SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 18/02/2026
AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 049/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 18/02/2026 AT 1200 UTC.
PHENOMENON: POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (GEZANI) 990 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 35.6 S / 41.6 E
(THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND
FORTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 12 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 380 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING
UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 70 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT AND UP TO 130 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 85
NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE
SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 195 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT
AND UP TO 210 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2026/02/19 AT 00 UTC:
38.2 S / 42.9 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 235 NM SE: 170 NM SW: 110 NM NW: 160 NM
34 KT NE: 135 NM SE: 105 NM SW: 75 NM NW: 80 NM
24H, VALID 2026/02/19 AT 12 UTC:
41.1 S / 46.3 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 265 NM SE: 290 NM SW: 95 NM NW: 170 NM
34 KT NE: 155 NM SE: 180 NM SW: 75 NM NW: 90 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
LAST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM, UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. FURTHER
INFORMATIONS WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH THE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE
HIGHT SEAS FOR METAREA VII, ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES
OF SOUTH-AFRICA (FQZA31 FAPR).=
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
18TH OF FEBRUARY 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 182200 TO 192200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 55/10/20252026
1.A POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (GEZANI)
2.A POSITION 2026/02/18 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 35.6 S / 41.6 E
(THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND
FORTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH 12 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 40 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): 102 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 360 SE: 390 SW: 205 NW: 155
34 KT NE: 185 SE: 240 SW: 130 NW: 130
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1011 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2026/02/19 00 UTC: 38.2 S / 42.9 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 435 SE: 315 SW: 205 NW: 295
34 KT NE: 250 SE: 195 SW: 140 NW: 150
24H: 2026/02/19 12 UTC: 41.1 S / 46.3 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 490 SE: 535 SW: 175 NW: 315
34 KT NE: 285 SE: 335 SW: 140 NW: 165
36H: 2026/02/20 00 UTC: 44.6 S / 52.7 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 665 SE: 555 SW: 325 NW: 470
34 KT NE: 390 SE: 360 SW: 240 NW: 270
48H: 2026/02/20 12 UTC: 47.7 S / 61.2 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 785 SE: 720 SW: 335 NW: 555
34 KT NE: 465 SE: 465 SW: 280 NW: 335
48 KT NE: 165 SE: 75 SW: 110 NW: 100
60H: 2026/02/21 00 UTC: 50.5 S / 70.8 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 870 SE: 610 SW: 415 NW: 630
34 KT NE: 510 SE: 400 SW: 285 NW: 380
48 KT NE: 175 SE: 75 SW: 65 NW: 140
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. TRISTAN: Cyclonic 35 to 45 in the central east towards the end of the period.
2. CAPE WEST: S to SE 35 in the south-west in the second half of the period.
3. CAPE EAST: Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the south-east.
4. MARION FORTIES EAST: Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the north-east towards mid-period.
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1023 hPa 42s07e
Low 1012 hPa 43s09w, Low 1008 hPa 35s23e
Low 990 hPa 35.6s 41.6e (POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 GEZANI).
1. Cold front: 35s17w 40s08w into 43s09w.
AREA FORECAST:
==============
ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : S to SE 05 to 15.
VIS : Good.
ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):
WIND : SW 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 10.
VIS : Good.
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):
WIND : SW to S 10 to 20 in the south until mid-period, otherwise SE to S 10
to 20.
VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers in the south from mid-period
becoming good in the south-east.
TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):
WIND : NW 05 to 15 in the south-west otherwise S to SE 05 to 15.
VIS : Good.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : N to NE 05 to 15 in the east at first, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25,
becoming cyclonic 20 to 30 in the central east from mid-period
reaching 35 to 45 towards the end of the period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain over the eastern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west spreading over the eastern parts from
mid-period while reaching 4.5m, with SW swell.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-west at first becoming N to NE 10 to
20 towards mid-period, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 35
in the south-west in the second half of the period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the west towards mid-
period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with SW swell. 3.0 to 4.0m in the
south-west towards the end of the period, with SE swell.
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : SE 15 to 25 in the west, otherwise SW 10 to 20, but cyclonic 30
to 40 in the south-east. (Also see information about POST-TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 10 GEZANI above).
VIS : Good, but moderate in the showers and rain in the west and poor to
very poor in thundershowers in the east until mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme west, with SW swell. 4.0 to 6.0m in the
east reaching 7.0m in the first half of the period moderating to 3.0m
in the north-east from mid-period, with cyclonic swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : N to NE 10 to 20 in the east and extreme-west, otherwise NW to W 10
to 20 becoming SW to S 05 to 15 in the central parts from mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the east.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 until mid-period, otherwise SE to S 05 to 15.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north-east
at times.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : SE 05 to 15 in the north, otherwise E to NE 05 to 15.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain at times.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the north, becoming cyclonic 30 to 40 in
the north-east towards mid-period. (Also see information about
POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 GEZANI above).
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain over the northern half, but
poor to very poor in the north-east from mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south until mid-period, with SW swell. 4.5 to 5.5m
in the north-east, reaching 6.0 to 7.0m in the north-east towards
mid-period, with NE swell.
AREA 2:
=======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
26/02/18 AT 0500UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
- GALE OR STRONG GALE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEASTERN KER.
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/02/18 AT 0000UTC
- SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GEZANI) 988 HPA NEAR 33.1S/41.6E, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD, EXPECTED POST TROPICAL LOW NEAR 41.3S/46.7E THE
19 AT 12 UTC.
- HIGH 1026 NEAR 39S/63E, MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/02/18 AT 0600UTC TO 26/02/19 AT 0600UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER FAR WESTERN AT END.
WIND : ANTICLOCKWISE 3/4 INCREASING N 5/6 OVER WESTERN AREA LATER.
SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. SW SWELL ABATING.
VIS : BECOMING VERY POOR OVER FAR WESTERN AT END.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN.
WIND : ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 AT TIMES 5 OVER SOUTHERN.
SEA : MODERATE.
VIS : GOOD.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WIND : ANTICLOCKWISE 3/4 , AT TIME 5, BUT WESTERLY 5/6 OVER SOUTHERN AT TIMES 7
WITH GUSTS. INCREASING NW 5/6 OVER NORTHWESTERN AREA AT END.
SEA : MODERATE OR ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH OVER FAR SOUTHERN BY SW SWELL 2 TO
4 M.
VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WIND : W 4/5 IN NORTH, INCREASING 6/7 LOCALLY 8/9 IN SOUTHEAST LATER.
SEVERE GUSTS.
SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, TEMPORARILY HIGH OVER FAR SOUTH-EASTERN. SW SWELL,
INCREASING 3 TO 4M.
VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION.=