TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026
1500 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 124.6W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 124.6W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 124.9W
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.4N 123.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.1N 121.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 28.5N 118.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 70SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.3N 116.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 38.1N 114.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 124.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 09/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KELLY=
TCMEP5
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
1500 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.7W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.7W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 104.5W
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.5N 104.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.2N 104.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.2N 105.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.4N 105.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.7N 105.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.9N 105.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 0SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 23.6N 106.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 24.9N 106.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 104.7W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 09/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
FROM OCTOBER 15 TO APRIL 1, DUE TO THE CLIMATOLOGY OF THE NORTH
PACIFIC AND THE FREQUENCY AND VOLUME OF WEATHER HAZARDS, ALONG
WITH CUSTOMER FEEDBACK, HIGH SEAS FORECASTS WILL BE LIMITED TO
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND HIGHER, AND SEAS OF 4 METERS OR
GREATER, ALONG WITH FREEZING SPRAY, DENSE FOG, VOLCANIC ASH, AND
ANYTHING TROPICAL (INCLUDING A DEPRESSION). LESSER CONDITIONS
WILL BE INCLUDED FOR WARNING CONDITIONS AND TO PRESERVE
CONTINUITY WHERE APPROPRIATE.
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC OCT 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 11.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER W OF AREA 59N169W 959 MB MOVING SE
10 KT AND WILL TURN NE AFTER 12 HOURS. WITHIN 540 NM SE QUADRANT
AREA OF S TO SW WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9.5 M. ALSO WITHIN
840 NM NE AND 720 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7
M...EXCEPT 6 TO 10 M WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT. AND WITHIN 960
NM E AND 1080 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1080 NM E AND 1200 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N179E 971 MB. WITHIN 900 NM S QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M. ALSO WITHIN 540 NM NE...960 NM
E...AND 1080 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM NE...1020 NM E...AND 1140 NM S QUADRANTS
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M...HIGHEST E AND S QUADRANTS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 62N175W 979 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE...900 NM
SE...AND 1200 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 31N167W 1001 MB MOVING SW 10 KT AND WILL TURN S AFTER 12
HOURS. WITHIN 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AREA OF N TO NE WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 40N BETWEEN 151W AND 178W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW S OF AREA 28N169W 1007 MB. S OF 39N W OF
154W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW S OF AREA 28N169W 1010 MB. S OF 38N W OF
158W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 34N TO 43N BETWEEN 124W AND 134W AREA OF NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 34N BETWEEN 124W AND
135W AREA OF N WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 42N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W AREA OF
N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 42N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W AREA OF
N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT AS
DESCRIBED WITH LOW 40N135W BELOW...S OF 45N BETWEEN 123W AND
139W AREA OF N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 41N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W AREA OF
NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT
AS DESCRIBED WITH LOW 31N133W BELOW...S OF 43N BETWEEN 120W AND
142W AREA OF N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 47N TO 54N BETWEEN 128W AND 133W AREA OF NW WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 45N TO 58N BETWEEN 127W
AND 140W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 45N TO 55N BETWEEN 124W AND 139W AREA OF
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 43N TO 51N BETWEEN 125W AND 136W AREA OF
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 60N153W 1000 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E AND
420 NM SE QUADRANTS AREA OF SE TO S WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 45N TO 60N BETWEEN 140W AND 152W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 42N TO 46N BETWEEN 150W AND 161W AREA OF NE TO E WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED WITH LOW 60N179E IN
WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE...WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 49N154W
TO 44N146W AREA OF SE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH LOW 60N153W IN
WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 40N135W 1020 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 31N133W 1014 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE AREA OF N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N164W 1014 MB. WITHIN 600 NM NE...720 NM
E...AND 420 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 60N153W IN
WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED WITH LOW 60N153W IN
WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE...WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 50N146W TO 38N160W AREA OF SW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED ABOVE...W OF A LINE FROM
30N157W TO 51N141W TO 60N143W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED ABOVE AND IN PART II
BELOW...S OF 32N E OF 120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM BETWEEN ALASKA AND
A LINE FROM 61N166W TO 66N169W TO 67N168W...S OF 34N BETWEEN
167W AND 171W...FROM 48N TO 52N BETWEEN 168W AND 171W...AND FROM
35N TO 50N E OF 125W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 65N W OF ALASKA...AND WITHIN AN
AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 43N161W TO 49N157W TO 45N148W TO
43N161W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG S OF 40N BETWEEN 158W AND
161W...WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 40N162W TO 54N147W
TO 47N143W TO 40N162W...AND FROM 57N TO 60N BETWEEN 143W AND
152W.
