TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026
2100 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 43.9W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 43.9W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 43.9W
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.6N 43.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.9N 44.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.8N 44.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.5N 44.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.0N 45.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.1N 47.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.4N 51.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 43.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/BEVEN
TCMAT2
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
2100 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 23.3W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 90SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 23.3W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 23.2W
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.1N 23.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.8N 23.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.3N 24.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.5N 24.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.7N 25.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 23.3W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
HSFAT1
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2230 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026
CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SEP 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 28.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 39N72W 986 MB DRIFTING N 05 KT. WITHIN 180 NM NW QUADRANT
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM S
SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6
M...HIGHEST IN S QUADRANT OF LOW. ALSO WITHIN 420 NM OF LOW
CENTER AND FROM 42N TO 46N W OF 55W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N74W 994 MB. WITHIN 480 NM S AND N
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N74W 1006 MB. FROM 42N TO 48N W OF
50W...AND WITHIN 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3
M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW E OF AREA 57N30W 986 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. FROM 48N TO 60N E
OF 48W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 41N48W 1008 MB MOVING E 15 KT. FROM 38N TO 43N BETWEEN 38W
AND 52W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N36W 1004 MB. FROM 35N TO 41N E OF 43W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 59N59W 1001 MB MOVING SE 25 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM S AND 360
NM W QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N37W 992 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S AND 480 NM W
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA. FROM 45N TO 57N E OF 43W WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 42N TO 60N E OF 50W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 31N TO 33N BETWEEN 46W AND 41W AREA OF E WINDS TO 25 KT
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY CENTERED S OF AREA. SEAS
TO 3 M. ADDITIONAL DETAILS PROVIDED BELOW IN PART II.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY BETWEEN A LINE FROM 64N41W TO 65N37W AND
THE E COAST OF GREENLAND.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 36N TO 45N W OF
63W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 43N W OF 50W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 43N W OF 60W.
.FORECASTER KREKELER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 28.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC WITHIN 31N63W TO 31N81W TO 26N79W TO 26N73W TO 31N63W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N61W TO 31N67W TO 29N68W TO 26N67W TO
27N65W TO 31N61W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW
SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY NEAR 29.8N 43.9W 1009 MB AT 2100 UTC
SEP 26 MOVING S OR 180 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 31N42W TO 31N46W TO 29N45W TO 28N43W TO
29N42W TO 31N42W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY NEAR 28.9N 44.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 31N43W TO
31N46W TO 29N46W TO 28N45W TO 27N43W TO 29N42W TO 31N43W WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY NEAR 26.5N 44.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 27N43W TO
29N45W TO 28N47W TO 25N48W TO 24N47W TO 24N44W TO 27N43W N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
$$