Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-03-19 07:05:48 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE GALE WARNING BRISBANE ============================ WTAU01 ABRF 190652 IDQ20008 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 0652 UTC 19 MARCH 2026 HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION At 0600 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle was centred within 15 nautical miles of latitude thirteen decimal seven south (13.7S) longitude one hundred and forty six decimal five east (146.5E) Recent movement : west at 14 knots Maximum winds : 120 knots Central pressure: 926 hPa AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 80 nautical miles in NW quadrant. FORECAST Maximum winds to 120 knots near the centre. Winds above 64 knots within 35 nautical miles of centre with very high to phenomenal seas. Winds above 48 knots within 50 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 50 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 45 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 45 nautical miles in NW quadrant with high seas and moderate swell. Winds above 34 knots within 100 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 100 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 80 nautical miles in NW quadrant with very rough seas and moderate swell. Forecast positions At 1800 UTC 19 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 13.7 south 144.2 east Central pressure 936 hPa. Winds to 110 knots near centre. At 0600 UTC 20 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 13.7 south 142.1 east Central pressure 984 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 19 March 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 182000 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 18 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 7. Part 2 Situation at 181800 UTC Cold front [1] near 42S140E 50S155E. Forecast near 46S157E 50S164E at 190600UTC, exiting east. Cold front [2] forecast entering area from the west near 43S126E 47S128E 50S128E at 190000UTC, near 42S132E 47S144E 50S147E at 200000UTC. Trough near 32S152E 37S164E. Forecast slow moving. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. South of line 44S129E 47S160E, outside of warning area: Westerly quarter winds 20/33 knots, shifting northwesterly quarter within 420nm east of cold fronts. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 120nm of trough and fronts. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Thursday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 182000 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 18 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Hurricane Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" Part 2 Situation at 181800 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" 959hPa near 13.2S149.4E. Forecast 984hPa near 13.6S143.7E at 200000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. West of line EQ156E 07S151E: Northwesterly quarter winds 15/25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low swell. Within 300nm of Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle", outside warning area: Clockwise winds 20/33 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout most of area. Heavy at times within 120nm of Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Thursday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 182000 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 18 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 7. Melbourne Gale Warning 9. Part 2 Situation at 181800 UTC Warm front near 45S094E 49S092E to low 994hPa near 50S089E. Forecast warm front 45S119E 49S118E to low 993hPa near 50S113E at 200000UTC. Cold front [1] near 42S117E 45S120E 50S120E. Forecast near 43S126E 47S131E 50S131E at 190300UTC, exiting east. Forecast trough near 44S071E 47S080E 50S083E at 191200UTC entering area from west, then 42S085E 45S095E 50S096E at 200000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 41S080E 40S094E 42S129E, outside warning area: Westerly quarter winds, shifting northwesterly quarter within 360nm east of cold front, 240nm east of trough, and southwesterly quarter west of trough. WInds shifting clockwise within 240nm of low. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly north of line 15S107E 18S101E 18S093E and within 180nm of low, cold front, and trough. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Thursday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 181951 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE UPDATED HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 18 MARCH 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF WEATHER SYSTEM. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING ISSUED BY TCWC MELBOURNE FOR SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE" PART 2 SITUATION AT 181800 UTC TROUGH NEAR 10S090E 11S094E 11S100E. FORECAST SLOW MOVING. FORECAST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE" 959HPA NEAR 13.2S149.4E APPROACHING FROM EAST, THEN 984HPA NEAR 13.6S143.7E AT 200000UTC. PART 3 FORECAST REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED. WITHIN 300NM OF SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE", OUTSIDE WARNING AREA: CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/33 KNOTS. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. REMAINDER: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL, INCREASING TO LOW TO MODERATE SWELL NORTH OF LINE EQ128E 04S142E. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 07:15 UTC THURSDAY.=