SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 11/02/2026
AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 020/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 11/02/2026 AT 0600 UTC.
PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 10 (GEZANI) CENTRAL PRESSURE NIL
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.3 S / 46.2 E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FORTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 15 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP
TO 280 NM OVER THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/02/11 AT 18 UTC:
19.4 S / 43.4 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 65 NM SE: 115 NM SW: 90 NM NW: 60 NM
34 KT NE: 45 NM SE: 60 NM SW: 55 NM NW: 0 NM
24H, VALID 2026/02/12 AT 06 UTC:
20.2 S / 41.2 E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 100 NM SE: 105 NM SW: 75 NM NW: 65 NM
34 KT NE: 65 NM SE: 60 NM SW: 45 NM NW: 35 NM
48 KT NE: 35 NM SE: 35 NM SW: 20 NM NW: 0 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 11/02/2026
AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 020/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 11/02/2026 AT 0600 UTC.
PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 10 (GEZANI) CENTRAL PRESSURE NIL
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.3 S / 46.2 E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FORTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 15 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP
TO 280 NM OVER THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/02/11 AT 18 UTC:
19.4 S / 43.4 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT,
28 KT NE: 65 NM SE: 115 NM SW: 90 NM NW: 60 NM
34 KT NE: 45 NM SE: 60 NM SW: 55 NM NW: 0 NM
24H, VALID 2026/02/12 AT 06 UTC:
20.2 S / 41.2 E, MAX WIND = 50 KT,
28 KT NE: 100 NM SE: 105 NM SW: 75 NM NW: 65 NM
34 KT NE: 65 NM SE: 60 NM SW: 45 NM NW: 35 NM
48 KT NE: 35 NM SE: 35 NM SW: 20 NM NW: 0 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 11/02/2026
AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 019/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 11/02/2026 AT 0000 UTC.
PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GEZANI) 985 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.1 S / 47.7 E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST 15 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 160 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 15
NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO
35 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 40
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT AND UP TO 75 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/02/11 AT 12 UTC:
18.9 S / 44.9 E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, OVERLAND DEPRESSION
24H, VALID 2026/02/12 AT 00 UTC:
19.6 S / 42.6 E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 90 NM SW: 85 NM NW: 0 NM
34 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 55 NM SW: 45 NM NW: 0 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL.=
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
10TH OF FEBRUARY 2026 AT 16:00 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 102200 TO 112200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
INFORMATION ABOUT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GEZANI):
======================================================
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 23/10/20252026
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GEZANI)
2.A POSITION 2026/02/10 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.1 S / 50.1 E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: WEST 9 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 6.0/6.0/D 0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 953 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 100 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 20 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 120 SE: 185 SW: 155 NW: 130
34 KT NE: 85 SE: 110 SW: 95 NW: 95
48 KT NE: 65 SE: 75 SW: 60 NW: 65
64 KT NE: 45 SE: 45 SW: 45 NW: 45
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1011 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/02/11 00 UTC: 18.1 S / 47.9 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 85 SE: 150 SW: 150 NW: 75
34 KT NE: 55 SE: 85 SW: 85 NW: 45
48 KT NE: 35 SE: 45 SW: 45 NW: 0
24H: 2026/02/11 12 UTC: 18.8 S / 44.8 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, OVERLAND DEPRESSION
36H: 2026/02/12 00 UTC: 19.4 S / 42.5 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 140 SE: 150 SW: 120 NW: 0
34 KT NE: 85 SE: 95 SW: 75 NW: 0
48H: 2026/02/12 12 UTC: 19.9 S / 40.3 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 100 SE: 140 SW: 165 NW: 120
34 KT NE: 65 SE: 85 SW: 65 NW: 55
48 KT NE: 45 SE: 65 SW: 45 NW: 0
60H: 2026/02/13 00 UTC: 20.5 S / 38.3 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 165 SE: 185 SW: 130 NW: 130
34 KT NE: 100 SE: 110 SW: 85 NW: 75
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 65 SW: 65 NW: 45
64 KT NE: 35 SE: 35 SW: 45 NW: 0
72H: 2026/02/13 12 UTC: 21.5 S / 36.6 E, VENT MAX= 075 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 185 SE: 205 SW: 155 NW: 155
34 KT NE: 110 SE: 120 SW: 95 NW: 85
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 65 SW: 65 NW: 55
64 KT NE: 45 SE: 45 SW: 45 NW: 35
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2026/02/14 12 UTC: 25.0 S / 35.9 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
28 KT NE: 195 SE: 195 SW: 140 NW: 150
34 KT NE: 120 SE: 120 SW: 100 NW: 85
48 KT NE: 65 SE: 65 SW: 55 NW: 55
64 KT NE: 45 SE: 45 SW: 35 NW: 45
120H: 2026/02/15 12 UTC: 26.0 S / 38.7 E, VENT MAX= 060 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 205 SE: 370 SW: 390 NW: 335
34 KT NE: 130 SE: 205 SW: 220 NW: 165
48 KT NE: 0 SE: 80 SW: 80 NW: 60
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=6.0
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: Cyclonic 35 to 40 over the central east towards the
end of the period.
