Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-03-21 14:03:57 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING DARWIN ============================ WTAU03 ADRM 211252 IDD20130 40:2:2:24:13S137E999:11:00 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 1252 UTC 21 MARCH 2026 PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION At 1200 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle was centred within 15 nautical miles of latitude thirteen decimal two south (13.2S) longitude one hundred and thirty six decimal nine east (136.9E) Recent movement : west at 10 knots Maximum winds : 70 knots Central pressure: 973 hPa AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in NW quadrant. FORECAST Maximum winds to 70 knots near the centre easing to 30 knots by 1200 UTC 22 March. Winds above 64 knots within 35 nautical miles of centre with very high seas and easing by 0000 UTC 22 March. Winds above 48 knots within 60 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 50 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 40 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 50 nautical miles in NW quadrant with very rough seas and moderate swell and easing by 0000 UTC 22 March. Winds above 34 knots within 120 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in NW quadrant with rough seas and moderate swell and easing by 0600 UTC 22 March. Forecast positions At 0000 UTC 22 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 13.7 south 134.7 east Central pressure 995 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. At 1200 UTC 22 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 14.0 south 132.2 east Central pressure 1000 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 21 March 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 210800 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 21 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 11. Part 2 Situation at 210600 UTC Cold front near 39S111E 47S124E 50S125E. Forecast cold front near 41S128E 42S129E at 220000UTC and east of area thereafter. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 42S080E 43S129E, outside warning areas: Westerly quarter winds, shifting northwesterly quarter east of cold front. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. East of line 23S112E 32S106E 36S114E 38S124E: Southeasterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Moderate swell. West of line 16S096E 20S090E: Southeasterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of front. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 210800 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 21 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 210600 UTC Trough near 03S154E 10S159E to tropical low 1003hPa near 12S159E to 21S167E. Forecast trough near 03S153E 10S158E to tropical low 1002hPa near 15S161E to 21S169E at 221200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Within 420nm of Tropical low in the eastern semicircle: Clockwise winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. South of line 14S145E 24S164E 22S170E: Southeasterly quarter winds 15/25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout area. Heavy at times within 360nm of tropical low. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 210800 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 21 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 11. Part 2 Situation at 210600 UTC Cold front west of area, forecast to enter near 48S129E 50S131E at 211200UTC. Forecast cold front near 39S132E 44S142E 50S147E at 221200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 43S129E 45S147E 49S160E, outside of warning area: Northwesterly quarter winds 20/30 knots, shifting westerly quarter west of cold front. Rough seas. Moderate to high swell. East of line 25S157E 31S163E: Southeasterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of front. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 210717 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE UPDATED HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 21 MARCH 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF WEATHER SYSTEM. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING ISSUED BY TCWC MELBOURNE FOR SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE". PART 2 SITUATION AT 210600 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE" 978HPA NEAR 13S137.8E. FORECAST EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE" 1002HPA NEAR 13.9S132.2E AT 221200UTC. PART 3 FORECAST REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED. SOUTH OF LINE 08S126E 03S132E 05S138E 10S142E, OUTSIDE WARNING AREA: WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS 20/33 KNOTS TURNING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 360NM OF TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE". ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. REMAINDER: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA, HEAVY WITHIN 120NM OF TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE". VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC SATURDAY.=