Bulletinset for METAREA 10 Edition date (UTC): 2025-03-26 11:59:28 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING PERTH ============================ WTAU05 APRF 260658 IDW23100 40:2:2:24:18S104E400:11:00 SECURITE OCEAN WIND WARNING FOR METAREA 10 Issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at 0658 UTC 26 MARCH 2025 HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600 UTC Tropical Cyclone Courtney was centred within 25 nautical miles of latitude seventeen decimal seven south (17.7S) longitude one hundred and four decimal three east (104.3E) Recent movement : west at 12 knots Maximum winds : 50 knots Central pressure: 984 hPa AREA AFFECTED Within 40 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 60 nautical miles in NW quadrant. FORECAST Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre increasing to 65 knots by 0600 UTC 27 March. Winds above 64 knots developing within 20 nautical miles in SE and SW quadrant by 0600 UTC 27 March with high seas. Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles in SE and SW quadrants extending to NE and NW quadrants by 0600 UTC 27 March with very rough seas. Winds above 34 knots 40 nautical miles in NE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SE quadrant and within 90 nautical miles in SW quadrant and within 60 nautical miles in NW quadrant. with rough seas and moderate swell. Forecast positions At 1800 UTC 26 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 17.6 south 102.3 east Central pressure 981 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. At 0600 UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 17.3 south 100.2 east Central pressure 974 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use email to tcwc@bom.gov.au. Next warning will be issued by 1300 UTC 26 March 2025. AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU20 AMMC 261045 IDY10230 SECURITE Updated High Seas Forecast for North Eastern METAREA 10 NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 25S, 142E TO 170E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 26 March 2025 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC Trough near 11S149E 18S160E. Forecast trough near 13S146E 19S153E 21S159E at 271200UTC. Part 3 Forecast South of line 21S151E 21S167E: Easterly quarter winds 15/25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms through most of area. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Wednesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST WESTERN ============================ FQAU23 AMMC 260800 IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 26 March 2025 Part 1 Warnings Gale Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Cyclone "Courtney". Melbourne Gale Warning 5. Melbourne Gale Warning 6. Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC Trough [1] near 12S101E 15S105E to Tropical Cyclone "Courtney" 984hPa near 17.7S105.3E to trough [1] near 23S106E. Forecast trough [1] near 12S097E 15S100E to Tropical Cyclone "Courtney" 974hPa near 17.1S100.3E to trough [1] near 17S100E 22S098E at 271200UTC. Trough [2] near 12S125E to low 1000hPa near 15S121E to trough near 19S116E. Forecast trough near 12S125E to low 997hPa near 14S123E to trough near 19S120E at 271200UTC. Cold Front [1] near 40S090E 44S096E 50S101E. Forecast cold front [1] near 41S110E 46S116E 50S119E at 271200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings. Within 180nm of line 17S102E 22S095E 26S100E, outside warning area: Clockwise winds 20/33 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. South of line 43S080E 41S106E 47S129E, outside warning areas: Northwesterly quarter winds, shifting southwesterly west of cold front. Wind speeds 25/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. East of line 12S118E 17S121E: Clockwise winds 20/30 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of front/troughs, 240nm of Tropical Cyclone "Courtney", and low. Heavy at times within 90nm of Tropical Cyclone "Courtney" and low. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Wednesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST SOUTH-EASTERN ============================ FQAU22 AMMC 260800 IDY10210 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO 50S129E TO COAST AT 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 26 March 2025 Part 1 Warnings Nil. Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC Trough near 40S151E 45S155E. Forecast trough near 35S158E 39S164E at 271200UTC. Part 3 Forecast South of line 47S129E 46S160E: Westerly quarter winds 15/25 knots reaching up to 30 knots at times. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. North of line 36S131E 38S140E: Southeasterly quarter winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 120nm trough and north of line 40S150E 40S168E. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Wednesday. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 260715 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 26 MARCH 2025 PART 1 WARNINGS NIL. PART 2 SITUATION AT 0600 UTC TROUGH NEAR EQ090E 12S101E. FORECAST NEAR 06S090E 12S097E AT 271200UTC. PART 3 FORECAST SOUTH OF LINE 09S116E 09S127E: CLOCKWISE WINDS 15/25 KNOTS, REACHING UP TO 30 KNOTS AT TIMES. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 01S090E 02S098E 10S108E: NORTHWESTERLY QUARTER WINDS 15/25 KNOTS. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. REMAINDER: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW SWELL, INCREASING TO LOW TO MODERATE SWELL EAST OF LINE EQ098E 10S122E 12S122E. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MOST OF AREA. HEAVY AT TIMES WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 11S118E 12S126E 15S130E. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC WEDNESDAY.=