TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC MON NOV 09 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 161.4W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 0SE 75SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 161.4W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 160.7W
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 11.5N 163.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 11.2N 165.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 11.1N 167.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 11.2N 170.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 11.6N 173.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.3N 176.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 13.7N 177.5E
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 14.6N 173.3E
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 161.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC MON NOV 09 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC NOV 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 11.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 55N143W 954 MB MOVING NW 20 K. WITHIN 240 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM NW AND N...AND OUT TO 180 NM E OF
FRONT FROM 56N148W TO 58N144W TO 55N136W TO 50N132W TO 48N130W
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 6 TO 12 M...HIGHEST SE SEMICIRCLE.
ELSEWHERE N AND NE OF A LINE FROM 58N156W TO 51N150W TO 48N140W
TO 47N130W TO 45N128W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 8.5
M...HIGHEST SE SEMICIRCLE AND NE AND E OF LINE N OF 50N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N1521W 976 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E AND NE
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6.5 M.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND ASSOCIATED
CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 49N160W 973 MB MOVING E 25 KT AND TURNING NE AFTER 24
HOURS.
WITHIN 900 NM SE...840 NM S...AND 1020 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 4.5 TO 8.5 M...HIGHEST SW QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW 48N144W 974 MB.
WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 180 NM NE QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS
4.5 TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 51N TO 58N E OF 144W WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M.
..48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N148W 980 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
...STORM WARNING...
.06 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW NEAR 49N146W 972 MB. WITHIN 540 NM S
AND SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N139W 974 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E AND NE
QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4.5 TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
300 NM SE AND 240 NM N AND NE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
3.5 TO 6.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N148W 970 MB. FROM 50N TO 59N BETWEEN
130W AND 142W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4.5 TO 6.5 M.
...STORM WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW 51N176W 964 MB.
WITHIN 360 NM S AND SE...AND 240 NM W AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 37N TO 55N W
OF 160W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 M.
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO 53N W OF
168W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 47N TO 51N
BETWEEN 150W AND 166W...N OF 54N BETWEEN 140W AND 155W AND FROM
60N TO 64N W OF 172W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 49N TO 55N W OF 165W.
.LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY N OF 64N W OF ALASKA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 64N W OF ALASKA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 62N W OF 169W.
.FORECASTER ROWLAND. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON NOV 9.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE NOV 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED NOV 11.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N95W
TO 16N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 15N95W TO 16N95W TO
15N95W TO 13N96W TO 14N96W TO 15N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 20N116W TO 21N126W TO 30N117W TO 30N140W TO 09N140W TO
10N111W TO 20N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 24N113W TO 29N118W TO 30N140W TO
07N140W TO 12N120W TO 24N113W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N116W TO 30N129W TO 24N140W TO
09N140W TO 13N130W TO 07N115W TO 19N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.WITHIN 03N112W TO 10N111W TO 08N130W TO 00N127W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S104W TO 03N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N115W TO 00N127W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S96W TO 00N103W TO 11N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02N110W TO 07N113W TO 07N129W TO
00N130W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S92W TO 02N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL.
.39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N139W TO 30N140W TO 29.5N140W TO
29.5N139.5W TO 30N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN NW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT REACHING 30N140W. WITHIN 30N137.5W
TO 30N140W TO 29N140W TO 29.5N138.5W TO 30N137.5W SW TO W WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
30N135W TO 30N140W TO 28N140W TO 28N138W TO 30N135W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC MON NOV 9...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N73W TO 09N89W TO 07.5N92W. ITCZ FROM
07.5N92W TO 04.5N108W TO 09.5N121W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
S OF 00N E OF 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
FROM 02N TO 06N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W AND S OF 03N BETWEEN 123W
AND 132W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 134W AND FROM 00N TO
10.5N W OF 136W.
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC NOV 09 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 10 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 11 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.5N 161.4W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV
09 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...0 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE DESCRIBED
IN SEAS SECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN
157W AND 161W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.2N 165.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM
N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M DESCRIBED IN SEAS SECTION.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.2N 170.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 80 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO
5.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE DESCRIBED IN SEAS SECTION.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N142W 28N146W 26N151W 25N158W NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N143W 27N151W 25N157W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.TROUGH 08N168W 07N174W 05N178W SLOWLY MOVING SW. SCATTERED
MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 300 NM N OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 07N170W 04N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 05N177W 052180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW FRONT 30N157W 29N163W 28N172W 27N180W
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N140W 28N143W 26N150W 24N161W
THENCE TROUGH 24N166W 25N171W. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT IN AREA BOUNDED
BY
30N155W 30N140W 26N150W 25N170W 30N155W.
.NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W.
.24 HR FORECAST NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN
155W AND 180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 24N TO 11N BETWEEN
150W
AND 180W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N163W 30N140W 14N140W
11N180W
22N180W 30N163W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 M TO 3.5 M N OF LINE FROM 30N165W TO
26N180W AND SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N150W 30N140W
14N140W 12N180W 24N180W 23N160W 30N150W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 4 TO 6 M N OF A LINE 30N140W 24N170W.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M ELSEWHERE N OF 10N W OF 160W...AND SEAS 2.5 M
TO 3 M FROM 10N TO 21N E OF 160W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA UNLESS OTHERWISE DESCRIBED IN TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ABOVE.
.MONSOON TROUGH 05N159W 06N152W 06N146W 06N143W 06N140W SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 154W AND
165W...ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF MONSOON
TROUGH.
$$
.FORECASTER KINO. HONOLULU HI.=