TCMEP3
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026
0900 UTC THU OCT 01 2026
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 330SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 109.1W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.6N 109.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.8N 110.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.9N 111.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.2N 112.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N 113.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 114.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 116.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 20.7N 119.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 109.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192026
0900 UTC THU OCT 01 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 124.6W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 124.6W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 125.2W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.4N 122.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 120.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 124.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=
TCMCP2
TROPICAL STORM NOLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC THU OCT 01 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 165.2W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 165.2W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 165.0W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.0N 165.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 22.4N 166.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 22.7N 167.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 22.9N 169.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 22.9N 171.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 23.3N 175.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 60SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.7N 178.0E
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 120NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 25.7N 171.0E
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 165.2W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 01/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER EVANS/GIBBS
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC THU OCT 01 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
FROM OCTOBER 15 TO APRIL 1, DUE TO THE CLIMATOLOGY OF THE NORTH
PACIFIC AND THE FREQUENCY AND VOLUME OF WEATHER HAZARDS, ALONG
WITH CUSTOMER FEEDBACK, HIGH SEAS FORECASTS WILL BE LIMITED TO
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND HIGHER, AND SEAS OF 4 METERS OR
GREATER, ALONG WITH FREEZING SPRAY, DENSE FOG, VOLCANIC ASH, AND
ANYTHING TROPICAL (INCLUDING A DEPRESSION). LESSER CONDITIONS
WILL BE INCLUDED FOR WARNING CONDITIONS AND TO PRESERVE
CONTINUITY WHERE APPROPRIATE.
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 03.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH PRIMARY CENTER 53N174E 989 MB MOVING SE 30 KT
AND SECONDARY CENTER 51N171W 989 MB MOVING N 05 KT TURNING E
AFTER 06 HOURS. FROM 54N TO 58N BETWEEN 173E AND 179W...AND
WITHIN 120 NM N...E...AND SE OF A FRONT FROM SECONDARY CENTER TO
51N168W TO 49N165W TO 44N167W...WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 38N180W TO
41N163W TO 51N160W TO 59N173W TO 60N178E TO 52N170E TO 38N180W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH ORIGINAL PRIMARY CENTER
DISSIPATED...ORIGINAL SECONDARY CENTER NOW PRIMARY CENTER 51N168W
990 MB...AND NEW SECONDARY CENTER 53N159W 995 MB. FRONT FROM NEW
PRIMARY CENTER TO NEW SECONDARY CENTER TO 52N154W TO 47N156W TO
41N165W. WITHIN 300 NM N...NE...AND E OF FRONT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 37N TO 58N W OF 154W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH PRIMARY CENTER 54N156W 995 MB.
BETWEEN A LINE FROM 53N159W TO 59N147W AND THE ALASKA COAST WINDS
30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY A LINE FROM 36N178W TO 36N155W TO 50N141W TO 60N141W TO
60N178W TO 36N178W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.42 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW W OF AREA. WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF
A LINE FROM 57N174E TO 55N176E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 53N167E 970 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE
OF A FRONT FROM 55N170E TO 51N179E WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
4 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 41N TO 60N W OF 178W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 3 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 60N147W 1002 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. FROM 57N TO 59N BETWEEN
146W AND 143W...AND FROM 58N TO 60N BETWEEN 146W AND THE ALASKA
COAST...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N145W 1011 MB. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N133W TO 30N120W TO
43N123W TO 43N126W TO 30N133W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 36N126W
TO 43N124W AREA OF NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 43N BETWEEN 127W AND 124W AREA OF N
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 37N151W 1009 MB MOVING NE 10 KT
AND SECOND CENTER 46N142W 1009 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. FRONT FROM
30N154W TO 39N149W TO SECOND CENTER TO 47N130W. WITHIN AN AREA
BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N174W TO 30N153W TO 46N130W TO 49N130W
TO 49N142W TO 30N174W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...WINDS FROM NE W OF
FRONT AND FROM SW E OF FRONT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 37N149W 1013 MB
AND SECOND CENTER 50N129W 1009 MB. CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH
FIRST CENTER DIMINISHED. FROM 45N TO 49N BETWEEN 137W AND 131W
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SECOND CENTER DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 51N TO 54N W OF
178W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 48N152W TO 54N150W.
