METAREA 7 bulletinset


HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FQZA31 FAPR 040830

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

04th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 08:30 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 041000 TO 051000 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in the extreme south moderating by the

end of the period.

SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z

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High 1022 hPa 30s16w, High 1024 hPa 35s42e.

Low 1004 hPa 38s04e

1. Cold Front : 28s02w 33s05e 38s07e 41s05e into 38s04e.

AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND : S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS : Good.

ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 05

to 15.

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme east at first with W to SW swell.

TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND : W to SW 10 to 20 in the south, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15

VIS : Good.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west at first, with SW swell.

TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-west, otherwise SW to W 15 to

25.

VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers in the west from the end of

the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the east, with W to SW swell.

CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND : S to SW 05 to 15 in the north-east, otherwise W to NW 20 to

30, but S to SW 10 to 20 in the south-west.

VIS : Good in the north-west, otherwise moderate in showers and

rain.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the west, spreading to the east by the end of

the period.

CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise NW 05 to 15

reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west at first spreading to the

south-east.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the west

and the south-west.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south, with SW swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : SE to E 15 to 25 in the south-east, otherwise variable 05, but

NE to E 05 to 15 in the west.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south-

east at first, but poor in the extreme south-west towards the

end of the period.

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND : S to SE 15 to 25, otherwise Variable 05 to 10.

VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the

extreme north-east from mid-period.

MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND : SE to E 15 to 25, but NE 15 to 25 in the south-west from mid-

period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in places in

the north-east.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-east, otherwise W to NW 15 to

25 reaching 30 to 35 in the extreme south moderating by the

end of the period.

VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the north and eastern

Parts, becoming poor in the north-western parts towards the

end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the north, otherwise 5.0 to 6.0m, with W to SW

swell.

AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK(AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

26/11/04 AT 0600UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).

PART 1: WARNING

- SEVERE GALE FORCE 9 EXPECTED OVER KER.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/04 AT 0000UTC

- HIGH AT 1021 HPA NEAR 41S79E, MOVING EASTWARD.

- LOW AT 1009 HPA NEAR 41S60E, FORECAST TO BE AT 991 HPA NEAR 45S75E ON

THE 5TH AT 00UTC. ASSOCIATED DISTURBANCE OVER WAM AND NORTHERN CRO

MOVING TOWARD THE ESE.

- LOW AT 975 HPA NEAR 56S46E, MOVING EASTWARD. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT

APPROACHING CRO.

- HIGH AT 1021 HPA NEAR 35S41E, MOVINGEASTWARD.

PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/04 AT 0600UTC TO 26/11/05 AT

0600UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

FREQUENT SHOWERS AT FIRST, SHIFTING EASTWARD.

WIND: WEST TO NORTHWEST, FORCE 4 TO 6 AT FIRST, WEAKENING FROM THE WEST

AND BECOMING CLOCKWISE FORCE 2 TO 4.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. SOUTHWEST SWELL OF 2 TO 3 M.

VIS : POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

FREQUENT SHOWERS.

WIND: NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST FORCE 4 TO 5, BACKING WEST TO NORTHWEST

FORCE 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, LOCALLY REACHING FORCE 7 IN THE

FAR SOUTH, THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FORCE 4 TO 6 OVER THE WEST BY

THE END.

SEA : MODERATE BECOMING MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SOUTHWEST

TO WEST SWELL AROUND 2 M, RISING TO 3 M IN THE WEST AT END.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

FREQUENT SHOWERS MOVING EASTWARD.

WIND: PREDOMINANTLY WESTERLY FORCE 5 TO 7, WEAKENING TO FORCE 3/4 IN THE

NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE AREA.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. SOUTHWEST SWELL 2 TO 4 METER IS COMING FROM

THE WEST.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

SHOWERS BECOMING FREQUENT

WIND: MAINLY NORTH FORCE 4/5, INCREASING FORCE 5/6 AND BACKING SOUTHWEST

TO WEST FORCE 6 TO 8, TEMPORARILY REACHING FORCE 9 AT END.

SEA : MODERATE BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH FROM THE WEST. WEST TO

SOUTHWEST SWELL AROUND 2 M, SUBSIDING, THEN SOUTHWEST SWELL 3 TO 4

M ARRIVING FROM THE WEST AT END.

VIS: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=