METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 130830

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

13th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 08:30 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 131000 TO 141000 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. CAPE EAST: N to NW 35 in the central south, but SW to W 35 in the

south-west spreading to the south-east.

2. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the south-west and the

north-east, but SW to S 35 in the west towards

mid-period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z

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High 1028 hPa 32s03w, High 1021 hPa 34s49e

Low 963 hPa 61s16w, Low 973 hPa 53s03e

1. Cold front : 45s23w 49s19w 54s13w 60s07w into 61s16w

2. Cold front : 42a25e 44s30e 48s38e 52s38e into 53s03e

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 in the south-west, otherwise variable 05 to

10.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the north-east at times.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south-

west.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the south-east.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east subsiding towards the of the

period, with S to SE swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the north, otherwise NW to W 15 to 25

in the south, but S to SW 05 to 15 in the south-west from mid-

period.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the extreme south-

west from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, with SW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-west spreading to the south-

east by mid-period, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25, but W to NW 05

to 15 in the south-west.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with W to SW swell.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : Anticyclonic in the north-east at first, otherwise N to NW 15

to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the central south, but SW to W 25

to 35 in the south-west spreading to the south-east.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the west and central

parts, spreading to the east from mid-period, while clearing

in the south-west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the extreme north, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m

in the south-east from mid-period, with SW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the central and eastern parts, otherwise

N to NE 10 to 20, but S to SE 10 to 20 in the south-west from

mid-period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the

south-west, spreading to the south-east by mid-period.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : Cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west reaching 20 to 25 by mid-period,

otherwise N to NE 05 to 15, but variable 05 to 10 in the east.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

west at first, and from mid-period.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : N to NE 05 15 in the south, otherwise E to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good, moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north at

times.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in the south-west and the

north-east, but SW to S 30 to 35 in the west towards mid-

period.

VIS : Good in the north-east at first, otherwise moderate in showers

and rain, but poor in snow showers in the extreme south-west

from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m (except in the north-east at first) reaching 5.0

to 6.0m in the west and central parts by mid-period, but 7.0

to 7.5m towards the end of the period, with W to NW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/11/13 AT 0600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

GALE FORCE 8 ONGOING AND EXPECTED OVER WAM, CRO AND KER.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/13 AT 0000UTC

- LOW 960 HPA NEAR 53S/59E ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT (CF) AXIS

50S/71E, 38S/66E, 32S/52E, MOVING EASTWARDS AT 3540 KT.

- LOW 972 HPA NEAR 52S/25E ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT (CG) AXIS

53S/29E, 48S/34E, 39S/17E, MOVING EASTWARDS AT 3035 KT.

- HIGH 1022 HPA OVER AMS AT THE END.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/13 AT 0600UTC TO 26/11/14 AT

0600UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS CLOSE TO CG AT THE END OF PERIOD OVER WESTERN

AREA.

WIND: SW 4 TO 5 LOCALLY 6 AT THE BEGINNING BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4

SOON, THEN INCREASING N TO NW 6 TO 7, LOCALLY 8 AHEAD OF CG.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORHT TO SOUTH. SW SWELL 2

TO 3 M.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF.

WIND: N TO 5 TO 6 OVER EASTERN AREA, BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SW SWELL 2 TO 3 M.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CG OVER WESTERN AREA.

WIND: WESTERLY 6 TO 8 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, INCREASING NORTHERLY 7/8 AHEAD

OF CG AND BACKING WESSTERLY 6/7 BEHIND AT THE END OF PERIOD OVER

WESTERN AREA.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH OVER SOUTHERN. SW SWELL 2 TO 4 M.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF.

WIND: N TO NW 6/7AHEAD OF CF, BACKING WESTERLY 6/7 LOCALLY 8 CLOSE TO

KERGUELEN ISLAND. STRONG GUSTS.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH BECOMING HIGH OVER SOUTHERN AREA. WESTERLY

SWELL 2 TO 4 M.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.=