TCMCP2
TROPICAL STORM NOLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 155.9W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 45SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 155.9W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 155.8W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.8N 156.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.4N 155.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.2N 155.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.1N 155.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 155.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 70SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.4N 156.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 80SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N 158.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 80SE 80SW 110NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.9N 162.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 155.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 24/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS
TCMEP1
HURRICANE ODALYS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162026
0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.7W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.7W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.9W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.1N 125.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.8N 124.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.7N 123.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 123.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.6N 123.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.8N 122.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 22.3N 122.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 22.0N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 126.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/HAGEN=
TCMEP2
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 102.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 923 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 35SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 102.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 102.3W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 103.7W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.9N 105.6W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.1N 107.5W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.9N 111.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.2N 112.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 22.5N 113.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 25.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 102.4W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 24/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER REINHART=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SEP 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 26.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER JUST NW OF AREA NEAR 56N172E 971 MB
MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 240 NM N AND NE OF A LINE FROM 54N170W TO
56N178W TO 57N175E...AND FROM 50N TO 55N W OF 177E WINDS 35 TO 45
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 63N W OF 162W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER NEAR 57N175E 964
MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 55N169W TO 57N179W TO
57N175E...AND FROM 51N TO 55N W OF 176E WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS
3.5 TO 6 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER NEAR 58N180W 961
MB. FROM 50N TO 53N BETWEEN 172W AND 178E...AND WITHIN 180 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 48N
TO 55N BETWEEN 169W AND 174E...NW OF A LINE FROM 57N177E TO
62N172W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N AND NE OF A LINE FROM 61N173W TO
61N166W TO 54N155W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 M...HIGHEST S
OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1260 NM S...1020 NM E...540 NM
N...AND 600 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER NEAR 57N175W 968
MB. WITHIN 420 NM N OF A LINE FROM 52N156W TO 48N180W WINDS 30 TO
40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1120 NM S...960 NM E...360
NM N...720 NM W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 6.5 M...HIGHEST SE
OF CENTER.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 41N137W 1008 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. FROM 37N TO 44N BETWEEN
133W AND 141W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N135W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 W SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N129W 999 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 39N TO 47N
BETWEEN 124W AND 137W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND NEAR 48N121W 1008 MB. FROM 37N TO
51N E OF 129W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER NEAR 57N141W 999 MB DRIFTING SE 05
KT. FROM 47N TO 60N BETWEEN 127W AND 150W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M...HIGHEST NE OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N140W 1008 MB. FROM 54N TO 59N BETWEEN
136W AND 144W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.FROM 35N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.24 HOUR FORECAST 44N154W 1008 MB WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
47N154W TO 42N151W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N145W 1010 MB. FROM 40N TO 51N BETWEEN
140W AND 148W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 51N TO 56N
BETWEEN 168W AND 177E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.FORECASTER POCHE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 26.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 16.0N 102.4W 923 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 24
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT
GUSTS 170 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 12.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N99W TO 18N103W TO
17N105W TO 15N105W TO 13N104W TO 13N101W TO 17N99W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N93W TO
14N100W TO 19N104W TO 15N106W TO 10N104W TO 10N96W TO 15N93W...
INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 16.9N 105.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT GUSTS 175 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150
NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 180 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS WITH
SEAS TO 13.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N103W TO 20N105W TO 18N109W TO
14N108W TO 14N105W TO 15N104W TO 18N103W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N100W TO 22N108W TO
17N112W TO 13N108W TO 10N109W TO 09N103W TO 16N100W...INCLUDING
NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 17.3N 109.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM
SE QUADRANT...AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N107W TO 20N112W TO 17N113W TO 14N113W TO
12N110W TO 14N107W TO 19N107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N104W TO 23N109W TO 26N117W TO
11N117W TO 09N105W TO 19N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES
AND THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 15.6N 126.7W 978 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 24
MOVING E OR 085 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...AND 240 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N127W TO 20N131W TO 17N132W TO 10N129W TO
1N124W TO 14N122W TO 20N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N123W TO 21N126W TO 22N131W TO
16N136W TO 10N127W TO 14N122W TO 19N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 16.8N 124.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS
...AND 210 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
17N120W TO 21N125W TO 19N130W TO 11N127W TO 12N121W TO 17N120W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
19N119W TO 23N128W TO 19N135W TO 15N135W TO 10N130W TO 11N120W TO
19N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 18.5N 123.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS
TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N120W TO 23N125W TO 18N129W TO
15N126W TO 16N121W TO 17N120W TO 21N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N116W TO 26N119W TO
23N128W TO 16N131W TO 10N125W TO 13N116W TO 24N116W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC THU SEP 24...
.HURRICANE POLO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 150 NM W QUADRANT. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE
.HURRICANE ODALYS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 15N96W...THEN RESUMES S OF
ODALYS FROM 10N131W TO 11N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 02N TO 12N BETWEEN 77W AND 92W...FROM
02N TO 05N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W...AND WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE
OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 126W AND 140W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SEP 24 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 25 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 26 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NOLO NEAR 14.7N 155.9W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
24 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...75 NM NW QUADRANT
AND 0 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 150W AND 159W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M
FROM 13N TO 22N BETWEEN 147W AND 159W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS
WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOLO NEAR 15.4N 155.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 150W AND 160W.
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM N OF OF LOW BETWEEN 151W
AND 159W...AND WITHIN 210 NM S OF LOW BETWEEN 152W AND 158W.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NOLO NEAR 16.2N 155.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NOLO NEAR 17.1N 155.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M FROM 15N TO 21N
BETWEEN 152W AND 157W...2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 25N
BETWEEN 150W AND 161W. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 450 NM N
OF LOW...AND WITHIN 210 NM S OF LOW BETWEEN 150W AND 160W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH FROM 30N158W TO 27N160W TO 24N162W MOVING W SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 30N160W TO 24N165W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.
.ELSEWHERE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N140W TO 15N149W...AND FROM 12N156W TO
11N158W 11N165W 08N176W 10N180W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 05N
TO 18N E OF 160W. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS ELSEWHERE
180 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH.
$$
.FORECASTER TSAMOUS. HONOLULU HI.=