TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC WED NOV 11 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 166.7W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 30SE 60SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 166.7W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 166.3W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 10.0N 168.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 10.2N 171.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 10.6N 174.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 11.0N 177.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 11.4N 179.5E
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 166.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC WED NOV 11 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC NOV 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 13.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW W OF AREA NEAR 48N179E 984 MB MOVING NE 40 KT WHILE RAPIDLY
INTENSIFYING. WITHIN 540 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 720 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N168W 968 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 7 M.
.24 HOUR LOW 51N155W 960 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 240 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720
NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS
5 TO 10 M...EXCEPT NW QUADRANT 2.5 TO 5 M. ALSO WITHIN 780 NM
NW...300 NM NE...960 NM SE AND 1080 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M...EXCEPT 3 TO 6 M IN N SEMICIRCLE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N138W 965 MB. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 600 NM
SW QUADRANT WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 M...EXCEPT 3.5 TO 7
M NE AND E OF THE COLD FRONT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM S AND 600
NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M...EXCEPT 5
TO 10 M IN SW QUADRANT. ALSO WITHIN 1020 NM NW...660 NM NE...960
NM SE AND 1140 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
...STORM WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N180W 995 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 360 N
SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N175W 982 MB. WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW
CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO
6.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 33N TO 51N W OF 159W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 54N136W 972 MB MOVING NE 20 KT
THEN TURNING NW AFTER 12 HOURS. WITHIN 120 NM NW...240 NM
NE...900 NM SE AND 1620 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
3 TO 6 M. ALSO WITHIN 1200 NM SE...1740 NM SW AND 900 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 60N148W
DESCRIBED BELOW.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 58N143W 973 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 120 NM N OF LOW
CENTER WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM
S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N148W 974 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND ASSOCIATED CONDITONS
DIMISHED.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 37N130W 1008 MB. FROM 30N TO 42N
BETWEEN 126W AND 146W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 33N122W 1004 MB. FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN
118W AND 128W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 48N TO 52N W
OF 173W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM
FROM 57N TO 61N BETWEEN 147W AND 153W AND FROM 50N TO 55N
BETWEEN 153W AND 169W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 49N W OF 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY FROM 61N TO 65N W OF 170W
.FORECASTER HOLLEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 13.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 07N101W TO 10N115W TO 06N131W TO 00N134W TO 03.4S120W TO
03S89W TO 07N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 21N109W TO 30N118W TO 30N140W TO 00N140W TO 10N115W TO
21N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N119W TO 30N117W TO 24N140W TO
00N140W TO 00N123W TO 11N111W TO 20N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N117W TO 22N117W TO 22N128W TO
13N140W TO 07N140W TO 11N124W TO 17N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT W OF AREA. WITHIN 30N133W TO
30N140W TO 27N140W TO 29N134W TO 30N133W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN W TO NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N132W TO 25N140W. WITHIN 30N131W
TO 30N140W TO 28N140W TO 27N136W TO 30N131W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N128W TO 30N140W TO
23N140W TO 24N135W TO 30N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N120W TO 20N135W. WITHIN 30N118W
TO 30N140W TO 13N140W TO 24N120W TO 30N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC WED NOV 11...
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 04N91W. ITCZ FROM 04N91W TO
07N134W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF 15N W OF 103W.
$$
.FORECASTER DELGADO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC NOV 11 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 12 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 13 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 10.1N 166.7W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV
11 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE
FROM 24N TO 09N BETWEEN 162W AND 175W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5 M. SEAS 2.5
TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 09N W OF 156W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM N OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 10.2N 171.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 23N TO 11N W OF
167W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER BOUNDED BY AREA 11N173W 16N180W
19N180W 23N175W 22N161W 15N164W 11N173W WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 09N W OF 163W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.0N 177.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 11N W OF 174W.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 21N TO 09N W OF 171W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COLD FRONT FROM 30N147W TO 28N151W TO 25N159W...THEN WEAKENING
STATIONARY FRONT TO 27N180W. COLD FRONT MOVING SE 10 KT. SEAS
4 TO 4.5 M N OF 27N BETWEEN 167W AND 171W. 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE
N OF FRONT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 25N140W TO 23N152W. N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT N OF FRONT E OF 146W. NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT UP TO 90 NM
N OF FRONT. N OF FRONT...SEAS 4 TO 6 M N OF FRONT E OF 159W...AND
2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE N OF FRONT E OF 166W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED.
.WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 19N TO 11N BETWEEN 147W AND 160W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 24N TO 11N BETWEEN 140W
AND 169W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 23N TO 10N BETWEEN 144W
AND 166W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M FROM 20N TO 11N E OF 159W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2 TO 3.5 FROM 20N TO 11N E OF 163W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 4 TO 4.5 M FROM 21N TO 12N BETWEEN 144W AND
159W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE BOUNDED BY AREA 30N140W 16N140W
09N151W 11N171W 19N170W 30N152W 30N140W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA UNLESS OTHERWISE DESCRIBED IN TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ABOVE.
.MONSOON TROUGH 05N140W 02N149W 05N155W 07N162W AND 07N168W
05N172W 04N176W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 00N TO 08N E OF
145W.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 210 NM OF TROUGH W OF 148W.
$$
.FORECASTER THOMAS. HONOLULU HI.=