TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026
1500 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 41.2W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 41.2W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 40.9W
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.8N 42.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.7N 42.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 29.6N 43.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.5N 45.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.5N 46.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 41.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
HSFAT1
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SEP 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 26.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 29.8N 41.2W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 24
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS
55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70
NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN
45 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 29.7N 42.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS
TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FAY NEAR 29.5N
45.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW CENTER WITH SEAS TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 120 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 33N71W 1009 MB MOVING NW 05 KT AND
SECOND CENTER 37N63W 1010 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. S OF 41N AND N OF A
LINE FROM 37N56W TO 36N67W TO 32N77W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 TO
8 M...HIGHEST NEAR 37N73W. ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 41N BETWEEN 55W
AND 70W AND WITHIN 480 NM NW AND W QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N71W 998 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM
42N57W TO 38N66W TO 33N69W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 6
M...HIGHEST NW OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 43N52W TO
31N68W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N72W 992 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NW QUADRANT AND FROM 40N TO 44N W OF 60W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 6.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR MAIN CENTER.
ELSEWHERE S OF 45N W OF 60W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW WELL E OF AREA. N OF 55N E OF 40W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 57N45W 1002 MB MOVING E 25 KT. FROM 47N TO 55N E OF 50W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 65N60W 1000 MB MOVING SE 25 KT. FROM 53N TO 62N W OF 50W
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N50W 998 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N40W 990 MB. WITHIN 480 NM S AND 600 NM W
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 60N
W OF GREENLAND WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA. FROM 48N TO 60N E OF 48W WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 35N TO 42N E OF 55W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 45N E OF 60W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.DENSE FOG VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 60N TO 65N W OF
60W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.FORECASTER KREKELER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 26.
.WARNINGS.
...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 29.8N 41.2W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 24
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS
55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70
NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4.5
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N40W TO 31N44W TO 29N43W TO 29N41W TO
29N39W TO 31N40W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 29.7N 42.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 15 NM S SEMICIRCLE...75 NM
NE QUADRANT...AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 30N42W TO 31N42W TO 31N44W TO 30N44W TO 29N43W TO 29N42W
TO 30N42W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER AREA
WITHIN 31N41W TO 31N46W TO 30N45W TO 29N43W TO 30N41W TO 31N41W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FAY NEAR 29.5N
45.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 31N43W
TO 31N46W TO 30N47W TO 29N46W TO 30N43W TO 31N43W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC WITHIN 30N80W TO 31N80W TO 31N81W TO 31N82W TO 29N81W TO
30N80W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 31N70.5W TO 31N80.5W TO 30.5N80.5W TO 30.5N76.5W TO
30N73.5W TO 31N70.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N
TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N78W TO 31N81W TO 30N82W TO 29N81W TO
29N80W TO 31N78W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N68W TO 31N80W TO 30N81W TO 27N80W TO 27N73W
TO 31N68W...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN N TO NE
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N65.5W TO 31N67.5W TO 30N68W TO
30N67W TO 30.5N66W TO 31N65.5W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N66W TO 31N80W TO 26N80W TO
25N75W TO 31N66W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN N TO
NE SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
$$