TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026
0900 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 33.1W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 33.1W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 33.2W
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.1N 32.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 34.0N 32.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 33.3N 32.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 32.0N 33.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.0N 34.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.1N 36.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 28.9N 40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N 33.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
HSFAT1
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026
CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 22.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 52N45W 978 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 420 NM S
AND SW QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 180 NM N AND W OF A FRONT FROM
52N49W TO 55N44W WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 M. ALSO FROM 39N
TO 57N E OF 57W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE
FROM 36N TO 58N E OF 60W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 59N36W 979 MB.
BETWEEN 120 NM AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 4
TO 7 M. ALSO N OF 45N E OF 50W...AND WITHIN 180 NM OF THE W
GREENLAND COAST N OF 60N WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7
M...HIGHEST NEAR 50N35W. ELSEWHERE N OF 38N E OF 54W WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 61N40W 991
MB AND SECOND CENTER E OF AREA NEAR 64N33W 982 MB. BETWEEN 90 AND
240 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS OF FIRST CENTER WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 M. ALSO N OF 55N E OF 50W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5
M. ELSEWHERE N OF 51N E OF 50W AND WITHIN 180 NM OF THE W
GREENLAND COAST N OF 60N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER JUST E OF AREA NEAR 65N33W 1001 MB
MOVING SW 05 KT THEN DISSIPATING. WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH STORM WARNING ABOVE.
...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 43N53W
1011 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 360 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS TO 3 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 50N BETWEEN 45W AND 60W
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROPICAL STORM FAY E OF AREA NEAR 33.7N 33.1W 1004 MB AT 0900
UTC SEP 20 MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE S OF 37N E OF 38W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY E OF AREA NEAR 34.0N 32.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER E OF AREA
WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 37N E OF 38W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY E OF AREA NEAR 32.0N 33.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 36N E OF 40W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
TO 4 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.
.LOW 35N70W 1014 MB DRIFTING E. WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 48N TO 56N E OF
52W...AND N OF 63N E OF GREENLAND.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 56N E OF 44W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 63N E OF 39W...AND FROM 39N TO
52N BETWEEN 47W AND 59W.
.FORECASTER ANDERSON. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 22.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ENTIRE AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
$$