METAREA 12 bulletinset


HURRICANE ADVISORY
WTPZ21 KNHC 140847

TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026

0900 UTC WED OCT 14 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 99.0W AT 14/0900Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.

34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

4 M SEAS.... 60NE 30SE 45SW 60NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 99.0W AT 14/0900Z

AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 98.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 11.5N 100.2W

MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 12.4N 101.3W

MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.

34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.1N 101.8W

MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

64 KT... 15NE 10SE 5SW 10NW.

50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.

34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.0N 102.4W

MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.

50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.9N 102.9W

MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.

50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.0N 103.6W

MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.

50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 105.2W

MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

34 KT... 95NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 20.4N 106.8W

MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 99.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER KATZ/REINHART=


HURRICANE ADVISORY
WTPZ25 KNHC 140844

TCMEP5

HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026

0900 UTC WED OCT 14 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 107.9W AT 14/0900Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.

64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.

50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.

34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

4 M SEAS.... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 107.9W AT 14/0900Z

AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 107.7W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.6N 108.0W

MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.

50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.

34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.4N 108.1W

MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.

50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.

34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.2N 108.3W

MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.

50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.

34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.6N 108.5W

MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 5NW.

50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.

34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.9N 109.1W

MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

64 KT... 5NE 5SE 0SW 0NW.

50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.

34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.4N 109.8W

MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.

34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 24.6N 111.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND

MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 27.1N 113.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND

MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 107.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 14/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$

FORECASTER REINHART=


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FZPN02 KWBC 140525

HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

0545 UTC WED OCT 14 2026

CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE

MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE

THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).

FROM OCTOBER 15 TO APRIL 1, DUE TO THE CLIMATOLOGY OF THE NORTH

PACIFIC AND THE FREQUENCY AND VOLUME OF WEATHER HAZARDS, ALONG

WITH CUSTOMER FEEDBACK, HIGH SEAS FORECASTS WILL BE LIMITED TO

WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND HIGHER, AND SEAS OF 4 METERS OR

GREATER, ALONG WITH FREEZING SPRAY, DENSE FOG, VOLCANIC ASH, AND

ANYTHING TROPICAL (INCLUDING A DEPRESSION). LESSER CONDITIONS

WILL BE INCLUDED FOR WARNING CONDITIONS AND TO PRESERVE

CONTINUITY WHERE APPROPRIATE.

SECURITE

PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT

TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 14.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 15.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 16.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...

.LOW 49N160W 976 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 90 NM W

SEMICIRCLE...AND WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 45 TO 60 KT.

SEAS 5 TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...90 NM SE OF

A LINE FROM 48N155W TO 45N156W...AND WITHIN 240 NM SW OF A LINE

FROM 43N165W TO 48N170W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6 M.

ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 52N BETWEEN 149W AND 180W WINDS 20 TO 30

KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 55N158W 971

MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 52N142W 998 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW AND

120 NM NE QUADRANTS OF FIRST CENTER...FROM 58N TO 60N BETWEEN

149W AND 161W...WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT OF SECOND CENTER...AND

WITHIN 90 NM E OF A LINE FROM 50N141W TO 47N142W WINDS 35 TO 45

KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM SW AND 560 NM NE

SEMICIRCLES...AND FROM 38N TO 56N BETWEEN 134W AND 143W WINDS 25

TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 33N TO 64N BETWEEN 133W

AND 179W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.

.36 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 55N157W 973

MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 57N144W 988 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NE AND N

OF A LINE FROM 55N136W TO 58N140W TO 58N144W WINDS 45 TO 55 KT.

SEAS 5 TO 7 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 54N156W 975

MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 58N152W 979 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SW

QUADRANT OF FIRST CENTER...WITHIN 120 NM N AND NE OF A LINE FROM

58N152W TO 60N147W TO 58N138W TO 51N133W TO 46N137W...FROM 54N TO

61N BETWEEN 164W AND 170W...AND FROM 40N TO 43N BETWEEN 142W AND

158W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM W

AND N...1320 NM S...AND 1020 NM E QUADRANTS OF FIRST CENTER WINDS

20 TO 30 KT. SESA 2.5 TO 5 M.

...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 54N130W 1001 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. FROM 50N TO 53N E OF 130W

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NW OF A

LINE FROM 51N126W TO 34N149W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED INLAND AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 60N170W 1002 MB MOVING S 15 KT. WITHIN 420 NM W OF A LINE

FROM 52N175W TO 67N166W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2. 5 TO 4 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS MERGED WITH

COMPLEX LOW DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...GALE WARNING...

.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST W OF AREA NEAR 43N177E 1001 MB. FROM

39N TO 45N W OF 176W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST W OF AREA NEAR 43N179E 1002 MB. FROM

35N TO 48N W OF 171W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 36N BETWEEN 121W AND 127W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 3

M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 50N TO 54N

BETWEEN 127W AND 133W...AND WITHIN 180 NM NW OF A LINE FROM

58N172W TO 64N162W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 64N TO 66N BETWEEN 163W AND

170W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 57N TO 61N BETWEEN 163W AND

166W.

