43N E OF 128W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 3 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 42N BETWEEN 121W AND 131W WINDS LESS THAN
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 35N TO 43N E OF 129W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 36N TO 43N E OF 128W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.S OF 34N BETWEEN 146W AND 171W AREA OF NE TO E WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 33N BETWEEN 152W AND 174W AREA OF NE TO E
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 33N BETWEEN 156W AND 173W AREA OF NE TO E
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.LOW 62N172W 1009 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. N AND NW OF A LINE FROM
56N178W TO 65N166W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW JUST INLAND NEAR
62N163W 1008 MB. N OF 59N BETWEEN 164W AND 175W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N160W 1016 MB. FROM 45N TO 50N BETWEEN
154W AND 164W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 240 NM N OF A
LINE FROM 41N180W TO 44N157W TO 45N152W TO 44N139W AND N OF 63N W
OF 163W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 49N W OF 158W AND WITHIN
90 NM OF 62N171W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 51N W OF 155W.
.FORECASTER JOSEPH. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 4.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS NEAR 18.0N 127.4W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 02 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 4 M WITHIN 75 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 21N123W TO 22N129W TO 19N131W TO 17N129W TO 17N126W TO
19N126W TO 21N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M IN SE
SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N122W TO 24N126W TO 23N134W TO
15N137W TO 11N129W TO 12N125W TO 22N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 20.0N
128.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 24N127W
TO 24N129W TO 21N131W TO 21N129W TO 19N128W TO 21N127W TO
24N127W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 3.5 M IN N SWELL.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N122W TO 28N131W TO 27N135W TO 19N137W TO
15N136W TO 14N131W TO 22N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 21.8N
129.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 24N129W
TO 25N130W TO 25N131W TO 23N133W TO 22N132W TO 24N129W NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 3.5 M IN N TO NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
26N127W TO 27N136W TO 22N137W TO 17N135W TO 18N131W TO 22N127W
TO 26N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N TO NE
SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 10.5N87W TO 10.5N87.5W TO 10.5N88.5W TO 10N88.5W TO
09.5N88W TO 10N87W TO 10.5N87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 2.5 M IN NE TO E SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N87W TO 10N88W TO
10N90W TO 09N89W TO 09N88W TO 10N87W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 M IN NE TO E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10.5N90W TO 10.5N91W TO 10.5N91.5W TO
10.5N92.5W TO 10N92W TO 10N90.5W TO 10.5N90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 M IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 09N95W TO 09N95W TO 09N97W TO 08N97W TO 08N96W TO 08N95W
TO 09N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MERGING E AND SW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N94W TO 10N95W TO 10N96W TO 09N96W TO
09N95W TO 09N94W TO 10N94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN
MERGING E AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N106W TO 11N108W TO 10N111W TO
10N107W TO 10N106W TO 11N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN
MERGING E AND SW SWELL.
.WITHIN 02S98W TO 00N101W TO 02S104W TO 03.4S105W TO 03.4S99W TO
03S94W TO 02S98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MIXED SE AND
SW SWELL. WITHIN 01N139.5W TO 01N140W TO 00N140W TO 00N139W TO
01N139.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S98W TO 02S103W TO 00N104W TO 01S108W
TO 03.4S110W TO 03S98W TO 02S98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M
IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S104W TO 01N107W TO 01S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S106W TO 03S99W TO 01S104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2000 UTC THU JUL 2...
.TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG
FROM 17.5N TO 20.5N BETWEEN 126W AND 129W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N76W TO 05.5N79W TO 09.5N86W TO 05.5N98W
TO 08N104W TO 04N111W THEN RESUMES S OF DOUGLAS FROM 13.5N127W
TO 08.5N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 04.5N
TO 11N BETWEEN 79W AND 91W AND FROM 01N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 91W AND
103W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 00N TO
09N BETWEEN 103W AND 116W AND WITHIN 300 NM S OF LINE FROM
19N119W TO 18N122W TO 11.5N128W TO 09N137W.
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 02 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 03 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 04 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N171W 27N176W 22N180W MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE
TSTMS WITHIN 240 NM OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA.
.TROUGH 26N169W 21N172W MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS
FROM 27N TO 21N BETWEEN 174W AND 166W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 16N178W 10N180W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 26N BETWEEN 165W AND 150W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 25N BETWEEN 171W AND 156W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS LOWERED TO 2.5 M OR LOWER.
.ITCZ 07N140W 04N154W 04N163W 06N171W 06N180W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TSTMS S OF 06N BETWEEN 161W AND 147W...AND S OF 09N BETWEEN 177W
AND 163W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 15N TO 09N BETWEEN 175W AND 161W.
$$
.FORECASTER TROTTER. HONOLULU HI.=