METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 010830

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

01st OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 08:30 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 011000 TO 021000 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. TRADES : S to SE 35 in the south-east until mid-period.

2. TRISTAN : Cyclonic 35 in the north-west from this evening, spreading

to the central and southern parts from tomorrow morning

while moderating in the north-west.

3. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to SW 35 in the south-west from this evening,

spreading to the south from mid-period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z

=====================

High 1024 hPa 38s07e, High 1020 hPa 35s44e

Low 1009 hPa 38s23w, Low 997 hPa 51s39e, Low 1012 31s50e

1. Cold Front : 35s21e 41s30e 45s35e into 51s39e.

2. Cold Front : 28s30w 32s24w 35s21w into 38s23w.

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : SW 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15, but N to NW 15 to 25 in the south-west

spreading to the south from the evening, while becoming SW 15

to 25 in the south-west.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south

and south-west, clearing in the south-west from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west towards the end of the period, with SW

swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : N to NE 05 to 15 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25

reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east until mid-period.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, with S to SW swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : N to NE 10 to 20 in the eastern half, but cyclonic 15 to 25 in

the west, reaching 30 to 35 in the north-west from this

evening, spreading to the central and southern parts from

tomorrow morning while moderating in the north-west.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

north and western half, spreading to the central and east from

mid-period as well as south from tomorrow morning.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, central and north-west from tomorrow

morning, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the central parts towards the

end of the period, with W to SW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the north-east reaching 25 to 30 from late

afternoon, otherwise anti-cyclonic 05 to 15. It will become N

to NW 15 to 25 in the west from tomorrow morning.

VIS : Good becoming moderate in rain and showers in the north-west

from the evening, spreading to the south-west from tomorrow

morning.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west until tomorrow morning, with SW

swell.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-east, but N to NW 15 to 25 in

the east, otherwise S to SW 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-

west spreading to the south from mid-period, while becoming

anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the western half.

VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in the central and

southern parts spreading to the east from mid-period while

clearing in the central and south, but moderate in showers and

rain in places in the north-west, otherwise good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in places in the south and west, reaching 4.0m in

the south-west at first, with SW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : N to NE 15 to 25 in the west at first, but cyclonic 15 to 25

in the south-east until the evening, otherwise anti-cyclonic

05 to 15.

VIS : Good becoming moderate in showers and rain in the south-west

from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east at first, with SE swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : E to NE 05 to 15 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 05 to

15.

VIS : Good.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south, otherwise E to NE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the

south-east at first.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : NW 20 to 30 in the north and eastern parts until tomorrow

morning, otherwise W to SW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the

south-west from this evening, spreading to the south from mid-

period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the north and eastern

parts until tomorrow morning.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m reaching 4.0 to 5.0m in the south-west from mid-

period, spreading to the south towards the end of the period,

with W to SW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK(AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/11/01 AT 0500UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- GALE OVER FAR SOUTH-EASTERN KER AT FIRST.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/01 AT 0000UTC

- FILLING LOW 1010 NEAR 30S/50E, STATIONNARY. ASSOCIATED COLD AND WARM FRONTS OVER EASTERN WAM PRECEDED BY A CONVERGENCE LINE OVER NORTH-EASTERN AMS.- WAVING FRONT SOON OVER SOUTHERN CRO THEN LATER OVER SOUTHERN KER.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/01 AT 0600UTC TO 26/11/02 AT 0600UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

FRONTAL RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER EASTERN. SHOWERS BEHIND.

WIND : CLOCKWISE 3/4 OVER NORTH-WESTERN AT TIMES 5 AND VARIABLE 2/4

OVER SOUTH-WESTERN, BUT NORTHERLY 4/5 OVER EASTERN AT TIMES 6.

GUSTS WITH SQUALLS. INCREASING W 4/5 LATER OVER SOUTH-WESTERN.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH.

VIS : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER NORTH-EASTERN AT FIRST. FRONTAL RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS SPREADING FROM WEST.

WIND : VARIABLE 2/4, INCREASING NORTHERLY 4/5 LATER OVER WESTERN AT

TIMES 6. GUTS WITH SQUALLS.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

VIS : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN.

WIND : WESTERLY 3/4 AT TIMES 5, INCREASING SOON 4/5 AT TIMES 6. BACKING

SW 5/6 AT END OVER WESTERN AT TIMES 7. GUSTS.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SW SWELL 4 TO 5 M OVER

SOUTHERN GRADUALLY ABATING.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS LATER OVER SOUTHERN.

WIND : W TO NW 5/6 LOCALLY 7/8 WITH SEVERE GUSTS AT FIRST OVER FAR

SOUTH-EASTERN, BUT VARIABLE 2/4 AT FIRST OVER FAR NORTHERN.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, LOCALLY HIGH OVER FAR

SOUTHERN. SW SWELL 4 TO 6M OVER SOUTHERN.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.