Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-08-15 23:53:52 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 151630 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 15th OF AUGUST 2026 AT 16:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 152200 TO 162200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: NW 35 in the south-west from mid-period, drifting to the south-east by the end of the period. 2. CAPE WEST: W to NW 35 in the south-east, spreading to the south-west towards the end of the period. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: SW 35 in the east at first but W to NW 35 in the west towards the end of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1032 hPa 39s48e. Low 980 hPa 58s21w, Low 960 hPa 55s02w, Low 990 hPa 54s32e. 1. Cold Front: 28s11w 33s00e 45s12e 53s20e 63s00e into 55s02w. 2. Cold Front: 40s31e 45s40e 50s42e 55s41e 58s34e into 51s27e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 but variable 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the central western parts, otherwise Anticyclonic 05 to 15. VIS : Good in the extreme north, otherwise moderate in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, with S to SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 but Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers in the extreme south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Cyclonic 15 to 25 in the north-west by mid-period, otherwise W to SW 15 to 25 reaching 30 in places becoming NW 25 to 35 in the south-west from mid-period, drifting to the south-east by the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m reaching 4.0 to 4.5m in the east and south-east, with W to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in places in the north, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east, spreading to the south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good in the north-east but moderate in rain and showers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the north-east, reaching 5.0m in the south, with W to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NW 10 to 20 in the west reaching 25, otherwise Anticyclonic 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers in the south-west from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m except in the east, reaching 4.0 to 4.5m in the south-west from mid-period, with W to SW swell but SE swell in the central parts. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 10 to 20 but cyclonic 20 to 30 in the central parts. VIS : Good in the extreme west and south otherwise moderate in showers and thundershowers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the central parts, with E to SE swell but NE swell in the extreme south-west. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SW 10 to 20, but cyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-east. VIS : Good but moderate in showers in places. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, but NE 10 to 20 in the north. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the south and west. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, with SW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW 25 to 35 in the east at first, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 in places but 35 in the west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the east at first and in the west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the north, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m until mid-period, with W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/08/15 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE CONTINUING OR EXPECTED OVER AMS, CRO AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/08/15 AT 1200UTC - STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW IN EAST OF BASIN, DECREASING.- NEW DISTURBANCES OVER CRO THEN KER WITH STRONG WESTERLY FLOW PREVAILING.- HIGH 1032 OVER WEST OF WAM, LITTLE CHANGE. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/08/15 AT 1800UTC TO 26/08/16 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5, BUT WESTERLY INCREASING 5 OR 6 IN FAR SOUTHEAST, AT TIMES 7 LATER WITH GUSTS SEA : ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH IN LONG SSW SWELL 3 TO 5 M FROM WEST TO EAST,ABATING SLWOLY. VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN OR SHOWERS IN SOUTH. WIND: SOUTHWEST 7 OR 8, GRADUALLY DECREASING 5 OR 6 AND BECOMING LOCALLY ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 IN NORTH, INCREASING WEST 6 OR 7 IN SOUTH LATER, AT TIMES 8. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH OR HIGH, LOCALLY VERY HIGH IN SOUTHEAST, DECREASING SLOWLY VERY ROUGH FROM WEST. LONG SSW SWELL 5 TO 7 M, ABATING LATER. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND: WESTERLY 6 OR 7, AT TIMES 8, DECREASING 5 OR 6 IN WEST AT END. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH IN FAR EAST. LONG SSW SWELL 4 OR 5 M IN EAST, ABATING. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND: WESTERLY 7 OR 8. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH OR HGH, LOCALLY VERY HIGH IN FAR NORTHEAST AT FIRST. LONG SW SWELL 5 TO 7 M, ABATING SOON. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.