TCMCP2
TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 154.6W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 40SE 30SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 154.6W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 154.1W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.7N 155.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 50SE 30SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.9N 158.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.3N 160.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.5N 163.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.6N 165.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.7N 167.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.6N 170.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 23.5N 172.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 154.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 15/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082026
1500 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 134.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 134.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 134.4W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.2N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.4N 138.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.5N 140.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.7N 142.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.9N 144.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 134.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/BERG=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 17.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 50N167W 991 MB MOVING N 20 KT. WITHIN 480 NM S AND SE...360
NM E...AND 300 NM NE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW 57N164W 997 MB AND SECOND NEW LOW
50N163W 1003 MB. FROM 42N TO 50N BETWEEN 158W AND 170W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 50N TO 59N BETWEEN
147W AND 164W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 61N163W 993 MB. FROM 52N TO 59N BETWEEN
140W AND 167W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 40N178W 1000 MB MOVING E 10 KT AND TURNING NE 15 KT AFTER
24 HOURS. WITHIN 480 NM E AND SE...AND 180 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N177W 1000 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E AND SE
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N174W 1008 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E AND
SE...AND 120 NM W AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 4
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N168W 1014 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E AND SE
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 128W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 45N TO 52N
BETWEEN 165W AND 169W...AND N OF 58N BETWEEN 163W AND 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 56N BETWEEN 148W AND
165W...AND N OF 53N BETWEEN 168W AND 179W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM NW OF A LINE FROM
53N141W TO 48N155W...AND N OF 57N BETWEEN 160W AND 174W.
.FORECASTER ROWLAND. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 17.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERNAN NEAR 16.1N 134.9W 1006 MB AT 1500
UTC AUG 15 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 20N130W TO 22N133W TO 25N140W TO
15N139W TO 14N135W TO 16N131W TO 20N130W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N128W TO 25N135W TO 26N140W TO
14N140W TO 13N133W TO 15N130W TO 20N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HERNAN NEAR 16.2N
136.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 21N135W
TO 21N140W TO 16N139W TO 17N136W TO 18N135W TO 21N135W WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HERNAN NEAR 16.4N
138.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN
19.5N135W TO 22N136W TO 23N140W TO 19N140W TO 15N140W TO 17N136W
TO 19.5N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS...EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HERNAN W OF AREA
NEAR 16.7N 142.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 4 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W
TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 12N86W TO 12N88W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO 10N88W TO 10N86W
TO 12N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N86W TO 11N90W TO 10N92W TO 09N91W TO
09N89W TO 10N88W TO 11N86W TO 12N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 01N106W TO 01N113W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S104W
TO 01N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S97W TO 00N110W TO 00N120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S91W TO 01S97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3 M IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S100W TO 00N110W TO 01N124W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S110W TO 01S100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N114W TO 30N116W TO 28N116W TO
26N115W TO 26N114W TO 29N114W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY
AND WITHIN 60 NM OF SHORE...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N118W TO 14N122W TO 13N124W TO
11N123W TO 10N120W TO 11N118W TO 12N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC SAT AUG 15...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERNAN...NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W S OF 17N...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN THE WAVE AND 110W.
.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 111W AND 120W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N84W TO 10N99W TO 08N105W.
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N105W TO 05N115W TO 08N123W TO 13N130W.
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 78W AND 88W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE TROUGH
BETWEEN 95W AND 100W.
$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 15 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 16 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 17 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LALA NEAR 17.9N 154.5W 991 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 15
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE
FROM 15N TO 25N BETWEEN 147W AND 160W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM
16N TO 21N BETWEEN 151W AND 156W. SEAS TO 7 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 26N BETWEEN 145W AND 158W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 40 NM NW SEMICIRCLE FROM CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LALA NEAR 19.9N 158.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 30
KT ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 25N BETWEEN 152W AND 164W. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 151W AND 165W. SEAS TO 5.5 M. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 27N BETWEEN 151W AND 166W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LALA NEAR 20.5N 163.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 30
KT ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 26N BETWEEN 158W AND 170W. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 162W AND 164W. SEAS TO 5 M. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M FROM 17N TO 26N BETWEEN 159W AND 169W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
SEE THE LATEST BULLETIN ISSUED BY NHC UNDER WMO HEADER WTPA22
PHFO.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 14N TO 24N E OF 145W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 16N TO 21N E OF 144W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 143W
AND 147W.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS OVER THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 13N156W TO 07N167W TO 08N180W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG TSTMS NEAR AND UP TO 400 NM S OF TROUGH W OF 160W.
.SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TSTMS FROM 01N TO 07N
BETWEEN 152W AND 158W...AND FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 145W AND
149W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=