{"title":"Bulletinset for METAREA 7","date":"2025-01-18 03:57:57","bulletin":[{"label":"HIGH SEAS FORECAST","content":{"1":"FQZA31 FAPR 171700","2":"WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.","3":"ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE","4":"17TH OF JANUARY 2025 AT 17:00 UTC.","5":"FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2","6":"BELOW.","7":"NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.","8":"======================","9":"COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX\/SEA STATE PLEASE","10":"MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.","11":"AREA 1:","12":"=======","13":"FORECAST VALID FROM 172200 TO 182200 UTC:","14":"WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.","15":"NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.","16":"INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.","17":"WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.","18":"RSMC \/ TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER \/ LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)","19":"0.A WARNING NUMBER: 43\/5\/20242025","20":"1.A POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5 (DIKELEDI)","21":"2.A POSITION 2025\/01\/17 AT 1200 UTC:","22":"WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.6 S \/ 58.5 E","23":"(THIRTY-FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY-EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE","24":"DEGREES EAST)","25":"MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 31 KT","26":"3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL","27":"4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 988 HPA","28":"5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 55 KT RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL","29":"6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):","30":"28 KT NE: 295 SE: 165 SW: 140 NW: 270","31":"34 KT NE: 215 SE: 120 SW: 110 NW: 165","32":"48 KT NE: 130 SE: 0 SW: 80 NW: 130","33":"7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE \/ AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA \/ 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM","34":"1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):","35":"12H: 2025\/01\/18 00 UTC: 34.9 S \/ 64.9 E, WIND MAX= 045 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION","36":"28 KT NE: 285 SE: 0 SW: 195 NW: 295","37":"34 KT NE: 185 SE: 0 SW: 85 NW: 155","38":"24H: 2025\/01\/18 12 UTC: 34.4 S \/ 71.8 E, WIND MAX= 035 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION","39":"28 KT NE: 230 SE: 0 SW: 220 NW: 260","40":"34 KT NE: 140 SE: 0 SW: 85 NW: 110","41":"36H: 2025\/01\/19 00 UTC: 34.1 S \/ 76.5 E, WIND MAX= 030 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION","42":"28 KT NE: 0 SE: 150 SW: 150 NW: 195","43":"48H: 2025\/01\/19 12 UTC: 34.2 S \/ 80.6 E, WIND MAX= 030 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION","44":"28 KT NE: 0 SE: 185 SW: 130 NW: 140","45":"GALE FORCE WARNINGS:","46":"====================","47":"1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the south-west towards mid-","48":"                        period, spreading over the southern half towards","49":"                        end of period.","50":"SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z","51":"=====================","52":"High 1018 hPa 32s06e, High 1019 hPa 34s36e","53":"Low   988 hPa 48s11e","54":"Low   988 hPa 35s56e (POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5 DIKELEDI)","55":"1. Cold Front: 27s20w 35s04w 40s03e into 48s11e","56":"AREA FORECAST:","57":"==============","58":"ASCENSION (06S\/15S, 00E\/20W):","59":"WIND     : SE to E 05 to 15.","60":"VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the north-west.","61":"ANGOLA (06S\/15S, 00E\/00N):","62":"WIND     : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW to W 05 to 10 in the east.","63":"VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in","64":"           the north and east.","65":"ST HELENA (15S\/30S, 00E\/20W):","66":"WIND     : Variable 05 to 10 in the central parts, otherwise E to SE 05","67":"           to 15 but N to NW 15 to 20 in the south-east.","68":"VIS      : Moderate in showers and rain in places.","69":"TRADES (15S\/30S, 00E\/WEST COAST):","70":"WIND     : S to SE 10 to 20, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west.","71":"VIS      : Good.","72":"TRISTAN (30S\/40S, 00E\/20W):","73":"WIND     : NW 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise W to SW 10 to 20","74":"           reaching 25 in the south, but SE to S 10 to 20 in the north-","75":"           west. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the west towards end","76":"           of period.","77":"VIS      : Moderate in showers and rain in places, becoming good from the","78":"           south-west towards mid-period.","79":"SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east at first, with SW swell.","80":"CAPE WEST (30S\/40S, 00E\/20E):","81":"WIND     : Variable 05 to 10 in the north until mid-period, otherwise NW","82":"           10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east, but SW 10 to 20","83":"           in the north-east, reaching 25 in the west.","84":"VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west,","85":"           spreading to the north-west and south-east by mid-period.","86":"SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the southern half, reaching 4.5m in the south-","87":"           east, with SW swell.","88":"CAPE EAST (32.5S\/40S, 20E\/50E):","89":"WIND     : S to SE 10 to 20 in the north-east, otherwise W