TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 111.2W
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.8N 113.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.7N 115.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.9N 116.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.9N 118.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.9N 121.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 17.5N 125.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 18.4N 130.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 111.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH=
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026
1500 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 125.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 70SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 125.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 125.1W
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.7N 126.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 50SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.0N 126.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 20SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 28.6N 127.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.5N 127.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 34.0N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 36.0N 127.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 125.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH=
HSFEPI
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC SUN JUL 19 2026
CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC S OF 67N AND N OF 30N E OF A LINE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
TO 53N172E TO 50N180W TO 30N180W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUL 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 21.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N180W 1000 MB. WITHIN 540 NM S QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N168W 1000 MB. FROM 52N TO 61N BETWEEN
153W AND 173W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 58N163W 1003 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. FROM 46N TO 60N BETWEEN
143W AND 169W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH NEW LOW 59N150W 1018 MB. N
OF 47N BETWEEN 142W AND 158W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.
.FROM 38N TO 55N E OF 133W AREA OF NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 54N E OF 136W AREA OF NW TO N WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 39N TO 54N BETWEEN 126W AND 139W AREA OF
NW TO N
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELIDA NEAR 31.5N 127.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 37N
BETWEEN 124W AND 133W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 55N163E 997 MB. FROM 51N TO
55N W OF 177E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 43N TO 59N
BETWEEN 145W AND 159W...AND FROM 50N TO 58N W OF 179E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 57N BETWEEN 146W AND
152W...AND FROM 51N TO 59N W OF 174W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 53N TO 56N BETWEEN 165W AND 172W
AND FROM 50N TO 57N W OF 177W.
.FORECASTER JOSEPH. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 21.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E NEAR 12.4N 111.7W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUL 19 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIX-E NEAR 12.8N 113.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIX-E NEAR 13.7N 115.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN WITHIN 240 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT WITHIN 300 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N111W TO 18N113W TO 15N116W TO 10N115W TO
10N111W TO 13N109W TO 17N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N109W TO 18N111W TO 18N115W TO
10N117W TO 09N111W TO 12N110W TO 17N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIX-E NEAR 15.9N 118.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120
NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
17N113W TO 20N116W TO 17N121W TO 12N120W TO 10N115W TO 12N114W TO
17N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 20N113W TO 21N118W TO 16N122W TO 10N120W TO 08N113W TO
14N110W TO 20N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 22.2N 125.3W 996 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
19 MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...300 NM NW
QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 7 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 24N121W TO 27N126W TO 27N129W TO 24N133W TO 19N127W TO
19N122W TO 24N121W 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 27N118W TO 29N129W TO 22N139W TO 18N138W TO 11N126W
TO 18N117W TO 27N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 26.0N 126.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240
NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...180 SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 26N120W
TO 30N125W TO 28N138W TO 14N390W TO 14N126W TO 26N120W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 31.5N
127.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N125.5W TO 30N130.5W TO
29.5N130W TO 29N127W TO 30N125.5W W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 3 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N123W TO 29N128W TO 30N135W TO
27N136W TO 24N133W TO 25N127W TO 30N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M PRIMARILY IN N TO NE SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 15N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 11N86W TO 12N88W TO 10N89W TO 10N90W TO 08N88W TO 10N86W
TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 10N95W TO 11N99W TO 09N101W TO 06N100W TO 06N97W TO
08N95W TO 10N95W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.WITHIN 05N107W TO 05N115W TO 03N124W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S110W TO
01S107W TO 05N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN SE TO
S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 05N111W TO 06N121W TO 00N127W TO
01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S104W TO 05N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SE TO S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N111W TO 03N122W TO 01N124W TO
01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S108W TO 01N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SE TO S SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC SUN JUL 19...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
60 NM SW AND W QUADRANTS. NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND ALSO FROM 24N TO 25N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 111W AND 117W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N82W TO 09N91W TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIX-E TO 10N127W AND TO 09N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 129W AND 140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE TROUGH
FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE
TROUGH BETWEEN 123W AND 127W.
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 180W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUL 19 2026.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 20 2026.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 21 2026.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW NEAR 15N175W 1008 MB MOVING W 10 KT. TROUGH FROM LOW 11N175W
11N178W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW. SEAS
2.5 TO 3 M WITHIN 180 NM N OF LOW. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITH
90 NM S OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 15N179W. WINDS WEAKENED TO 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M WITHIN 150 NM N OF LOW.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED W OF AREA.
.LOW NEAR 07N157W 1008 MB MOVING SLOWLY W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TSTMS E OF LOW OR WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 07N140W TO
LOW TO 01N158W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N162W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENED LOW NEAR 08N165W.
.TROUGH 12N159W 10N161W 08N161W MOVING SLOWLY SSW. SCATTERED TSTMS
WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 10N161W 08N161W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH NEAR 08N164W.
.TROUGH 09N172W 07N180W NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN
150 NM OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ABSORBED INTO SECOND LOW ABOVE NEAR
08N162W.
.WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 20N TO 13N BETWEEN 154W AND 160W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS EASED 20 KT OR LESS.
.OTHERWISE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 19N TO 09N BETWEEN 149W AND 161W...AND S OF
03N W OF 160W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 17N TO 10N BETWEEN 153W
AND 168W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M FROM 17N TO 10N BETWEEN 159W
AND 172W.
.OTHERWISE...SEAS 2.5 M OR LOWER OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.
.ITCZ 10N141W 09N156W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF
ITCZ.
.SCATTERED STRONG TO MODERATE TSTMS ALONG A LINE 07N140W 01N160W.
ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF 14N163W.
$$
.FORECASTER BLOOD. HONOLULU HI.=