TCMEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0300 UTC THU JUL 23 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 170SE 70SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 123.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 122.4W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 124.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.0N 127.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.3N 130.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.6N 132.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.9N 135.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.9N 142.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.6N 147.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 123.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC WED JUL 22 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 24.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 59N174W 992 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 540 NM
SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
420 NM NE...660 NM SE AND 540 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 65N152W 1000 MB. WITHIN 660 NM SE AND 540
NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 780 NM SE AND 660 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 50N TO 56N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS TO
3.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 50N TO 59N BETWEEN 127W AND 139W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH LOW 43N130W IN
SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST SECTION BELOW.
...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 58N138W 1004 MB. WITHIN 540 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
600 NM OF LOW CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 41N128W 1010 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE
AND 660 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N130W 1011 MB. WITHIN 780 NM W AND 360 NM
E SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N131W 1010 MB. WITHIN 600 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 37N E OF 124W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 40N E OF 124W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 3 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 45N TO 48N
BETWEEN 150W AND 160W...AND FROM 50N TO 59N W OF 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 53N BETWEEN 151W AND
158W...AND FROM 50N TO 55N W OF 172W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 50N BETWEEN 145W AND
150W...AND FROM 45N TO 50N BETWEEN 160W AND 170W...AND FROM 50N
TO 58N W OF 170W.
.FORECASTER HOLLEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 24.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 17.2N 122.0W 983 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 22
MOVING
W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270
NM
NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240
NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL FROM 12N TO 25N BETWEEN 116W AND 128W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 17.9N 126.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN
150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS
4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 270 NM NE
QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
300
NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF
THE AREA FROM 12N TO 26N BETWEEN 119W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 18.4N 131.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN
270 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 11N TO 27N BETWEEN 124W
AND
140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 02N TO 06N BETWEEN 90W AND 98W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...PSBL TRPCL CYCLONE...NEAR 09N95W
1007
MB. WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5
M.
ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 90W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...PSBL TRPCL CYCLONE...NEAR 09N98W
1006
MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NE QUADRANT WINDS 20
TO
30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 91W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE
TO
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.N OF 28N E OF 118W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W NW WINDS 20 TO
25
KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 117W AND 121W NW WINDS 20 TO
25
KT. SEAS 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 115W AND 121W WINDS 20
KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N W 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO
3.0 M IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC WED JUL 22...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75
NM
OF CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN
118W
AND 122W.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 04N TO 12N BETWEEN 87W AND 95W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER
NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W TO 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 08N92W
TO
06N105W, THEN RESUMES SW OF FAUSTO FROM 13N128W TO BEYOND
09N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM
04N
TO 10N E OF 107W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 22 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 23 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 24 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 28N174W TO 30N174W MOVING WNW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED NW OF AREA.
.LOW NEAR 07N166W 1007 MB MOVING WNW SLOWLY. MONSOON TROUGH FROM
08N162W TO LOW TO 11N180W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
TSTMS S OF 13N BETWEEN 161W AND 180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 1007 MB NEAR 07N166W. MONSOON TROUGH FROM
08N162W TO LOW TO 08N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 1007 MB NEAR 07N166W. MONSOON TROUGH FROM
08N163W TO LOW TO 08N180W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 12N TO 19N
BETWEEN 163W AND 174W...AND N OF 15N BETWEEN 150W AND 165W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 150W AND 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 00N TO 10N BETWEEN 154W
AND 168W...AND FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 160W AND 167W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 11N TO 28N BETWEEN 148W
AND 173W
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 10N140W TO 08N147W TO 06N153W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS
FROM 02N TO 09N E OF 156W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 156W AND 161W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=