Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-02-08 21:32:50 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING PERTH ============================ WTAU05 APRF 081812 IDW23100 40:2:2:24:22S114E999:11:00 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 1812 UTC 8 FEBRUARY 2026 STORM FORCE WIND WARNING Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Mitchell was centred within 15 nautical miles of latitude twenty two decimal two south (22.2S) longitude one hundred and thirteen decimal seven east (113.7E) Recent movement : southwest at 7 knots Maximum winds : 60 knots Central pressure: 976 hPa AREA AFFECTED Within 95 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 50 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 55 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 65 nautical miles in NW quadrant. FORECAST Maximum winds to 60 knots near the centre, easing after 0600 UTC 09 February to 40 knots by 1800 UTC 09 February. Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with very rough seas and heavy swell. Winds above 34 knots within 95 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 50 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 55 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 65 nautical miles in NW quadrant with rough seas and moderate swell. Forecast positions At 0600 UTC 09 February: Within 35 nautical miles of 24.1 south 113.5 east (near the coast) Central pressure 976 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. At 1800 UTC 09 February: Within 50 nautical miles of 26.1 south 114.4 east (near the coast) Central pressure 991 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 09 February 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 082017 IDY10220 SECURITE Updated High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 8 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. Storm Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell". Melbourne Gale Warning 4. Part 2 Situation at 081800 UTC Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell" 976hPa near 22.5S113.7E. Forecast Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell" 991hPa near 26.1S114.4E at 100000UTC. Trough 36S084E 39S090E. Forecast 35S086E 37S090E and weakening from 090600UTC. Cold front [1] 41S122E 45S129E 50S134E. Forecast 43S127E 44S129E at 090000UTC, and east of area thereafter. Cold front [2] 44S096E 50S108E. Forecast 39S117E 43S123E 50S129E at 100000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. East of line 23S110E 27S104E 36S114E: Southerly quarter winds, turning clockwise within 180nm of Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell". Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. South of line 46S080E 40S116E 42S129E, outside warning areas: Westerly quarter winds shifting northwesterly quarter within 360nm east of cold front [1] and within 480nm east of cold front [2], and tending southwesterly quarter within 540nm west of cold front [2]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of fronts, cyclone and trough. Heavy at times within 120nm of Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Monday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 082000 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 8 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 081800 UTC Trough [1] 12S150E to low [1] 1006hPa near 14S156E to 17S170E. Forecast 13S149E to low [1] 1009hPa near 15S153E to 17S161E at 100000UTC. Low 1008hPa near 21S169E. Forecast low [2] 1011hPa near 24S168E at 100000UTC. Part 3 Forecast South of line 24S170E 24S165E: Easterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell, increasing to low to moderate south of line 22S170E 22S165E. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout most of area. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Monday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 082000 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 8 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 081800 UTC Trough 38S151E to low 1009hPa near 41S151E to trough 44S151E 47S147E. Forecast 37S155E to low 1013hPa east of area near 45S162E at 100000UTC. Cold front 41S122E 45S129E 50S134E. Forecast 48S158E 50S160E at 100000UTC. Part 3 Forecast South of line 42S129E 50S142E: Northwesterly quarter winds 20/30 knots, shifting westerly quarter within 420nm west of cold front. Rough seas. Moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of line 32S157E 39S158E, 120nm of trough and within 180nm of low. Heavy at times within 60nm of low. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Monday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 081915 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 8 FEBRUARY 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS NIL. PART 2 SITUATION AT 081800 UTC TROUGH NEAR 07S094E 08S098E 11S104E. FORECAST SLOW MOVING. PART 3 FORECAST WHOLE AREA: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL, INCREASING TO LOW TO MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 11S090E 07S110E 09S119E. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 07:15 UTC MONDAY.=