METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 081330

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

08th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. TRISTAN: Cyclonic 35 in the north-west spreading to the north-east by

mid-period.

2. CAPE EAST: NE 35 in the extreme north-west.

3. DURBAN EAST: NE 35 in the extreme south-west but Cyclonic 35 to 40 in

the central parts.

4. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: S to SE 35 in the south-west spreading to the

south-east towards end of period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

=====================

High 1032 hPa 38s29e,

Low 976 hPa 48s12w, Low 1010 hPa 11s51e.

1. Cold Front : 38s00e 46s09e 56s06e 53s09w into 48s12w.

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in east.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the south-west otherwise Anticyclonic 05

to 15.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south-

west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, with NW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 but Anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the south-west.

VIS : Good.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : W to NW 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 30 in the south until mid-

period, but Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the north-west reaching 35

spreading to the north-east by mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in places.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5m in the south at first, with W to SW

swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 in the east reaching 25 to 30 otherwise

Anticyclonic 05 to 15, but NW 15 to 25 in the south-west

spreading to the south-east by mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south-

west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, with S to SE swell but W to NW

swell in the south-west.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : SE to S 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise Anticyclonic 05

to 15 but NE 20 to 30 in the west reaching 35 in the extreme

north-west becoming variable 05 to 10 in the extreme west by

the end of the period.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the south-east, with SW

Swell but NE swell in the north-west towards mid-period.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-east until mid-period but NE 20

to 30 in the extreme south-west reaching 35, otherwise S to SE

15 to 25 reaching 30 in places but Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the

central parts reaching 35 to 40.

VIS : Good in the extreme south towards mid-period otherwise

moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the north-west and central

parts, with S to SE swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 30 in the south but 35 in the south-

west spreading to the south-east towards end of period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south

and north-east.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the north, reaching 4.5m in the extreme

south, with S to SW swell.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the extreme north-west at first,

otherwise E to NE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north

and extreme west.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to SW 20 to 30 in the south becoming NW 15 to 25 in the

south-west from mid-period spreading to the south-east by the

end of the period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the south.

SEA STATE: 5.0 to 6.0m in the east until mid-period otherwise 3.0 to

4.0m, with SW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

2026/11/08 AT 0500UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- GALE FORCE 8 OVER SOUTHERN AREA OF CRO AND KER

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/08 AT 0000UTC

- HIGH1031 HPA NEAR 35S/81E MOVING STEADILY EASTWARD.- LOW 940HPA NEAR 60S/58E WITH COLD FRONT CF ASSOCIATED AND AXIS 32S/40E, 37S/50E, 40S/54E, 42S/60E, 45S/65E, 48S/70E, MOVING EASTWARD.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/08 AT 0600UTC TO 26/11/09 AT 0600UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

RAIN, SHOWERS, AND FRONTAL CF.

WIND: NW 4 TO 6 LOCALLY 7 AHEAD CF BACKING S 5 TO 6 BEHIND.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH BY SW

SWELL 3 TO 5 METERS BY SOUTHWESTERN ZONE LATER. CROSSED SEA AHEAD

OF CF.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AREA, THEN FRONTAL RAIN (CF), SHOWERS AND SQUALLS BY SOUTHWESTERN ZONE LATER.

WIND: N 3/5 BUT 5/6 OVER SOUTHERN, LOCALLY 7 AHEAD CF AT NIGHT. BACKING

SW 5/6 BY SOUTHWESTERN ZONE AT END.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

RAIN, SQUALLS, AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF OVER NORTHEASTERN ZONE THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.

WIND: NW 5/7 AHEAD OF CF OVER NORTHEASTERN ZONE AT FIRST. BACKING W 5/7

BEHIND, FORCE 8 OVER SOUTHERN ZONE.GUSTS.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH OVER NORTHERN ZONE, BUT VERY ROUGH TO HIGH OVER

SOUTHERN ZONE. NW SWELL 2 TO 4 METERS ABATING AND CROSSED SEA AHEAD

CF. W SWELL 4 TO 6 METERS ARRIVING BY WESTERN ZONE SOON.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

RAIN, SQUALLS, AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF.

WIND: NW 5/7, LOCALLY 8 AHEAD OF CF, BACKING W 5/7 SOON, LOCALY 8 OVER

SOUTHERN ZONE. GUSTS.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. W SWELL 2 TO 4 METERS AND CROSSED SEA AHEAD OF

CF. BECOMING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH OVER SOUTHERN ZONE WITH A W SWELL 3

TO 5 METERS ARRIVING AT END.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=