METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 081700

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

08TH OF MAY 2026 AT 17:00 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

====================

1. TRISTAN : S to SW 35 in the south and eastern parts until in the

evening.

2. CAPE WEST : SW 35 in the west and south-west.

3. CAPE EAST : W to NW 35 in the west by the end of the period.

4. MARION-FORTIES EAST : Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the west and north-west

at first.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

=====================

High 1022 hPa 49s33e

Low 991 hPa 47s05e, Low 997 hPa 38s34e

1. Cold Front: 32s11w 36s03w 40s01e into 47s05e.

AREA FORECAST:

==============

ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the south-west.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the west, with SE swell.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : SW 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south at first, with S to SE swell.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : S to SE 15 to 25.

VIS : Good, becoming moderate showers and rain in the extreme south-

east until mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with S to SW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south, becoming W to SW 20 to 30 from

the morning, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25.

VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and rain in the south-west

from the morning, drifting to the south from mid-period, as well

as south-east by the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the north at first, with S to SW swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west, otherwise S to SW 15 to 25,

reaching 30 to 35 in the south and eastern parts until in the

evening. It will become W to NW 15 to 25 in the south-west from

mid-period, spreading to the south-east by the end of the period.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the east.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south and east, with W

to SW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the east, but W to NW 20 to 30 in the

central and southern parts, drifting to the eastern parts from

mid-period, otherwise SW 20 to 30, reaching 35 in the west and

south-west.

VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

west and central parts, spreading to the south-east from mid-

period, as well as east by the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in places in the south-west,

spreading to the west from the morning, with SW swell.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the extreme west at first, otherwise W to NW

15 to 25, reaching 30 in places in the central and southern

parts, but 35 in the west by the end of the period.

VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the east at

first, otherwise moderate in showers and rain.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the central and western

parts at first, with cyclonic swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 in the south-western parts at first, but N to NE

15 to 25 in the east, otherwise variable 05 to 10.

VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

Central, south-west and south-east.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, reaching 4.5m in the south-west at

first, with S to SW swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the southern

Parts until mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west at first, with S to SE swell.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E to NE 05 to 15 in the south, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the north.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, eastern parts, drifting to the north

from mid-period, with SE swell.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the southern parts at first, otherwise

cyclonic 15 to 25, reaching 30 to 40 in the west and north-west

at first.

VIS : Good, but moderate to poor moderate in showers and rain in the

north and central parts, spreading to the south by the end of the

period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0 in the north-west until mid-

period, with E to NE swell, but SW in the south-west.

AREA 2:

=======

MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA

ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/05/08 AT 1600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- LOCALLY GALE OVER AMS AND KER.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/05/08 AT 1200UTC

- HIGH 1025 HPA NEAR 33S/59E MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH RIDGE TO THE

SOUTHWEST.

- FRONT CF ARRIVING SOON OVER WEST WAM AND WEST CRO.

- LOW 989 HPA NEAR 46S/78E WITH ASSOCIATED FRONT, LEAVING SOON THE

AREA TO THE EAST.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/05/08 AT 1800UTC TO 26/05/09

AT 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS IN THE WEST, WITH LOCAL THUNDERSTORMS.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3/5, BUT SOUTHWESTERLY 5/6 IN THE SOUTHEAST AT

FIRST, SOON INCREASING NORTH TO NORTHEAST 5/6, VERY LOCALLY 7 IN THE

WEST WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT, DECREASING NORTHWESTERLY 3/4 IN

THE SOUTHWEST AT END.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH IN THE SOUTHEAST. SOUTH

SWELL, 2/4 METERS IN EAST.

VIS : POOR TO VERY WITH PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS IN THE SOUTHEAST AT FIRST.

WIND: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7, FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST, REACHING 8

LOCALLY IN THE SOUTHEAST AT FIRST, SETTLING SOUTHERLY 3 TO 5 IN THE

WEST LATER.

SEA : VERY ROUGH, BUT ROUGH IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGH IN THE FAR

SOUTHEAST. SOUTHWEST SWELL 3 TO 5 METERS.

VIS : POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS IN THE NORTHWEST, LOC THUNDERSTORMS.

WIND: VARIABLE ANTICYCLONIC 2/4 AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SETTLING SOON

NORTHEAST 5/6 WITH THE FRONT IN THE NORTHWEST, BACKING NORTHWEST 3/4

BEHIND IT IN THE FAR NORTHWEST AT THE END. BUT IN THE EASTERN ZONE,

SOUTHWEST 5/6, REACHING 7 AT FIRST.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST. SOUTHWEST SWELL 2 TO 4

METERS. NORTHWEST SWELL 3 METERS IN THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS.

WIND: SOUTHWESTERLY 6/7, LOCALLY 8, DECREASING 4/5 IN THE NORTHWEST

AT END. BUT CLOCKWISE 3/5 IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST AT START.

SEA : VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH, BUT ROUGH IN THE SOUTHEAST AT START.

SOUTHWESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 4 METERS.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.