METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 091700

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

09th OF OCTOBER 2026 AT 17:00 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 092200 TO 102200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to SW 35 in the extreme south.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

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High 1024 hPa 28s05e, High 1022 hPa 32s41e.

Low 1008 hPa 40s10w, Low 970 hPa 57s341e, Low 1016 hPa 29s50e.

1. Cold Front: 38s32e 40s35e 43s40e 47s42e 50s43e into 57s341e.

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 but W to SW 05 to 15 in the extreme east.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15, becoming S to SW 05 to 15 in the south-

west from mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in rain and showers in the south.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 15

to 25.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme east at first, with S swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : W to SW 20 to 30.

VIS : Moderate in showers and rain.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-east until mid-period, while becoming

3.0 to 4.0m in the extreme south-west towards mid-period, with

W to SW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15, but N to NW 20 to 30 in the west,

spreading to the south-east towards end of the period. It will

become W 20 to 30 from mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in rain and showers in the west, spreading

to the south-western parts by end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the extreme north, reaching 4.5m in the

extreme south until mid-period, with SW to W swell.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : NW 15 to 25, but W to SW 15 to 25 in the west, becoming

anticyclonic 05 to 15 towards mid-period. It will become N to

NE 15 to 25 in the west towards end of the period.

VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and thundershowers in the

north-west towards end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the extreme

south-west until mid-period, with SW to W swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Cyclonic 10 to 20 in the east and extreme west, otherwise

anticyclonic 05 to 15. It will become E to NE 15 to 25 in the

west, while 15 to 25 over the central parts from mid-period.

VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers, but good over the

central parts.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west until mid-period, with S swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west towards end of the period, with

S to SE swell.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20,

spreading southwards from mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south

until mid-period.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the extreme south.

VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, with snow-showers in the extreme

south, becoming good in the north during the first half of the

period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme north, otherwise 4.0 to 4.5m but

5.0 to 5.5m in the south. It will reach 6.0 to 6.5m in the

extreme south, while 7.0m towards mid-period, with W to NW

swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA

ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/10/09 AT 1600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- NIL.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/10/09 AT 1200UTC

- COLD FRONT OVER WESTERN CRO, MOVING EASTWARD, THEN MOVING OVER KER

LATER.- FILLING THUNDERY LOW 1014 NEAR 29S/50E.- HIGH 1034 NEAR

41S/72E, SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD. ASSOCIATED RIDGE SPREADING OVER AMS.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/10/09 AT 1800UTC TO 26/10/10

AT 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT THUNDERY SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER FAR

NORTH-WESTERN AT FIRST. FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN AT

END.WIND: OVER NORTHERN : ANTICLOCKWISE 3 OR 4 BUT CLOCKWISE 4 OR 5

OVER FAR NORTH-WESTERN AT FIRST.OVER SOUTHERN : NW 4 OR 5, AT TIMES 6

OVER FAR SOUTHERN, BACKING W THEN SW 4 OR 5 OVER WESTERN BEHIND THE

FRONT AT END.SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH.VISI: POOR OR VERY POOR IN

PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS.WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4.SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH,

BECOMING MODERATE.VISI: MAINLY GOOD.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS, BECOMING LESS NUMEROUS OVER WESTERN AT

END.WIND: NW 5 OR 6, AT TIMES 7 WITH GUSTS, BACKING W OR SW 4 OR 5

OVER WESTERN LATER AND W 5 OR 6 OVER FAR SOUTHERN.SEA: ROUGH TO VERY

ROUGH. VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS. FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER SOUTH-WESTERN SOON

AND OVER SOUTHERN AND WESTERN AT END.WIND: NW 5 OR 6, AT TIMES 7 WITH

GUSTS, BUT ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 OVER EASTERN AT FIRST, BACKING W 4 OR

5 OVER SOUTH-WESTERN AT END.SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING VERY

ROUGH DUE TO WIND OVER SOUTH-WESTERN SOON.VISI: GOOD, THEN POOR IN

PRECIPITATION.=