Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-03-26 19:49:41 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING PERTH ============================ WTAU05 APRF 261809 IDW23100 40:2:2:24:21S114E999:11:00 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 1809 UTC 26 MARCH 2026 HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle was centred within 15 nautical miles of latitude twenty one decimal one south (21.1S) longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal two east (114.2E) Recent movement : southwest at 10 knots Maximum winds : 100 knots Central pressure: 943 hPa AREA AFFECTED Within 150 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 165 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 110 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 110 nautical miles in NW quadrant. FORECAST Maximum winds to 100 knots near the centre increasing to 105 knots by 0000 UTC 27 March. Winds above 64 knots within 70 nautical miles of centre, with very high to phenomenal seas. Winds above 48 knots within 85 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in NW quadrant with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Winds above 34 knots within 150 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 165 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 110 nautical miles in NW quadrant with rough seas and moderate swell. Forecast positions At 0600 UTC 27 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 24.1 south 113.7 east over water Central pressure 962 hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre over water. At 1800 UTC 27 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 27.8 south 115.0 east over water Central pressure 983 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 27 March 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 261915 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 26 MARCH 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS NIL PART 2 SITUATION AT 261800 UTC TROUGH 06S099E 09S103E 12S112E, NEAR STATIONARY. PART 3 FORECAST WHOLE AREA: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL, INCREASING TO MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 12S103E 08S110E 09S117E 12S119E. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 07:15 UTC FRIDAY.= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 260800 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 26 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Hurricane Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Severe TC "Narelle". Part 2 Situation at 260600 UTC Severe TC "Narelle" 942hPa near 19.5S115.4E. Forecast Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" 963hPa near 26.0S114.0E at 271200UTC. Trough 45S125E 48S130E 50S131E. East of area by 261200UTC. Cold front 40S072E 46S079E to low 1002hPa near 51S078E. Forecast 43S098E 47S103E to low 1012hPa near 48S103E at 271200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: Within 300nm of Severe TC "Narelle", outside warning area: Clockwise winds 20/33 knots. Rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Within area enclosed by 29S115E 26S104E 33S101E 39S116E 34S124E: Easterly quarter winds shifting southeast quarter west of 115E. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. South of line 44S080E 44S099E 48S116E 45S129E: Westerly quarter winds, shifting northwest quarter within 720nm east of front, then southerly quarter west of front. Clockwise within 100nm of low. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 360nm of Severe TC "Narelle", and within 180nm of front/trough/low. Heavy at times within 180nm of Severe TC "Narelle". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 260800 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 26 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 6. Part 2 Situation at 260600 UTC Cold front developing 34S151E 36S153E to low [1] 998hPa near 40S150E at 261200UTC. Forecast 27S155E 33S160E 38S159E to low [1] 989hPa near 37S155E at 271200UTC. Low [2] 980hPa near 39S166E. Moving south at 15 knots, out of influence on area by 270000UTC. Trough 45S125E 48S130E 50S131E. Forecast 43S145E 50S152E at 271200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: Between line 26S153E 35S167E and line 35S136E 41S140E 49S157E 45S160E, outside warning area: Clockwise winds within 360nm of low [2]. Northerly quarter winds within 300nm east of front, shifting southerly quarter southwest of front and clockwise within 240nm of low [1]. Rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. South of line 45S129E 43S136E 50S155E: Northwest quarter winds east of trough, shifting westerly quarter west of trough. Wind speed 20/30 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 240nm of lows, front and trough. Heavy at times within 120nm of lows. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 260800 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 26 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 260600 UTC Trough 04S147E 13S162E. Forecast 04S150E 16S157E at 271200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Whole area: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell, increasing to moderate south of 23S. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms mostly north of line 11S142E 25S165E. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday.