Bulletinset for METAREA 11 Edition date (UTC): 2026-01-18 14:58:44 ============================ TYPHOON WARNING JAPAN ============================ WTJP21 RJTD 181200 WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 2601 NOKAEN (2601) 998 HPA AT 15.5N 125.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 16.8N 127.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 16.9N 130.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 15.2N 132.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 11.2N 131.2E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST JAPAN ============================ WWJP90 RJTD 181200 EGC:2:1:31:11:01:00 SECURITE. THIS WARNING IS ISSUED FOR NORTH OF THE EQUATOR AND EAST OF 100E IN METAREA XI BY JMA. WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 37N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 169E TO 37N 170E 36N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 171E TO 34N 173E 33N 175E 33N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 171E TO 34N 171E 33N 169E 32N 166E 31N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 38N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 42N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 38N 163E MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 60N 175E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 46N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 151E 60N 151E 60N 168E 55N 165E 51N 151E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1018 HPA AT 38N 132E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 122E 26N 125E 22N 121E 23N 117E 30N 122E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 171E 60N 170E 60N 180E 44N 180E 44N 178E 52N 171E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 156E SSE SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 129E TO 21N 135E 21N 140E 21N 144E 22N 148E 21N 154E. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 2601 NOKAEN (2601) 998 HPA AT 15.5N 125.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. HONG KONG METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE PROVIDES THE FOLLOWING WARNING/INFORMATION FOR THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNINGS GALES OVER SEAS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES AND SEAS NEAR TAIWAN. SYNOPSIS (181200UTC) AND 24-HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOKAEN (2601) IS BRINGING GALES TO SEAS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. BESIDES, THE NORTHEAST MONSOON IS EXPECTED TO BRING GALES TO SEAS NEAR TAIWAN LATER. SIGNIFICANT SWELL/HIGH SEAS SEAS 6 M OVER GALES. SWELL E TO NE 3 M OVER LUZON STRAIT AND SEAS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER FREQUENT HEAVY SQUALLY (SQ) SHOWERS (SH) AND THUNDERSTORMS (TS) OVER SEAS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. SEA FOG/REDUCED VISIBILITY VISIBILITY DOWN TO 500 M IN SQ SH AND TS. VISIBILITY DOWN TO 4000 M IN MIST OR LIGHT RAIN PATCHES OVER GULF OF TONKIN AND SEAS NEAR WESTERN PART OF KWANGTUNG. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST HONG KONG CHINA ============================ WWHK82 VHHH 181200 40:1:31:11:01:00 HONG KONG METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE PROVIDES THE FOLLOWING WARNING/INFORMATION FOR THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNINGS GALES OVER SEAS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES AND SEAS NEAR TAIWAN. SYNOPSIS (181200UTC) AND 24-HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOKAEN (2601) IS BRINGING GALES TO SEAS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. BESIDES, THE NORTHEAST MONSOON IS EXPECTED TO BRING GALES TO SEAS NEAR TAIWAN LATER. SIGNIFICANT SWELL/HIGH SEAS SEAS 6 M OVER GALES. SWELL E TO NE 3 M OVER LUZON STRAIT AND SEAS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER FREQUENT HEAVY SQUALLY (SQ) SHOWERS (SH) AND THUNDERSTORMS (TS) OVER SEAS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. SEA FOG/REDUCED VISIBILITY VISIBILITY DOWN TO 500 M IN SQ SH AND TS. VISIBILITY DOWN TO 4000 M IN MIST OR LIGHT RAIN PATCHES OVER GULF OF TONKIN AND SEAS NEAR WESTERN PART OF KWANGTUNG. ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST CHINA ============================ WWCI50 BABJ 180600 2:1:31:11:01:00 BT SECURITE = MESSAGE FOR METAREA XI (CHINA) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING AT 1015UTC JAN.18 2026 = MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS = SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC JAN.18 = FCST VALID 0600UTC JAN.19 = WARNNING= TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING= TS NOKAEN 2601(2601) 990HPA AT 14.6N 125.5E MVG NNE 13KMH AND MAX WINDS 23M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 5M) AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS 250KM NE 150KM SE 150KM SW 220KM NW AND FCST FOR 181800UTC AT 15.9N 126.0E 995HPA AND MAX WINDS 20M/S NEAR CENTER AND FCST FOR 190600UTC AT 16.7N 126.8E 995HPA AND MAX WINDS 20M/S NEAR CENTER= SUMMARY= ELY WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER BOHAI SEA= NE/NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO 1.5M OVER TAIWAN STRAIT AND BASHI CHANNEL AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA= HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA AND NORTHWESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND BEIBU GULF AND KOREA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA AND THAILAND GULF AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE AND LAUT JAWA AND SEA SOUTH OF JAWA AND LAUT MALUKU= FCST= BOHAI SEA N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT SNOW VIS GOOD= BOHAI STRAIT N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT SNOW VIS GOOD= NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH CLOUDY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD= CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH LIGHT SNOW VIS GOOD= SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD= NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD= SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD= TAIWAN STRAIT NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD= SEA EAST OF TAIWAN NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD= BASHI CHANNEL NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD= NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA NE WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S VEER E WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD= NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD= WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD= EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD= SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD= SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA N WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD= NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE LIGHT SNOW VIS GOOD= SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD= KOREA STRAIT N WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S BACK NW WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE SUNNY BECMG CLOUDY VIS GOOD= SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN E WINDS VEER W 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD= SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE= SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD= SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S INCR 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE= SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS NE WINDS VEER E 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH TO MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD= SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES SW WINDS VEER W 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE SUNNY VIS GOOD= SEA WEST OF GUAM NE WINDS VEER E 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG SUNNY VIS GOOD= SEA SOUTHEAST OF INDONESIA NW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE= SEA SOUTH OF JAWA W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE= SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA NW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST NORTHERN AUSTRALIA ============================ FQAU21 AMMC 180715 40:2:1:31:11:01:00 IDY10240 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR NORTHERN METAREA 8/10/11 NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 18 JANUARY 2026 PART 1 WARNINGS NIL. PART 2 SITUATION AT 180600 UTC TROPICAL LOW (16U) 997HPA NEAR 14S130E. FORECAST 998HPA NEAR 13S127E AT 191200UTC. PART 3 FORECAST SOUTH OF LINE 08S090E 09S106E 12S117E AND NORTH OF LINE EQ104E 04S106E 01S138E: WINDS NOT EXCEEDING 20 KNOTS. SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. REMAINDER: NORTHWESTERLY QUARTER WINDS, SHIFTING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 180NM OF TROPICAL LOW. WIND SPEEDS 20/30 KNOTS. ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO MODERATE SWELL. RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT AREA. HEAVY AT TIMES WITHIN 240NM OF LOW AND LINES 01S090E 09S107E AND 11S121E 13S142E. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION. PLEASE BE AWARE WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT. WEATHER MELBOURNE THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 19:15 UTC SUNDAY.=