Bulletinset for METAREA 7
Edition date (UTC): 2026-09-22 17:58:45
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HIGH SEAS FORECAST
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FQZA31 FAPR 221700



WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

22ND OF SEPTEMBER 2026 AT 17:00 UTC.



FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.



NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.



AREA 1:

=======

FORECAST VALID FROM 222200 TO 232200 UTC:



WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES

LESS THAN 3M.



NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED

BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.



GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

====================

1. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW TO W 35 IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS, BECOMING SW

35

                        IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM MID-PERIOD, SPREADING

TO

                        THE SOUTHERN PARTS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF

THE

                        PERIOD.

   SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

   =====================

   HIGH 1028 HPA 35S10W, HIGH 1032 HPA 43S50E



   LOW 1012 HPA 34S17E, LOW 1014 34S46E



   AREA FORECAST:

   ==============

   ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

   WIND     : E TO SE 10 TO 20.

   VIS      : GOOD.



   ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

   WIND     : S TO SE 05 TO 15 BUT SW 05 TO 10

IN THE EAST.

VIS      : GOOD.



ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : SE TO E 10 TO 20 BECOMING NE TO N 05 TO 15 IN THE

SOUTH-WEST

           TOWARDS MID-PERIOD.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN RAIN IN THE SOUTH-EAST AND EAST.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 IN THE SOUTH-EAST FROM MID-PERIOD, WITH SE SWELL.



    TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

    WIND     : SE TO E 10 TO 20, BUT S TO SW 05 TO 15 IN THE

NORTH-EAST AND

           NW 05 TO 15 IN THE SOUTH-EAST BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE SOUTH-

               EAST FROM MID-PERIOD.

        VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND

RAIN IN THE SOUTH-

           WEST.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM MID-PERIOD, WITH SE SWELL.



    TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

    WIND     : ANTI-CYCLONIC 05 TO 15, BUT SE 10 TO 20 IN THE

NORTH-EAST AND

           NW 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH-WEST AND WEST, REACHING 30.

    VIS      : GOOD, BECOMING MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSHOWERS

           IN THE SOUTH-WEST.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE SOUTH-WEST, REACHING 4.5 TO

5.0M FROM MID-

           PERIOD, WITH W TO NW SWELL.



    CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

    WIND     : W TO NW 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTH-EAST, OTHERWISE

SE TO S 15 TO

           25 BUT VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE SOUTH-WEST.

    VIS      : GOOD, BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSHOWERS IN PLACES IN

           THE EAST AND CENTRAL PARTS.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 M IN THE NORTH-WEST, WITH W TO SW SWELL.



    CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

    WIND     : SE TO E 10 TO 20, REACHING 25 IN THE SOUTH-WEST

AND SOUTH

           TOWARDS MID-PERIOD BUT CYCLONIC 15 TO 25 IN THE EAST AND

               NORTH-EAST AND N TO NE 15 TO 25 IN THE WEST

UNTIL MID-PERIOD.

VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN

           PLACES IN THE WESTERN PARTS AND SOUTH.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS,

REACHING 5.0M

           IN THE EAST AND NORTH-EAST FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE

PERIOD,

           WITH SW SWELL.



    DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

    WIND     : N TO NE 15 TO 25 IN THE EAST AND SOUTH-WEST,

BUT S TO SE 05 TO

           15 IN THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL PARTS, OTHERWISE VARIABLE 05

TO

           15.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSHOWERS IN

           THE EASTERN PARTS.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PARTS,

WITH S SWELL.



MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND     : S TO SE 10 TO 20 BUT VARIABLE 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTH

BECOMING

           NE 05 TO 15 IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM MID-PERIOD.

    VIS      : GOOD.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 IN THE SOUTH-EAST FROM THE SECOND HALF OF

THE PERIOD, WITH

           S SWELL.



    MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

    WIND     : N TO NE 05 TO 15 IN THE SOUTH, OTHERWISE E TO

SE 10 TO 20

           BECOMING VARIABLE 05 TO 15 IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN

PARTS

           FROM THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

    VIS      : GOOD, BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE

           SOUTH.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS FROM MID-PERIOD, WITH

S SWELL.



MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND     : NW TO W 15 TO 25, REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS

           BECOMING SW 25 TO 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM MID-PERIOD,

               SPREADING TO THE SOUTHERN PARTS DURING THE

SECOND HALF OF THE

           PERIOD.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE

SOUTH AND WEST,

           BUT IN SNOW-SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTH-WEST, SPREADING TO THE

               SOUTHERN PARTS FROM THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

        SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M REACHING 5.0 TO 7.0M IN

THE IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS,

           WITH W TO SW SWELL.



    AREA 2:

    ======

    MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA

REUNION ON AREA

ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)



26/09/22 AT 1700UTC



AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).



PART 1: WARNING



GALE FORCE 8 OVER CRO AND KER.



PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/09/22 AT 1200UTC



- HIGH AT 1032 HPA NEAR 44S/54E, MOVING EASTWARD; FORECAST TO BE AT

1035

  HPA NEAR 38S/73E ON THE 23RD AT 12 UTC.

  - LOW AT 1012 HPA NEAR 35S46E,

    MOVING EASTWARD AND FILLING, FORECAST TO BE AT 1015 HPA NEAR

34S51E ON

  THE 23RD AT 12 UTC, ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER

    EXTENDING NORTHWARD SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR.

    - WAVING FRONT CENTERED AT 38S46E, 35S65E, AND 37S85E.





    PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/09/22 AT 1800UTC TO

26/09/23 AT 1800UTC



WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS. RAIN AND LOCALLY THUNDERY SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE

WESTERN REGION AND SLOWLY SHIFTING EASTWARD.

WIND : EAST TO NORTHEAST 3 TO 5, INCREASING TO 6/7 WITH GUSTS IN THE

       WESTERN AREA, THEN BACKING TO WEST TO SOUTHWEST 2/3 IN THE

              NORTHWESTERN AREA.

       SEA :  STRONG TO VERY STRONG, BUT HIGH IN THE

SOUTHEASTERN AREA AT FIRST.

       LONG SWELLS FROM THE SOUTHWEST OF 3 TO 5 METERS, 6 METERS IN

THE

       SOUTHWEST AT FIRST.

       VISI : POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.





       AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

       SCATTERED SHOWERS.

       WIND :EAST TO NORTHEAST 2 TO 5, BUT CLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 SOUTH OF

THE AREA.

SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA DUE TO A

LONG

      SOUTHWEST SWELL OF 4 TO 7 METERS.

      VISI : MODERATE DURING PRECIPITATION.





      CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

      RAIN AND SNOW WITH FRONTAL SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWEST

AREA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

WIND : NORTH OF 50E:  CLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE

AREA,

       SHIFTING TO NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 6, LOCALLY 7. SOUTH OF

50E:

       WEST 5 TO 6 VEERING TO NORTHWEST AT 6 TO 7, BUT 8 IN THE

              SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE AREA.

       SEA :  VERY ROUGH TO HIGH DUE TO A LONG SOUTHWEST SWELL

OF 4 TO 6 METERS,

       GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. SEAS BECOMING ROUGH TO LOCALLY MODERATE

IN

       NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA

       VISI : VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.





       KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

       SCATTERED SHOWERS, SOMETIMES SNOWY.

       WIND : WESTERLY 4 TO 7 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, LOCALLY 8; VEERING

TO

       NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 IN THE WEST BY THE END. GUSTS.

       SEA :  HIGH TO LOCALLY VERY HIGH IN THE SOUTHEAST AT FIRST,

DECREASING

       FROM THE WEST AND GRADUALLY BECOMING VERY ROUGH. SOUTHWEST

SWELL

       OF 6 TO 7 METERS, ABATING.

       VISI : POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION.