TCMEP1
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
0900 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 118.0W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 65NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 118.0W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.1N 119.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.6N 120.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.1N 122.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.4N 124.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.8N 126.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.1N 129.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 19.1N 134.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 20.0N 139.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 120NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 118.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 23.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 30N127W 1001 MB MOVING N 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N127W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N130W 1014 MB. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 58N170W 997 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE...540 NM
SE...240 NM SW...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 62N161W 1005 MB. WITHIN 600 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 45N TO 55N BETWEEN 134W AND 127W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 44N TO 57N BETWEEN 136W AND 127W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 45N TO 57N BETWEEN 127W AND 137W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N179E 992 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE...AND 420
NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 63N166W 989 MB. WITHIN 660 NM SE...420 NM
SW...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5
M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 34N E OF 121W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 50N TO 58N W OF
167W.
.24 HOUR LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 50N TO 54N W OF 171W...AND FROM
48N TO 51N BETWEEN 155W AND 160W.
.FORECASTER BYRD. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 23.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 15.4N 118.0W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 21
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...
180 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 7.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N115W TO 19N118W TO
17N120W TO 11N120W TO 12N117W TO 14N115W TO 18N115W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N111W TO
21N117W TO 17N122W TO 08N122W TO 10N114W TO 15N110W TO 19N111W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 16.6N 120.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM IN NE SEMICIRCLE...
180 NM IN NW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM IN SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 9
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N116W TO 21N121W TO 17N124W TO 14N122W TO
14N120W TO 15N117W TO 19N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 24N113W TO 24N123W TO 16N127W TO
12N122W TO 14N114W TO 24N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 17.4N 124.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 130 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 150 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N120W TO
22N124W TO 19N129W TO 17N129W TO 14N122W TO 15N120W TO 19N120W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 6.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
22N118W TO 26N126W TO 24N130W TO 17N131W TO 12N127W TO 14N118W TO
22N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW PRES N OF AREA NEAR 31N127.5W 1002 MB. WITHIN 30N124W TO
30N130W TO 29N129W TO 29N127W TO 29N126W TO 29N125W TO 30N124W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 22N127W
TO 30N123W TO 30N133W TO 22N140W TO 11N138W TO 14N128W TO 22N127W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 11N88W TO 12N88W TO 11N90W TO 10N90W TO 10N88W TO 11N86W
TO 11N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N88W TO 10N89W
TO 08N92W TO 08N92W TO 08N91W TO 10N88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE TO E SWELL.
.21 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 01N118W TO 06N126W TO 00N129W TO 00N120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S109W TO 01N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S118W TO 01S119W TO 01S119W TO
01S120W TO 03S119W TO 03S118W TO 01S118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 M IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N136W TO 01N137W TO 00N140W TO
00N140W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S120W TO 00N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 M IN SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0840 UTC TUE JUL 21...
.HURRICANE FAUSTO...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM
12N TO 16N BETWEEN 116W AND 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 09.5N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 113W AND 123W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09.5N73W TO 08.5N83W TO 05N95W TO 10N113W...
WHERE IT BREAKS FOR HURRICANE FAUSTO...THEN RESUMES NEAR
13.5N124W TO BEYOND 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM
04N TO 09N E OF 98W AND FROM 03.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 06N TO 11.5N
BETWEEN 102W AND 111W.
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 21 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 22 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 23 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N176W 29N177W 27N178W MOVING W SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA.
.TROUGH 30N167W 28N167W 26N167W MOVING W 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N170W 27N171W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N175W 28N177W.
.LOW NEAR 07N164W 1008 MB MOVING WNW SLOWLY. TROUGH FROM 16N155W
TO 10N157W TO LOW TO 08N172W NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED MODERATE
TSTMS FROM 12N TO 05N BETWEEN 175W AND 155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N166W 1008 MB. TROUGH FROM 11N155W
TO LOW TO 10N174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N167W 1008 MB. TROUGH FROM 10N161W
TO LOW TO 09N176W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 17N TO 07N BETWEEN 176W AND 157W...AND FROM
17N TO 12N BETWEEN 153W AND 147W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 17N TO 11N BETWEEN 157W
AND 150W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 18N TO 12N BETWEEN 164W
AND 154W.
.SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 07N140W 07N148W 08N158W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS
FROM 10N TO 03N E OF 154W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 09N TO 06N W OF 175W...AND FROM 05N
TO 02N BETWEEN 175W AND 165W.
$$
.FORECASTER TROTTER. HONOLULU HI.=