TCMCP4
HURRICANE LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 161.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE 60SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 330SE 330SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 161.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 161.5W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.7N 160.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 85NE 85SE 55SW 65NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.3N 160.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 27.2N 161.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 28.2N 163.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.2N 166.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.9N 168.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 28.0N 171.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 30.5N 171.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 161.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 PHFO/HFOTCPCP4...AT 08/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132026
0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 125.9W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 150SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 125.9W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 125.6W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.8N 126.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 27.2N 127.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.1N 129.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 31.3N 130.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.4N 132.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 125.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC TUE SEP 08 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SEP 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 10.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 57N171W 998 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. BETWEEN 90 NM AND 480 NM
SE...180 NM AND 300 NM S AND 120 NM AND 360 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 52N167W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED INLAND WITH NEW LOW NEAR 60N148W
1007 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SE...420 NM S AND 480 NM SW QUADRANTS
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 57N149W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 60N148W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM
SE...360 NM S AND 360 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 4 M...HIGHEST S OF LOW.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 43N172W 1013 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 180 NM E AND SE OF
A FRONT FROM 50N164W TO THE LOW TO 35N180W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N172W 1012 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE...660 NM
SW AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N173W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW...NW AND
240 NM NE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5
M...HIGHEST NEAR 44N173W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N177W 1016 MB. WITHIN 240 NM FROM LOW
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WELL W OF THE AREA WITH MAIN LOW
56N163E. IN THE BERING SEA N OF 52N W OF 176E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M...HIGHEST NEAR 53N171E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW WELL W OF THE AREA. W
AND NW OF A LINE FROM 51N176E TO 57N175W TO 62N175W AREA OF S
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 56N173E.
ELSEWHERE IN THE BERING SEA FROM 52N TO 63N W OF 170W WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 30N TO 33N BETWEEN 123W AND 140W AREA OF NE TO E WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 33N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W AREA OF
NE TO E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIE NEAR 31N130W
1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS TO 35 KT. FROM 30N
TO 34N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.FROM 36N TO 42N BETWEEN 123W AND 127W AREA OF N WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 45N BETWEEN 124W AND 137W AREA OF
N TO NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 360 NM SE AND S OF A LINE FROM 46N125W
TO 38N143W AREA OF NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.FROM 30N TO 34N BETWEEN 145W AND 168W AREA OF NE TO E WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN 145W AND 165W AREA OF
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN SE
SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 30N158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 150W AND 174W AREA OF
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M IN SE SWELL...HIGHEST
NEAR 30N163W.
.LOW 60N148W 1006 MB MOVING NW 15 KTS. N OF 50N BETWEEN 135W AND
155W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 56N149W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL INLAND WITH NEW LOW TO FORM NEAR
60N148W AND CONDITIONS DESCRIBED ABOVE IN WARNINGS SECTION.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 47N TO 53N
BETWEEN 151W AND 164W...N OF 65N W OF ALASKA...AND WITHIN 60 NM N
OF A LINE FROM 58N151W TO 60N146W TO 58N136W TO ALASKA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 53N TO 56N BETWEEN 137W AND
148W...FROM 41N TO 45N BETWEEN 168W AND 174W AND WITHIN 90 NM N
AND NE OF A LINE FROM 59N146W TO 56N136W TO ALASKA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 90 NM N OF A LINE FROM 47N175W
TO 47N162W AND FROM 64N TO 66N W OF ALASKA.
.FORECASTER FUTTERMAN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 8.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 9.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 10.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 25.1N 125.9W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
08 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. WITHIN 29N124W TO 30N127W TO 29N131W TO
25N132W TO 22N128W TO 24N122W TO 29N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.5 M. WITHIN 29N122W TO 26N133W TO 29N140W TO 24N138W TO
17N128W TO 21N122W TO 29N122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MARIE NEAR 27.2N 127.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE
QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
4.5 M. WITHIN 28N124W TO 30N125W TO 28N128W TO 30N132W TO
26N132W TO 26N125W TO 28N124W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M. WITHIN 25N125W TO 25N132W TO 30N135W TO 28N140W TO
20N137W TO 20N131W TO 25N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 29.1N
129.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE N OF THE AREA
NEAR 31.3N 130.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 30N126W TO 30N136W TO 29N135W TO
28N132W TO 29N127W TO 30N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 12N86W TO 12N88W TO 11N88W TO 10N86W TO 11N86W TO
12N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N87W TO 12N88W TO 11N88W TO 11N86W TO
12N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N86W TO 12N88W TO 11N89W TO 10N88W TO
10N87W TO 11N86W TO 12N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... E
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 02S112W TO 02S113W TO 02S119W TO 02S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S111W TO 02S112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N109W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S108W TO 00N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S107W TO 01N110W TO 00N114W TO
03S116W TO 03.4S100W TO 01S107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN NW TO N SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO
14N95W TO 15N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO
15N95W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... E WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0350 UTC TUE SEP 8...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE...SCATTERED MODERATE IN THE SE QUADRANT
FROM 19N TO 25N BETWEEN 121W AND 126W.
.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 88W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 03N TO 14N
BETWEEN 79W AND 94W.
.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 109W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 06N TO 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 117W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N83W TO 14N109W TO
10N126W AND TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 00N TO
14N WEST OF 117W.
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SEP 08 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 09 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 10 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LOWELL NEAR 20.3N 161.3W 956 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 08
MOVING NNE OR 025 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20
TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 29N BETWEEN 155W AND 167W. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND
300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE
N OF 03N W OF 155W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 95
NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND 35 NM NE SEMICIRCLE FROM CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 25.3N 160.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 150W AND
167W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 22N TO 31N BETWEEN 153W AND 166W
WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE N OF 11N W OF
146W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 28.2N 163.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND
50 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN
155W AND 170W. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER N OF 27N BETWEEN 157W AND 168W
WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M ELSEWHERE N OF 21N BETWEEN
146W AND 176W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.LOW 23N150W 1004 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 23N
TO 30N BETWEEN 144W AND 154W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M ELSEWHERE N OF
20N BETWEEN 141W AND 154W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW OPENED INTO A TROUGH AND ABSORBED INTO
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL.
.WINDS 20 TO 30 KT FROM 03N TO 08N W OF 165W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS SUBSIDED BELOW 20 KT.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 09N140W TO 10N150W TO 16N158W...AND 17N165W TO
12N173W TO 13N180W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS NEAR TROUGH WITHIN
50 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N160W TO 15N155W TO 18N153W...AND FROM 06N
TO 10N BETWEEN 142W AND 148W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG TSTMS S OF TROUGH FROM 00N TO 04N BETWEEN 147W AND
154W...AND FROM 00N TO 09N W OF 167W.
$$
.FORECASTER CHAN. HONOLULU HI.=