SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 07/11/2026
AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 005/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 07/11/2026 AT 0600 UTC.
PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 1008 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5 S / 54.1 E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING
UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP
TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/11/07 AT 18 UTC:
13.8 S / 53.0 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 105 NM SW: 105 NM NW: 0 NM
34 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 70 NM SW: 55 NM NW: 0 NM
24H, VALID 2026/11/08 AT 06 UTC:
13.7 S / 51.7 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 110 NM SW: 105 NM NW: 0 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
07th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 08:30 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 071000 TO 081000 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 6/2/20262027
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2
2.A POSITION 2026/11/07 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5 S / 54.1 E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY-FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.0/2.0/D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1008 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 130 SW: 130 NW: 0
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1012 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/11/07 18 UTC: 13.8 S / 53.0 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 195 SW: 195 NW: 0
34 KT NE: 0 SE: 130 SW: 100 NW: 0
24H: 2026/11/08 06 UTC: 13.7 S / 51.7 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 205 SW: 195 NW: 0
36H: 2026/11/08 18 UTC: 13.1 S / 50.6 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 215 SW: 195 NW: 0
48H: 2026/11/09 06 UTC: 12.7 S / 49.8 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT LOW
60H: 2026/11/09 18 UTC: 12.2 S / 48.8 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT LOW
72H: 2026/11/10 06 UTC: 11.7 S / 47.3 E, VENT MAX= 020 KT, DISSIPATING
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
NIL
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. TRADES : S to SE 35 in the south-east.
2. TRISTAN : N to NW 35 in places over the central and south-eastern
parts.
3. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to SW 35 to 40 over the southern half, but
only over the south-east during the second half
of the period.
SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z
=====================
High 1026 hPa 38s07e, High 1028 hPa 36s75e.
Low 984 hPa 45s16w, Low 975 hPa 55s53e, Low 1008 hPa 13s54e.
1. Cold Front : 23s28w 30s18w 35s11w 40s07w 45s08w into 45s16w
2. Cold Front : 34s41e 40s51e 45s59e 50s64e into 55s53e.
AREA FORECAST:
==============
ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : E to SE 05 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):
WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in east.
VIS : Good.
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):
WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the west and southern parts, otherwise E
to SE 10 to 20.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the
south-west.
SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west until mid-period, with NW swell.
TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):
WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east.
VIS : Good.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with S to SE swell.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 in places over the central and
south-eastern parts.
VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the north,
central and eastern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the north-east, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in
the south-west, with W to NW swell.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15, but N to NW 20 to 30 in the west and
south-west. It will become E to SE 20 to 30 in the east and
north-east from mid-period.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west,
spreading to the west during the second half of the period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the west, reaching 4.5m in the east and
south-east at first, S to SE swell. It will become 3.0 to 3.5m
in the south-west during the second half of the period, with
NW swell.
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : S to SW 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west,
spreading to the east towards mid-period, while becoming anti-
cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west and south-west.
VIS : Poor to moderate in showers and thundershowers in places in
the east, but moderate in showers and rain in the north and
north-west.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m (except in the north-east), reaching but 4.5 to
5.0m in places in the west and south-west, spreading to the
central parts during the second half of the period, with W to
SW swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the west and north-west, reaching 25 to 30
in the south-west, otherwise, N to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25
south-east of Madagascar.
VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers
in places in the west and southern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the extreme south-west, including the west and
central south from mid-period, with S to SW swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : S to SE 10 to 15 in the south-east, otherwise N to NE 05 to 15
reaching 20 to 25 in the west at times.
VIS : Good.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the north, otherwise E to NE 10 to 20,
reaching 25 in the south-west.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain except in the south-
east, but poor to very poor in showers and thundershowers in
the northern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the northern parts, with E to SE swell.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : W to SW 20 to 30, reaching 35 to 40 over the southern half,
but only over the south-east during the second half of the
period.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places, with snow-showers in
the southern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m but 4.5 to 5.5m in the west and south-west,
spreading to the north-west towards mid-period, with W to SW
swell.
AREA 2:
======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
26/11/07 AT 0600UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
- GALE FORCE 8 OVER CRO AND KER
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/07 AT 0000UTC
- HIGH 1029 HPA NEAR 35S/82E, EXPECTED1033 HPA NEAR 35S/87S AT END.- QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT OVER NORTHERN AMS, WEAKENING.- COLD FRONT AXIS 41S/50E, 50S/63E, MOVING EASTWARD.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/07 AT 0600UTC TO 26/11/08 AT 0600UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
RAIN, SHOWERS, AND FRONTAL OVER SOUTHWESTERN HALF
WIND: NORTH 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, LOCALLY 7 AHEAD THE FRONT IN THE
FAR SOUTH, BACKING BEHIND WESTERLY 4/5 THEN SOUTHERLY 5/6 IN THE
FAR SOUTHWEST LATER.
SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.
VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
SHOWERS IN NORTHERN.
WIND: NORTHERN HALF: EASTERLY 4/5, DECREASING NORTHEASTERLY 3/4
LATER.SOUTHERN HALF: ANTICYCLONIC 2 TO 4, SETTLING LATER
NORTHWESTERLY 4/5, LOCALLY 6 IN THE FAR SOUTH.
SEA : ROUGH, BECOMING MODERATE BY THE WEST. SOUTHWEST SWELL 2/3M,
ABATING.
VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
RAIN, SQUALLS, AND FRONTAL SHOWERS.
WIND: NORTHWEST 6/7, LOCALLY 8 AHEAD THE FRONT, WITH VIOLENT GUSTS;
BACKING BEHIND WESTERLY 4/5, LOCALLY 6 IN THE NORTH AND 6/7,
LOCALLY 8 IN THE SOUTH.
SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING LOCALLY HIGH IN THE FAR SOUTH AT THE
END. NORTHWESTERLY SWELL 2/4M WITH THE FRONT
VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
RAIN, SHOWERS, AND FRONTAL DOWNPOURS.
WIND: NORTHWESTERLY 6/7 LOCALLY 8, WITH VIOLENT GUSTS, AHEAD OF THE
FRONT, DECREASING 5/6 BEHIND IN SOUTHWEST AT END. BUT WESTERLY 4/5
OVER THE EAST AT THE START.
SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. SOUTHWESTERLY SWELL OF 2/4M AHEAD THE FRONT,
THEN NORTHWEST SWELL OF 3/5M WITH THE FRONT.
VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.