Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-02-05 19:15:07 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING PERTH ============================ WTAU05 APRF 051855 IDW23100 40:2:2:24:18S123E999:11:00 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 1855 UTC 5 FEBRUARY 2026 GALE WARNING Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 25 nautical miles of latitude seventeen decimal seven south (17.7S) longitude one hundred and twenty two decimal six east (122.6E) Recent movement : west at 11 knots Maximum winds : 20 knots Central pressure: 1001 hPa The low is expected to develop quadrant gales in the next 24 hours and develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 36 to 48 hours. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles in SW quadrant. FORECAST Maximum winds to 20 knots near the centre easing to 35 knots by 1800 UTC 06 February. From 1800 UTC 6 February winds above 34 knots within 60 nautical miles in SW quadrant with very rough seas and moderate swell. Forecast positions At 0600 UTC 06 February: Within 40 nautical miles of 18.1 south 121.1 east Central pressure 1001 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 1800 UTC 06 February: Within 35 nautical miles of 18.5 south 119.6 east Central pressure 997 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 06 February 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 050800 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 5 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 050600 UTC Trough 34S152E 40S156E 44S161E. Forecast trough 34S151E 38S154E at 061200UTC. Cold front forecast to develop near 48S126E 50S134E at 051200UTC, then 45S144E 48S154E 50S158E at 061200UTC. Part 3 Forecast South of line 45S129E 43S145E 45S160E: Northwesterly quarter east of cold front, shifting westerly west of cold front. Wind speeds 20/30 knots, easing below 25 knots west of cold front. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell, increasing to moderate to heavy south of line 41S135E 42S150E 45S160E. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of front and troughs. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 050800 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 5 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 050600 UTC Trough 44S093E 48S100E to low [1] 1004hPa near 49S105E, forecast 41S114E to low 1011hPa near 45S125E to 45S128E at 061200UTC. Warm front forecast to enter area from the west near 39S077E 41S084E at 060000UTC, then 43S085E 44S091E at 061200UTC. Cold front forecast to enter area from the west 40S078E to low [2] 1012hPa near 42S082E at 060900UTC, then 40S080E to low [2] 1012hPa near 43S085E at 061200UTC. Part 3 Forecast East of line 22S102E 29S102E 34S112E: Southeasterly quarter winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Within 120nm east of cold front: Northwesterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell, increasing to moderate to heavy south of line 45S130E 46S106E. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 240nm of fronts/trough, north of line 15S090E 14S094E, and east of line 12S117E 20S117E. Heavy at times within 60nm of fronts and south of line 15S119E 15S124E. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 050800 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 5 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 050600 UTC Trough 08S152E 16S170E, forecast slow moving. Part 3 Forecast South of line 17S146E 17S157E 22S166E: Southeasterly quarter winds. Wind speeds 15/25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout most of area, except south of line 21S150E 21S161E. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 050715 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 5 FEBRUARY 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS NIL. PART 2 SITUATION AT 050600 UTC TROUGH NEAR 10S090E 11S104E, FORECAST SLOW MOVING. PART 3 FORECAST WITHIN 120NM SOUTH OF LINE 04S110E 06S128E: WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS. WIND SPEEDS 15/25 KNOTS. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW SWELL. REMAINDER: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL, INCREASING TO LOW TO MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 11S098E 08S109E 11S113E. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA, EXCEPT NORTH OF LINE 04S090E 03S100E. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC THURSDAY.=