Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-03-20 07:38:30 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE GALE WARNING BRISBANE ============================ WTAU01 ABRF 200659 IDQ20008 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 0659 UTC 20 MARCH 2026 HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Narelle was centred within 15 nautical miles of latitude thirteen decimal four south (13.3S) longitude one hundred and forty two decimal three east (142.2E) Recent movement : west at 10 knots Maximum winds : 55 knots Central pressure: 984 hPa AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 70 nautical miles in NW quadrant. FORECAST Maximum winds to 55 knots near the centre (over land) increasing to 75 knots by 0600 UTC 21 March. Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre from 0000 UTC 21 March with high to very high seas. Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 40 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 40 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 30 nautical miles in NW quadrant with very rough to high seas and moderate swell. Winds above 34 knots over water within 70 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 70 nautical miles in NW quadrant with very rough seas and moderate swell. Forecast positions At 1800 UTC 20 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 13.5 south 140.3 east Central pressure 984 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. At 0600 UTC 21 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 13.5 south 138.1 east Central pressure 969 hPa. Winds to 75 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 20 March 2026. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 200715 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 20 MARCH 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF WEATHER SYSTEM. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING ISSUED BY TCWC MELBOURNE FOR SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE" PART 2 SITUATION AT 200600 UTC TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE" 984HPA NEAR 13.4S142.2E. FORECAST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE" 969HPA NEAR 13.5S137.1E AT 211200UTC. LOW 1010HPA NEAR 11S097E. FORECAST 1009HPA NEAR 11S095E AT 211200UTC. PART 3 FORECAST REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED. WITHIN 300NM OF SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE", OUTSIDE WARNING AREA: CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/33 KNOTS. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. EAST OF LINE 04S128E 12S128E: WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS 20/30 KNOTS. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW SWELL. REMAINDER: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA, HEAVY WITHIN 120NM OF SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE "NARELLE". VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC FRIDAY.= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 192000 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 19 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 7. Part 2 Situation at 191800 UTC Cold front 44S136E 50S145E. Forecast 44S158E 50S165E at 210000UTC, mostly east of area. Forecast warm front entering from west near 45S127E 49S127E 51S122E at 200600UTC, then near 51S142E 54S138E 55S131E at 210000UTC, south of area. Trough near 32S154E 38S158E. Forecast slow moving. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. South of line 43S129E 47S160E, outside of warning area: Westerly quarter winds 20/33 knots, shifting northwesterly quarter within 360nm east of cold front and north of warm front. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 120nm of trough and fronts. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Friday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 192000 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 19 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Hurricane Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" Part 2 Situation at 191800 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" 942hPa near 13.7S144.2E. Forecast 980hPa near 13.7S139.2E at 210000UTC. Trough near 09S162E 20S169E 25S169E. Forecast slow moving. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. West of line EQ151E 08S151E: Northwesterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low swell. West of line 17S156E 20S156E, Southeasterly quarter winds 15/25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Within 300nm of Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle", outside warning area: Clockwise winds 20/33 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms throughout most of area. Heavy at times within 120nm of Severe Tropical Cyclone "Narelle". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Friday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 192000 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 19 March 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Melbourne Gale Warning 7. Melbourne Gale Warning 10. Part 2 Situation at 191800 UTC Low [1] 1010hPa near 12S098E, forecast 990hPa near 12S095E at 210000UTC. Warm front 46S116E low [2] 995hPa near 49S113E. Forecast 51S142E 54S138E to low [2] 988hPa near 55S131E at 210000UTC, south of area. Cold front 43S080E 50S090E. Forecast 39S110E 46S117E 50S118E at 210000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected: South of line 42S080E 39S110E 43S129E, outside warning area: Westerly quarter winds, shifting northwesterly quarter within 360nm east of cold front, north of warm front, and shifting southwesterly quarter west of cold front. WInds shifting clockwise within 240nm of low [2]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of low [2], and 180nm of cold front and low [1]. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Friday.