TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODALYS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162026
1500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 125.5W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 125.5W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 125.2W
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.1N 126.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.3N 128.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.1N 129.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.5N 129.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.8N 128.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.9N 127.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 15.5N 126.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 16.8N 124.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 125.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 22.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 57N145W 975 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 480 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M. ALSO WITHIN 420 NM
E...900 NM S...AND 660 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL INLAND WITH NEW LOW 58N154W 994 MB.
WITHIN 240 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
ELSEWHERE N OF 52N BETWEEN 140W AND 170W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N149W 1001 MB. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH
LOW 55N140W IN GALE WARNING BELOW.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 49N171W 1014 MB MOVING E 25 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SE...240 NM
SW...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N152W 1006 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N140W 992 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 47N TO 57N
BETWEEN 130W AND 160W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 35N TO 41N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W AREA OF N WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 43N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W AREA OF N
TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 32N TO 43N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W AREA OF N
TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.FROM 38N TO 41N W OF 175W AREA OF E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5
M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 41N W OF 165W AREA OF E WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 41N W OF 155W AREA OF E WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N170E 1001 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 90 NM S AND W
OF BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKAN COAST FROM 130W TO 151W AND FROM
55N TO 60N BETWEEN 150W AND 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 90 NM S AND W OF BRITISH
COLUMBIA AND ALASKAN COAST FROM 130W TO 151W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 51N TO 54N W OF 180W.
.FORECASTER KREKELER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 22.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ODALYS NEAR 11.1N 125.5W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
20 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N122W TO 16N124W TO 15N128W TO
09N128W TO 09N125W TO 11N122W TO 15N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ODALYS NEAR 13.3N 128.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120
NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NW QUADRANT...AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N125W TO 18N129W TO 17N130W TO
10N129W TO 10N125W TO 14N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 16N122W TO 20N127W TO 17N132W TO 13N132W
TO 09N126W TO 12N122W TO 16N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 14.1N 129.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 14.5N 129.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM E SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N124W TO 19N129W TO 17N133W
TO 14N132W TO 10N130W TO 11N127W TO 15N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 20N126W TO 22N130W TO
23N140W TO 17N140W TO 10N130W TO 14N123W TO 20N126W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 14N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 14N103W TO 16N104W TO
16N106W TO 12N107W TO 10N105W TO 11N103W TO 14N103W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
15N104.5W 1005 MB. WITHIN 15N103W TO 16N104W TO 15N105W TO
14N105W TO 15N103W WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N104W TO 16N105W TO 15N106W TO 13N105W TO
13N103W TO 14N102W TO 17N104W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5
M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 16N103W TO 17N106W TO 15N107W TO 13N106W
TO 12N104W TO 14N102W TO 16N103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14.5N102.5W 1003 MB. WITHIN 15N102W TO 15N103W TO 14N103W TO
14N102W TO 15N102W WINDS 30 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N101W TO 17N102W TO 15N105W TO 14N105W TO
12N102W TO 13N101W TO 15N101W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 17N100W TO 17N104W TO 15N105W TO 12N105W
TO 11N102W TO 14N99W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 22N130W TO 23N134W TO 23N140W TO 17N140W TO 16N135W TO
17N129W TO 22N130W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 22N133W TO 25N135W TO 26N140W TO
15N140W TO 17N133W TO 22N133W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH ODALYS.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN SEP 20...
TROPICAL STORM ODALYS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
IS FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FOUND ELSEWHERE FROM 03N TO 13N
BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N91W TO 15N106W TO 11N122W. IT
RESUMES NEAR 11N130W TO 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 02N TO 12N EAST OF 90W...FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 92W
AND 100W...FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND 109W...FROM 05N TO
10N BETWEEN 109W AND 116W...AND FROM 02N TO 16N BETWEEN 130W AND
140W.
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 20 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 21 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 22 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 14N143W 1007 MB MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS W OF
LOW WITHIN 50 NM OF 15N145W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 13N146W 1007 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 13N149W 1007 MB.
.LOW 12N160W 1010 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 12N161W 1010 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED BY MONSOON TROUGH.
.TROUGH 17N175W TO 22N174W TO 26N171W MOVING NW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 18N180W TO 24N178W TO 30N173W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 27N180W TO 30N174W.
.WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 00N TO 03N W OF 177W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M
FROM 00N TO 04N W OF 177W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED BELOW 20 KT AND SEAS BECAME LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 153W AND 158W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 15N TO 21N E OF 158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 16N TO 23N E OF 153W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 14N TO 24N BETWEEN 141W AND 160W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 14N TO 23N E OF 165W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M FROM 14N TO 25N E OF 158W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS BELOW 2.5 M OVER THE REMAINDER OF
FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 15N140W TO FIRST LOW MENTIONED ABOVE TO 13N150W
TO SECOND LOW DESCRIBED ABOVE TO 08N170W TO 08N180W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 100 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN
150W AND 170W...AND S OF TROUGH FROM 00N TO 04N BETWEEN 167W AND
170W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN 143W AND 154W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=