.FORECASTER POCHE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 14.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 15.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM TRUDY NEAR 11.2N 97.0W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT

14 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT

GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S

SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M

OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45

NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N95W TO

13N96W TO 13N98W TO 11N98W TO 10N97W TO 11N96W TO 13N95W WINDS 20

TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 12N95W TO

14N96W TO 13N99W TO 11N100W TO 09N98W TO 09N97W TO 12N95W WINDS

20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 12.6N 100.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...25 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30

NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH

SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N98W TO 15N99W TO 13N102W TO

11N101W TO 11N99W TO 12N98W TO 15N98W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS

DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 15N98W TO 15N100W TO

14N103W TO 11N103W TO 09N100W TO 10N98W TO 15N98W WINDS 20 KT OR

LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 14.3N 101.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM

SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW QUADRANT...120

NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH

SEAS TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N98W TO 17N102W TO 16N103W TO

14N104W TO 12N102W TO 12N100W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS

DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 16N98W TO 18N102W TO

16N106W TO 08N107W TO 06N101W TO 08N97W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 KT OR

LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 20.1N 107.6W 965 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 14

MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS

115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS

4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE

WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N107W TO 21N107W TO

21N108W TO 20N108W TO 19N108W TO 20N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS

DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 22N107W TO 22N109W TO

21N110W TO 19N110W TO 19N107W TO 20N106W TO 22N107W WINDS 20 KT

OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.6N 108.2W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO

5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N108W TO 20N108W

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN

21N107W TO 22N108W TO 21N110W TO 20N110W TO 19N108W TO 20N107W TO

21N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.7N 108.1W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO

5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N107W TO 21N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W

TO 19N108W TO 19N107W TO 20N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO

4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 20N106W TO 22N108W TO 21N109W TO

19N110W TO 18N109W TO 18N107W TO 20N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 26N113W TO 29N117W TO 30N140W TO 18N140W TO 16N122W TO

26N113W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY AND WITHIN 60 NM OF

SHORE... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 22N113W TO 21N130W TO 24N140W TO

14N140W TO 16N124W TO 19N115W TO 22N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 18N119W TO 23N132W TO 23N140W TO

15N140W TO 09N130W TO 11N120W TO 18N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S SWELL.

.WITHIN 01N101W TO 04N105W TO 04N110W TO 00N122W TO 03.4S120W TO

03S99W TO 01N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO

SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N113W TO 04N120W TO 00N132W TO

01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S103W TO 04N113W WINDS 20 KT OR

LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 05N106W TO 06N120W TO 00N129W TO

03.4S120W TO 03.4S92W TO 05N106W...EXCEPT LEE OF GALAPAGOS

ISLANDS... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW

SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO

29N114W TO 30N112W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF

CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N112W TO 31N113W TO 32N114W TO

30N114W TO 26N111W TO 27N109W TO 29N112W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF

CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N112W TO 31N113W TO 32N115W TO

30N114W TO 27N112W TO 28N111W TO 30N112W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF

CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC WED OCT 14...

.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF

THE CENTER. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG

ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 106W AND 109W.

.T.S. TRUDY...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG

CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 09N TO 5N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 11N89W. IT RESUMES NEAR 08N100W TO

05N109W. ITCZ FROM 05N109W TO 04N125W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED

MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 08N E OF 86W...AND FROM 00N

TO 06N BETWEEN 100W AND 131W.

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 14 2026.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 15 2026.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 16 2026.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROUGH 30N158W 26N165W NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW FRONT 30N154W 28N159W 27N172W THENCE TROUGH

25N171W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 26N BETWEEN

176W AND 163W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N150W 27N157W THENCE TROUGH 25N176W.

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 28N TO 25N BETWEEN 178W AND 160W. SEAS 2.5

TO 3 M N OF 26N W OF 158W.

.LOW NEAR 07N165W 1008 MB. TROUGH FROM 16N154W TO 10N160W TO LOW

TO 04N173W TO 06N180W. LOW MOVING WSW SLOWLY AND TROUGH NEARLY

STATIONARY. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 07N TO 01N W OF 170W.

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 240 NM OF TROUGH AND LOW BETWEEN

168W AND 159W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 05N167W 1008 MB. TROUGH FROM 14N155W

TO 08N160W TO LOW TO 04N174W TO 07N180W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 04N170W 1008 MB. TROUGH FROM 11N162W

TO LOW TO 07N180W.

.TROUGH 21N168W 14N180W MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS

FROM 18N TO 10N W OF 174W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 26N149W 18N142W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M E OF LINE 25N140W 24N144W

20N144W 15N140W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS LOWERED TO 2.5 M OR LOWER.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF

FORECAST AREA.

.ITCZ 07N140W 06N147W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG TSTMS

FROM 10N TO 02N E OF 147W.

.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS S OF 05N BETWEEN 162W AND 157W.

$$

.FORECASTER TROTTER. HONOLULU HI.=