SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 07/11/2026
AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 007/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 07/11/2026 AT 1800 UTC.
PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 1008 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5 S / 52.6 E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 11 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP
TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 120 NM IN THE
SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/11/08 AT 06 UTC:
13.4 S / 51.4 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 110 NM SW: 60 NM NW: 0 NM
24H, VALID 2026/11/08 AT 18 UTC:
12.5 S / 50.0 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 70 NM SW: 30 NM NW: 0 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 07/11/2026
AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 07/11/2026 AT 1200 UTC.
PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 1008 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.9 S / 53.4 E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING
UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP
TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/11/08 AT 00 UTC:
13.8 S / 52.0 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 100 NM SW: 100 NM NW: 0 NM
34 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 60 NM SW: 60 NM NW: 0 NM
24H, VALID 2026/11/08 AT 12 UTC:
13.1 S / 50.4 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 100 NM SW: 100 NM NW: 0 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
07th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 16:45 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 072200 TO 082200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 7/2/20262027
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2
2.A POSITION 2026/11/07 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.9 S / 53.4 E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.0/2.0/D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1008 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 130 SW: 130 NW: 0
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1012 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/11/08 00 UTC: 13.8 S / 52.0 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 185 SW: 185 NW: 0
34 KT NE: 0 SE: 110 SW: 110 NW: 0
24H: 2026/11/08 12 UTC: 13.1 S / 50.4 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 185 SW: 185 NW: 0
36H: 2026/11/09 00 UTC: 12.3 S / 49.6 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 130 SW: 130 NW: 0
48H: 2026/11/09 12 UTC: 11.5 S / 48.6 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT LOW
60H: 2026/11/10 00 UTC: 10.7 S / 47.2 E, VENT MAX= 020 KT, DISSIPATING
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
NIL
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. TRADES : S to SE 35 in the south-east at first.
2. TRISTAN : N to NW 35 in places over the central and south-eastern
parts in the first half of the period.
3. DURBAN EAST : S to SE 35 in the west and north-west from mid-period.
4. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to SW 35 to 40 over the south-eastern parts in
the first half of the period.
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1028 hPa 40s10e, High 1028 hPa 36s75e.
Low 976 hPa 46s16w, Low 1008 hPa 14s54e.
1. Cold Front : 22s28w 30s15w 35s06w 40s02w 45s05w into 46s16w
AREA FORECAST:
==============
ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : E to SE 05 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):
WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in east.
VIS : Good.
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):
WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the west and southern parts, otherwise E
to SE 10 to 20.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the
south-west.
TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):
WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east at first.
VIS : Good.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with S to SE swell.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 in places over the central and
south-eastern parts in the first half of the period.
VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the north,
central and eastern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the north-east, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in
the south-west, spreading to the central south by mid-period,
with W to NW swell.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-east, but N to NW 20 to 30
in the west, reaching 35 in the south-west, otherwise E to SE
20 to 30.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south-
west.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, with S to SE swell, becoming 3.0 to 3.5m in the
south-west towards mid-period, with NW swell.
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : S to SW 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west,
spreading to the east towards mid-period, while becoming anti-
cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west and south-west.
VIS : Poor to moderate in showers and thundershowers in places in
the east, but moderate in showers and rain in the north and
north-west.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m (except in the north-east), reaching but 4.5 to
5.0m in places in the west and south-west, spreading to the
central parts during the second half of the period, with W to
SW swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 in the west and central south, reaching 30 to
35 in the west and north-west from mid-period, otherwise, N to
NE 10 to 20.
VIS : good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers
in places.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west and central south, with S to SW swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : S to SE 10 to 15 in the south-east, otherwise N to NE 05 to 15
reaching 20 to 25 in the west at times.
VIS : Good.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the north, otherwise E to NE 10 to 20,
reaching 25 in the south-west.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain except in the south-
east, but poor to very poor in showers and thundershowers in
the northern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the northern parts, with E to SE swell.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : W to SW 20 to 30, reaching 35 to 40 over the south-east in the
first half of the period.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places, with snow-showers in
the southern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m but 4.5 to 5.5m in the west and south-west,
spreading to the north-west towards mid-period, with W to SW
swell.
AREA 2:
======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
26/11/07 AT 1500UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here).
PART 1: WARNING
- Gale force 8 over Southern area of CRO and KER
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/07 AT 1200UTC
- High1031 hPa near 35S/81E.- Low 952 hPa near 58S/57E with cold front CF associated and axis 42S/57E, 45S/60E, 51S/67E, moving Eastward.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/07 at 1800UTC to 26/11/08 at 1800UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
Rain, showers, and frontal CF by Western area.
WIND: NW 4 to 6 locally 7 ahead CF backing S 5 to 6 behind.
SEA: Moderate to rough from North to South. SW swell 2 meters behind CF at end.
VISI: Poor in precipitation.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
Scattered showers over northern area.
WIND: Anticlockwise 2 to 4, settling NW 4 to 5, locally 6 by Western area at end.
SEA: Rough, becoming moderate by the west. SW swell 2 meters abating.
VISI : Poor in precipitation.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
Rain, squalls, and frontal showers under CF over North-Eastern area then scattered showers.
WIND: Backing W 4 to 5, locally 6 in the north and 6 to 7, locally 8 in the south behind CF.SEA: Rough to very rough. NW swell 2 to 4 meters abating behind CF.
VISI: poor to very poor in precipitation.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
Rain, squalls, and frontal showers under CF.
WIND: NW 6 to 7 locally 8, with gusts.
SEA: Rough to very rough. W to NW 2 to 4 meters.
VISI: Poor to very poor in precipitation.