TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026
0300 UTC WED JUL 15 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.5W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
4 M SEAS....150NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.5W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.7W
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.9N 112.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.0N 114.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.3N 117.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.8N 118.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.7N 120.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.8N 121.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 20.4N 124.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 22.8N 127.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 110.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC TUE JUL 14 2026
CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 16.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 59N162W 998 MB MOVING N 10 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SW...540 NM E
AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND NEAR 64N161W 1006 MB. FORECAST
CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 43N133W 1020 MB MOVING SE 05 KT. WITHIN 180 NM N AND W OF A
LINE FROM 45N133W TO 43N140W TO 40N145W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY
42N132W...30N165W...30N176W...40N153W...43N134W...42N132W WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.FROM 37N TO 41N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST FROM 32N
TO 41N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 41N BETWEEN 119W AND 127W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.FROM 50N TO 54N BETWEEN 129W AND 134W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 49N TO 54N BETWEEN 129W AND 134W WINDS
LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 47N TO 54N BETWEEN 127W AND 134W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N173W 1010 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SE
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N159W 1007 MB. FROM 47N TO 59N BETWEEN
150W AND 165W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 50N TO 59N
BETWEEN 146W AND 151W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 120 NM NW OF A LINE FROM
53N169W TO 49N174W TO 45N178E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.FORECASTER SHAW. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 16.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E NEAR 14.8N 109.2W 1006 MB AT 2100
UTC JUL 14 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 18N108W TO 17N111W TO 16N111W TO
16N109W
TO 14N107W TO 16N107W TO 18N108W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N104W TO 20N107W TO 18N110W TO 16N110W
TO 13N107W TO 15N105W TO 17N104W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN E TO SE
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIVE-E NEAR 14.9N 111.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEAS TO 4.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIVE-E NEAR 14.9N 113.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS TO 4 M WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
18N112W TO 18N115W TO 17N116W TO 16N114W TO 12N110W TO 15N111W
TO 18N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 16N109W TO 20N113W TO 16N116W TO 14N112W TO 05N113W
TO 08N111W TO 16N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN E
TO SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIVE-E NEAR 15.5N 117.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N113W TO 20N116W TO 18N120W TO
15N118W TO 12N114W TO 17N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M. WITHIN 10N114W TO 11N115W TO 10N117W TO 09N121W TO 08N121W TO
09N117W TO 10N114W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N112W TO 21N116W TO 20N121W TO 12N119W
TO 08N123W TO 08N114W TO 17N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO 10N88W TO 11N87W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 11N88W TO 10N89W TO
10N88W TO 11N87W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M. WITHIN 10.5N87.5W TO
11N88W TO 10.5N89W TO 10N89.5W TO 10N88.5W TO 10N88W TO
10.5N87.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N88W TO 10N89W TO 10N88W TO
11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO
15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 09N139.5W TO 09.5N139.5W TO 09.5N140W TO 08N140W TO
08.5N139.5W TO 09N139.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN SW
SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N139W TO 20N140W TO 19.5N140W TO
19.5N139W TO 20N138.5W TO 20N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
M IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 19N138W TO 20N139W TO 20N140W TO
19N140W TO 18N140W TO 18N139W TO 19N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 M IN NE TO E SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2040 UTC TUE JUL 14...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM
12N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 05.5N TO 18.5N
BETWEEN 104W AND 115W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM FROM 10.5N75W TO 08N88W THEN RESUMES FROM
14.5N136W TO BEYOND 11.5N140W. SEGMENTS OF ITCZ ARE FROM
07.5N90W TO 10N105W...THEN FROM 09N110W TO 10N131W...THEN FROM
13.5N136W TO 10.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM
08.5N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 89W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION FROM 01.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 129W AND
FROM 05.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W.
$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC JUL 14 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 15 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC JUL 16 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 08N169W 1010 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 10N180W 12N177W TO LOW TO
12N163W. LOW AND TROUGH MOVING NE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N165W 1007 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 10N180W
TO LOW TO 10N167W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 10N163W 1006 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 10N180W
08N170W TO LOW TO 10N155W. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN 120 NM
OF S SEMICIRCLE.
.LOW 08N153W 1010 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 12N163W TO LOW TO 10N145W
12N140W. LOW AND TROUGH MOVING E 5 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 08N152W 1009 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 10N167W
TO LOW TO 10N147W 12N140W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 09N150W 1008 MB. MONSOON TROUGH 10N155W
TO LOW TO 10N145W 10N140W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 120 NM
OF N SEMICIRCLE.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 150W AND 140W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN
165W AND 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2.5 M OR LESS.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 175W AND
165W...AND FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 156W AND 153W.
$$
.FORECASTER PECHACEK. HONOLULU HI.=