WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
14th OF OCTOBER 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
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FORECAST VALID FROM 142200 TO 152200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. CAPE EAST: N to NW 35 in the extreme south-west until mid-period.
2. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW 30 to 40 in the extreme south-west by
mid-period, spreading to the central-south by
mid-period, it will become S to SW 35 in the
south-west.
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1020 hPa 23s02e, High 1028 hPa 28s60e.
Low 993 hPa 43s04w, Low 977 hPa 46s18e, Low 1013 hPa 37s25e.
1. Cold front: 38s18w, 38s11w, 41s04w into 46s18e.
2. Cold Front: 29s07w 32s03e 36s10e 39s14e 43s16e into 46s18e.
AREA FORECAST:
==============
ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : SE to E 10 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):
WIND : S to SE 10 to 15 but SW 10 to 15 in the east.
VIS : Good.
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):
WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 10 over the central parts, otherwise E to
SE 10 to 15 but W to NW 15 to 25 in the south, but S to SE 05
to 15 in the extreme south-west.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west
spreading to the south-east by end of period.
SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme south-east at first, with W to SW
swell.
TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):
WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 in the north and east, otherwise anticyclonic
05 to 10 but NW 15 to 25 in the extreme south-west.
VIS : Good.
SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme south until mid-period, with SW swell.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : SW to W 15 to 15, reaching 30 in the south, becoming S to SE in
the north-west by end of period.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain but poor at times in the north-
east.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south by mid-period,
with SW swell.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : N to NW 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the south-east at first, but
W to SW 20 to 30 in the south-west.
VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain, but good in the north-
east.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south and west reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the
south-east until mid-period, with W to SW swell.
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise N to NW 15 to 25,
reaching 30 to 35 in the extreme south-west until mid-period.
VIS : Good but moderate in rain in the south-west.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west, reaching 5.0 to
6.0m in the extreme south-west, with W to NW swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : N to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the central north but S
to SW 10 to 20 in the extreme south-west.
VIS : Good.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the central north, with NE swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 becoming NE 05 to 15 in the south-west.
VIS : Good.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : E to SE 15 to 25 but NE 15 to 25 in the south-west.
VIS : Moderate in light showers.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in the extreme south-west,
while spreading to the central-south by mid-period, it will
become S to SW 25 to 35 in the south-west. It will become NW
20 to 30 in the west at end of period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the west, spreading
to the east while clearing in the west by mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the extreme north, but 4.5 to 5.5m in
the west reaching 6.0 to 7.0m in the extreme south-west
until mid-period, with W to NW swell.
AREA 2:
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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
26/10/14 AT 0600UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%
STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
- GALE RUNNING OVER CRO AND KER.
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/10/14 AT 0000UTC
- LOW 971 NEAR 51S/67E, VERY RAPIDLY MOVING EASTSOUTHEASTWARD. WARM
FRONT WF 45S/80E, 50S/65E, 50S/74E, 51S/71E. COLD FRONT CF 50S/72E,
46S/77E, 43S/78E, 42S/78E, 41S/65E.
- HIGH 1028 NEAR 29S/62E.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/10/14 AT 0600UTC TO 26/10/15 AT
0600UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
SCATTERED RAIN OVER SOUTHWESTERN.
WIND: WESTERLY 4/6 OVER EASTERN AT FIRST, BECOMING VARIABLE 2/4.
SEA : MODERATE TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTHWESTERN TO SOUTHEASTERN. SW SWELL
2 TO 4 M FROM NORTHWESTERN TO SOUTHEASTERN, LOCALLY 4 TO 5 M OVER
FAR SOUTHEASTERN.
VIS : GOOD, MODERATE IN PRECIPITATIONS.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
FEW SHOWERS.
WIND: WESTERLY 5 TO 7 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, BACKING SOUTHWESTERLY THEN
SOUTHERLY 4 TO 6 BY THE WEST AT END.
SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH OVER NORTHWESTERN HALF, VERY ROUGH TO HIGH OVER
SOUTHEASTERN HALF. SW SWELL 2 TO 4 M, INCREASING 5 TO 6 M OVER
SOUTHERN TOMORROW.
VIS : GOOD.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
FEW SHOWERS.
WIND: SOUTHWESTERLY 7/8 WITH STRONG GUSTS, DECREASING 4/6 AT END.
SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, DECREASING TOMORROW. W TO SW SWELL 4 TO 6 M,
DECREASING 2 TO 4 M AT END.
VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
FRONTAL RAIN OR SNOW THEN SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.
WIND: WESTERLY 7/8 WITH GUSTS, DECREASING 6/7. SEVERE GUSTS.
SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. LONG W THEN SW SWELL 4 TO 6 M.
VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.