TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC FRI NOV 06 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 150.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....360NE 0SE 0SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 150.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 149.6W
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 11.5N 151.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 11.4N 153.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 11.3N 155.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 11.3N 157.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 11.2N 159.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 11.0N 161.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 11.3N 165.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 11.9N 171.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 150.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/BLAKE
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC FRI NOV 06 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC NOV 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC NOV 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC NOV 08.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 44N159W 1000 MB MOVING SE 20 KT WILL TURN NE AFTER 12 HOURS.
FROM 33N TO 45N BETWEEN 150W AND 170W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5
TO 7 M. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHEST SW OF THE LOW CENTER.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N150W 996 MB. FROM 38N TO 41N BETWEEN
152W AND 158W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 46N143W 973 MB.
FROM 44N TO 47N BETWEEN 143W AND 145W WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 6
TO 9 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM W QUADRANT AND FROM 37N TO 45N
BETWEEN 136W AND 145W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8.5
M...HIGHEST S OF THE LOW. ALSO FROM 36N TO 51N BETWEEN 130W AND
149W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N132W 976 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE E OF A LINE FROM
45N135W TO 55N142W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M...EXCEPT S OF
50N SEAS 6 TO 10 M WITH W TO SW SWELL.
...STORM WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 47N BETWEEN 177W AND 180W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 36N TO 50N BETWEEN 167W AND 180W WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N175W 991 MB. FROM 42N TO 46N BETWEEN
175W AND 180W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH NEW LOW TO FORM 47N153W 978
MB. FROM 33N TO 49N BETWEEN 140W AND 164W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
3.5 TO 6.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 57N140W 970 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. N
OF 51N BETWEEN 133W AND 157W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6
M...EXCEPT E OF 140W SEAS 4 TO 8 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N147W 988 MB. N OF 54N BETWEEN 155W AND
138W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N151W 995 MB. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 47N137W 991 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. FROM 43N TO 46N BETWEEN 136W
AND 141W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420
NM S OF A LINE OF A LINE FROM 51N124W TO THE LOW TO 49N148W WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 53N172W 996 MB MOVING SE 20 KT. BETWEEN 54N AND A LINE FROM
35N170W TO 43N180W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N160W 999 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N151W 992 MB.. WITHIN 240 NM W AND E
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST BETWEEN 180W AND A LINE FROM 34N167W TO 44N167W
TO 46N176W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 120 NM EITHER
SIDE OF A LINE FROM 64N165W TO 58N176W...AND NE OF A LINE FROM
47N126W TO 51N130W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM SE OF A LINE FROM
49N180W TO 45N168W...FROM 47N TO 47N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W...AND
N OF A LINE FROM 55N156W TO 59N143W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF A LINE FROM 53N158W TO
57N150W...AND FROM 47N TO 50N BETWEEN 177W AND 180W.
.FORECASTER COLLINS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT NOV 7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN NOV 8.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 17N135W TO 19N135W TO 21N140W TO 14N140W TO 13N136W TO
15N133W TO 17N135W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 3.5 M
IN NW TO N SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N112W TO 30N118W TO 30N140W
TO 07N140W TO 09N122W TO 23N112W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N116W TO 30N140W TO 05N140W TO
11N129W TO 13N115W TO 19N120W TO 30N116W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM
OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 22N110W TO 29N118W TO 30N140W TO
03N140W TO 02N123W TO 22N110W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.WITHIN 07N108W TO 13N115W TO 02N113W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S101W TO
01N111W TO 07N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MERGING NW AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N106W TO 02N125W TO 00N127W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S96W TO 01N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN MERGING NW AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N111W TO 02N128W TO 00N137W TO
02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S99W TO 04N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MERGING NW AND SE SWELL.
.21 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W
TO 15.5N95W TO 15N95.5W TO 14.5N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 16N94.5W N
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 16N94.5W TO 16N95W
TO 15.5N95.5W TO 13.5N95.5W TO 14N95W TO 15N94.5W TO 16N94.5W N
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N94W TO
15N95W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MERGING N AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 15.5N94.5W TO
16N94.5W TO 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W TO 13.5N95.5W TO 14.5N95W TO
15.5N94.5W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.0 M IN N SWELL.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W
TO 14N95W TO 15N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN N TO NE
SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N114W TO 31.5N114.5W TO 30N114.5W TO
30N114W TO 30.5N114W TO 31N114W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI NOV 6...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09.5N74W TO 11.5N89W TO 10N109W TO 08.5N126W.
ITCZ FROM 08.5N126W TO BEYOND 08.5N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 04N TO 14N AND E OF 95W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF 04N AND E OF 89W...S OF 01N
BETWEEN 118W AND 136W...AND FROM 07N TO 11.5N W OF 125W.
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC NOV 06 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC NOV 07 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC NOV 08 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.NEW LOW NEAR 10N149W 1007 MB WITH TROUGH FROM 06N150W TO LOW TO
16N150W...BOTH MOVING W 10 KT. ENE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 11N TO
19N E OF 152W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN
144W AND 150W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 11N158W 1006 MB WITH TROUGH FROM
09N158W TO LOW TO 14N152W. NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 12N TO
20N BETWEEN 150W AND 157W. SEAS 3.5 TO 4 M N OF LOW FROM 12N TO
16N BETWEEN 152W AND 156W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO
20N E OF 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 11N161W 1005 MB WITH TROUGH FROM
09N162W TO LOW TO 14N156W. WINDS 30 TO 35 KT N OF LOW FROM 13N TO
14N BETWEEN 157W AND 158W. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO
20N BETWEEN 152W AND 162W. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.5 M FROM 12N TO 16N
BETWEEN 157W AND 161W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N
E OF 163W.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COLD FRONT 30N161W TO 27N180W MOVING ESE 15 KT. NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT NW OF FRONT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N147W TO 24N165W TO 25N180W. NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 175 NM N OF FRONT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT 30N150W TO 24N157W.
WINDS EASED BELOW 25 KT.
.LOW NEAR 07N163W 1009 MB WITH TROUGH FROM 06N164W TO LOW TO
09N161W...BOTH MOVING W SLOWLY. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 07N
TO 09N BETWEEN 160W AND 167W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 07N166W 1009 MB WITH TROUGH FROM
05N169W TO LOW TO 10N161W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST BOTH LOW AND TROUGH ABSORBED BY MONSOON TROUGH.
.LOW NEAR 06N150W 1007 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 05N153W 1007 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 06N153W 1007 MB.
.TROUGH 07N168W TO 08N175W TO 08N180W MOVING SW SLOWLY. SCATTERED
MODERATE TSTMS N OF TROUGH FROM 09N TO 11N W OF 176W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MERGED WITH MONSOON TROUGH.
.NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 152W AND
160W...AND FROM 17N TO COLD FRONT MENTIONED ABOVE W OF 160W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NE TO ENE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 13N TO COLD
FRONT W OF 157W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NE TO ENE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 14N TO COLD
FRONT W OF 162W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M N OF 10N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M N OF 20N BETWEEN 140W AND
160W...AND N OF 09N W OF 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M N OF 20N BETWEEN 140W AND
163W...AND N OF 10N W OF 163W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 09N140W TO 09N146W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 70 NM
ALONG EITHER SIDE OF ITCZ.
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM LOW NEAR 06N150W TO 03N163W TO 05N180W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TSMTS FROM 00N TO 05N BETWEEN 167W AND 171W...
AND FROM 02N TO 04N W OF 177W...AND FROM 00N TO 03N BETWEEN 145W
AND 160W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=