METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 201700

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

20th OF AUGUST 2026 AT 17:00 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 202200 TO 212200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW 35 to 40 in the extreme east until mid-period,

otherwise W to SW 35 to 40, moderating from the west

from mid-period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

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High 1028 hPa 33s09e.

Low 988 hPa 46s08w, Low 1020 hPa 28s34e, Low 968 hPa 51s55e

1. Cold front: 28s19w 34s10w 39s07w into 46s08w

2. Cold front: 34s44e 40s52e 44s54e into 51s55e

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the extreme west until

mid-period.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 15 but SW 05 to 10 in the east where it will become

variable 05 to 10 by mid-period.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 in the north and south-west, otherwise N to NW 10

to 20.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the south until the end

of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the central south until mid-period, with W to SW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 but N to NW 05 to 15 in the extreme south-west,

while variable 05 to 10 in the extreme north-east until mid-

period.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east at first, with S swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the extreme east at first, otherwise W to SW

15 to 25. It will become NW 15 to 25 in the extreme west from mid-

period.

VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the extreme east

at first.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the extreme north-east, with W to NW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the north-east, otherwise N to NW 15 to 25,

reaching 30 in the south. It will become W to SW 15 to 25 from the

west from mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the west, spreading to

the south from mid-period, while clearing from the west towards

end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, with SW swell, but W to NW in the south-

west, spreading to the extreme south-east towards end of the

period.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : W to SW 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the south-east, becoming E to NE

10 to 20 in the north-west from mid-period. It will become NW 15

to 25 in the extreme south-west towards end of the period.

VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in the south, while clearing from the

west from mid-period, otherwise good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 5.5m in the south-east, but 6.0 to

6.5m in the extreme south-east towards end of the period, with W

to SW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : W 10 to 20 in the south-east at first, otherwise variable 05 to

10, but S to SE 10 to 20 in the north-west until mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the east.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, reaching 4.0m in the central south and

extreme south-east towards end of the period, S to SW swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers in the north until mid-period.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, but N to NE 05 to 15 in the south.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the north.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : NW 30 to 40 in the extreme east until mid-period, otherwise W to

SW 30 to 40, moderating to 15 to 25 from the west from mid-period.

VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain with snow showers in the

south, becoming good from the west from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 5.0 to 6.0m, reaching 7.0 to 8.0m in places in the west, spreading

to the central and north-east from mid-period, with W to SW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA

ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/08/20 AT 1700UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- FORCE 8 GALE OVER WAM AND AMS.- STRONG GALE FORCE 9 GALE OVER CRO

AND KER

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/08/20 AT 1200UTC

CF COLD FRONT OVER NORTH-EASTERN AMS, LEAVING THE AREA AT THE STARTCG

COLD FRONT AXIS 39S/50E, 49S/54E, MOVING RAPIDLY EASTWARDS WITH A

DEEPENING LOW 969 HPA NEAR 51S/55E.CH COLD FRONT ARRIVING FROM THE

WEST OVER CRO AT THE END.HIGH 1024 HPA AROUND 24S/63E WITH A RIDGE

MOVING SOUTH-EASTWARDS.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/08/20 AT 1800UTC TO 26/08/21

AT 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS, WITH CG STORMS. GUSTS. WIND: NORTH-WESTERLY

4 TO 7 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT, REACHING LOCALLY 8 IN

THE SOUTH-EAST, BACKING SOUTH-WESTERLY 6/7 BEHIND, LOCALLY 8 IN THE

SOUTH-EAST, DECREASING DURING THE DAY 4/5 THEN LATER BECOMING

ANTICLOCWIZE 2/4 IN THE NORTH AND SETTLING WESTERLY 6/7 IN THE

SOUTH, LOCALLY REACHING 8 IN THE FAR SOUTH.SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH

FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, BECOMING HIGH IN THE FAR SOUTH-WEST AT END.

SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3/5 METRES BEHIND THE FRONT. VISI: POOR TO VERY

POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

RAIN AND SHOWERS IN THE NORTH-EAST AT FIRST WITH CF, THEN RAIN,

SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH CG. VIOLENT GUSTS IN THE

SOUTHWIND:ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 WITH SOUTH-WESTERLY 5/6 IN THE

SOUTH-EAST, SETTLING NORTH-WESTERLY 6/7 LOCALLY 8FROM THE SOUTH-WEST

AHEAD THE FRONT CG, BACKING SOUTH-WESTERLY 5/6 BEHIND THE FRONT,

LOCALLY 7/8 IN THE SOUTH, DECREASING 3/4 IN THE WEST AT END.SEA:

ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, HIGH IN THE SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST. SOUTH-WESTERLY

SWELL 4/6 METERS, ABATING, THEN SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3/5 METERS

BEHIND THE FRONT CG.VISI: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS, WITH SQUALL WITH CG, THEN LATER CH. VIOLENT

GUSTS. SNOW IN THE SOUTH.WIND:NORTH-WESTERLY 7/8, LOCALLY 9 AHEAD OF

CG, AND SOUTH-WESTERLY 7/8, LOCALLY 9 BEHIND, SOON DECREASING

TEMPORARILY WESTERLY 6/7, THEN INCREASING LATER NORTH TO

NORTH-WESTERLY 7/8 LOCALLY 9 AHEAD CH, THEN BACKING AT END WESTERLY

THEN SOUTH-WESTERLY 7/8 LOCALLY 9 IN THE WEST.SEA: VERY ROUGH TO

HIGH. NORTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3/4 METERS AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND

WESTERLY SWELL 4/6 METERS BEHIND.VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS, THUNDERSTORMS CG. VIOLENT GUSTS. SNOW IN

THE SOUTH.WIND:NORTHERLY TO NORTH-WEST 5/6, THEN 7/8 AHEAD OF THE

FRONT, BACKING SOUTH-WEST 6/7, LOCALLY 8/9 IN THE NORTH, DECREASING

LATER WESTERLY 4/6 IN THE WEST, BUT AT FIRST SOUTH-WEST 4/6 IN THE

EAST, REACHING 7 IN THE NORTH-EASTSEA: VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, LOCALLY

ROUGH IN THE SOUTH-EAST. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3/6 METERS ABATING,

THEN NORTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3/4 METERS AHEAD CG AND WESTERLY SWELL 3/5

METER BEHIND IT.VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=