TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
2100 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 22.7W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 40SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 90SE 45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 22.7W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 22.6W
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.6N 22.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 40SE 0SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.0N 23.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 23.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.6N 23.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.2N 24.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.7N 24.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 22.7W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 26/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026
2100 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 43.0W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 43.0W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 42.8W
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 29.7N 43.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.5N 44.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.1N 44.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.5N 45.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.6N 45.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.9N 46.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 26.1N 47.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 43.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/BEVEN
HSFAT1
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2230 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).
FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SEP 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 27.
.WARNINGS.
...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 36N71W 995 MB DRIFTING N 10 KT. WITHIN 180 NM NW QUADRANT
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW
CENTER AND FROM 38N TO 44N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 3 TO 6 M. ALSO S OF 45N W OF 67W AND FROM 35N TO 45N BETWEEN
60W AND 70W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N72W 988 MB. WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW CENTER
EXCEPT 480 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 M. ALSO
FROM 34N TO 45N BETWEEN 60W AND 76W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5
TO 5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND 40N75W 993 MB. FROM 34N TO 45N W OF
60W AND FROM 41N TO 44N BETWEEN 51W AND 60W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 56N37W 987 MB MOVING E 25 KT. WITHIN 360 NM S AND 660 NM W
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 780
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA. E OF A LINE FROM 62N50W TO
50N40W TO 46N35W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.
...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 41N56W 1010 MB MOVING E 25 KT. FROM 38N TO 44N BETWEEN 50W
AND 60W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N49W 1007 MB. FROM 37N TO 44N BETWEEN 39W
AND 53W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N38W 1006 MB. FROM 34N TO 41N E OF 45W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
...GALE WARNING...
.30 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 56N52W 1001 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N38W 994 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 4 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.FROM 31N TO 32N BETWEEN 45W AND 41W AREA OF E WINDS TO 25 KT
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY CENTERED S OF AREA. SEAS TO
3.5 M. ADDITIONAL DETAILS PROVIDED IN TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN
PART II.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 32N BETWEEN 46W AND 43W WINDS LESS
THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 3 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.FROM 34N TO 40N E OF 45W AREA OF E TO NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
3 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY BETWEEN A LINE FROM 64N41W TO 66N36W AND
THE E COAST OF GREENLAND.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 35N TO 43N
BETWEEN 50W AND 77W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 35N TO 45N BETWEEN 60W AND 77W
AND FROM 37N TO 43N BETWEEN 41W AND 50W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 38N TO 44N W OF 55W.
.FORECASTER KREKELER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 27.
.WARNINGS.
...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 29.8N 43.0W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 25
MOVING WSW OR 250 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N41W TO 31N45W TO 29N44W TO
29N42W TO 30N42W TO 31N41W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 31N41W TO 31N47W TO 29N46W TO 29N42W TO
31N41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 29.5N 44.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 0
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N41W TO
31N47W TO 29N46W TO 28N42W TO 30N40W TO 31N41W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY NEAR 29.1N 44.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FAY NEAR 28.5N
45.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 31N45W
TO 31N46W TO 30N47W TO 28N47W TO 28N45W TO 29N43W TO 31N45W NE TO
E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC WITHIN 31N77W TO 31N79W TO 30N80W TO 29N79W TO 31N77W N
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.0 M. WITHIN 31N67W TO 31N70W TO
30N71W TO 28N72W TO 28N71W TO 29N68W TO 31N67W SW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N69W TO 31N81W TO
26N80W TO 26N72W TO 28N70W TO 31N69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.5 M IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N65W TO 31N80W TO 28N79W TO 25N75W TO
26N71W TO 31N65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN N
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N61W TO 31N67W TO 29N68W TO 27N69W TO
26N67W TO 28N64W TO 31N61W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0
M IN NW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
$$