Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2026-02-09 22:10:20 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING PERTH ============================ WTAU05 APRF 091828 IDW23100 40:2:2:24:26S114E999:11:00 SECURITE CANCELLATION OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 1828 UTC 9 FEBRUARY 2026 GALE WARNING Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Mitchell was centred within 20 nautical miles of latitude twenty six decimal one south (26.1S) longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal five east (114.5E) Recent movement : south southeast at 11 knots Maximum winds : 35 knots Central pressure: 993 hPa AREA AFFECTED FORECAST Gales are no longer expected over marine areas. Forecast positions At 0600 UTC 10 February: Within 40 nautical miles of 27.8 south 116.5 east over land. Central pressure 999 hPa. Winds to 25 knots near centre. The cyclone is weakening over land and no further warnings will be issued. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 092000 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 9 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Melbourne Gale Warning 4. Part 2 Situation at 091800 UTC Cold front forecast to enter area near 41S128E 50S132E at 100300UTC, 40S140E 50S147E at 110000UTC. Trough near 34S156E 39S157E 43S161E. Forecast 27S160E 34S162E at 110000UTC. Part 3 Forecast West of line 38S149E 50S156E, outside warning area: Northwesterly quarter winds 20/30 knots, shifting westerly quarter west of cold front. Rough seas. Moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low swell rising to low to moderate south of line 45S154E 39S159E 40S163E. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 240nm of trough and within 120nm of front. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 092000 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 9 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. Gale Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell". Melbourne Gale Warning 4. Part 2 Situation at 091800 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell" 993hPa near 26.1S114.5E. Forecast Ex-Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell" 1000hPa near 28.2S117.3E at 110000UTC. Cold front [1] forecast to enter area near 46S080E 50S083E at 100600UTC, 38S080E 50S095E at 110000UTC. Cold front [2] near 42S120E 50S126E. Forecast 41S128E 50S132E at 100300UTC and east of area thereafter. Trough 34S121E 37S123E. Forecast 33S125E 35S127E at 101800UTC and weakening thereafter. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. East of line 26S109E 37S109E, outside warning area: Southeasterly quarter winds 20/33 knots, turning clockwise within 180nm of Ex-Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell". Rough to very rough seas. Moderate swell. South of line 44S080E 48S101E 39S115E 37S129E, outside warning areas: Southwesterly quarter winds, shifting northwesterly quarter east of cold front [2] and within 300nm of cold front [1]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate swell increasing up to heavy swell south of line 43S090E 38S110E 39S119E. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of fronts, cyclone and trough. Heavy at times within 120nm of Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 092000 IDY10230 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 9 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 091800 UTC Low [1] 1007hPa near 16S151E to trough [1] near 11S159E. Forecast low 1008hPa near 18S149E to trough [1] near 16S157E at 110000UTC. Trough [2] 17S169E to low [2] 1010hPa near 23S167E to 25S170E. Forecast low [2] 1008hPa near 24S168E to trough [2] near 25S170E at 110000UTC. Part 3 Forecast Whole area: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell. Rain areas, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms except south of line 18S164E 24S142E. Heavy at times within 120nm of low [1]. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 091915 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 9 FEBRUARY 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS NIL. PART 2 SITUATION AT 091800 UTC TROUGH NEAR 05S095E 09S102E. FORECAST NEAR 12S090E 08S095E 10S101E AT 110000UTC. PART 3 FORECAST WEST OF LINE 03S095E 09S095E: WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS 15/25KNOTS FROM 100600UTC. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. REMAINDER: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL, INCREASING UP TO MODERATE SOUTH OF LINE 08S107E 09S117E. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 07:15 UTC TUESDAY.=