Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-03-17 09:37:01 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE GALE WARNING BRISBANE ============================ WTAU01 ABRF 170656 IDQ20008 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 0656 UTC 17 MARCH 2026 HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Narelle was centred within 20 nautical miles of latitude twelve decimal seven south (12.7S) longitude one hundred and fifty six decimal three east (156.3E) Recent movement : west southwest at 9 knots Maximum winds : 45 knots Central pressure: 992 hPa AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 60 nautical miles in NW quadrant. FORECAST Maximum winds to 45 knots near the centre increasing to 70 knots by 0600 UTC 18 March. From 0600 UTC 18 March winds above 64 knots within 25 nautical miles of centre with very high seas. From 1200 UTC 17 March winds above 48 knots within 50 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 40 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 40 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 30 nautical miles in NW quadrant with high seas and moderate swell. Winds above 34 knots within 100 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 60 nautical miles in NW quadrant by 1200 UTC 17 March with very rough seas and moderate swell. Forecast positions At 1800 UTC 17 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 12.8 south 154.0 east Central pressure 987 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. At 0600 UTC 18 March: Within 55 nautical miles of 13.0 south 151.6 east Central pressure 976 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 17 March 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 170800 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 17 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 6. Part 2 Situation at 170600 UTC Trough [1] 36S154E 47S160E. Forecast 34S156E 40S166E at 180000UTC and weakening thereafter. Trough [2] 45S119E 50S126E. Forecast entering from west near 50S132E 46S130E at 171500UTC, then 46S148E 50S150E at 181200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 46S129E 46S153E 46S160E outside of warning area: Westerly quarter winds, shifting northwesterly quarter within 420nm east of trough [2]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 120nm of trough [1]. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Tuesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 170800 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 17 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Hurricane Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" Part 2 Situation at 170600 UTC Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" 992hPa near 12.7S156.3E. Forecast, 968hPa near 13.2S150.4E at 181200UTC Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 12S144E 09S156E 20S170E outside of warning areas: Southeasterly quarter winds, turning clockwise within 240nm of Tropical Cyclone "Narelle". Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell, increasing to low to moderate swell north of line 03S158E 04S142E. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout area. Heavy at times within 180nm of Tropical Cyclone "Narelle". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Tuesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 170800 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 17 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 7. Melbourne Gale Warning 8. Part 2 Situation at 170600 UTC Forecast cold front 47S083E 50S084E at 171200UTC, then 44S117E 50S115E at 181200UTC. Forecast trough at 46S080E 50S080E at 180600UTC, then 45S084E 50S082E at 180900UTC, then 45S088E 50S086E at 181200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 43S080E 42S097E 44S116E 46S129E, outside warning area: Westerly quarter winds, shifting northwesterly quarter winds within 420nm east of cold front and 240nm east of trough. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 240nm of front and trough. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Tuesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 170753 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 17 MARCH 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS NIL. PART 2 SITUATION AT 170600 UTC TROUGH 11S107E 12S093E. FORECAST SLOW MOVING. PART 3 FORECAST WHOLE AREA: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC TUESDAY.=