TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026
0900 UTC MON SEP 21 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 32.1W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 155 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 32.1W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 32.0W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 33.2N 32.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 32.3N 33.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.2N 34.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.4N 36.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.8N 38.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.6N 40.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 29.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 32.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
HSFAT1
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC MON SEP 21 2026
CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 23.
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 33.8N 32.1W 997 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 21
MOVING SSE OR 155 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF
37N E OF 38W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 32.3N 33.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 36N E OF 37W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FAY NEAR 30.4N 36.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER
WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 35N E
OF 41W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.
...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER JUST E OF AREA 57N34W 978 MB
MOVING NE 20 KT AND SECOND CENTER 60N36W 983 MB MOVING NE 15 KT.
WITHIN 180 NM SW AND W QUADRANTS OF BOTH CENTERS WINDS 40 TO 50
KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 M. ALSO N OF 46N E OF 46W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
3 TO 7.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 50N35W. ELSEWHERE N OF 38N E OF 55W
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M...HIGHEST S AND SW OF FIRST
CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER E OF AREA AND NEW
COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER NEAR 62N41W 993 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ALSO N OF A LINE
FROM 50N35W TO 55N50W TO 67N63W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
4.5 M. ELSEWHERE 35N TO 50N E OF 47W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 4
M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER NEAR 61N41W 1001
MB. FROM 58N TO 61N E OF 51W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
ELSEWHERE N OF 53N E OF 60W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 46N53W 1011 MB
AND SECOND CENTER 41N52W 1012 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANTS OF
BOTH CENTERS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 50N46W 1000
MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 42N47W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW AND W
QUADRANTS OF FIRST CENTER WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER NEAR 52N40W 996
MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW AND W QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6.5 M. ALSO FROM 40N TO 54N E OF 51W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 37N TO 55N E OF 60W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST NW OF A LINE FROM 40N67W TO 38N73W AREA OF NE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW NEAR 37N69W 1016 MB. WITHIN 420 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 37N69W 1015 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 360 NM
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND NEW LOW TO FORM NEAR 35N70W
1011 MB. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 600 NM NE AND N QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM N OF 55N E OF 44W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 62N E OF 38W...AND FROM 38N TO
49N BETWEEN 47W AND 59W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 57N E OF 42W...AND N OF
61 E OF GREENLAND.
.FORECASTER ANDERSON. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 23.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC 30 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY N OF AREA. OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 31N35W TO 31N40.5W TO 30.5N38.5W TO
30.5N35W TO 31N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW
TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FAY NEAR 30.4N
36.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 31N35.5W
TO 31N40W TO 30.5N38.5W TO 30.5N37W TO 31N35.5W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
$$