TCMCP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC THU NOV 12 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 172.0W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS....360NE 60SE 60SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 172.0W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 171.3W
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 9.9N 174.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 10.0N 177.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 10.2N 180.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 172.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/GIBBS
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC THU NOV 12 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC NOV 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 14.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST W OF AREA NEAR 42N176E 998 MB RAPIDLY
INTENSIFYING. FROM 42N TO 44N BETWEEN 180W AND 178W WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 4 M.
.21 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N174W 989 MB. FROM 42N TO 45N BETWEEN
177W AND 173W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N172W 984 MB. BETWEEN 60 NM AND 240 NM SW
AND S QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10.5 M. ELSEWHERE
FROM 39N TO 49N BETWEEN 179W AND 162W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3
TO 9 M...HIGHEST NEAR 43N175W. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY A LINE FROM 34N180W TO 39N167W TO 47N167W TO 47N180W TO
34N180W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N167W 972 MB. BETWEEN 60 NM AND 180 NM S
QUADRANT WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N146W 968 MB. BETWEEN 240 NM AND 600 NM
SW QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 4 TO 12.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR
42N154W. ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 50N BETWEEN 163W AND 140W...AND
FROM 50N TO THE ALASKA COAST BETWEEN 160W AND 152W...WINDS 30 TO
45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 12 M...HIGHEST NEAR 41N155W. ELSEWHERE FROM 33N
TO 50N BETWEEN 173W AND 140W...AND FROM 30N TO 33N BETWEEN 152W
AND 140W...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 M.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 51N154W 960 MB MOVING E 30 KT. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 420 NM S
AND SW QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT...WINDS 45 TO 60
KT. SEAS 5 TO 14.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 47N158W. ELSEWHERE FROM 37N
TO 54N BETWEEN 169W AND 143W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 12
M...HIGHEST WITHIN 420 NM SW QUADRANT OF LOW. ELSEWHERE FROM 37N
TO 52N BETWEEN 180W AND 168W...AND FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN 162W
AND 143W...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N137W 965 MB. WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 48N149W TO 43N142W TO 41N136W WINDS 45 TO 60 KT.
SEAS 7 TO 14.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 43N141W. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 34N151W TO 34N131W TO 41N124W TO 53N124W
TO 53N151W TO 34N151W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 12 M...HIGHEST
41N144W. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N141W
TO 30N124W TO 56N124W TO 56N151W TO 49N162W TO 35N162W TO 30N141W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER 54N139W 978 MB.
WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N140W TO 30N126W TO
36N121W TO 54N121W TO 54N140W TO 30N140W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
3 TO 9.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 40N129W...EXCEPT LESS THAN 4 M IN THE
HAIDA GWAII STRAIT N OF 52N.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 37N130W 1004 MB MOVING NE 30 KT THEN DISSIPATING. FROM 34N
TO 39N BETWEEN 133W AND 130W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N143W TO
30N128W TO 47N123W TO 55N133W TO 55N143W TO 30N143W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 6.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 31N137W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED IN STORM
WARNING ABOVE.
...GALE WARNING...
.INLAND LOW 60N150W 978 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. N OF 59N BETWEEN 150W
AND 148W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. 24 HOUR FORECAST VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM
WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 48N169W TO 46N160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 55N TO 57N W OF 179E.
.LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY NW OF A LINE FROM 60N178W TO 64N161W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY NW OF A LINE FROM 60N175W
TO 65N164W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.FORECASTER CONNELLY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 14.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COLD FRONT FROM 31N131W TO 24N140W. WITHIN 30N129W TO 30N140W
TO 28N140W TO 27N137W TO 29N134W TO 29N130W TO 30N129W NW WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N123W TO
30N140W TO 20N140W TO 24N130W TO 30N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N120W TO 21N130W
TO 20N140W. WITHIN 30N117W TO 30N140W TO 09N140W TO 13N124W TO
18N114W TO 30N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN NW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. REINFORCING COLD FRONT
FROM 30N124W TO 24N140W. WITHIN 29N115W TO 30N140W TO 06N140W TO
08N122W TO 19N111W TO 29N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
7.0 M IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 30N135W.
.WITHIN 26N117W TO 30N126W TO 23N140W TO 04N140W TO 13N125W TO
26N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED ABOVE.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 07N107W TO 12N106W TO 17N119W TO 00N140W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S91W TO 07N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N103W TO 11N113W TO 08N126W TO
00N133W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S90W TO 08N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN W SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N96W TO 08N103W TO 06N114W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S92W TO 04N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M
IN NW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 31N115W TO
30N114W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC THU NOV 12...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 06N95W. ITCZ FROM 08N103W TO
10N136W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF 08N E OF 87W...S
OF 15N W OF 101W.
.FORECASTER DELGADO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC NOV 12 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 13 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 14 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.AT 0300 UTC 12 NOV...TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 9.8N 169.9W 1002
MB MOVING W 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW CENTER.
SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT
OF LOW CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENA NEAR 10.0N 175.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M WITHIN 300 NM
N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PENA NEAR 10.3N 179.1E.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M WITHIN 270 NM
N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW CENTER.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FRONT FROM 24N140W TO 22N152W TO 26N169W MOVING SE 10 KT E OF
153W AND SLOWLY SSE W OF 153W. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT N OF FRONT E OF
147W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING FRONT BECOMING TROUGH FROM 20N140W
TO 18N145W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 60 NM N OF TROUGH.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.TROUGH FROM 06N140W TO 04N145W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS N OF TROUGH FROM 07N TO 10N E OF 146W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 08N141W 1008 MB. TROUGH FROM 08N140W TO
LOW TO 04N145W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WEAK TROUGH FROM 07N140W TO
04N145W.
.EXCEPT FOR WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. PENA AND FRONT...WINDS 20
TO 30 KT BETWEEN TWO LINES FROM 27N140W TO 23N180W AND 11N140W TO
11N175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT BETWEEN TWO LINES FROM
21N140W TO 20N154W TO 25N160W TO 16N180W AND 13N140W TO 10N163W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT BETWEEN TWO LINES FROM
19N140W TO 17N166W AND 12N142W TO 10N163W.
.SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M N OF LINE FROM 26N140W TO 30N150W. REMAINDER OF
AREA EXCEPT FOR SEAS DESCRIBED WITH T.S. PENA...SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N
OF 11N EXCEPT SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS N OF A LINE FROM 30N173W TO
27N180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF 10N EXCEPT SEAS 2.5 M OR
LESS N OF A LINE FROM 30N160W TO 23N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 4 TO 6 M N OF LINE FROM 26N140W TO
30N149W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE N OF 07N EXCEPT SEAS 2.5 M OR
LESS N OF A LINE 30N157W TO 19N180W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER THE
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30N154W TO
10N166W.
$$
.FORECASTER BLOOD. HONOLULU HI.=