METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 021600

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

02ND OF OCTOBER 2026 AT 16:00 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 022200 TO 032200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. TRADES : S to SE 35 in the south-east.

2. TRISTAN : W to NW 35 to 40 in places in the central and southern

half.

3. CAPE WEST: W to NW 35 in the south-west from mid-period.

4. DURBAN EAST: E to NE 35 in places in the north and central parts at

first.

5. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: E to SE 35 in the south-east at first.

6. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in places in the southern parts at

first, as well as south-west by mid-period

spreading to the south-east from the evening.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

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High 1026 hPa 32s00w, High 1037 hPa 37s53e.

Low 1018 hPa 22s39e.

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 but SW 05 to 10 in the east.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 in the southern parts, reaching 30 in the

south-west until mid-period, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain over the extreme south-

west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, with NW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the east and south-east from mid-period, with S to SE

swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in places in the central

and southern half.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the central

and western parts spreading to the south-east from the

morning, as well as east from mid-period while clearing in the

west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west and southern parts, reaching 4.5 to

5.5m in the central, south and south-western parts from the

morning, but 7.0 to 8.0m in the south-west from mid-period,

with W to NW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 in the south and south-west reaching 30 to 35

in the south-west from mid-period, but S to SE 15 to

25 in the north-east, otherwise anti-cyclonic 05 to 15.

VIS : Good becoming moderate in showers and rain over the south-west

from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in places in the southern parts, reaching 4.5 to

5.0m in the south-west from the evening, with W to SW swell

becoming NW in the south-west from mid-period.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the west becoming S to SE 15 to 25 from

the morning, but NE 15 to 25 in the north and north-east,

otherwise N to NW 15 to 25.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the west and

southern parts.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in in places in the central, south and south-

western parts, spreading to the west in the evening, with W to

NW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : E to NE 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in places in the north and

central parts at first.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

north and north-western parts, spreading to the central from

the morning as well as south from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m (except in the south and west) reaching 4.0m in

the northern parts, with E to SE swell.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : Cyclonic 10 to 20 over the central parts, otherwise E to SE 10

to 20 reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east at first.

VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

West, south and central parts. Clearing in the west from mid-

period as well as central in the evening.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the southern parts at first, with S to SE swell.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the west, otherwise E to SE 15 to 25

reaching 30 in the south at first.

VIS : Moderate in light rain in places but moderate to poor in

showers and thundershowers over the south-west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with E to SE swell.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in places in the southern

parts at first, as well as south-west by mid-period spreading

to the south-east from the evening. It will become anti-

cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west and central parts from the

morning.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the north-west,

central and south-east. Clearing in the south-east from the

morning.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the southern parts, with W

to NW swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/10/02 AT 1600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here).

PART 1: WARNING

- Gale over KER.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/10/02 AT 1200UTC

- High 1038 hPa near 38S/51E, slowly moving north-eastward- Slowly moving cold front axis 29S/68E, 30S/80E.- Waving front over Southern of CRO and KER.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/10/02 at 1800UTC to 26/10/03 at 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

Scattered showers over northern area.

WIND : anticlockwise 2/4, but SE 4/5 over Northern.

SEA : Moderate to rough from west to east. South swell 2 to 3 meters.

VIS : moderate in precipitation.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

Showers and frontal rain in the north, getting heavier

WIND : Northern half: Southeasterly 5/6, locally 7 over far northern. Southern half:Anticlockwise 3/4, locally 5 in the south.

SEA : moderate to very rough from north to south. South-south-westerly

swell 2 to 4 meters from north to south.

VIS : poor in precipitation.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

Scattered showers over southwestern.

WIND : North: Westerly, 4/South : Westerly 6/7, with strong gusts in

the far south decreasing 4/5 soon.

SEA : moderate to very rough from northwest to southeast. Southwesterly

swell 2 to 4 meters increasing 4 to 5 meters over far southern.

VIS : mainly good.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

Isolated showers.

WIND : Northern half: Westerly to Southwesterly 4 to 6Southern half:

Westerly 6/7, temporarily 8 with gusts

SEA : rough to high from

northwest to southeast. South-Westerly swell 3 to 5 meters.

VIS : generally good.