METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 021600

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

02nd OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 16:00 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 022200 TO 032200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. TRISTAN: Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the central parts, spreading to the east

in the first half of the period.

2. CAPE WEST: N to NW 15 to 25, reaching 35 in the extreme west towards

end of the period.

3. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in the south-west towards mid-period.

It will become SW 35 in the south-west during the

second half of the period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

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High 1024 hPa 36s13e, High 1018 hPa 28s43e.

Low 986 hPa 36s11w, Low 1012 32s54e.

1. Cold Front : 21s20w 25s12w 30s06w 36s02w 40s08w into 36s11w.

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : SW 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the

extreme east until mid-period.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 in the north, otherwise N to NW 15 to 25, but

W to SW 15 to 25 in the south-west and central south,

spreading to the south-east towards mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the central south,

spreading to the south-east in the first half of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west and central south, spreading to

the south-east by mid-period, while reaching 4.0 to 4.5m in

the extreme south, with SW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : N to NW 10 to 20 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20

reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east.

VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and rain in the extreme

south-west towards mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east at first, becoming 3.0 to 4.0m in the

extreme south-west towards end of the period, with S to SW

swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30, reaching 35 to 40 in the central parts,

spreading to the east in the first half of the period. It

will be S 10 to 20 in the west.

VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers, becoming good

over the west towards the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.5 to 6.5m in the central parts,

spreading eastwards in the first half of the period, with NW

swell, but SE swell in the central parts, spreading to the

south-east towards end of the period.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the extreme south-east at first,

otherwise N to NW 15 to 25, reaching 30 to 35 in the west, but

S to SE 15 to 25 in the north-east.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

west and south.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west and south, becoming 5.0 to 6.0m in the

extreme west from mid-period, with NW swell, but SW swell in

the south-east.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the central parts, otherwise S to SW

10 to 20, but W 10 to 20 in the south. It will be E to NE 10

to 20 in the extreme north-west.

VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south, with SW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15, but S to SE 10 to 20 in the south-

west, spreading to the central parts by mid-period. It will

become E to NE 15 to 25 in the extreme west in the second half

of the period.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

south-west.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the

extreme north-east from mid-period.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15, but NE 05 to 15 in the south-west.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the south.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to NW 20 to 30, reaching 35 in the south-west towards mid-

period. It will become SW 25 to 35 in the south-west during

the second half of the period.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the west,

spreading eastwards from mid-period. Snow-showers are expected

in the south-west towards end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west, with W to

SW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA

ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/11/02 AT 1400UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- NIL.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/02 AT 1200UTC

- LOW 996 HPA NEAR 49S/74E WITH COLD FRONT AXIS: 38S/51E, 42S/59E,

48S/70EMOVING EASTWARD.

- DISTURBANCE OVER SOUTHERN AMS AND NORTHERN

KER MOVING EASTWARD.

- HIGH PRESSURE CONDITIONS OVER NORTHERN.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/02 AT 1800UTCTO 26/11/03

AT 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.

WIND: SW TO W 2 TO 4 LOCALLY 5 OVER WESTERN AT

FIRST.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. SOUTH-WEST SWELL 2 TO 3 M ABATING.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN.

WIND: NORTH-WESTERLY 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH DECREASING

3 TO 5 LATER.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. SW SWELL 2 TO 3 M.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS.

WIND: SOUTH-WESTERLY 4 TO 6 FROM WEST TO EAST AT

FIRST BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 OVER NORTHERN AND W TO

NW 4 TO 5 ELSEWHERE LATER.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SW SWELL

2 TO 3 M ABATING.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

FRONTAL SHOWERS AND SQUALLS MOVING EASTWARD.

WIND: NW 4 TO 6 AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BACKING SW 5 TO 6,

LOCALLY 7 BEHIND BY SOUTH-WESTERN LATER THEN ANTICLOCKWISE

3 TO 4 AT END.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH BECOMING MODERATE TO ROUGH AT THE END.

W TO SW SWELL 3 TO 4 M DECREASING.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.