Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-03-03 17:26:59 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING PERTH ============================ WTAU06 APRF 031258 IDW23200 40:2:2:24:12S108E999:11:00 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 1258 UTC 3 MARCH 2026 GALE WARNING Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200 UTC a Tropical Low was centred within 15 nautical miles of latitude eleven decimal nine south (11.9S) longitude one hundred and eight decimal three east (108.3E) Recent movement : east at 6 knots Maximum winds : 30 knots Central pressure: 999 hPa The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours. AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles of the centre in the northwest, northeast and southeast quadrants. FORECAST Maximum winds to 30 knots near the centre increasing to 45 knots by 0000 UTC 04 March. Winds above 34 knots within 70 nautical miles in northern quadrants from 1800 UTC 03 March, extending to the southeast quadrant by 1200 UTC 04 March with rough seas and moderate swell. Forecast positions At 0000 UTC 04 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 11.7 south 109.2 east Central pressure 992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. At 1200 UTC 04 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 11.4 south 110.5 east Central pressure 990 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 03 March 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 030838 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE UPDATED HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 3 MARCH 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS GALE WIND WARNING FOR TROPICAL LOW ISSUED BY THE TCWC, AUSTRALIA. PART 2 SITUATION AT 030600 UTC TROUGH NEAR 10S106E 11S108E TO LOW [1] 1002HPA NEAR 12S108E. FORECAST TROUGH 08S107E 10S110E TO LOW [1] 998HPA NEAR 11S111E TO 12S113E AT 041200UTC. MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 16S135E TO LOW [2] 1001HPA NEAR 15S139E TO 14S142E. FORECAST MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 16S135E TO LOW [2] 998HPA NEAR 15S138E TO 14S142E AT 041200UTC. PART 3 FORECAST SOUTH OF LINE 06S102E 03S111E 04S136E 09S142E, OUTSIDE WARNING AREA: NORTHWESTERLY QUARTER WINDS 15/25 KNOTS, REACHING UP TO 30 KNOTS AT TIMES WITHIN 180NM OF LINE 07S127E 12S142E AND WITHIN 120NM OF LOW [1]. WINDS TURNING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 180NM OF LOWS. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. REMAINDER: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA. HEAVY AT TIMES WITHIN 120NM OF LOWS. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC TUESDAY.= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 030800 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 3 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. Melbourne Gale Warning 8. Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 9. Part 2 Situation at 030600 UTC Trough near 38S150E 44S155E 50S158E. Forecast near 40S152E 46S160E at 041200UTC. Warm front forecast entering area from the west near 44S131E 47S129E at 031800UTC, near 49S146E 50S145E at 041200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. East of line 25S158E 29S159E: Easterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Within 120nm of line 33S152E 46S160E: Northerly quarter winds 20/30 winds. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell South of line 38S129E 45S150E 50S158E, outside warning area: Northwesterly quarter winds 20/33 knots. Rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of front and trough. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Tuesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 030800 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 3 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 030600 UTC Monsoon trough near 15S142E to low [1] near 999hPa near 15S153E to trough near 17S164E to low [2] 1003hPa near 19S167E to 19S170E. Forecast Monsoon trough near 14S142E to low 999hPa near 14S150E to trough near 18S161E to low [2] 1010hPa near 22S167E 22S170E at 041200UTC. Part 3 Forecast South of line 09S142E 04S156E 09S165E 18S170E: Northwesterly quarter winds shifting southeasterly quarter south of trough, and turning clockwise within 520nm of low [1] and 300nm of low [2]. Wind speeds 15/25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots within 360nm of low [1]. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout most of the area. Heavy at times within 420nm of line 13S145E 12S158E 21S170E. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Tuesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 030800 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 3 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. Melbourne Gale Warning 8. Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 9. Part 2 Situation at 030600 UTC Trough near 17S124E 17S121E to low [1] 998hPa near 19S117E. Forecast trough near 19S117E 16S118E to low [1] 998hPa near 16S123E to trough 16S125E at 041200UTC. Cold front near 49S097E 50S100E. Forecast cold front near 44S108E 50S120E at 041200UTC. Warm front near 44S116E 49S114E 50S111E. Forecast near 50S125E 47S129E at 041200UTC. Low [2] 1002hPa near 12S108E. Forecast low [2] 999hPa near 11S111E at 041200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. East of line 34S112E 25S104E: Southeasterly quarter winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. East of line 12S105E 14S108E 14S116E 20S117E: Clockwise winds within 360nm of low [1] and 180nm of low [2]. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. South of line 47S080E 38S106E 38S129E, outside warning areas: Northwesterly winds shifting southwesterly west of warm front. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of fronts and north of line 17S090E 13S098E 14S114E 21S118E 22S125E. Heavy at times within 120nm of lows. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Tuesday.