TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026
1500 UTC SUN SEP 27 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 43.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 160 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 43.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 43.9W
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.8N 43.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 27.6N 43.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.4N 44.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.3N 45.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 24.6N 47.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.2N 48.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 43.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
HSFAT1
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC SUN SEP 27 2026
CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 29.
.WARNINGS. BECOMING
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 40N72W 990 MB DRIFTING W 05 KT THEN BECOMING NEARLY
STATIONARY BY 12 HOURS...THEN MOVING NE 10 KT AFTER 36 HOURS.
WITHIN 120 NM W AND NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5.5 M...HIGHEST IN NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF LOW
AND FROM 42N TO 46N W OF 59W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5
M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N74W 1001 MB. FROM 35N TO 40N W OF 67W
AND FROM 42N TO 47N W OF 53W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N70W 1010 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 36N44W TO 45N64W WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER 40N42W 1005 MB MOVING E 20 KT.
FROM 41N TO 43N BETWEEN 37W AND 47W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO
4 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 44N E OF 49W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA 39N31W 1002 MB. FROM 33N TO 44N
BETWEEN 43W AND 35W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 55N44W 995 MB MOVING SE 20 KT.
WITHIN 300 NM SE...360 NM S AND 480 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M...HIGHEST S AND SW OF LOW. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 600 NM W AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA 54N31W 992 MB. FROM 46N TO 55N E
OF 47W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720
NM SW...840 NM W AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA. FROM 41N TO 57N E OF 45W AREA
OF NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 4.5 M...HIGHEST NEAR 45N35W.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 31N TO 33N BETWEEN 47W AND 41W AREA OF E WINDS LESS THAN
25 KT ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY CENTERED S OF
AREA. SEAS TO 2.5 M. ADDITIONAL DETAILS PROVIDED BELOW IN PART
II.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY BETWEEN A LINE FROM 64N40W TO 65N36W AND
THE E COAST OF GREENLAND.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM FROM 40N TO
42N BETWEEN 56W AND 69W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 42N BETWEEN 68W AND 71W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 44N BETWEEN 61W AND 68W.
.FORECASTER BANCROFT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 29.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC WITHIN 31N64W TO 30N80W TO 25N77W TO 27N70W TO 27N66W TO
31N64W...INCLUDING ATLANTIC EXPOSURES...W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N61W TO 31N60W TO 31N64W TO 30N65W TO
28N65W TO 28N64W TO 30N61W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0
M IN W TO NW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.ATLC 39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N35W TO 31N38W TO 30.5N37W TO
30N35W TO 31N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY NEAR 29.2N 43.9W 1010 MB AT 0900 UTC
SEP 27 MOVING S OR 175 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N44W TO 30N45W TO 28N45W TO
28N44W TO 30N44W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY NEAR 27.9N 43.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
28N44W TO 29N44W TO 28N45W TO 27N45W TO 27N44W TO 28N44W WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY NEAR 25.2N 45.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
27N45W TO 26N47W TO 25N47W TO 25N46W TO 26N45W TO 27N45W WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.