SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 03/02/2026
AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 022/9 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 03/02/2026 AT 1200 UTC.
PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FYTIA) 992 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.7 S / 54.7 E
(TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 8 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE EASTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 90
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/02/04 AT 00 UTC:
24.3 S / 55.5 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 75 NM SE: 80 NM SW: 75 NM NW: 85 NM
34 KT NE: 45 NM SE: 50 NM SW: 40 NM NW: 35 NM
24H, VALID 2026/02/04 AT 12 UTC:
24.9 S / 56.2 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, REMNANT LOW
28 KT NE: 75 NM SE: 95 NM SW: 90 NM NW: 65 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL=
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 03/02/2026
AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 022/9 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 03/02/2026 AT 1200 UTC.
PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FYTIA) 992 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.7 S / 54.7 E
(TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 8 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE EASTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 90
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/02/04 AT 00 UTC:
24.3 S / 55.5 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 75 NM SE: 80 NM SW: 75 NM NW: 85 NM
34 KT NE: 45 NM SE: 50 NM SW: 40 NM NW: 35 NM
24H, VALID 2026/02/04 AT 12 UTC:
24.9 S / 56.2 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, REMNANT LOW
28 KT NE: 75 NM SE: 95 NM SW: 90 NM NW: 65 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL=
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
03RD OF FEBRUARY 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 032200 TO 042200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 22/9/20252026
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FYTIA)
2.A POSITION 2026/02/03 AT 0600 UTC: (LATEST 12:00 UTC INFORMATION NOT YET RECEIVED)
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5 S / 54.2 E
(TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 7 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 3.5/3.5/S 0.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 45 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 37 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 175 SE: 205 SW: 195 NW: 120
34 KT NE: 95 SE: 120 SW: 110 NW: 55
48 KT NE: 0 SE: 0 SW: 0 NW: 0
64 KT NE: 0 SE: 0 SW: 0 NW: 0
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/02/03 18 UTC: 24.1 S / 55.1 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 150 SE: 150 SW: 155 NW: 150
34 KT NE: 75 SE: 85 SW: 85 NW: 65
24H: 2026/02/04 06 UTC: 24.6 S / 55.7 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, REMNANT LOW
28 KT NE: 120 SE: 85 SW: 85 NW: 95
36H: 2026/02/04 18 UTC: 25.1 S / 56.3 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, REMNANT LOW
28 KT NE: 140 SE: 195 SW: 10 NW: 20
48H: 2026/02/05 06 UTC: 25.6 S / 57.0 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT LOW
60H: 2026/02/05 18 UTC: 26.3 S / 58.0 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT LOW
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
NIL
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=3.5-
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. MADAGASCAR EAST: Cyclonic 35 in the extreme south-east at first(see
information about Tropical storm 9 FYTIA above).
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1026 hPa 37s06w.
Low 992 hPa 24s55e (MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 FYTIA).
AREA FORECAST:
==============
ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : SE to S 05 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):
WIND : S to SW 05 to 10 but S to SE 05 to 10 in the south.
VIS : Good.
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):
WIND : E to SE 10 to 20.
VIS : Poor in drizzle in the extreme north in the first half of the
period, otherwise good.
TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):
WIND : S to SE 10 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 over the central and south-
eastern parts at first and towards the end of the period.
VIS : Good.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : SE 05 to 15 in the north-east, otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 10,
but NW 15 to 25 in the south-west and spreading eastwards to the
south-east by mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the
south-west.
SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west, with NW swell.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 around the Cape Peninsula and
in places in the west at first but persisting near the Cape
Peninsula. It will become anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the south-west
from mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers over the central
parts spreading to the east towards the end of the period.
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : E to NE 10 to 20 in the north-west, otherwise variable 05 to 10
but SE 05 to 15 in the extreme west. It will become W to SW 10 to
15 in the extreme south-east from mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers over the
northern parts.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the extreme north-east at first,
but E to NE 15 in the extreme west reaching 20 to 25 in the
extreme south-west.
VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the extreme
north-east at first, otherwise good.
SEA STATE: 3.0 m in the north-east, with SW swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east, but W to SW
10 to 15 in the north.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the extreme south-east during the first
half of the period, reaching 35 at first, otherwise S to SW 10 to
20 but 05 in the north.(Also see information about Tropical storm
9 FYTIA above).
VIS : Poor in showers and thundershowers in the extreme south-east at
first, otherwise good but moderate in thundershowers in the
north.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5 m in the south-east, with S swell.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : W to NW 20 to 30 in the south in the first half of the period,
otherwise W to SW 10 to 20.
VIS : Good.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5 m in the south, with W to SW swell.
AREA 2:
=======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
26/02/03 AT 0500UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
- NIL.
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/02/03 AT 0000UTC
- STORMY LOW 1001HPA NEAR 43S/65E ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT (CF) AXIS ON 28S/57E, 33S/64E, 39S/69E, 46S/70E AND A WARM FRONT (WF) AXIS ON 46S/70E, 45S/79E, THE WHOLE SYSTEM MOVING EASTWARD.
- COLD FRONT (CG) AXIS ON 37S/37E, 45S/50E, 49S/59E, 54S/77E MOVING EASTWARD.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/02/03 AT 0600UTC TO 26/02/04 AT 0600UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
RAIN, SQUALLS AND LOCALLY STORMY FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER THE NORTH-EASTERN AREA UNDER CF.
WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 BUT SW 5/6 OVER FAR SOUTH-EASTERN AT FIRST.
SEA: MODERATE, LOCALLY ROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN AREA.
VIS: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
RAIN, SQUALLS AND LOCALLY STORMY FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF.
WIND: NORTHERLY 4 TO 6, LOCALLY 7 FROM EAST TO WEST, SETTLING UP ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 FROM THE WEST SOON.
SEA: MODERATE, LOCALLY ROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN AREA. N TO NW SWELL OF AROUND 2 M OVER THE WESTERN AREA.
VIS: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF OVER THE EASTERN AREA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD, THEN UNDER CG.
WIND: CLOCKWISE 2/4 OVER SOUTHERN AREA AND WESTERLY 4/5 OVER NORTHERN AREA AT FIRST THEN WESTERLY 4/5 EVERYWHERE AND LOCALLY 6 OVER FAR SOUTH-WESTERN AT END.
SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH. SW SWELL 2/3 M.
VIS: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
RAIN, SQUALLS AND LOCALLY STORMY FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF.
WIND: CLOCKWISE 5/6, OCCASIONALLY 7 WITH GUSTS, BUT VARIABLE 3/4 OVER SOUTH-WESTERN .REACHING WESTERN AREA LATER.
SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH OVER THE NORTH-WESTERN LATER ON. NW SWELL 2/3 M BUT ARRIVAL SW SWELL 2/3 M OVER FAR SOUTHERN AREA.
VIS: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.