TCMCP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 154.4W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 154.4W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 154.3W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.7N 155.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 155.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N 155.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.7N 154.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.6N 154.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.2N 154.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.1N 157.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.7N 160.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 154.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ODALYS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162026
1500 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 127.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 240SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 127.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 128.2W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.2N 126.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.8N 125.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.5N 124.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.4N 123.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.3N 123.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.2N 122.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 22.1N 122.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 22.7N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 127.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH=
TCMEP2
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
1500 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 927 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 35SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 55SE 55SW 45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 210SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 101.5W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.9N 102.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 55SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 104.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.8N 105.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.0N 107.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.2N 109.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 111.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.7N 112.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 23.2N 113.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 101.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 23/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 25.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 54N174E 987 MB MOVING NE 05 KT WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
N OF 51N W OF 170W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N175E 979 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE
QUADRANT...AND BETWEEN 180 NM AND 720 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N176E 956 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SE
QUADRANT...AND BETWEEN 420 NM AND 660 NM NE QUADRANT...AND FROM
49N TO 55N BETWEEN 160W AND 166W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4.5 TO
8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM NE AND 1260 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M. ALSO WITHIN 780 NM NE AND 1500 NM
SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N169W 962 MB. WITHIN 600 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM
NE...1200 NM SE AND 900 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
3 TO 6 M...HIGHEST IN S SEMICIRCLE.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 57N140W 994 MB MOVING SE 05 KT. WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW...300 NM SE AND 540 NM SW QUADRANTS
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N140W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF LOW
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N137W 1012 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 40N142W 1012 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE
AND SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N132W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF LOW
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N124W 998 MB. WITHIN 60 NM E AND 120 NM
W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 120 NM E AND 420 W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW W OF AREA NEAR 45N172E 988 MB MOVING NE 35 KT. WITHIN 720
NM NE AND 540 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 T0 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 56N176E
DESCRIBED IN STORM WARNING ABOVE.
.FROM 31N TO 42N BETWEEN 119W AND 128W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 48N TO 57N W
OF 172W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 43N TO 48N BETWEEN 161W AND
167W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.FORECASTER HOLLEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 25.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 15.4N 101.8W 927 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 23
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE
AND SW QUADRANTS...150 NM NW QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 13.5 M. ELSEWHERE....WITHIN 16N99W TO 18N102W TO 18N104W
TO 15N105W TO 12N103W TO 12N100W TO 16N99W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 15N94W TO 17N100W
TO 13N100W TO 18N104W TO 10N104W TO 10N97W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 16.5N 104.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150
NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13.0 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N101W
TO 19N104W TO 17N107W TO 15N107W TO 13N105W TO 13N104W TO
17N101W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 15N97W TO 20N107W
TO 19N109W TO 11N107W TO 09N103W TO 11N98W TO 15N97W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 17.0N 107.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM ALL QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 13.0 M.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 19N105W TO 20N107W TO 17N111W TO 15N110W TO
15N106W TO 17N105W TO 19N105W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA...WITHIN 16N101W TO 22N107W TO 22N112W TO 17N115W TO 10N109W
TO 11N102W TO 16N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 16.0N 127.9W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 23
MOVING ENE OR 070 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM
SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 17N124W TO 20N127W TO 20N130W
TO 16N131W TO 11N129W TO 13N124W TO 17N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 19N125W TO 21N131W
TO 21N138W TO 17N140W TO 11N130W TO 14N123W TO 19N125W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 16.8N 125.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...240 NM
SE QUADRANT...AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 16N121W TO 19N123W TO 20N126W TO 17N129W TO
11N126W TO 13N122W TO 16N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 19N121W TO 23N126W TO 21N133W TO
17N135W TO 10N129W TO 12N119W TO 19N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 18.4N 123.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...270 NM
SE QUADRANT...AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 19N120W TO 21N122W TO 21N124W TO 19N127W TO
13N124W TO 14N120W TO 19N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER 0OF AREA...WITHIN 22N121W TO 24N126W TO 17N132W TO
10N126W TO 11N118W TO 16N116W TO 22N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED SEP 23...
.HURRICANE POLO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM ALL QUADRANTS.
.HURRICANE ODALYS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM ALL QUADRANTS.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N83W TO 13N95W THEN RESUMES FROM 13N132W
TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM
06N TO 16N BETWEEN 87W AND 96W...AND WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF
MONSOON TROUGH W OF 132W.
$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 23 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 24 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 25 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.5N 154.4W 1004 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 23 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO
22N BETWEEN 148W AND 157W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 13N TO 26N E OF
158W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 14.7N 155.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM
15N TO 19N BETWEEN 152W AND 158W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 13N TO 25N
E OF 158W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.0N 155.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF LOW BETWEEN
151W AND 158W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 10N TO 23N E OF 160W.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN-E NEAR 15.7N 155.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT
AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM
OF LOW BETWEEN 150W AND 158W. SEAS 4 TO 5 M WITHIN 90 NM OF
LOW...SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 24N BETWEEN 149W AND
160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.7N 154.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW. SEAS 4
TO 5 M WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW...2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM
OF LOW.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH FROM 03N174W TO 08N173W MOVING W SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 03N177W TO 09N174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 04N179W TO 09N176W
.ELSEWHERE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N140W TO 12N145W...AND FROM 11N153W TO
10N164W. SCATTERED TO ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS 270 NM EITHER SIDE
OF TROUGH.
SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 05N177W TO
08N180W.
$$
.FORECASTER BLOOD. HONOLULU HI.=