.FORECASTER FIGURSKEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 9.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 11.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 15.8N 104.5W 978 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 09
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N102W TO
18N102W TO 18N105W TO 16N106W TO 13N106W TO 14N103W TO 16N102W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
18N102W TO 19N105W TO 16N109W TO 13N107W TO 11N104W TO 14N100W TO
18N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 16.7N 104.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...AND
120 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N102W
TO 19N105W TO 19N107W TO 17N108W TO 15N106W TO 16N103W TO 18N102W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
17N100W TO 21N107W TO 19N112W TO 14N111W TO 11N104W TO 12N102W TO
17N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 18.6N 105.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N104W TO 19N106W TO 21N106W
TO 20N108W TO 18N107W TO 17N105W TO 19N104W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 17N101W TO 18N107W TO
23N108W TO 21N112W TO 15N112W TO 12N104W TO 17N101W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.7N 124.9W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
09 MOVING NE OR 045 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...90 NM NW QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM NW
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 24N123W TO 25N126W TO 24N129W TO 21N126W TO 21N124W TO
22N123W TO 24N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE.
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 30N124W TO 30N137W TO 22N139W TO 18N124W TO
21N120W TO 30N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 24.1N 122.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW QUADRANT...210 NM
SW SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N120W TO 26N124W TO 24N126W TO
22N126W TO 20N124W TO 21N121W TO 24N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 26N122W TO 30N128W TO 30N138W
TO 25N138W TO 20N133W TO 19N122W TO 26N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 30.8N 116.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 60
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N116W TO
30N120W TO 29N120W TO 28N117W TO 28N115W TO 29N114W TO 30N116W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
30N115W TO 30N140W TO 21N130W TO 17N120W TO 22N114W TO 30N115W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 02S115W TO 00N117W TO 00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S114W
TO 02S115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N118W TO 01N123W TO 00N124W TO
02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S111W TO 01N118W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N111W TO 01N113W TO 02N117W TO
00N121W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S110W TO 00N111W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC FRI OCT 9...
.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 13N
TO 17N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 111W.
.T.S. RACHEL...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 11N94W. IT RESUMES NEAR 14N129W TO
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 06N BETWEEN 84W
AND 96W...AND FROM 00N TO 07N BETWEEN 134W AND 140W.
$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC OCT 09 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 10 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 11 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 08N146W 1009 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 12N
TO 15N BETWEEN 143W AND 147W. SEE TSTMS IN MONSOON TROUGH SECTION.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N148W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM
12N TO 16N BETWEEN 147W AND 152W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N153W 1010 MB. WINDS EASED TO 20 KT
OR LESS.
.LOW 08N171W 1008 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M S OF 06N BETWEEN 165W AND 175W. SEE TSTMS IN MONSOON
TROUGH SECTION.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 09N173W 1009 MB. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M S OF 05N BETWEEN 162W AND 166W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WINDS EASED TO 20 KT OR LESS AND
SEAS LOWERED TO 2.5 M OR LESS.
.FRONT 30N161W 27N162W THENCE TROUGH 24N166W MOVING W SLOWLY.
WINDS
20 TO 25 KT N OF LINE 30N169W 21N180W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF LINE
30N153W 26N156W 23N170W 20N180W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS N OF 28N
BETWEEN 167W AND 171W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 28N169W 1007 MB. TROUGH 30N163W 26N164W
20N169W. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT N OF 26N BETWEEN 167W AND 176W. SEAS
2.5
TO 4 M N OF LINE 30N155W 27N160W 24N170W 22N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 28N168W 1010 MB. TROUGH 30N163W 26N163W
22N166W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 28N W OF 170W.
.TROUGH 28N157W 22N158W NEARLY STATIONARY. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF
24N BETWEEN 151W AND 157W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF
TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 28N
BETWEEN 155W AND 158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ASSOCIATED WINDS EASED TO 20 KT OR LESS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 22N161W 16N167W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF
FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 08N140W TO LOW AT 08N146W TO 05N150W TO 09N160W TO
LOW AT 08N171W TO 09N180W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS S OF TROUGH W
OF
154W...WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 160W AND 172W...AND WITHIN
210 NM N OF TROUGH E OF 147W.
$$
.FORECASTER WROE. HONOLULU HI.=