TCMAT1
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012026
1500 UTC TUE JUN 16 2026
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 98.0W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 98.0W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 98.2W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.4N 97.2W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 28.2N 95.8W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 29.6N 93.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.6N 91.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 98.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 16/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
HSFAT1
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC TUE JUN 16 2026
CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 18.
.WARNINGS.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW 47N64W 999 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN
240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M. FRONT TO
EXTEND FROM LOW TO 42N59W TO 34N68W. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
AND 240 NM E AND NE OF FRONT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 49N61W 1006 MB AND
SECOND LOW 46N55W 1006 MB. FRONT FROM SECOND LOW TO 43N50W TO
40N48W TO 37N53W. WITHIN 240 NM E QUADRANT OF SECOND LOW AND 180
NM E AND SE OF FRONT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW 45N46W 1009 MB.
ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW E OF AREA 54N25W 991 MB MOVING NE 15
KT. FROM 52N TO 60N E OF 39W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS MOVED
E OF 35W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 32N TO 38N W OF 65W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 33N TO 41N W OF 70W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 2.5 M.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 40N TO 50N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 48N BETWEEN 47W AND 57W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 41N BETWEEN 66W AND 71W.
.FORECASTER ROWLAND. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUN 18.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE NEAR 27.0N 98.0W 1007 MB AT 1500
UTC
JUN 16 MOVING NE OR 045 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25
KT
GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ONE TROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR 28.2N
95.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE.
SEAS
TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33
KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE INLAND NEAR 31.6N
91.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. N OF 22N BETWEEN 87W
AND
93W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED
WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 58W AND 59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS
2.5 M IN NE TO E SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 21.5N BETWEEN 70W AND 73W E
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 68W AND 78W...INCLUDING THE
GULF
OF VENEZUELA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 68W AND
76W...INCLUDING NE
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 70W AND
78W...INCLUDING
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M.
.CARIBBEAN 12 HOUR FORECAST S OF 18.5N W OF 85W...INCLUDING THE
GULF
OF HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 18.5N W OF 85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 20N W OF 85W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF
HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.