TCMEP3
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026
0300 UTC SUN OCT 11 2026
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 116.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 31 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 80SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 240SE 240SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 116.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 117.0W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 34.5N 114.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 116.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 11/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/ADAMS
TCMEP5
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
0300 UTC SUN OCT 11 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.8W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 928 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.8W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.8W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.1N 105.0W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.1N 105.3W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.1N 105.5W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.0N 105.6W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 23.0N 105.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 104.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 11/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC SUN OCT 11 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
FROM OCTOBER 15 TO APRIL 1, DUE TO THE CLIMATOLOGY OF THE NORTH
PACIFIC AND THE FREQUENCY AND VOLUME OF WEATHER HAZARDS, ALONG
WITH CUSTOMER FEEDBACK, HIGH SEAS FORECASTS WILL BE LIMITED TO
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND HIGHER, AND SEAS OF 4 METERS OR
GREATER, ALONG WITH FREEZING SPRAY, DENSE FOG, VOLCANIC ASH, AND
ANYTHING TROPICAL (INCLUDING A DEPRESSION). LESSER CONDITIONS
WILL BE INCLUDED FOR WARNING CONDITIONS AND TO PRESERVE
CONTINUITY WHERE APPROPRIATE.
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 13.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RACHEL NEAR 30.0N 116.5W 987 MB AT 0300
UTC OCT 11 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 31 KT. WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMIRICLE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 31N
E OF 120W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RACHEL DISSIPATED INLAND.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 35N TO 42N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3
TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 43N BETWEEN 121W AND 139W WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 42N BETWEEN 124W AND 128W WINDS 30
TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 33N TO 44N BETWEEN 122W
AND 133W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 45N E
OF 144W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 42N BETWEEN 118W AND 138W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 60N176W 978 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM S OF A LINE
FROM 54N164W TO 51N176W TO 51N175E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6
M. ELSEWHERE FROM 44N TO 63N W OF 156W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 63N170W 986 MB. N OF 42N E OF 145W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 48N176W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 64N168W 993 MB. WITHIN 600 NM N OF A
LINE FROM 43N174W TO 43N160W TO 48N147W...AND FROM 52N TO 57N W
OF 169W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 58N154W 1003 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. FROM 45N TO 60N BETWEEN
143W AND 156W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N153W 999 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NE OF A LINE
FROM 52N144W TO 58N147W TO LOW CENTER WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3
TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED INLAND NEAR 62N140W 1000 MB. WITHIN
120 NM E AND NE OF A LINE FROM 52N140W TO 56N139W TO 60N145W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW S OF AREA NEAR 28N169W 1008 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. S OF 44N W
OF 150W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW S OF AREA NEAR 28N165W 1011 MB. S OF 42N W
OF A LINE FROM 42N152W TO 30N159W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 43N152W 1012 MB. WITHIN 360 NM ON
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 46N148W TO 30N170W WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N176W 1016 MB. FROM 39N TO 43N W OF 173W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 45N TO 52N
BETWEEN 144W AND 156W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM SE OF A LINE FROM
52N138W TO 44N155W TO 41N159W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 60 NM SE OF A LINE FROM
49N143W TO 44N151W...AND NW OF A LINE FROM 63N169W TO 58N180W.
.FORECASTER POCHE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 13.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 18.2N 104.8W 928 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 11
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT
GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N104W TO 19N105W TO 19N106W
TO 18N106W TO 17N104W TO 18N104W TO 19N104W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS DESCRIBED ABOVE. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 17N100W TO 18N106W TO
19N105W TO 22N109W TO 15N109W TO 13N104W TO 17N100W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR THE COAST NEAR 20.1N
105.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM
W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 20N106W TO 22N105W TO 21N107W TO 20N108W TO 18N107W TO
19N104W TO 20N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. WITHIN
23N109W TO 23N113W TO 20N112W TO 19N108W TO 20N107W TO 23N109W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. .36 HOUR
FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR THE COAST NEAR 21.1N 105.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR THE COAST NEAR 22.0N
105.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60
NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 23N106W TO 22N107W TO 21N107W TO 21N106W TO 21N105W
TO 23N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RACHEL NEAR 30.0N 116.5W 987 MB AT 0300
UTC OCT 11 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 31 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM
N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N114W TO 30N116W TO
30N119W TO 28N119W TO 27N117W TO 27N116W TO 29N114W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO
30N115W TO 28N113W TO 29N112W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M. REMAINDER
AREA WITHIN 27N114W TO 30N120W TO 19N126W TO 17N120W TO 23N114W
TO 27N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL RACHEL NEAR 34.5N 114.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 30N127W TO 30N138W TO 29N138W TO 25N132W TO 25N129W TO
30N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N115W TO 30N140W TO 27N140W TO
28N130W TO 26N127W TO 27N123W TO 29N115W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN
VIZCAINO BAY... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N TO
NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N119W TO 30N136W TO 26N127W TO
23N123W TO 25N117W TO 30N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN N SWELL.
.WITHIN 02N111W TO 02N115W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S110W
TO 02N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N115W TO 30N115W TO
28N113W TO 29N112W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA... S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SUN OCT 11...
.POST T.C. RACHEL...SCATTERED MODERATE N OF CENTER BETWEEN 116W
AND 119W.
.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM
13N TO 21N BETWEEN 101W AND 111W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 08N91W TO 13N100W. IT RESUMES NEAR
16N119W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG FROM
00N TO 07N BETWEEN 83W AND 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO
12N BETWEEN 134W AND 140W.
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 11 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 12 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 13 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 28N168W 1008 MB AND TROUGH FROM 22N180W TO LOW TO 30N167W...
BOTH DRIFTING E. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS E OF LOW...N OF 26N
BETWEEN 160W AND 167W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 27N BETWEEN 158W AND
160W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 26N BETWEEN 156W AND 165W...AND N OF A
LINE FROM 26N170W TO 17N180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 30N165W 1009 MB AND TROUGH FROM 22N171E TO
26N168W TO LOW. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 28N BETWEEN 170W AND 173W
AND SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF A LINE FROM 30N168W TO 22N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 31N165W 1011 MB AND TROUGH FROM 23N174W TO
25N169W TO LOW. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 28N BETWEEN 160W AND
173W...AND SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M N OF A LINE FROM 30N158W TO 22N180W.
.LOW 10N168W 1010 MB AND TROUGH FROM LOW TO 15N167W TO 18N164W.
BOTH DRIFTING W SLOWLY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
TSTMS FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 164W AND 172W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 09N171W 1010 MB AND TROUGH FROM LOW TO
16N170W TO 21N164W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 10N175W 1010 MB AND TROUGH FROM LOW TO
15N173W TO 20N169W.
.LOW 10N154W 1011 MB DRIFTING W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS NEAR
LOW FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 151W AND 165W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 08N156W 1010 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 08N160W 1010 MB.
.TROUGH 19N148W TO 24N150W TO 28N148W TO 27N151W MOVING W 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 16N153W TO 20N154W TO 24N155W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 16N154W TO 20N156W TO 28N158W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 148W AND 156W...AND FROM
16N TO 24N E OF 149W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 14N TO 24N BETWEEN 143W
AND 151W...AND N OF 27N AND E OF 144W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 149W
AND 151W...AND N OF 24N AND E OF 144W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF
FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 09N140W TO 09N145W TO THIRD LOW MENTIONED
ABOVE...AND
SECOND LOW DESCRIBED ABOVE TO 08N180W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS S
OF TROUGH FROM 00N TO 04N E OF 158W...AND FROM 00N TO 06N W OF
163W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=