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1028 hPa 40s24w, High 1023 hPa 36s49e
Low 983 hPa 18s50s (TROPICAL CYCLONE GEZANI)
AREA FORECAST:
==============
ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : SE 10 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):
WIND : SW to W 05 to 10 in the extreme east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):
WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, but NE 05 to 15 in the south-west.
VIS : Good, but moderate in intermittent light rain until mid-period.
TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):
WIND : S to SE 10 to 20,reaching 25 in the extreme south-east towards
the end of the period.
VIS : Good.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the east until mid-period, otherwise
anticyclonic 05 to 15. It will become N to NE 10 to 20 in the
west reaching 25 in the extreme south-west towards the end of the
period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the
extreme south-west.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, with SW swell.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : W to NW 10 to 20 in the extreme south-east until mid-period,
otherwise S to SW 15 to 25. It will become anticyclonic 05 to 15
in the south-west from mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain over the southern half
until mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west spreading to the south-east by mid-
period and to the north by the end of the period, with SW swell.
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : N to NE 10 to 20, becoming SW 15 to 25 over the western half from
mid-period reaching 30 in the extreme south-west.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers over the
western half from mid-period spreading to the central parts
towards the end of the period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m over the eastern half until mid-period, becoming 3.0
to 4.0m in the south-west towards the end of the period, with SW
swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : E to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in places in the extreme west
as well as in the extreme central north.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme
north-east from mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0m over the eastern half, with S swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : W 05 to 10 over the northern and central parts, otherwise S to SE
15 to 25 but cyclonic 30 to 40 in the central east towards the
end of the period.
VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places over
the northern and central parts, but very poor in the extreme
central east towards the end of the period, otherwise good.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : E to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the extreme central west at
first, but N 05 to 10 in the extreme north.
VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme central west until mid-period, and
again in the extreme south towards the end of the period, with NE
swell but S in the extreme south.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : W to NW 15 to 25, but 10 in the extreme north spreading to the
north-east towards the end of the period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the
south-west spreading to the north-west and south-east from mid-
period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except the north-western parts, with W swell.
AREA 2:
=======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
26/02/10 AT 1600UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%
STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
- GALE FORCE 8 OVER CRO
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/02/10 AT 1200UTC
- COLD FRONT AXIS 40S/74E, 45S/82E, 53S/87E, MOVING EASTWARD 20KT.
- BUILDING HIGH 1023 NEAR 37S/51E, SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/02/10 AT 1800UTC TO 26/02/11
AT 1800UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5.
SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH BECOMING MODERATE TO ROUGH AT END.
SOUTH-WEST SWELL 3 TO 5M DECREASING SLOWLY.
VISI: GOOD.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
SHOWERS OVER ESATERN.
WIND: CLOCKWISE 4 TO 5 OVER FAR SOUTH-EASTERN BECOMING VARIABLE 3 TO
5 ALL OVER THE AREA DURING THE DAY..
SEA: MODERATE, BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH BY SOUTH-WESTERN.
SOUTH-WEST SWELL 3 TO 5M BY SOUTH-WESTERN.
VISI: POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
SCATTERED SHOWERS, MORE FREQUENT OVER SOUTHERN.
WIND: WESTERLY 5 TO 6 AT TIMES 7, LOCALLY 8 OVER EASTERN DURING THE
NIGHT WITH GUSTS. DECREASING 4/5 AT END OVER NORTHERN.
SEA: VERY ROUGH TO HIGH BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH AT END.
SOUTH-WEST SWELL 5 TO 7 M, DECREASING 3 TO 5 M AT END.
VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATION.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WIND: WESTERLY TO NORTH-WEST 5 TO 7.
SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH OVER EASTERN BECOMING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH BY
WESTERN. SOUTH-WEST SWELL 5 TO 7 M BY WESTERN, DECREASING 4 TO 5 M AT END.
VISI : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. =