.FORECASTER CONNELLY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 3.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.4N 109.3W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 01
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE QUADRANT AND
180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N104W
TO 22N108W TO 21N111W TO 20N112W TO 15N109W TO 16N105W TO 19N104W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M IN NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 21N106W TO 25N108W TO 25N116W TO 17N119W TO 14N110W
TO 20N112W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL. WITHIN 16N98W TO 18N103W TO 10N115W TO 07N114W TO
08N105W TO 12N99W TO 16N98W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0
M IN W TO NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.8N 110.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N106W TO 22N112W TO 18N113W
TO 16N112W TO 15N108W TO 17N106W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N106W TO 28N119W TO
18N119W TO 13N124W TO 11N116W TO 20N113W TO 21N106W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL. WITHIN 16N99W TO
19N104W TO 15N108W TO 10N116W TO 07N107W TO 10N101W TO
16N99W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.2N 112.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 390
NM SE AND 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 22N108W TO 23N112W TO 22N114W TO 19N115W TO 16N113W TO
16N108W TO 22N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 8.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 28N115W TO 25N120W TO 13N119W TO 08N113W
TO 08N108W TO 14N98W TO 28N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E NEAR 15.3N 124.6W 1006 MB AT
0900 UTC OCT 01 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 14N121W TO 15N126W TO 14N129W TO
12N129W TO 10N127W TO 11N123W TO 14N121W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NINETEEN-E NEAR
15.2N 120.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
CONDITIONS MERGED WITH HURCN RACHEL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N98W TO 15N98W TO 14N97W TO 14N95W TO 14N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...W WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN W SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 16N98W TO 13N98W TO 13N95W TO
14N94W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...W WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN W TO NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 25N125W TO 30N120W TO 30N133W TO 21N139W TO 17N135W TO
20N125W TO 25N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NE
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N110W TO 00N115W TO 02S119W TO
03.4S119W TO 03.4S107W TO 00N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S115W TO 01S117W TO 02S119W TO
03.4S119W TO 03.4S114W TO 03S114W TO 01S115W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC THU OCT 1...
.HURRICANE RACHEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG FROM
15N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W.
.T.D. NINETEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN
124W AND 128W.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 10N
BETWEEN 84W AND 90W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 17N100W...THEN RESUMES W OF RACHEL
NEAR 16N110W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 300 NM
S OF THE TROUGH.
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC OCT 01 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 02 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC OCT 03 2026.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NOLO NEAR 21.8N 165.2W 999 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 01
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE
QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM
SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 5 M. SEAS TO 2.5 TO 4 M ELSEWHERE FROM 26N TO 16N W OF
160W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM N OF STORM CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOLO NEAR 22.4N 166.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 23N TO
25N BETWEEN 165W AND 168W WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M
ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 160W AND 175W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOLO NEAR 22.9N 169.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT
...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 23N TO 26N
BETWEEN 166W AND 171W WITH SEAS TO 6.5 M. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M
ELSEWHERE N OF 18N BETWEEN 164W AND 176W.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FRONT FROM 30N160W TO 28N166W TO 26N170W MOVING ESE SLOWLY N OF
29N NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 60 NM OF
FRONT S OF 28N. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N OF 25N BETWEEN 163W AND 174W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N153W TO 29N163W TO 25N171W. WINDS
20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 120 NM N OF FRONT S OF 26N. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M N
OF FRONT BETWEEN 163W AND 172W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N140W TO 07N151W.
.SCATTERED TO ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF 06N162W...
AND WITHIN A 150 NM OF 07N177W.
$$
.FORECASTER BLOOD. HONOLULU HI.=