METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 020830

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

02ND OF OCTOBER 2026 AT 08:30 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 021000 TO 031000 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. TRADES : S to SE 35 in the south-east from mid-period.

2. TRISTAN : W to NW 35 to 40 in places in the west from this

afternoon spreading to the south from mid-period.

3. CAPE WEST: W to NW 35 in the south-west by the end of the period.

4. DURBAN EAST: E to NE 35 in places in the north and central parts

until tomorrow morning.

5. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: E to SE 35 in the south-east until tomorrow

morning.

6. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in places in the southern

parts until mid-period, as well as south-west

by the end of the period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z

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High 1026 hPa 29s00w, High 1039 hPa 37s52e.

Low 1020 hPa 21s40e.

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 but SW 05 to 10 in the east.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 in the southern parts, reaching 30 in the

south-west, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain over the extreme south-

west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, with NW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east from mid-

period.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the east and south-east towards the end of the period,

with S to SE swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in places in the west from

this afternoon spreading to the south from mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the central

and western parts spreading to the south-east from tomorrow

morning.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west and southern parts, reaching 5.0 to

6.0m in the central, south and south-western parts from mid-

period, but 7.0 to 7.5m in the south-west by the end of the

period, with W to NW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 in the south and south-west reaching 30 to 35

in the south-west by the end of the period, but S to SE 10 to

20 in the north-east reaching 25 from mid-period, otherwise

anti-cyclonic 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in places in the west and southern parts,

subsiding in the west from mid-period, with SW swell.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 in the eastern half reaching 30 in the

central, north and southern parts until mid-period, otherwise

SW 05 to 15.

VIS : Good becoming moderate in showers and rain in the west and

southern parts overnight.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in in places in the central, south and south-

western parts, with W to NW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E to NE 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in places in the north and

central parts until tomorrow morning.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

north and north-western parts, spreading to the central from

tomorrow morning.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m (except in the south and west) reaching 4.0m in

the northern parts, with E to SE swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : Cyclonic 10 to 20 over the central parts, otherwise E to SE 10

to 20 reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east until tomorrow

morning.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

west and south, spreading to the central parts from tomorrow

morning.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the central and southern parts, subsiding in

the central from the evening as well as southern parts from

the morning, with S to SE swell.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the west, otherwise E to SE 15 to 25

reaching 30 in the south until mid-period.

VIS : Moderate in light rain in places but moderate to poor in

showers and thundershowers over the south-west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with E to SE swell.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in places in the southern

parts until mid-period, as well as south-west by the end of

the period. It will become anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west

and central parts tomorrow morning.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the west and

southern parts, spreading to the east and north-west from mid-

period, while clearing in the west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south-west, spreading

to the west and south from the evening, with W to NW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/10/02 AT 0600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- GALE OVER KER.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/10/02 AT 0000UTC

- HIGH 1038 HPA NEAR 38S/51E, SLOWLY MOVING NORTH-EASTWARD- SLOWLY MOVING COLD FRONT AXIS 30S/69E AND 33S/79E

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/10/02 AT 0600UTC TO 26/10/03 AT 0600UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN AREA.

WIND : ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4, BUT SOUTHEAST 4/5 IN THE NORTH, LOCALLY 6 IN

THE NORTHEAST.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST. SOUTH SWELL 2 TO 4 METERS.

VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SHOWERS AND FRONTAL RAIN IN THE NORTH, GETTING HEAVIER

WIND : NORTHERN HALF: SOUTHEAST 5/6, LOCALLY 7 IN THE FAR NORTH

SOUTHERN HALF: SOUTHWEST TO SOUTEAST 3/4, LOCALLY 5 IN THE SOUTH.

SEA : MODERATE TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SOUTH-SOUTH-WESTERLY

SWELL 2 TO 5 METERS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

ISOLATED SHOWERS BY SOUTHWEST

WIND : WESTERLY, 4/5 IN THE NORTH AND 6/7 IN THE SOUTH, WITH STRONG GUSTS

IN THE FAR SOUTH.

SEA : MODERATE TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. SOUTHWESTERLY

SWELL 3 TO 4 METERS.

VIS : MAINLY GOOD.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

ISOLATED SHOWERS.

WIND : NORTHERN HALF: WESTERLY TO SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6SOUTHERN HALF: WESTERLY

6/7, TEMPORARILY 8 WITH GUSTS

SEA : ROUGH TO HIGH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3

TO 5 METERS.

VIS : GENERALLY GOOD.