TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ODALYS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162026
2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 130.1W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 130.1W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 130.4W
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.2N 129.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.4N 128.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.8N 126.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.5N 125.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.3N 124.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N 123.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.6N 123.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.3N 122.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 130.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/HAGEN=
TCMEP2
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.5W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 892 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 30SE 30SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.5W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.5W
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.0N 101.8W
MAX WIND 160 KT...GUSTS 195 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 50SE 45SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.5N 102.4W
MAX WIND 160 KT...GUSTS 195 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N 103.6W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.7N 105.2W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 106.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.4N 108.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.7N 111.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 101.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 23/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 24.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW W OF AREA NEAR 51N170E 998 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 360
NM NE AND 540 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N178E 980 MB. WITHIN 240 NM W AND 540 NM
E SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
600 NM NE AND 1080 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N178W 957 MB. WITHIN 320 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...AND BETWEEN 300 NM AND 540 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 40
TO 55 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...AND BETWEEN 660 NM AND 840 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ALSO WITHIN 840 NM NE AND 1260 NM SE
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 K. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 55N140W 993 MB MOVING NW KT. WITHIN 180 NM N AND 420 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
240 NM N AND 600 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N142W 996 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 300 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND 540 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N139W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF LOW
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 38N159W 1018 MB MOVING NE. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N172W 1012 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 180
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N132W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N AND 240
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 49N TO 53N W
OF 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 49N TO 55N W OF 174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 50N BETWEEN 159W AND
172W.
.FORECASTER HOLLEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 24.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 14.6N 101.5W 892 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 22
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT
GUSTS 190 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 14 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N100W TO 17N102W TO
15N105W TO 13N103W TO 12N102W TO 12N100W TO 15N100W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N104W TO
15N106W TO 11N104W TO 09N103W TO 11N100W TO 15N96W TO 18N104W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 15.5N 102.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT GUSTS 195 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N99W TO 18N104W
TO 16N106W TO 13N105W TO 12N103W TO 13N100W TO 16N99W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N96W TO
18N105W TO 19N106W TO 15N107W TO 09N105W TO 09N100W TO 12N96W TO
14N96W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 16.7N 105.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT GUSTS 185 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N101W TO 20N106W TO 18N108W TO 15N107W TO
13N106W TO 13N102W TO 17N101W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N98W TO 21N109W TO 18N111W TO 15N09W
TO 10N106W TO 09N102W TO 10N99W TO 15N98W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED
SWELL.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ODALYS NEAR 15.1N 130.1W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
22 MOVING ENE OR 060 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 140 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N127W TO 20N132W TO 17N135W TO
13N132W TO 11N130W TO 15N126W TO 18N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N125W TO 21N131W TO
20N134W TO 18N135W TO 13N133W TO 11N127W TO 16N125W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 15.2N 129.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 15.4N 128.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 15 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 17N124W TO 19N130W TO 16N132W TO 12N130W TO 11N125W TO
14N122W TO 17N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 18N124W TO 22N132W TO 20N135W TO 15N135W TO 11N130W
TO 11N123W TO 18N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ODALYS NEAR 16.5N 125.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM
SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N120W TO 20N125W TO 18N129W TO 13N128W TO
11N126W TO 12N120W TO 18N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N119W TO 19N122W TO 22N129W TO 17N135W
TO 11N129W TO 11N120W TO 16N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 20N134W TO 23N140W TO 15N140W TO 15N136W TO 13N133W TO
17N135W TO 20N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED
NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 20N135W TO 22N140W TO 15N140W TO 15135W
TO 12N134W TO 20N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN E TO SE
SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC TUE SEP 22...
.HURRICANE POLO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER.
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM IN THE SE
QUADRANT. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN
180 NM IN THE W SEMICIRCLE.
.TROPICAL STORM ODALYS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 05N...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN
180 NM W AND 60 NM E OF WAVE FROM 12N TO 14N.
.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 14N W OF 136W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N87W TO 11N89W. NO
SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION IS NOTED.
$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SEP 22 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 23 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 24 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW NEAR 14N150W 1007 MB MOVING WNW 10 KT. TROUGH FROM 16N150W TO
TO LOW TO 12N154W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 142W
AND 156W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M FROM 13N TO 25N E OF 155W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TSTMS FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 148W AND 155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH LOW NEAR
15N155W 1004 MB. TROUGH DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN 420
NM N OF LOW BETWEEN 148W AND 158W. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M FROM 12N TO
25N E OF 159W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH LOW NEAR
15N156W 999 MB. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN 420 NM N OF LOW AND
210 NM S OF LOW BETWEEN 151W AND 159W. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M FROM 11N
TO 22N BETWEEN 150W AND 160W.
.TROUGH FROM 01N170W TO 04N171W 10N176W MOVING SLOWLY W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ABSORBED INTO MONSOON TROUGH.
.ELSEWHERE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 13N140W 16N146W 16N148W...AND 13N150W 11N151W
10N156W 10N162W 08N168W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 03N TO 06N E OF
156W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH.
$$
.FORECASTER TSAMOUS. HONOLULU HI.=