METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 171700

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

17TH OF APRIL 2026 AT 17:00 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

=======

FORECAST VALID FROM 172200 TO 182200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

====================

1. CAPE WEST: S to SW 35 in the south-east at first.

2. CAPE EAST: NW to W 35 to 40 in the west at first, becoming SW to S

35 in the south-west spreading eastwards by end of period.

3. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW 35 in the extreme north-west from mid-period

spreading to the central and south-east by end of

period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

=====================

High 1029 hPa 44s17w, High 1023 hPa 44s50e

Low 1005 hPa 40s17e, Low 996 hPa 44s22e, Low 1003 hPa 34s28e

1. Cold front: 29s16e 32s18e 34s19e 39s21e into 44s22e

AREA FORECAST:

==============

ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north

until mid-period.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, but SW 05 to 10 in the east.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, until mid-period, with S

to SW swell.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the east, otherwise E to NE 10 to 20 reaching

25 in the south-west becoming NW 05 to 10 in the extreme south-

west.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the western

parts becoming poor at times in the south-west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west and south-east at first, with NE

swell in the south-west, otherwise S to SE in the south-east.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : SW 15 to 25 in the south, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20,

reaching 25 in the north-east at times, moderating towards

end of period.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the southern parts, spreading to the central parts

towards mid-period, with S to SW swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the central until mid-period where it

will become SE 05 to 10, otherwise NE 20 to 25, reaching 30 in

the south-west but S to SW 10 to 20 in the east, reaching 25 to

30 in the south-east.

VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in thundershowers and rain in the

west while clearing in the north-west towards end of period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west and east, reaching 4.5 to 5.0 in the

extreme south-east towards end of period, with NE swell in the

west, otherwise SW to S in the east.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : S to SW 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the east and south, but 35

in the south-east at first, becoming W to NW 25 to 35 in the

central-south towards mid-period when it will spread to the

south-east.

VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in thundershowers and rain in the

east, and again in the central-south from mid-period spreading to

the south-east by end of period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the central and south-east

while moving eastwards it will become 4.0 to 6.0m in the south-

west by mid-period, with S to SW swell.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : N to NE 20 to 30, but NW to W 20 to 30 in the west, where

it will reach 35 to 40 until mid-period, becoming SW to S

25 to 35 in the south-west spreading eastwards by end of period.

It will become NW 20 to 30 in the extreme west at the end of

period.

VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

west spreading to the central parts by mid-period and again in

the west at the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the central and west, reaching 5.0 to 6.0 in the

north-west until mid-period, with SW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E to NE 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the west until mid-period,

becoming S to SW 15 to 25 in the south-west until mid-period

where it will become SE 10 to 15.

VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in

places in the south-west spreading to the central parts from mid-

period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, with SW swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the central parts, otherwise E to NE 10 to

20, but S to SE 05 to 15 in the south-east from mid-period.

VIS : Good.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 but NE 05 to 15 in the south-west.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in places in the

north-east and south-west at times.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : N to NE 10 to 20, but NW to W 10 to 20 in the west, reaching 25

to 35 in the extreme west from mid-period spreading to the

central and south-east by end of period.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the west spreading to

the south-east towards end of period when it will reach 35 in the

extreme south-east.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the north-east, with W to NW swell.

AREA 2:

=======

MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA

ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/04/17 AT 1600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- GALE RUNNING OVER KER.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/04/17 AT 1200UTC

- FLAT LOW OVER NORTHERN WAM, WITH ASSOCIATED SQUALLY WEATHER OVER

EASTERN WAM

- HIGH 1026 OVER AMS, SLOW-MOVING.

- HIGH 1023 OVER WESTERN CRO, FORECAST 1027 OVER WESTERN KER AT END.

- WAVING FRONT ALONG 43S OVER CRO AND KER AT START, DISSIPATING.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/04/17 AT 1800UTC TO 26/04/18

AT 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

SHOWERS AND SQUALLS AT TIMES THUNDERY.OVER EASTERN HALF.

WIND: CLOCKWISE 3/5, GUSTS IN SQUALLS.

SEA: MODERATE, LOCALLY ROUGH OVER NORTH-EASTERN AT START.

VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SHOWERS AND SQUALLS AT TIMES THUNDERY OVER FAR WESTERN SOON.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3/5, GUSTS IN SQUALLS OVER FAR WESTERN.

SEA: MODERATE, LOCALLY ROUGH OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN.

VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AT START AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN

AT END.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3/5, AT TIMES 6 OVER SOUTHEASTERN. INCREASING

NORTHERLY 6/7 OVER FAR WESTERN AT END.

SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH

VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS AT START OVER NORTHERN, SHOWERS OVER

SOUTHEASTERN.

WIND: SW 5/6 BUT 7/8 OVER SOUTHEASTERN WITH GUSTS. BECOMING

ANTICLOCKWISE 3/4 OVER NORTH-WESTERN SOON.

SEA: MODERATE TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. LONG SW

SWELL 4 TO 5M OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN.

VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=