TCMCP4
TROPICAL STORM PENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC TUE NOV 10 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 165.2W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 30SE 75SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 165.2W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 165.0W
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 10.7N 166.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 10.6N 169.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 10.8N 172.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 11.3N 175.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 11.9N 179.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 12.4N 178.2E
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 12.5N 174.0E
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 165.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER EVANS/REINHART
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC TUE NOV 10 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC NOV 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 12.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.06 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 47N173E 989 MB AND
INTENSIFYING. FROM 35N TO 48N W OF 175W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4
TO 5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 50N176W 974 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 7.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N170W 965 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S QUADRANT
WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 44N TO 51N
BETWEEN 166W AND 176W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF 44N163W WINDS 40 TO 50
KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 M. ALSO FROM 35N TO 57N W OF 155W WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 7.5 M...HIGHEST WITHIN 540 NM S SEMICIRCLE.
ADDITIONALLY...EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED BELOW...S OF 35N W OF 155W
WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M...HIGHEST E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N149W 959 MB. FROM 38N TO 51N BETWEEN
135W AND 157W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 7 TO 14 M. ELSEWHERE S OF
57N BETWEEN 131W AND 168W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 M.
ALSO...EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED BELOW...S OF 59N E OF 177W WINDS
LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
LOW 47N143W 970 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED
BELOW...FROM 35N TO 48N BETWEEN 130W AND 168W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT.
SEAS 4.5 TO 9.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 39N152W. ELSEWHERE S OF 50N E OF
180W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 8 M...HIGHEST NEAR 41N168W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N139W 974 MB. EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED
BELOW...S OF 60N BETWEEN 125W AND 155W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3
TO 7 M...HIGHEST NEAR 33N149W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH
LOW 50N149W.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 48N148W 977 MB MOVING E 20 KT. WITHIN 360 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE CONDITIONS DESCRIBED
ABOVE WITH LOW 47N143W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH LOW 58N139W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 55N139W 970 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 50N E OF
149W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N147W 970 MB. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE
WITH LOW 58N139W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 59N151W 974 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. FROM 50N TO 60N BETWEEN
148W AND 169W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW
59N147W.
...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 35N136W 1010 MB. WITHIN 660 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE CONDITIONS
DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH LOW 58N139W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 38N127W 1006
MB. S OF 42N BETWEEN 124W AND 135W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N178E 990 MB. FROM 32N TO 46N W OF 170W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 52N TO 54N
BETWEEN 176W AND 177E AND FROM 58N TO 60N BETWEEN 149W AND 153W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 49N TO 54N BETWEEN 160W AND
179W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 47N W OF 175W AND FROM
54N TO 56N W OF 178W.
.LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF 60N W OF ALASKA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY N OF 60N W OF ALASKA AND
FROM 56N TO 60N BETWEEN 153W AND 165W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.FORECASTER JOSEPH. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE NOV 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED NOV 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU NOV 12.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 24N113W TO 29N115W TO 30N140W TO 08N140W TO 12N122W TO
24N113W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY AND WITHIN 60 NM OF
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N109W TO 30N130W TO 25N140W TO
06N140W TO 11N109W TO 17N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N127W TO 16N132W TO 20N135W TO
20N140W TO 07N140W TO 08N136W TO 17N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 05N111W TO 09N114W TO 00N130W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S98W TO 05N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S97W TO 01N110W TO 04N114W TO 00N130W
TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S94W TO 01S97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 01N139W TO 02N139W TO 03N140W TO 00N140W TO 00N139W TO
00N139W TO 01N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN MERGING SE
AND NW TO N SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N87W TO 11N88W TO 10N88W TO
10N87W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT JUST NW OF AREA. WITHIN 30N136W TO
30N140W TO 28N140W TO 29N138W TO 30N136W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N139W TO 29N140W. WITHIN
30N136W TO 30N140W TO 29N140W TO 30N137W TO 30N136W NW WINDS 20
TO 30 KT...EXCEPT SW WINDS AHEAD OF FRONT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.5 M IN
NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N135W TO 30N134W TO 30N136W TO
29N140W TO 28N140W TO 28N139W TO 29N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N125.5W TO25.5N130W TO
22N140W. WITHIN 30N126W TO 30N133W TO 27N131W TO 27N128W TO
30N126W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 5.0 M IN NW SWELL.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N123W TO 28N132W TO 30N133W TO 30N140W TO
20N140W TO 20N135W TO 30N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
5.5 M IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 30N135W.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2000 UTC TUE NOV 10...
.TROUGH FROM 14N123W TO 1012 MB LOW PRES AT 13N125W TO
05.5N140W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90-180 NM OF
TROUGH AND LOW.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 1011 MB LOW PRES AT 10.5N75W TO ACROSS
PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA TO NEAR GULF OF PAPAGAYO AT
10.5N86W TO 1011 MB LOW PRES AT 10N95W TO 06N96W. ITCZ FROM
06N96W TO 04N110W TO 04.5N120W TO 08N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 10N BETWEEN 103W AND 119W...AND FROM
00N TO 10N BETWEEN 119W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 03.4S
TO 02.5N BETWEEN 79W AND 83W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC NOV 10 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 11 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC NOV 12 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 10.8N 165.2W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV
10 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...AND 100 NM NE QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE
FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 160W AND 173W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE
FROM 07N TO 24N BETWEEN 160W AND 170W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
MODERATE TSTMS UP TO 180 NM N AND E OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 10.6N 169.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 24N BETWEEN 162W AND 173W. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 167W AND 171W WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 20N BETWEEN 160W AND 174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PENA NEAR 11.3N 175.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 168W AND 179W. SEAS 3.5 TO 4 M
FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 175W AND 177W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M ELSEWHERE
FROM 04N TO 27N BETWEEN 170W AND 177W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COLD FRONT 30N156W TO 27N167W...THEN WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT
TO 26N174W TO 27N180W. COLD FRONT MOVING SE 10 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5
M N OF BOTH FRONTS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 29N140W TO 25N154W TO 25N170W...
STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATED. N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT UP TO 250
NM N OF FRONT. N OF FRONT...SEAS 4 TO 6 M E OF 161W...AND 2.5 TO
4 M W OF 161W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 22N140W TO 20N150W TO 18N165W. NE TO
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT UP TO 280 NM N OF FRONT. N OF FRONT...SEAS
3.5 TO 4.5 M E OF 152W...AND 2.5 TO 3.5 M W OF 152W.
.LOW NEAR 03N176W 1011 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED BY MONSOON TROUGH.
.NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 14N TO 23N W OF ROM 22N TO 15N W
OF 173W.
.24 HR FORECAST NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 09N TO 26N BETWEEN
145W AND 162W...AND FROM 11N TO 24N W OF 173W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NE TO ENE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 09N TO COLD
FRONT MENTIONED ABOVE BETWEEN 140W AND 168W.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M FROM 08N TO COLD FRONT MENTIONED ABOVE BETWEEN
140W AND 160W...AND FROM 06N TO COLD FRONT W OF 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M FROM 07N TO 23N E OF 170W.
SEAS 3 TO 4 M N OF 10N W OF 174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M FROM 08N TO 19N E OF
170W...AND FROM 06N TO 27N W OF 177W.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA UNLESS OTHERWISE DESCRIBED IN TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ABOVE.
.MONSOON TROUGH 05N140W TO 04N150W TO 07N163W TO LOW DESCRIBED
ABOVE. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 00N TO 08N E OF 145W.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 200 NM N OF TROUGH E OF 160W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=