METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 081700

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

08th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 17:00 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. TRISTAN: Cyclonic 35 in the north-west spreading to the north-east by

mid-period.

2. CAPE EAST: NE 35 in the extreme north-west.

3. DURBAN EAST: NE 35 in the extreme south-west but Cyclonic 35 to 40 in

the central parts.

4. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: S to SE 35 in the south-west spreading to the

south-east towards end of period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

=====================

High 1032 hPa 38s29e,

Low 976 hPa 48s12w, Low 1010 hPa 11s51e.

1. Cold Front : 38s00e 46s09e 56s06e 53s09w into 48s12w.

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in east.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the south-west otherwise Anticyclonic 05

to 15.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south-

west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, with NW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 but Anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the south-west.

VIS : Good.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : W to NW 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 30 in the south until mid-

period, but Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the north-west reaching 35

spreading to the north-east by mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in places.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5m in the south at first, with W to SW

swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 in the east reaching 25 to 30 otherwise

Anticyclonic 05 to 15, but NW 15 to 25 in the south-west

spreading to the south-east by mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south-

west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, with S to SE swell but W to NW

swell in the south-west.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : SE to S 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise Anticyclonic 05

to 15 but NE 20 to 30 in the west reaching 35 in the extreme

north-west becoming variable 05 to 10 in the extreme west by

the end of the period.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the south-east, with SW

Swell but NE swell in the north-west towards mid-period.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-east until mid-period but NE 20

to 30 in the extreme south-west reaching 35, otherwise S to SE

15 to 25 reaching 30 in places but Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the

central parts reaching 35 to 40.

VIS : Good in the extreme south towards mid-period otherwise

moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the north-west and central

parts, with S to SE swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 30 in the south but 35 in the south-

west spreading to the south-east towards end of period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south

and north-east.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the north, reaching 4.5m in the extreme

south, with S to SW swell.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the extreme north-west at first,

otherwise E to NE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north

and extreme west.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to SW 20 to 30 in the south becoming NW 15 to 25 in the

south-west from mid-period spreading to the south-east by the

end of the period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the south.

SEA STATE: 5.0 to 6.0m in the east until mid-period otherwise 3.0 to

4.0m, with SW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/11/08 AT 1700UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here).

PART 1: WARNING

Gale force 8 over Southern area of CRO and KER

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/08 AT 1200UTC

High 1032 hPa near 35S/88E, moving slowly eastward.

High 1034 hPa near 39S/30E, moving eastward.

Low 945 hPa near 59S/60E, moving eastward and filling.

Associated cold front (CF) axis 27S/34E, 33S/50E, 41S/65E,

42S/60E, 48S/80E and 48S/70E, moving north-east.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/08 at 1800UTC to

26/11/09 at 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

Rain and frontal showers associated with CF.

WIND: North-west 3 to 5 temporarily 6 ahead of the cold front,

backing southerly 5 to 6 behind CF, then weakening 3/4 in

the south at end.

SEA: Moderate to rough from North to South, becoming rough to

very rough by SW swell 3 to 5 meters in the south.

VIS: Poor to very poor during precipitation.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

Rain and frontal showers under CF.

WIND: North to Northwest 3 to 6 from north to south,

backing South 5 to 6 behind CF, then becoming

variable 2/3 in the north later.

SEA: Moderate to rough from North to South. West swell

2 to 3 m in south of the area, turning

south-west, 3 to 4 m at end.

VIS : Poor to very poor during precipitation.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

Scattered showers.

WIND: South-west to West 6 to 7 locally 8 in the southern

area, with gusts; weakening 3 to 4 in the northern

area at end.

SEA: Rough to very rough from north to south. W/SW swell

4 to 6 meters is moving in.

VIS: Moderate to poor during precipitation.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

Rain and frontal showers under CF.

WIND: North-west 6 to 7, backing South-west to West 5 to 7

behind CF, locally 8 in the south. Gusts.

SEA: Rough to very rough becoming high in the south.

North-west swell 3 to 4 meters, shifting West to

South-west 3 to 5 meters later.

VIS: Poor to very poor under precipitation.