TCMCP4
HURRICANE LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC FRI SEP 04 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 160.1W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 80SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 160.1W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 159.8W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.2N 161.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.4N 162.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.8N 163.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.5N 163.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.7N 163.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.4N 163.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 22.2N 162.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 120NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 26.8N 163.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 160.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
TCMEP1
HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112026
1500 UTC FRI SEP 04 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 140.4W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 90SE 80SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 140.4W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 139.9W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.7N 141.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.4N 142.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 143.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.8N 144.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.4N 146.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.9N 148.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 140.4W
FUTURE INFORMATION ON KARINA CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES
ISSUED UNDER CENTRAL PACIFIC HEADERS...UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP5
...WMO HEADER WTPA25 PHFO.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER EVANS/ADAMS=
TCMEP3
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132026
1500 UTC FRI SEP 04 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 117.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 117.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.7N 119.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 120.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.3N 121.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.2N 122.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.9N 122.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.5N 123.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.9N 126.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 28.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER ADAMS=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC FRI SEP 04 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 06.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N179W 996 MB. FROM 44N TO 47N W OF 176W
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 42N TO 48N W OF
174W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N164W 1004 MB. FROM 45N TO 51N BETWEEN
158W AND 170W...ALSO WITHIN 120 NM E OF A LINE FROM 53N155W TO
46N157W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 65N168W 1002 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. N OF 65N W OF
ALASKA...ALSO WITHIN 240 NM E OF A FRONT FROM 59N163W TO 50N164W
TO 44N166W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. FROM 54N TO 59N BETWEEN 150W
AND 154W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 58N178E 989 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. FROM 47N TO 60N W OF 172W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N176E 995 MB. FROM 54N TO 58N BETWEEN
165W AND 170W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N177E 999 MB. FORECAST CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.LOW 45N126W 1005 MB MOVING S 05 KT. FROM 43N TO 46N BETWEEN
125W AND 130W...ALSO FROM 47N TO 55N BETWEEN 132W AND 137W WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N125W 1013 MB. FROM 52N TO 56N BETWEEN
132W AND 136W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 47N TO 60N
BETWEEN 157W AND 166W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 47N TO 50N BETWEEN 156W AND
160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 49N TO 54N BETWEEN 150W AND
160W.
.FORECASTER SHAW. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 6.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 20.4N 139.3W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 04
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...300 NM NW
QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 23N135W TO 26N140W TO 20N140W TO 18N138W TO 20N136W TO
23N135W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N132W TO 25N133W TO 28N140W TO 13N140W TO 15N135W TO 23N132W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA W OF AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM
N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N139W TO 25N140W TO 20N140W TO 21N139W TO
22N139W TO 24N139W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N137W TO 27N140W TO 22N139W TO 20N140W
TO 16N140W TO 21N136W TO 25N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA WELL W OF AREA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA WELL W OF AREA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
25N139W TO 27N139W TO 29N140W TO 19N140W TO 21N139W TO 25N139W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN E SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.9N 117.1W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 04
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE...330 NM NE QUADRANT AND
300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 12.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N113W
TO 25N120W TO 19N121W TO 16N118W TO 16N114W TO 20N111W TO 23N113W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N108W TO 30N117W TO 24N125W TO 19N125W TO 12N118W TO 12N113W TO
23N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 21.0N 119.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 330
NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N114W TO
25N121W TO 23N125W TO 19N123W TO 17N119W TO 18N116W TO 22N114W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
23N110W TO 30N117W TO 25N123W TO 30N129W TO 19N130W TO 11N117W TO
23N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 22.7N 121.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM N SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM
SE QUADRANT...270 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 11.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N117W TO 27N124W TO 22N128W TO
20N126W TO 18N121W TO 20N118W TO 24N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
24N112W TO 24N127W TO 30N135W TO 21N139W TO 13N131W TO 12N119W TO
24N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC FRI SEP 4...
.HURRICANE KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 19N
TO 22N W OF 137W.
.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N TO
23N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 09N109W...FROM 13N121W TO 13N135W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 12N E OF 115W.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 15N W OF 113W.
$$
.FORECASTER DELGADO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 04 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 05 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 06 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LOWELL NEAR 13.4N 159.6W 947 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 04
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS
135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90
NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 34 KT ELSEWHERE
FROM 18N TO 11N BETWEEN 162W AND 154W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
300 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4
M ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 06N BETWEEN 166W AND 151W. ISOLATED
MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG TSTMS FROM 16N TO 11N BETWEEN 163W AND
157W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LOWELL NEAR 13.5N 161.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 34 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 06N BETWEEN 166W
AND 156W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 18N TO 10N BETWEEN 165W AND
157W WITH SEAS TO 10 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FORM 25N TO 04N
BETWEEN 173W AND 153W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LOWELL NEAR 14.3N 163.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 34 KT ELSEWHERE
FROM 19N TO 10N BETWEEN 169W AND 159W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM
19N TO 09N BETWEEN 168W AND 159W WITH SEAS TO 10.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO
4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 27N TO 02N BETWEEN 178W AND 154W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 20.4N 139.3W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 04
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO
34 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 26N TO 18N E OF 145W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4
M ELSEWHERE N OF 08N E OF 152W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 21N
TO 19N E OF 142W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 21.3N 142.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 34
KT ELSEWHERE FROM 25N TO 18N E OF 146W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM
24N TO 18N E OF 147W WITH SEAS TO 9 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE N
OF 11N E OF 153W.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 21.9N 143.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 22.5N 144.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 34 KT ELSEWHERE
FROM 28N TO 20N E OF 148W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 25N TO 19N
BETWEEN 147W AND 141W WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M
ELSEWHERE N OF 13N E OF 154W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.TROUGH 25N162W 23N167W 20N170W MOVING W 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 25N TO 19N BETWEEN 175W
AND 161W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 12N142W 10N147W 12N154W...AND 11N163W 08N171W
09N180W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 12N TO 01N E OF 163...S
OF 06N W OF 166W...AND FROM 14N TO 12N BETWEEN 155W AND 148W.
$$
.FORECASTER TROTTER. HONOLULU HI.=