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GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 21/11/2024
AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 036/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 21/11/2024 AT 0600 UTC.
PHENOMENON: FILLING UP 3 (BHEKI) 1003 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.9 S / 57.5 E
(TWENTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 13 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT FROM
THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO
105 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP
TO 50 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 125 NM IN THE
SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 165 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2024/11/21 AT 18 UTC:
22.2 S / 55.5 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT,
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 185 NM SW: 105 NM NW: 50 NM
34 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 110 NM SW: 30 NM NW: 30 NM
24H, VALID 2024/11/22 AT 06 UTC:
22.5 S / 54.2 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT,
28 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 175 NM SW: 105 NM NW: 0 NM
34 KT NE: 0 NM SE: 110 NM SW: 60 NM NW: 0 NM
OTHER INFORMATION:
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1:31:08:11:00
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SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET AREA VIII(S) MAURITIUS METEOROLOGICAL
SERVICES ISSUED ON THURSDAY 21 NOVEMBER 2024 AT 0100 UTC.
PART 1: TTT WARNING OF GALE FORCE WIND
TTT WARNING OF NEAR GALE FORCE WIND
AT 21/0000 UTC, FILLING UP 3 (BHEKI) 1004 HPA WAS CENTRED WITHIN 20
NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1 S / 58.7 E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH
AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING TO 275 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT FROM
THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO
105 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP
TO 50 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT, UP TO 125 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 165 NM
IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS OBSERVED AT 0000 UTC ON THURSDAY 21 NOVEMBER
2024.
EQUATORIAL TROUGH AXIS ALONG 07S EXTENDING 55 E TO 95 E.
FILLING UP LOW BHEKI 1004 HPA NEAR 20.1S 58.7E. MOVEMENT:
WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT.
TROPICAL LOW 1009 HPA NEAR 08S 56E.
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 08S 71E.
HIGH 1025 HPA NEAR 31S 79E.
PART 3: AREA FORECAST VALID TILL FRIDAY 22 NOVEMBER 2024 AT 0000 UTC.
NORTH WEST 8/1: SAME AS IN TTT WARNING OF PART 1.
REMAINING 8/1: EASTERLY 10-20 IN EAST. EAST NORTH EASTERLY TURNING TO
SOUTH EASTERLY 15-25 IN REMAINING WEST. LOCALLY GUSTY IN CENTRAL
WEST. SEA MODERATE IN EXTREME SOUTH EAST, ROUGH ELSEWHERE, BECOMING
LOCALLY VERY ROUGH IN EXTREME CENTRAL WEST. VISIBILITY MODERATE IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS MAINLY IN WEST, BECOMING LOCALLY POOR IN ISOLATED
THUNDERY SHOWERS IN CENTRAL WEST.
8/2: SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH EASTERLY 10-20 IN SOUTH EAST. EAST SOUTH
EASTERLY 15-20 ELSEWHERE. SEA MODERATE IN EXTREME SOUTH WEST, ROUGH
ELSEWHERE. VISIBILITY MODERATE IN FEW SHOWERS.
EXTREME SOUTH WEST 8/3: SAME AS IN TTT WARNING OF PART 1.
REMAINING 8/3: NORTH EASTERLY TURNING TO SOUTH EASTERLY 05-15 IN
CENTRAL WEST. EASTERLY 20 IN REMAINING SOUTH, WEAKENING TO 05-10 IN
NORTH. SEA ROUGH IN SOUTH AND IN EXTREME NORTH EAST, MODERATE
ELSEWHERE. VISIBILITY MODERATE IN SCATTERED SHOWERS, BECOMING LOCALLY
POOR IN ISOLATED THUNDERY SHOWERS IN NORTH EAST.
8/4: SOUTH EASTERLY 15-20. SEA ROUGH. VISIBILITY MODERATE IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS, BECOMING POOR IN ISOLATED THUNDERY SHOWERS IN
EXTREME NORTH.
8/5: CLOCKWISE 05-10 IN SOUTH WEST. SOUTHERLY TURNING TO WESTERLY
05-10 IN EXTREME SOUTH EAST. VARIABLE 05 IN REMAINING EXTREME CENTRAL
SOUTH. MAINLY WESTERLY 05-10 ELSEWHERE. SEA MODERATE BECOMING LOCALLY
ROUGH IN ISOLATED THUNDERY SHOWERS IN EXTREME NORTH AND IN EAST.
VISIBILITY MODERATE TO POOR IN ISOLATED THUNDERY SHOWERS.
8/6: CLOCKWISE 05 IN CENTRAL SOUTH. SOUTHERLY TURNING TO WESTERLY
05-10 IN REMAINING SOUTH. MAINLY WESTERLY 10-15 ELSEWHERE,
STRENGTHENING TO 20 IN EXTREME NORTH EAST. SEA MODERATE, BECOMING
LOCALLY ROUGH IN SCATTERED THUNDERY SHOWERS. VISIBILITY POOR IN
THUNDERY SHOWERS.
8/7: CLOCKWISE SOUTHERLY TO WESTERLY 05 IN EXTREME EAST. EASTERLY 10
IN SOUTH WEST. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH EASTERLY 05-10 ELSEWHERE. SEA
MODERATE. VISIBILITY MODERATE TO POOR IN ISOLATED THUNDERY SHOWERS IN
EXTREME NORTH WEST AND IN EXTREME NORTH EAST.
PART 4: OUTLOOK FOR FURTHER 24 HOURS.
BHEKI IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH WEST WHILE WEAKENING
FURTHER.
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