TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092026
0300 UTC WED OCT 07 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 95.0W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 95.0W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 95.4W
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N 94.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 20SE 40SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N 92.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.2N 91.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.3N 89.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 35NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.1N 88.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 28.8N 88.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 34.1N 88.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 39.0N 86.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 95.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
HSFAT1
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2230 UTC TUE OCT 06 2026
CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOE+AOW/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
FROM OCTOBER 15 TO APRIL 1, DUE TO THE CLIMATOLOGY OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC AND THE FREQUENCY AND VOLUME OF WEATHER HAZARDS, ALONG
WITH CUSTOMER FEEDBACK, HIGH SEAS FORECASTS WILL BE LIMITED TO
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND HIGHER, AND SEAS OF 4 METERS OR
GREATER, ALONG WITH FREEZING SPRAY, DENSE FOG, VOLCANIC ASH, AND
ANYTHING TROPICAL (INCLUDING A DEPRESSION). LESSER CONDITIONS
WILL BE INCLUDED FOR WARNING CONDITIONS AND TO PRESERVE
CONTINUITY WHERE APPROPRIATE.
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC OCT 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC OCT 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC OCT 08.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 53N61W 977 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. FROM 43N TO 50N BETWEEN 54W
AND 66W...WITHIN 240 NM N OF A LINE FROM 55N61W TO 53N45W...AND
FROM 47N TO 54N BETWEEN 39W AND 45W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N TO 61N BETWEEN 35W AND 70W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N53W 977 MB. FROM 58N TO 60N BETWEEN 40W
AND 51W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N50W 983 MB AND SECOND NEW CENTER 60N40W
994 MB. FROM 58N TO 62N BETWEEN 41W AND 47W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 4 TO 6.5 M. ALSO FROM 40N TO 61N BETWEEN 40W AND 63W AND N
OF 60N BETWEEN 35W AND THE E COAST OF GREENLAND WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 38N35W TO 48N63W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW E OF THE AREA. WITHIN 120 NM S AND
SW OF A LINE FROM 58N35W TO 60N38W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7
M. ELSEWHERE N OF 50N BETWEEN 35W AND 45W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
3 TO 6 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 31N TO 35N W OF 73W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 36N W OF 64W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 37N58W 1009 MB. FROM 32N TO 39N BETWEEN
54W AND 62W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.N OF A LINE FROM 61N35W TO 64N40W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3
M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MOVED E OF AREA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 64N W OF 52W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 44N TO 51N BETWEEN 57W AND 64W WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 43N TO 53N
BETWEEN 42W AND 51W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 46N TO 58N BETWEEN 35W AND 39W
AND N AND NW OF A LINE FROM 60N43W TO 64N38W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY N OF 64N BETWEEN 36W AND 40W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY N AND NW OF A LINE FROM
63N40W TO 65N36W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.FORECASTER COLLINS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 07.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 08.
.WARNINGS.
...GULF OF AMERICA HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE NEAR 22.1N 95.6W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC
OCT 06 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT
GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 22N94W TO 22N96W TO 22N97W TO 20N97W TO
19N96W TO 20N94W TO 22N94W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF
VERACRUZ...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NINE NEAR 22.1N 95.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NINE NEAR 22.6N 93.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N92W TO 24N93W TO
22N95W TO 21N94W TO 21N92W TO 23N92W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.5 M. WITHIN 21N95W TO 23N97W TO 23N98W TO 20N97W TO 19N94W
TO 19N93W TO 21N95W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF
VERACRUZ...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NINE NEAR 24.2N 90.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 60
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N88W
TO 25N90W TO 25N92W TO 23N92W TO 22N89W TO 24N88W TO 25N88W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. WITHIN 20N92W TO 20N95W TO 21N97W
TO 19N96W TO 19N93W TO 19N92W TO 20N92W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM
OF COAST OF VERACRUZ AND WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF CAMPECHE...W
TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 31N77W WITH STATIONARY FRONT TO LOW PRES NEAR
30N79W 1011 MB AND COLD FRONT TO 28N80W. WITHIN 31N76W TO
31N81.5W TO 30.5N81.5W TO 30N80W TO 30.5N78W TO 31N76W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N74W TO 29N80W. WITHIN
31N77W TO 31N81W TO 29N81W TO 29N80W TO 30N77W TO 31N77W NE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM
31N73W TO 28N80W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.GULF OF AMERICA STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N83W TO LOW PRES NEAR
29N86W 1010 MB AND TO 28N93W. WITHIN 30N86W TO 30N88W TO 30N89W
TO 29N88W TO 29N86W TO 29N85W TO 30N86W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N83W TO 27N91W.
LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N83W TO 28N86W AND
WEAKENING TO 27N91W. WITHIN 29N86W TO 30N88W TO 29N94W TO 27N93W
TO 28N88W TO 29N86W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
$$