METAREA 7 bulletinset


TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
WTIO22 FMEE 061221

SECURITE

NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)

ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 06/11/2026

AT 1200 UTC.

WARNING NUMBER: 002/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)

(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)

(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING

BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 06/11/2026 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2 1007 HPA

POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5 S / 55.3 E

(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND

FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC

MOVEMENT: WEST 10 KT

THREAT AREAS:

SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP

TO 65 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:

12H, VALID 2026/11/07 AT 00 UTC:

13.8 S / 54.6 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION

28 KT NE: 50 NM SE: 100 NM SW: 60 NM NW: 0 NM

24H, VALID 2026/11/07 AT 12 UTC:

14.3 S / 53.5 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM

28 KT NE: 55 NM SE: 120 NM SW: 70 NM NW: 0 NM

34 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 55 NM SW: 40 NM NW: 0 NM

OTHER INFORMATION:

NIL.=


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 061650

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

06th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 16:50 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

=======

FORECAST VALID FROM 062200 TO 072200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

====================

1. TRADES : S to SE 35 in the north-east at first, as well as

in the south-east from mid-period.

2. TRISTAN : N to NW 35 in places in the central and southern

parts, spreading to the south-east from mid-period while

moderating in the south.

3. CAPE WEST: SW 35 in the south-east at first.

4. CAPE EAST: W to SW 35 in the south and south-west at first.

5. MADAGASCAR EAST : Cyclonic 35 in the north-east from the afternoon.

6. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the south and south-

west, spreading to the south-east from mid-period. It

will become SW 35 to 40 in the south-west from mid-

period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

=====================

High 1024 hPa 32s01w, High 1029 hPa 36s78e.

Low 990 hPa 41s27w, Low 975 hPa 53s26e, Low 975 hPa 49s38e.

1. Cold Front : 24s33w 29s26w 35s22w 40s22w into 41s27w

2. Cold Front : 35s16e 40s25e 45s29e 49s29e into 53s26e.

3. Cold front : 33s36e 40s42e 44s47e 48s43e into 49s38e.

AREA FORECAST:

==============

ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the south-east at first.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in east.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south-east, but N to NW 20 to 30 in

the south-west, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the

south-west.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west, with NW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 30 to 35 in the north-east at first,

as well as in the south-east from mid-period.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east from the afternoon, with S to SE

swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the east at first, otherwise N to NW

20 to 30 reaching 35 in places in the central and southern

parts, spreading to the south-east from mid-period while

moderating in the south.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the north-

west, central and southern parts, spreading to the south-east

from the morning. Clearing in the south and north-west from

the afternoon.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, central and southern parts, spreading

to the south-east towards the end of the period, with W to NW

swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : SW 15 to 25 in the east, reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east

at first, but S to SE 15 to 25 in the north-east becoming 30

towards the end of the period, otherwise anti-cyclonic 05 to

15. It will become N to NW 20 to 30 in the west and south-west

from mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south-

east at first as well as south-west from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the east and southern parts, reaching 5.0 to

6.0m in the south-east until the afternoon, W to SW swell.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : N to NW 05 to 15 in the east reaching 20 to 30 until mid-

period, otherwise W to SW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the

south and south-west at first.

VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in places in the east,

otherwise moderate in showers and rain. Clearing in the south

and west from the afternoon.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m (except in the north and north-east) but 4.5 to

5.0m in places in the west, reaching 5.5 to 6.0m in the south-

west, with W to SW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : NE 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise N to NW 05 to 15. It

will become S to SW 15 to 25 in the south-west from the

morning, spreading to the north-west from the afternoon.

VIS : Good becoming moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers

in places in the south and south-west from the morning.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme south-west from the morning, with SW

swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the east and south-east, becoming S to SE

05 to 15 from mid-period, otherwise N to NE 05 to 15 reaching

20 to 25 in the west at times.

VIS : Good.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Cyclonic 15 to 25 in the north but 30 in the north-east

from the morning, reaching 35 from the afternoon, otherwise E

to NE 05 to 15, reaching 20 to 25 in the south-west.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

east and north-east, spreading to the west towards the end of

the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the north-east from the morning, with E to

NE swell.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in the south and south-

west, spreading to the south-east from mid-period. It will

become SW 30 to 40 in the south-west from mid-period.

VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places, with snow-showers in

the south-west from the morning, spreading to the south from

the evening.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m but 4.5 to 5.0m in the east and north-east at

first, as well as in the west from the morning, reaching 5.5

to 6.5m in the south-west towards mid-period, spreading to the

north-west from the afternoon, with W to NW swell, becoming SW

in the west from the morning.

AREA 2:

======

MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/11/06 AT 1600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- GALE FORCE 8 EXPECTED OVER CRO.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/06 AT 1200UTC

- HIGH 1028 HPA NEAR 36S/76E, SLOW-MOVING.- SLOW-MOVING FRONT AXIS

32S/87E, 31S/74E, 29S/65E OVER NORTHERN AMS, LOSING INTENSITY.- LOW

975 HPA NEAR 49S/37E ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT (CG) AXIS 49S/38E,

45S/47E, 37S/37E AND A WARM FRONT (WG) AXIS 49S/40E, 50S/47E,

48S/54E, MOVING SOUTH-EASTWARD AT 3035 KT.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/06 AT 1800UTC TO 26/11/07

AT 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

FEW SHOWERS MORE FREQUENT OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN AT END.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 INCREASING N 5/6 LOCALLY 7 FROM THE SW AT

FIRST.

SEA: MODERATE, LOCALLY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN.

VISI: GOOD THEN POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AREA, GRADUALLY

DECREASING.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 LOCALLY E 5 OVER NORTHERN, INCREASING

NORTHERLY 4 TO 6 OVER SOUTHERN AREA AT THE END.

SEA: ROUGH DECREASING. SW SWELL 2 OR 4 M ABATING.

VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CG/WG.

WIND: NW 6/7 LOCALLY 8 AHEAD OF THE FRONT, DECREASING NW 5/6 BEHIND THE

FRONT, THEN INCREASING WESTERLY 6/7 AT THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER

SOUTHERN AREA. GUSTS.

SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH. SW SWELL 2 TO 4 M

ABATING THEN NNW SWELL 3 TO 4 M AT THE END OF THE PERIOD.VISI:

POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS, THEN SOON, RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER

CG OVER WESTERN AND SOUTHERN AREA.

WIND: WESTERLY 3 TO 5, INCREASING NW 6/7. GUSTS.

SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 5 M ABATING.VISI:

POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.=