WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
14th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 142200 TO 152200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. MARION FORTIES EAST: SW to S 35 in places in the east at first.
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1029 hPa 32s01e
1. Cold front : 39s10w 45s04e 53s15e 62s17e into 64s01e
2. Cold front : 38s57e 45s62e 52s64e into 52s58e
AREA FORECAST:
==============
ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : E to SE 10 to 20.
VIS : Good.
ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):
WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 in the west, otherwise SW 05 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):
WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the north at times, but NE 10
to 15 in the south-west spreading to the south-central parts
from mid-period.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme
south-west.
TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):
WIND : S to SE 15 to 25, reaching 30 in places in the south-east from
mid-period.
VIS : Good.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with S to SE swell.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the east until mid-period, otherwise
N to NW 15 to 25 in the north-west, but variable 05 to 10 in
the south-west.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the west
spreading to south-east towards the end of the period while
clearing in the south-west.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : E to SE 20 to 30 in the north-east, otherwise anticyclonic 05
to 15, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-east while becoming
SW to S 10 to 20 from mid-period.
VIS : Good.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the north-east, with S to SW swell.
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : S to SW 20 to 30 in the east until mid-period, otherwise
anticyclonic 05 to 15, but E to NE 15 to 25 in the north-west
from mid-period reaching 30 towards mid-period.
VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the
north-west and moderate in showers and rain in the south-west
towards the end of the period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south but 6.5 to 7.5m
in the south-east at first, with SW swell. It will subside 3.0
to 4.0m in the west, but 4.5m in the east by the end of the
period, with SW swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : N to NW 05 to 15 in the north-east until mid-period, otherwise
E to SE 15 to 25, but SW to S 10 to 20 in south-east until
mid-period. It will become NE to N 10 to 20 in the west from
mid-period while reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west.
VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the
west and in places in the north-east.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, spreading to the north from mid-
period, with S to SW swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20.
VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers
clearing in the south by mid-period.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south, otherwise E to SE 05 to 15.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain at times in the north
but thundershowers by the end of the period as well as in the
extreme south-west.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : SW to S 20 to 30 reaching 35 in places in east at first,
otherwise NW to W 15 to 25 in the west spreading to the east
from mid-period.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the east and in the
south-west from mid-period but poor in snow showers in the
extreme south-east at first.
SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, but 5.0 to 7.0m in the east until towards the end
of period, with SW to S swell.
AREA 2:
======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
2026/11/14 AT 0600UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
GALE FORCE 8 CONTINUING AND EXPECTED OVER CRO.GALE FORCE 8 EXPECTED OVER KER.
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/14 AT 0000UTC
- LOW 970 NEAR 52S/43E MOVING RATHER QUICKLY EASTWARD, WITH COLD FRONT CF ASSOCIATED, AXIS 34S/40E, 40S/46E, 44S/50E, 50S/52E. - HIGH
1021 NEAR 34S/65E, MOVING EASTWARD, EXPECTED 1025 NEAR 35S/84E AT END.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/14 AT 0600UTC TO 26/11/15 AT 0600UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
SCATTERED SHOWERS. FRONTAL RAIN (CF) AND SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN, THEN OVER NORTHEASTERN AT END.
WIND: NW 4/5 IN FRONT OF CF, BACKING W 5/7 SOON BY WESTERN AREA AT THE
BACK OF CF, THEN BACKING SW 5 TO 7 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AT END.
GUSTS.
SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BECOMING VERY ROUGH OVER
SOUTHWESTERN AT FIRST. BECOMING HIGH OVER SOUTHWESTERN AREA
TOMORROW WITH A SW SWELL 4 TO 6 METERS ARRIVING. CROSSED SEA OVER
SOUTHERN IN FRONT OF CF.
VIS: POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS (CF) ARRIVING BY SOUTHWESTERN AREA SOON, ELSEWHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WIND: ANTICYCLOCKWISE 2/4 AT FIRST, INCREASING NW 5 TO 7 BY SOUTHWESTERN
AREA SOON, THEN BACKING W 5/6 BY WESTERN AREA AT END AT THE BACK OF
CF.
SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SW SWELL 3 TO 4 MERTERS OVER
SOUTHERN.CROSSED SEA OVER SOUTHERN IN FRONT OF CF SOON.
VIS: POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
FRONTAL RAIN (CF), SQUALLS AND SHOWERS CROSSING THE AREA, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS EVERYWHERE AT END.
WIND: NW 6/8 AT THE FRONT OF CF, BACKING W 6/8 AT THE BACK OF CF BY
WESTERN AREA AT FIRST. W 6/7, LOCALLY 8 OVER SOUTHERN TOMORROW.
SEVERE GUSTS.
SEA: VERY ROUGH BECOMING HIGH SOON WITH A W SWELL 4 TO 6 METERS
ARRIVING. CROSSED SEA IN FRONT OF CF.
VIS: POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
SCATTERED SHOWERS, THEN FRONTAL RAIN (CF), SQUALLS AND SHOWERS CROSSING THE AREA SOON.
WIND: W 5/6, VEERING NW 6/8 SOON BY WESTERN AREA AT THE FRONT OF CF,
THEN BACKING W 5/7 AT THE BACK, LOCALLY 8 OVER SOUTHERN. SEVERE
GUSTS.
SEA: ROUGH OVER NORTHEASTERN, BUT VERY ROUGH ELSEWHERE BY W SWELL 3 TO 5
METERS. LOCALLY HIGH OVER SOUTHERN AT FIRST AND OVER WESTERN AT
END. CROSSED SEA OVER IN FRONT OF CF
SOON.
VIS: POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.