TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142026
0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 135.3W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 20SE 30SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 135.3W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 134.6W
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.5N 137.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 20SE 30SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 139.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.4N 142.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.6N 145.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 135.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/GIBBS=
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152026
0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.3W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.3W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 117.9W
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.8N 119.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.5N 121.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.3N 123.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.0N 125.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.7N 128.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.4N 130.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 15.5N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 118.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC MON SEP 14 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 16.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 32N175W 1003 MB MOVING NW 05 KT. WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...EXTENDING OUT TO 300 NM E AND 360 NM NE QUADRANTS
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 33N176W 1004 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 360 NM
N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 TO 4 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM NW SEMICIRCLE...AND FROM 31N TO 36N
BETWEEN 170W AND 173W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 30N177W 1006 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 360 NM
NW QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
360 NM W OF A LINE FROM 30N179W TO 40N172W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 49N176W 1009 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. FROM 40N TO 53N BETWEEN
165W AND 176W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N170W 996 MB. FROM 51N TO 60N BETWEEN
160W AND 168W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE FROM
58N TO 63N BETWEEN 165W AND 173W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 63N164W 987 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE N OF
59N BETWEEN 157W AND 172W...ALSO WITHIN 240 NM E OF A LINE FROM
59N151W TO 51N155W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 35N141W 1019 MB MOVING W 10 KT. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 50N126W 1011 MB MOVING SE 05 KT. FROM 50N TO 56N BETWEEN
130W AND 135W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 118W AND 125W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 43N BETWEEN 121W AND 127W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 35N TO 53N BETWEEN 123W AND 133W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.FROM 55N TO 58N BETWEEN 149W AND 154W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 55N TO 58N BETWEEN 149W AND 158W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH LOW 63N164W DESCRIBED
IN WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 300 NM W AND
NW OF A LINE FROM 42N173W TO 50N171W TO 58N158W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM W OF A LINE FROM
61N166W TO 50N166W TO 37N172W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM W AND NW OF A LINE
FROM 46N160W TO 54N153W.
.FORECASTER SHAW. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 16.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 19.2N 135.3W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC
SEP 14 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM
NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN
22N130W TO 25N133W TO 22N139W TO 18N138W TO 16N134W TO 18N131W
TO 22N130W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 20.0N 139.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N133W TO 25N135W TO 26N140W TO
18N140W TO 20N134W TO 23N133W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NORBERT W OF AREA
NEAR
20.6N 145.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W WITHIN 22N133W TO 26N140W TO 19N140W TO
18N138W TO 22N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE
TO E SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 17.0N 118.3W 1006 MB AT 0300
UTC SEP 14 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N116W TO 19N118W TO
18N119W TO 17N118W TO 17N116W TO 19N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.8N 119.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N 121.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N118W TO 20N120W TO 19N123W TO
17N123W TO 15N121W TO 15N118W TO 19N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.0N
125.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 20N120W TO 22N124W TO 20N128W TO 15N126W TO 16N123W TO
16N119W TO 20N120W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N88W TO 12N89W TO 11N89W TO 10N87W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 16.5N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO 14.5N95.5W TO
14.5N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 16.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 01N106W TO 00N114W TO 02N129W TO 00N132W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S95W TO 01N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03N99W TO 05N103W TO 00N119W TO
03.4S120W TO 03S95W TO 03N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119W TO 30N124W TO 29N123W TO
29N121W TO 30N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC MON SEP 14...
.T.S. NORBERT...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90
NM IN THE NE QUADRANT OF NORBERT...AND SCATTERED MODERATE
WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT.
.T.D. FIFTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 90 NM IN THE SE QUADRANT...AND SCATTERED MODERATE
WITHIN 240 NM ELSEWHERE IN THE SE SEMICIRCLE.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 06N100W TO 08N115W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN
85W AND 105W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SEP 14 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 15 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 16 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 19.2N 135.3W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC
SEP 14 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM
NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE
FROM 23N TO 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 20.0N 139.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 24N TO 17N BETWEEN 135W AND 142W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NORBERT NEAR 20.6N
145.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 3 M FROM 24N TO 18N E OF 145W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.LOW NEAR 11N147W 1006 MB MOVING W 10 KT. TROUGH FROM 28N142W
TO 15N152W TO LOW MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM
12N TO 03N BETWEEN 145W AND 151W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 11N148W 1007 MB. TROUGH FROM 30N148W
TO 15N156W TO LOW.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 10N154W 1007 MB. TROUGH 15N147W TO LOW.
.LOW NEAR 13N143W 1006 MB MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS
WITHIN 120 NM OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 12N147W 1006 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW MERGED WITH LOW DESCRIBED ABOVE.
.LOW NEAR 08N177W 1008 MB MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
TSTMS S OF 13N W OF 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED W OF AREA.
.FRONT 30N170W 25N173W THENCE TROUGH 23N180W NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT WEAKENED TO TROUGH 30N171W 23N175W
21N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N172W 22N180W.
.TROUGH 30N151W 25N152W MOVING W SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER REMAINDER OF
FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 12N140W 12N143W 11N147W 06N149W 06N158W 10N162W
09N174W 07N180W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS 360 NM S OF TROUGH.
$$
.FORECASTER FOSTER. HONOLULU HI.=