SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 21/01/2026
AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 046/6 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 21/01/2026 AT 1800 UTC.
PHENOMENON: POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 (DUDZAI) 990 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 35.8 S / 62.7 E
(THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 42 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 250 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO
55 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 45 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 75 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT, UP TO 95 NM IN THE NORTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 130 NM
IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 60
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 105 NM IN THE
SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 115 NM IN THE NORTH-WESTERN QUADRANT
AND UP TO 155 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/01/22 AT 06 UTC:
43.0 S / 71.1 E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 330 NM SE: 130 NM SW: 80 NM NW: 250 NM
34 KT NE: 195 NM SE: 85 NM SW: 0 NM NW: 145 NM
24H, VALID 2026/01/22 AT 18 UTC:
49.5 S / 80.3 E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 335 NM SE: 205 NM SW: 265 NM NW: 440 NM
34 KT NE: 200 NM SE: 130 NM SW: 140 NM NW: 235 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
LAST WARNING ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH THE GMDSS MARINE
WARNINGS FQIO20 FMEE ISSUED TWICE DAILY AT 06Z AND 18Z BY METEO
FRANCE REUNION.=
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 21/01/2026
AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 045/6 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 21/01/2026 AT 1200 UTC.
PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6 (DUDZAI) 988 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.4 S / 59.8 E
(THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 31 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 70 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP
TO 150 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO
45 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE
NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO
60 NM IN THE NORTH-WESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT AND UP TO 100 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 40
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE
NORTH-WESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT
AND UP TO 160 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/01/22 AT 00 UTC:
39.4 S / 66.7 E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 280 NM SE: 190 NM SW: 90 NM NW: 140 NM
34 KT NE: 155 NM SE: 115 NM SW: 40 NM NW: 80 NM
48 KT NE: 70 NM SE: 50 NM SW: 0 NM NW: 40 NM
24H, VALID 2026/01/22 AT 12 UTC:
47.0 S / 76.2 E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 330 NM SE: 150 NM SW: 100 NM NW: 300 NM
34 KT NE: 220 NM SE: 0 NM SW: 0 NM NW: 150 NM
48 KT NE: 100 NM SE: 0 NM SW: 0 NM NW: 0 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
NIL=
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 21/01/2026
AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/7 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 21/01/2026 AT 1200 UTC.
PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 7 (EWETSE) 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.9 S / 44.5 E
(TWENTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FORTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: NORTH-EAST 8 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP
TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/01/22 AT 00 UTC:
22.9 S / 45.1 E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, OVERLAND DEPRESSION
OTHER INFORMATION:
LAST BULLETIN ISSUED BY RSMC LA REUNION REGARDING THIS SYSTEM.=
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
21ST OF JANUARY 2026 AT 16:00 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 212200 TO 222200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. CAPE EAST: NW 35 to 40 in the central-west towards end of period.
2. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW 35 in the north-west towards end of
period.
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1030 hPa 35s10w, High 1018 hPa 35s32e
Low 936 hPa 62s26e,
1. Cold Front: 42s26e 44s32e 48s39e 56s45e into 62s26e.
AREA FORECAST:
==============
ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : SE to E 10 to 20.
VIS : Good.
ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):
WIND : S to SE 05 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):
WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places.
SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, and central parts, with SE Swell.
TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):
WIND : S to SE 10 to 20.
VIS : Good.
SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west, with SE swell.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15, but SE to E 10 to 20 in the north, and
NE to W 10 to 20 in the south.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers in the north.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the north-east,
Otherwise, SW 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east by
mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in rain in the south-east, at first.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the north at first, becoming 3.0 to 4.0m in the
south-east from mid-period, with S to SE swell but SW in the
south-east.
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : SW to W 15 to 25 in the east, otherwise NE to N 10 to 20 but W
to SW 20 to 30 in the south-west, where it will reach 35
towards end of period and become NW 35 to 40 in the central-
west.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the
south-west.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the west, at first becoming 3.0 to 3.5m
in the south-west from mid-period, with S to SW swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : E to SE 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the extreme central-north
parts but N to NE 15 to 25 in the south-west becoming SW 20 to
30 in the extreme south-west by end of period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in
north-east.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the central-north and east, with S to
SE swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : SE to S 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the south-eastern parts
Otherwise, SW to W 10 to 20 in the north.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers
in the northern and eastern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, with S to SE swell.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : N to NE 10 to 20 but W 10 to 20 in the extreme north.
VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers but very poor
in the south-west.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : W to NW 10 to 20 becoming N to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35
in the north-west towards end of period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in the west from mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, but 5.0 to 5.5m in the south-west, with
W to SW swell.
AREA 2:
=======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK
(AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
26/01/21 AT 1600UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%
STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
- STORM FORCE 10 OVER EASTERN OF WAM AREA AT BEGINNING.
- STRONG GALE FORCE 9 OVER AMS AND KER.
- GALE FORCE 8 OVER CRO.
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/01/21 AT 1200UTC
- SEVERE TROPICAL STORM DUDZAI OVER WAM AREA, THEN BECOMING
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION. MOVING SSE.
- LOW 989 HPA NEAR 45S/60E WITH A COLD FRONT CF ASSOCIATED.
- HIGH 1024 NEAR 33S/81E, SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/01/21 AT 1800UTC TO 26/01/22
AT 1800UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.
WIND: CLOCKWISE 8 TO 9 IN THE VICINITY OF DUDZAI AT TIMES 10. SEVERE
TO VIOLENT GUSTS. BACKING W 5 TO 6 BEHIND THEN ANTICLOCKWISE
3 TO 4 OVER WESTERN AREA.
SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH WITH DUDZAI, WITH CYCLONIC
SWELL 4 TO 5 M A BEGINNING THEN SW SWELL 3 TO 4 METERS.
VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.
WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 4 AT TIMES 5 OVER EASTERN BECOMING CLOCKWISE
8 TO 9 BY SOUTH-WESTERN. VIOLENT GUSTS.
SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH BY WESTERN. NW SWELL 4 TO
5 M BY WESTERN AREA AT END.
VISI: POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER EASTERN AREA AT BEGINNING THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WIND: CLOCKWISE 5 TO 6 LOCALLY 7 TO 8 THEN W 4 TO 5 BY WESTERN AREA. GUSTS.
SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH BUT VERY ROUGH OVER NORTH-WESTERN AREA. W
SWELL 3 TO 4 M.
VISI: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.
WIND: NW 5 TO 6, INCREASING LOCALLY 7 BECOMING CLOCKWISE OVER
SOUTH-WESTERN AREA AND CLOCKWISE 7 TO 8, LOCALLY 9 OVER NORTHERN AREA
AT END. GUSTS. W 6 TO 7 LOCALLY 8 AT END.
SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. NW SWELL 3 TO 4 M BY NORTH-WESTERN AREA AT END.
VISI: POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.