METAREA 4 bulletinset


HURRICANE ADVISORY
WTNT21 KNHC 202033

TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026

2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 32.7W AT 20/2100Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.

50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.

34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 32.7W AT 20/2100Z

AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 32.8W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 34.3N 32.3W

MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.

50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.

34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 33.6N 32.5W

MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

50 KT... 0NE 0SE 10SW 0NW.

34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 32.5N 33.5W

MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.4N 35.1W

MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.5N 36.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.8N 38.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 29.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 32.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$

FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FZNT01 KWBC 202229 CCA

HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

2230 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026

CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE

MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH

ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP

(ALL LOWERCASE).

FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE

THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).

SECURITE

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SEP 20.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 21.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 22.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...

.LOW 57N40W 979 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANT

AND BETWEEN 180 NM AND 600 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS 35 TO 50 KT.

SEAS 6 TO 9 M. ALSO FROM 44N TO 62N E OF 53W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.

SEAS 3 TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 37N TO 62N E OF 57W WINDS TO 25

KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER JUST E OF AREA

NEAR 63N32W 980 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANT AND BETWEEN 240 NM

AND 420 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 M.

ALSO N OF 52N E OF 51W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5.5 M.

ELSEWHERE N OF 33N E OF 57W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5

M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 62N38W 998 MB AND

SECOND CENTER E OF AREA NEAR 65N27W 993 MB. FROM 58N TO 61N E OF

44W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 M. ALSO N OF 55N E OF 49W

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF 53N E OF 53W

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 3.5 M.

...STORM WARNING...

.36 HOUR FORECAST NEW COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER 48N41W 1008

MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 31N52W 1012 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE

QUADRANT AND 300 NM NM NW QUADRANT OF FIRST CENTER INCLUDING THE

GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE AND WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO

35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST CENTER NEAR 50N46W

998 MB AND SECOND CENTER NEAR 42N46W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW

SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM SE QUADRANT OF FIRST CENTER WINDS 35 TO 50

KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N TO 51N BETWEEN 40W AND

58W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL STORM FAY E OF AREA NEAR 34.4N 32.7W 999 MB AT 2100

UTC SEP 20 MOVING NE OR 20 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS

55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E

SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE FROM 34N TO 36N E OF 36W WINDS TO 25 KT.

SEAS TO 2.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY E OF AREA NEAR 33.6N 32.5W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER E OF AREA

WITH SEAS TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE S OF 36N E OF 36W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.

SEAS TO 3 M.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY E OF AREA NEAR 31.4N 35.1W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 20 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M

OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M.

ELSEWHERE S OF 40N E OF 44W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

.N OF 65N E OF GREENLAND WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M.

.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH STORM WARNING ABOVE.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM NW OF A LINE FROM

61N41W TO 64N39W TO 65N35W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 61N E OF 40W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.

.FORECASTER HYDE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND

GULF OF AMERICA

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 20.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 21.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 22.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM FAY N OF AREA NEAR 34.4N 32.7W 999 MB

AT 2100 UTC SEP 20 MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 4 M

WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY N OF AREA NEAR 33.6N 32.5W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 20 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM NE QUADRANT.

.42 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 31.9N 34.3W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN

31N35W TO 31N43.5W TO 30N39W TO 30.5N38W TO 30.5N35W TO 31N35W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW TO N SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 31.4N 35.1W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 20 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. OVER FORECAST

WATERS WITHIN 31N35W TO 31N41W TO 29N39W TO 30N38W TO 30N35W TO

31N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN NW TO N SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

$$

.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.