METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 161330

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

16th OF JULY 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 162200 TO 172200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. CAPE EAST: Cyclonic 35 to 45 over the south-central parts, spreading

to the east towards mid-period.

2. MARION FORTIES EAST: Cyclonic 35 to 45 in places over the north

after mid-period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

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High 1025 hPa 45s02w, High 1027 hPa 31s10e

1. Cold Front: 15s20w 19s18w 24s14w into 26s13w

2. Cold Front: 39s09e 38s12e 38s17e 40s18e into 41s24e

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SW 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : N to NW 05 to 15 in the central parts drifting to the south-

east towards mid-period, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25 but

variable 05 to 15 in the north-east.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers

in the north-west across the central to the south-central

parts, clearing towards the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the west and southern parts, with S to SW

swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west,

spreading in the south towards the end of the period.

VIS : Good.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Cyclonic 15 to 25 in the east, spreading to the extreme east

towards the end of the period , otherwise W to SW 10 to 20,

reaching 25 in some places over the central towards mid-

period.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

east in the first-half of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m except in the central and west, with NW swell in

the east, otherwise S to SW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the northern parts, otherwise

W to NW 15 to 25, but cyclonic 15 to 25 in the south-west,

spreading to the south-east towards mid-period. it will become

S to SE 10 to 20 in the south-west after mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the west and southern

parts.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the northern parts, with W to NW in the

central and western parts otherwise SW swell.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 in the west, but cyclonic 35 to 45 over the

south-central parts, spreading to the east towards mid-period.

It will become cyclonic 15 to 25 in the south-west but W to NW

15 to 25 in the north-west by the end of the period.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

southern-half, spreading to the north-east by the end of the

period.

SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m in the west and central parts, reaching 5.0 to

6.0m in the central towards mid-period but 6.5 to 9.5m in the

south-east towards the end of the period , with W to SW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 in the east but N to NE 05 to 15 in the

south-east, otherwise S to SW 05 to 15 becoming anticyclonic

05 to 15 in the north-west by the end of the period.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the east until mid-period becoming 3.0m in the

south from mid-period, with E to SE swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : SE 10 to 15 in the south and central, spreading to the north

towards mid-period. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the

south-west towards the end of the period.

VIS : Good.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the central and north until mid-period,

otherwise S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers over the

central parts and southern parts at first.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south at first, with S to SE swell.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 in the south-west until mid-period, otherwise

cyclonic 15 to 25, reaching 35 to 45 in places over the north

after mid-period. it will become S to SE 10 to 20 in the

southern-half and central after mid-period, where it will

reach 25 to 30 towards the end of the period.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

in the north-west, spreading to the east towards mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m over the southern-half until

mid-period and over the north-west towards mid-period, with W

to NW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/07/16 AT 0500UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here).

PART 1: WARNING

- Locally gale over CRO.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/07/16 AT 0000UTC

- High 1030 hPa near 37S/63E moving eastward 15/20 kt.

- Cold front axis 36S/34E, 40S/44E, 46S/51E, 54S/55E moving eastward 15/20 kt.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/07/16 at 0600UTC to 26/07/17 at 0600UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

Frontal rain and showers.

WIND : anticlockwise 2 to 4, increasing NW 5 to 6 ahead the front over

southern area soon, and decreasing S 2 to 4 over southwestern

area later.

SEA : moderate to rough. SSW swell 2 to 3 m.

VIS : poor in precipitation.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

Few showers.

WIND : anticlockwise 2 to 4, increasing NW 5 to 6 over southwestern area

later.

SEA : rough to very rough. SSW swell 3 to 5 meters abating.

VIS : good.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

Frontal rain and showers.

WIND : increasing NW 6 to 7 at times 8 in the front backing W 4 to 6 at

times 7 behind. Severe gusts.

SEA : rough to very rough from north to south. SW swell 2 to 3 meters

abating.

VIS : poor in precipitation.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

Frontal rain and showers by southwestern area later.

WIND : anticlockwise 2 to 4, increasing NW 5 to 6, locally 7 by western

area backing W 5 to 6 over southwestern area later. Gusts.

SEA : rough to very rough. SSW swell 3 to 5 m abating.

VIS : poor in precipitation.