METAREA 12 bulletinset


HURRICANE ADVISORY
WTPZ24 KNHC 020831

TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026

0900 UTC THU JUL 02 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 127.1W AT 02/0900Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.

34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.

4 M SEAS....120NE 150SE 75SW 120NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 127.1W AT 02/0900Z

AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 127.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 127.3W

MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.0N 127.6W

MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.2N 128.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.2N 128.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.1N 129.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N 130.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 127.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER KELLY=


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FZPN02 KWBC 021125

HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

1145 UTC THU JUL 02 2026

CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE

MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE

THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).

SECURITE

PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT

TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 02.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 03.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 04.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 59N169W 1007 MB MOVING E 20 KT. FROM 45N TO 54N W OF 159W

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N150W 1006 MB. FROM 45N TO 55N BETWEEN

150W AND 168W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST 53N135W 1012 MB. FROM 48N TO 52N BETWEEN 133W

AND 150W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.FROM 31N TO 44N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 42N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W WINDS TO

25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 35N TO 43N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W WINDS 20

TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

.S OF 33N BETWEEN 152W AND 160W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 33N BETWEEN 149W AND 163W WINDS TO 25 KT.

SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST INLAND NEAR 62N164W 1006 MB. N OF 58N

BETWEEN 167W AND 176W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND NEAR 62N162W 1009 MB. N OF 59N

BETWEEN 165W AND 175W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 48N175E 1003 MB. WITHIN 300

NM N AND E QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N168W 1016 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE

SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 240 NM N AND

NW OF A LINE FROM 47N132W TO 46N140W TO 45N157W TO 40N172W TO

41N180W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 47N W OF 167W...AND N OF

63N BETWEEN 167W AND 171W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 50N W OF 159W.

.FORECASTER POCHE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 2.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 3.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 4.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS NEAR 17.0N 127.1W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC

JUL 02 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35

KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF

CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120

NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH

SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N121W TO 22N129W TO 18N134W TO

14N131W TO 12N124W TO 19N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5

M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS NEAR 19.0N

127.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M OR

GREATER WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH

SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N121W TO 24N125W TO 24N130W TO

21N134W TO 15N131W TO 14N124W TO 21N121W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30

KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 21.2N

128.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 25N126W

TO 26N131W TO 23N135W TO 18N133W TO 22N123W TO 25N126W NE TO E

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W TO

16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25

KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W

TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF

TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N88W TO 11N91W TO 09N90W TO 10N86W TO

11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25

KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 12N89W TO 10N89W

TO 10N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...

NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0920 UTC THU JUL 2...

.T.S. DOUGLAS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO

20N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE

FROM 07N TO 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 96W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG

FROM 01N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 105W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 04N97W TO 10N120W. THE

ITCZ EXTENDS WESTWARD FROM 07N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO

SCATTERED STRONG FROM 01N TO 12N EAST OF 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE

TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 00N TO 07N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W.

.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 02 2026.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 03 2026.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 04 2026.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROUGH 26N166W 23N176W 21N176W MOVING W 10 KT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT

FROM 27N TO 25N BETWEEN 177W AND 174W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS

FROM 27N TO 22N WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM

25N TO 22N BETWEEN 175W AND 170W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED 20 KT OR LESS.

.WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 22N TO 18N BETWEEN 160W AND 155W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED 20 KT OR LESS.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.

.SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS OVER ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.

.ITCZ 05N140W 04N144W 03N160W 03N169W 05N177W. ISOLATED MODERATE

TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF ITCZ.

.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 12N TO 07N BETWEEN 179W AND 169W.

$$

.FORECASTER PIERCE. HONOLULU HI.=