Bulletinset for METAREA 7
Edition date (UTC): 2026-05-02 16:35:24
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HIGH SEAS FORECAST
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FQZA31 FAPR 021330



WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

02nd OF MAY 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.



FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.



NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.



AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 022200 TO 032200 UTC:



WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.



NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.



GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. TRISTAN: W to SW 35 in south-east and east until mid-period.





SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

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High 1023 hPa 33s23w, High 1016 hPa 23s39e



Low 1002 hPa 41s42e, Low 1002 hPa 36s48e



1. Cold Front: 28s43e 31s48e 34s50e into 36s48e



AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme

           northern parts.



ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND     : S to SE 10 to 20, but SW 05 to 15 in the east.

VIS      : Good.



ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the central southern parts, otherwise E

           to SE 10 to 20, but NE to N 10 to 20 in the south-west.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the central parts as

           well as in the south-west towards the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, with S to SW swell.



TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND     : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west and south-east, otherwise S to

           SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the north-east from the second half of

           the period.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in rain in the south-west for the first half

           of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west, with SW swell.





TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise W to SW 15 to 25

           reaching 30 to 35 in south-east and east until mid-period.

VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers, in the

           south-east as well as in the west towards the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-east and east as

           well as the south-west from the second half of the period, with W

           to SW swell.



CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND     : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the east and south-east but SW 15

           to 25 reaching 30 in the west spreading to the central parts from

           the second half of the period.

VIS      : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers, but good in the

           north-east.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the west, with W to SW swell.



CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND     : SW 10 to 20 in the north and east, becoming W to NW 15 to 25 in

           the west during the first half of the period reaching 30 from

           mid-period. It will become NE 10 to 20 in the north-east from the

           second half of the period.

VIS      : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

           south-east for the first half of the period and in the west from

           the second half of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, with SW swell.



DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND     : W to NW 10 to 20 in the east reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east

           at first, otherwise SW 10 to 20 in the south and central parts,

           spreading to the east by mid-period. It will be anticyclonic 05

           to 15 in the west but NE 10 to 20 in the south-west towards the

           end of the period.

VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

           south-east and east.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, except in the north-west, with S to SW swell.



MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND     : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east from mid-period.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in places in the

           north for the first half of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east from the second half of the period, with S

           swell.



MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND     : SE 10 to 20, but anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the south.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places over northern

           and south-western parts.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the east and south at times, with S to SW swell.



MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND     : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the north-eastern parts, otherwise anti-

           cyclonic 05 to 15 but W to NW 15 to 25 in the west spreading to

           the south from the second half of the period.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the north-east for the

           first half of the period as well as in the west and south-west

           from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, with W to SW swell.



AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)



26/05/02 AT 0600UTC



AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).



PART 1: WARNING



- GALE EXPECTED OVER CRO.



PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/05/02 AT 0000UTC



- LOW 1003 NEAR 37S/43E WITH ASSOCIATED FRONTS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARDS END DEEPENING, EXPECTED 996HPA NEAR 42S/54E ON THE 03/05 AT 00 UTC.

- COLD FRONT CF ORIENTED ALONG 31S/42E, 37S/44E EXPECTED 31S/53E, 36S/57E, 39S/56E ON THE 03/05 AT 00 UTC.

- HIGH 1022 OVER WAM AND AMS NEAR 36S/65E, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARDS.

- UNDULATING FRONT OVER CRO AND KER ORIENTED ALONG 42S/50E, 49S/80E.





PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/05/02 AT 0600UTC TO 26/05/03 AT 0600UTC



WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS DUE TO CF FROM WESTERN AREA AND MOVING EASTWARDS.



WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 OVER NORTHEASTERN AREA BUT NORTH 5/6 LOCALLY 7

      WITH SEVERE GUSTS OVER SOUTHWESTERN AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BACKING

      WESTERLY 4 TO 6 WITH GUSTS BEHIND.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH DECREASING. LONG SW SWELL 2 METERS 50 TO 4 METERS

      DECREASING.

VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.





AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AREA.



WIND : ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 LOCALLY 5.

SEA : ROUGH BECOMING VERY ROUGH OVER FAR SOUTHERN AREA LATER. SW SWELL

      2 TO 4 M.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.





CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UNDULATING FRONT AT FIRST, THEN HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS ARRIVING WITH THE LOW.



WIND : OVER NORTHERN AREA, NORTHWESTERLY 4 TO 6; OVER SOUTHERN AREA,

       WESTERLY 4 TO 6 DECREASING; TEMPORARILY ANTICLOCKWISE 3/4 BETWEEN THE

       TWO AREAS. BECOMING GRADUALLY CLOCKWISE 4 TO 7, LOCALLY 8 WITH SEVERE

       GUSTS AT END.

SEA  : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, DECREASING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. LONG SW SWELL OF

       4 TO 6 M, GRADUALLY DECREASING UNDER 4 METERS.

VIS  : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.





KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UNDULATING FRONT.



WIND : OVER NORTHERN AREA, NORTHWESTERLY 4 TO 6; OVER SOUTHERN AREA,

       WESTERLY 4 TO 6 DECREASING; TEMPORARILY ANTICLOCKWISE 3/4 BETWEEN THE

       TWO AREAS.

SEA  : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, TEMPORARILY HIGH OVER SOUTHERN AREA AT FIRST.

       WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 6 M, DECREASING DURING THE DAY.

VIS  : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=