to NW 10 to","90":"           20, reaching 25 in the south-west, but E to NE 15 to 25 in","91":"           the north-west. It will become W to SW 10 to 20 in the extreme","92":"           north-west by mid-period.","93":"VIS      : Moderate in showers, but good in the north and west.","94":"SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, with SW swell, but with NW swell in the south-","95":"           east at first.","96":"DURBAN EAST (32.5S\/25S, EAST COAST\/55E):","97":"WIND     : NW 05 to 15 in the north-east, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25 but","98":"           E to NE 15 to 25 in the west.","99":"VIS      : Moderate to poor in showers and rain, but good in the south","100":"           and west.","101":"SEA STATE: 3.0m in the central and eastern parts, with S to SW swell.","102":"MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:","103":"WIND     : N to NE 05 to 15 in the north-west, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20","104":"           reaching 25 in the south-east, but variable 05 to 10 in the","105":"           north-east.","106":"VIS      : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places.","107":"SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south at first, with S to SW swell.","108":"MADAGASCAR EAST (10S\/25S, EAST COAST\/55E):","109":"WIND     : NW 05 to 15 in the south-east, otherwise SE to E 05 to 15, but","110":"           NE to N 10 to 20 in the south, and Cyclonic 05 to 15 in the","111":"           north.","112":"VIS      : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers.","113":"MARION FORTIES EAST (40S\/50S, 35E\/50E):","114":"WIND     : SW 10 to 20 in the north-east, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25","115":"           reaching 30 to 40 in the south-west towards mid-period,","116":"           spreading over the southern half towards end of period.","117":"VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the north-west and","118":"           south-west towards mid-period, spreading to the eastern parts","119":"           towards end of period.","120":"SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south and south-west,","121":"           with W to SW swell.","122":"AREA 2:","123":"=======","124":"MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE\/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)","125":"25\/01\/17 AT 1700UTC","126":"AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%","127":"STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).","128":"PART 1: WARNING","129":"- GALE FORCE 8 EXPECTED OVER WESTERN AREA OF AMS.","130":"- STRONG GALE FORCE 9 OVER EASTERN WAM ASSOCIATED WITH POST-TROPICAL","131":"DEPRESSION EX-DIKELEDI.","132":"PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25\/01\/17 AT 1200UTC","133":"- POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-DIKELEDI 988 HPA NEAR 34.6S\/58.5E,","134":"MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 30 KT AND FILLING. FORECAST 1003 HPA","135":"NEAR 35S\/76E AT END.","136":"- ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT AXIS 26S\/49E, 31S\/57E, 35S\/59E AND WARM FRONT","137":"AXIS 40S\/68E 39S\/63E 35S\/59E MOVING WITH THE LOW.","138":"- COLD FRONT OVER NORTHERN KER AND FAR SOUTHERN AMS LEAVING THE AREA SOON.","139":"- HIGH 1020 HPA FORECAST OVER WAM","140":"PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25\/01\/17 AT 1800UTC  TO 25\/01\/18","141":"AT 1800UTC","142":"WAM (30S\/40S, 50E\/65E)","143":"FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS, SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF","144":"EX-DIKELEDI CENTER.","145":"WIND : CLOCKWISE 7\/8 LOCALLY 9 WITH VIOLENT GUSTS NEAR EX-DIKELEDI","146":"       TONIGHT. DECREASING SOUTHERLY 5 TO 6 BEHIND AND BECOMING","147":"       ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 LATER.","148":"SEA  : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, TEMPORARY HIGH NEAR EX-DIKELEDI AT START,","149":"       BECOMING MODERATE TO ROUGH AT END. NW SWELL 4 TO 6M NEAR THE","150":"       LOW,DECREASING BY WESTERN.","151":"VISI : POOR TO VERY POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION.","152":"AMS (30S\/40S, 65E\/80E)","153":"FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS, SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF","154":"EX-DIKELEDI CENTER.","155":"WIND : NW 5 TO 6 TEMPORARY 7 OVER SOUTHEASTERN AT START. BECOMING","156":"       CLOCKWISE 7 TO 8 BY WESTERN TONIGHT, DECREASING 5 TO 6 AT END.","157":"SEA  : MODERATE TO ROUGH LOCALLY VERY ROUGH NEAR THE LOW WITH WESTERLY","158":"       SWELL 4 TO 5 M DECREASING NEAR 3 M AT END.","159":"VISI : POOR TO VERY POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION.","160":"CRO (40S\/50S, 50E\/65E)","161":"SCATTERED SHOWERS. FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN AT END.","162":"WIND : WESTERLY 5 TO 6 LOCALLY 7 OVER SOUTHERN..","163":"SEA  : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. W SWELL 3 TO 4M.","164":"VISI : POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION.","165":"KER (40S\/50S, 65E\/80E)","166":"RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER FAR NORTHERN AT START, LEAVING","167":"THE AREA SOON.","168":"WIND : NW 5 TO 6 OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN, VARIABLE 2\/4 ELSWHERE,","169":"       INCREASING WESTERLY 5\/6 SOON.","170":"SEA  : MODERATE TO ROUGH BECOMING VERY ROUGH OVER WESTERN LATER WITH","171":"       WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 4 M.","172":"VISI : POOR TO VERY POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION."}}]}