TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042026
0900 UTC THU JUL 02 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 127.1W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 150SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 127.1W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 127.1W
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 127.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.0N 127.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.2N 128.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.2N 128.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.1N 129.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N 130.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 127.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KELLY=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC THU JUL 02 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 04.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 59N169W 1007 MB MOVING E 20 KT. FROM 45N TO 54N W OF 159W
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N150W 1006 MB. FROM 45N TO 55N BETWEEN
150W AND 168W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST 53N135W 1012 MB. FROM 48N TO 52N BETWEEN 133W
AND 150W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.FROM 31N TO 44N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 42N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 35N TO 43N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.S OF 33N BETWEEN 152W AND 160W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 33N BETWEEN 149W AND 163W WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST INLAND NEAR 62N164W 1006 MB. N OF 58N
BETWEEN 167W AND 176W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND NEAR 62N162W 1009 MB. N OF 59N
BETWEEN 165W AND 175W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 48N175E 1003 MB. WITHIN 300
NM N AND E QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N168W 1016 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 240 NM N AND
NW OF A LINE FROM 47N132W TO 46N140W TO 45N157W TO 40N172W TO
41N180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 47N W OF 167W...AND N OF
63N BETWEEN 167W AND 171W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 50N W OF 159W.
.FORECASTER POCHE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 4.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS NEAR 17.0N 127.1W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC
JUL 02 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120
NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N121W TO 22N129W TO 18N134W TO
14N131W TO 12N124W TO 19N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5
M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS NEAR 19.0N
127.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N121W TO 24N125W TO 24N130W TO
21N134W TO 15N131W TO 14N124W TO 21N121W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 21.2N
128.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 25N126W
TO 26N131W TO 23N135W TO 18N133W TO 22N123W TO 25N126W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W TO
16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N93W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W
TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO 16N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N88W TO 11N91W TO 09N90W TO 10N86W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N87W TO 12N89W TO 10N89W
TO 10N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0920 UTC THU JUL 2...
.T.S. DOUGLAS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO
20N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE
FROM 07N TO 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.
.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 96W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 01N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 105W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 04N97W TO 10N120W. THE
ITCZ EXTENDS WESTWARD FROM 07N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
SCATTERED STRONG FROM 01N TO 12N EAST OF 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 00N TO 07N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W.
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 02 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 03 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 04 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 26N166W 23N176W 21N176W MOVING W 10 KT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
FROM 27N TO 25N BETWEEN 177W AND 174W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS
FROM 27N TO 22N WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM
25N TO 22N BETWEEN 175W AND 170W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED 20 KT OR LESS.
.WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 22N TO 18N BETWEEN 160W AND 155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED 20 KT OR LESS.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS OVER ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 05N140W 04N144W 03N160W 03N169W 05N177W. ISOLATED MODERATE
TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF ITCZ.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 12N TO 07N BETWEEN 179W AND 169W.
$$
.FORECASTER PIERCE. HONOLULU HI.=