Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-03-22 08:02:10 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING PERTH ============================ WTAU05 APRF 220649 IDW23100 40:2:2:24:14S133E999:11:00 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 0649 UTC 22 MARCH 2026 GALE WARNING Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 25 nautical miles of latitude thirteen decimal seven south (13.7S) longitude one hundred and thirty three decimal zero east (133.0E) Recent movement : west at 13 knots Maximum winds : 30 knots Central pressure: 998 hPa AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 35 knots after 0000UTC 23 March. Winds above 34 knots within 70 nautical miles in NW quadrant with rough seas and moderate swell developing after 0000 UTC 23 March. Forecast positions At 1800 UTC 22 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 14.2 south 130.9 east over land Central pressure 998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 0600 UTC 23 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 14.7 south 128.7 east over water Central pressure 995 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre over water REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 22 March 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 220743 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE UPDATED HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 22 MARCH 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS NIL. REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF WEATHER SYSTEM. PART 2 SITUATION AT 220600 UTC EX-TC "NARELLE" 998HPA NEAR 13.7S133.0E. FORECAST EX-TC "NARELLE" 998HPA NEAR 14.9S127.4E AT 231200UTC. LOW [2] 1010HPA NEAR 11S092E. FORECAST LOW [2] 1008HPA WEST OF AREA NEAR 10S088E AT 231200UTC. PART 3 FORECAST REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED. SOUTH OF LINE 05S120E 03S137E: WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS TURNING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 300NM OF EX-TC "NARELLE". WIND SPEEDS 20/33 KNOTS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. REMAINDER: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL, INCREASING TO LOW TO MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 10S100E 10S113E. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOSTLY EAST OF LINE EQ100E 12S117E, AND WITHIN 480NM OF LOW [2] IN EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. HEAVY WITHIN 120NM OF EX-TC "NARELLE". VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC SUNDAY.= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 212000 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 21 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 211800 UTC Trough 03S154E to low 1002hPa near 12S161E to trough 21S169E. Forecast trough 06S154E to low 1001hPa near 16S162E to trough 22S168E at 230000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Within 420nm of low in the eastern semicircle: Clockwise winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Within 60nm of line 11S150E 08S156E: Southwesterly quarter winds 15/25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low swell. South of line 14S145E 24S164E 22S170E: Southeasterly quarter winds 15/25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell, increasing to low to moderate north of line 03S159E 03S163E. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout area. Heavy at times within 360nm of low and within 120nm north of line 11S150E 08S156E. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Sunday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 212000 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 21 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 11. Part 2 Situation at 211800 UTC Cold front 44S129E 50S136E. Forecast cold front 39S140E 50S157E at 230000UTC. Trough 38S129E 45S138E. Forecast trough 38S129E 39S140E at 230000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 44S129E 46S160E, outside of warning area: Northwesterly quarter winds 20/30 knots, shifting westerly quarter west of cold front. Rough seas. Moderate to high swell. East of line 25S157E 33S160E: Easterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell, increasing to moderate to high south of 42S129E 44S139E line. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of front and trough, and area bounded by west of line 38S157E 25S175E and east of Australia. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Sunday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 212000 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 21 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 11. Melbourne Gale Warning 12. Part 2 Situation at 211800 UTC Cold front 42S126E 44S129E. Forecast east of the area by 230600UTC. Trough 28S117E 39S128E. Forecast trough 28S119E 39S131E at 230000UTC. Forecast low 983hPa southwest of area near 53S066E at 220300UTC, low 977hPa near south of area 53S100E at 230000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 40S080E 41S115E 44S129E, outside warning areas: Westerly quarter winds, tending clockwise within 720nm of low. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. East of line 28S107E 35S110E 39S127E, west of trough: Southeasterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Moderate swell. West of line 15S095E 20S095E: Southeasterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell, increasing to moderate to heavy swell south of 42S. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of front, within 120nm west of trough, and 480nm of low. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Sunday.