METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 081330

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

08TH OF OCTOBER 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA

2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

=======

FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES

LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED

BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

====================

1. CAPE EAST: NW TO W 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST AT FIRST.

2. MARION FORTIES EAST: W TO NW 35 IN PLACES IN THE SOUTH.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

=====================

HIGH 1022 HPA 25S00W,

LOW 960 HPA 55S22E, LOW 1016 HPA 43S46E, LOW 1016 HPA 27S49E,

1. COLD FRONT: 42S20E 47S26E 52S29E 60S35E INTO 58S22E.

AREA FORECAST:

==============

ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E TO SE 10 TO 15.

VIS : GOOD.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S TO SE 05 TO 15 BUT SW 05 TO 15 IN THE EXTREME EAST.

VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE

EXTREME

EAST UNTIL MID-PERIOD.

SEA STATE: 3.0M IN THE SOUTH, WITH S TO SW SWELL.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E TO SE 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTH, OTHERWISE ANTICYCLONIC 05

TO

15.

VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN RAIN IN THE EXTREME SOUTH.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : ANTICYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE SOUTH-WEST, OTHERWISE S TO SE

15

TO 25 REACHING 30 IN PLACE IN THE SOUTH-EAST.

VIS : GOOD.

SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE EAST, WITH S TO SW SWELL.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : ANTICYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE EXTREME NORTH, OTHERWISE SW

15 TO

25 BUT NW 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL DRIFTING TO THE

SOUTH-

EAST TOWARDS MID-PERIOD.

VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN PLACES.

SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M, EXCEPT IN THE NORTH-WEST, REACHING 4.5M IN

THE

EXTREME SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST, WITH W TO SW SWELL.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : ANTICYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTH-WEST SPREADING TO THE

CENTRAL PARTS TOWARDS MID-PERIOD, BUT NW 15 TO 25 IN THE

SOUTH-EAST OTHERWISE SW TO W 15 TO 25.

VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN RAIN AND SHOWERS IN THE SOUTH AND

WEST.

SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M REACHING 4.5M IN THE SOUTH-EAST UNTIL

MID-PERIOD,

WITH SW TO W SWELL.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN PLACES IN THE EAST AND NORTH-CENTRAL

PARTS BUT NE 15 TO 25 IN THE EXTREME EAST OTHERWISE NW TO

W 15

TO 25 REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST AT FIRST.

VIS : GOOD IN PLACES IN THE NORTH OTHERWISE MODERATE IN SHOWERS

AND

THUNDERSHOWERS.

SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M REACHING 4.5 TO 5.5M IN THE SOUTH-WEST, WITH

SW TO

W SWELL.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : CYCLONIC 15 TO 25 IN THE EAST OTHERWISE ANTICYCLONIC 05 TO

10

BUT NE 10 TO 20 IN THE EXTREME WEST BUT SW 15 TO 25 IN THE

EXTREME SOUTH-WEST.

VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN

THE

EAST AND IN THE EXTREME SOUTH-WEST BY THE END OF THE

PERIOD.

SEA STATE: 3.0M IN THE SOUTH AND EAST WITH S TO SW SWELL.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : SW 15 TO 25 IN THE EXTREME EAST, OTHERWISE S TO SE 05 TO

15

REACHING 20 IN PLACE BUT E TO NE 05 TO 15 IN THE EXTREME

SOUTH-WESTERN PARTS.

VIS : GOOD.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E TO SE 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTH, OTHERWISE N TO NE 05 TO 15.

VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN

THE

SOUTH.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : CYCLONIC 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST OTHERWISE W

TO NW

15 TO 25 REACHING 30 BUT 35 IN PLACES IN THE SOUTH.

VIS : GOOD IN THE CENTRAL PARTS UNTIL MID-PERIOD, OTHERWISE

MODERATE

IN SHOWERS AND RAIN.

SEA STATE: 3.5 TO 4.5M BUT 5.0M IN THE SOUTH-WEST, WITH W TO NW

SWELL.

AREA 2:

======

MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA

ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

2026/10/08 AT 0500UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- NIL

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/10/08 AT 0000UTC

- WEAK COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHWESTERN CRO AT FIRST.- THUNDERY LOW

EXPECTED 1014 NEAR 29S/49E AT 18TU.- NEW EXPECTED COLD FRONT OVER FAR

WESTERN CRO AT END.- HIGH 1043 NEAR 40S/69E, SLOW MOVING, EXPECTED

1035 AT END.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/10/08 AT 0600UTC TO 26/10/09 AT

0600UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

THUNDERY SHOWERS OVER FAR NORTHWESTERN SOON, ELSEWHERE SCATTERED

SHOWERS.

WIND: NE OR N 4 OR 5, AT TIMES 6 WITH GUSTS OVER FAR NORTHWESTERN

SOON.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. EAST SWELL 2 TO 3 METERS,ABATING.

VIS : POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4, AT TIMES 4 OR 5 OVER NORTHERN AT FIRST.

SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH.

VIS: GOOD, TEMPORARILY POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWESTERN, ELSEWHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS.

WIND: OVER NORTHERN : N 4 OR 5, INCREASING 5 OR 6 OVER WESTERN AT

ENDOVER

SOUTHERN: NW 5 OR 6 OVER EASTERN, S 2 OR 3 OVER WESTERN,

BECOMING E

4 OR 5 SOON, THEN N 5 OR 6 AT END.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN AT FIRST.

SW

SWELL 3 OR 4 METERS OVER SOUTHERN.

VIS : POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

FEW SHOWERS.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 4 BUT W 5 OR 6 OVER SOUTHERN AT FIRST.

SEA : MODERATE TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. SW SWELL 3

TO 4

METERS.

VIS : GOOD.=

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