Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-07-15 15:56:57 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 151330 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 15TH OF JULY 2026 AT 13:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 152200 TO 162200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE WEST: CYCLONIC 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM MID-PERIOD. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW 35 IN THE EAST AT FIRST, BUT W TO SW 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== HIGH 1026 HPA 30S07E, HIGH 1034 HPA 37S56E LOW 1012 HPA 33S13W; LOW 963 HPA 63S53E 1. COLD FRONT: 34S19E 36S28E 42S37E 56S46E INTO 63S53E AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E TO SE 05 TO 15 REACHING 20 IN THE EAST UNTIL MID-PERIOD, BUT VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE SOUTH-WEST. VIS : GOOD. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE NORTH, OTHERWISE S TO SE 05 TO 15. VIS : GOOD. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E TO NE 05 TO 10 REACHING 15 TO 25 IN PLACES OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH-EASTERN PARTS, BUT S TO SW 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH-WEST. VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH-WEST AND THE CENTRAL SOUTH. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE SOUTH-WEST, WITH W TO SW SWELL. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE WEST, OTHERWISE S TO SE 10 TO 20, BUT N TO NW 05 TO 10 IN THE SOUTH-WEST. VIS : GOOD. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : CYCLONIC 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH-EAST, BUT NW TO W 10 TO 20 IN THE NORTH-EAST. VIS : MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE EAST BUT IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM THE END OF THE PERIOD. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE EAST WITH SW SWELL. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE CENTRAL PARTS AND THE NORTH-EAST, BUT CYCLONIC 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH-EAST, OTHERWISE SW 05 TO 15. VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE SOUTH. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE SOUTH, WITH SW SWELL. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : NW TO W 05 TO 10 IN THE EAST AT FIRST, OTHERWISE VARIABLE 05 TO 10, BUT CYCLONIC 25 TO 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST. VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE SOUTH-WEST, SPREADING TO THE EAST, AND NORTH-EAST BY MID-PERIOD. SEA STATE: 3.0M IN THE WEST AND CENTRAL PARTS, REACHING 4.0 TO 5.0M IN THE SOUTH-WEST, WITH W TO SW SWELL. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : CYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTH-EAST, E TO NE 5 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH- EAST, OTHERWISE S TO SE 05 TO 15. VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE EAST. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE EAST, WITH E TO SE SWELL. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S TO SW 05 TO 15, BUT VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE SOUTH-EAST AND THE NORTH-EAST. VIS : GOOD. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : CYCLONIC 05 TO 15 OVER THE CENTRAL PARTS, OTHERWISE VARIABLE 05 TO 10. VIS : MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL PARTS, BUT POOR IN THE SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE SOUTH-EAST, WITH SE TO S SWELL. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : NW 25 TO 35 IN THE EAST AT FIRST, OTHERWISE W TO SW 15 TO 25, REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST, BECOMING VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE NORTH-WEST TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. VIS : GOOD BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE SOUTH- EAST. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M, REACHING 4.5 TO 5.5M IN THE SOUTH, WITH W TO NW SWELL. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/07/15 AT 0600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE TO STRONG GALE OVER KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/07/15 AT 0000UTC - HIGH 1034 HPA NEAR 38S/52E WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING NORTH-EASTWARDS, EXPECTED 1031 HPA NEAR 35S/66E AT END. - LOW AT 963 HPA NEAR 62S/37E, MOVING EASTWARDS. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM 62S39E, 50S32E TO 39S25E, EXPECTED TO REACH THE CRO AREA AT END. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/07/15 AT 0600UTC TO 26/07/16 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED SHOWERS, MORE FREQUENT IN THE FAR NORTH-WEST. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5, NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH TO NORTHWEST FORCE 5 TO 6 IN THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 1.5 METERS TO 3 METERS FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. VIS: GOOD. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) ISOLATED SHOWERS. WIND: SOUTHWEST 4/5 IN THE NORTHOUEST AND 5/6 IN THE SOUTHAST, LOCALLY 7 IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST, BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 FROM THE WEST TONIGHT. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING SOON LOCALLY HIGH IN THE FAR SOUTH-EAST. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 5 METERS. VIS : GOOD. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTH-WEST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. WIND: WEST TO SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, VEERING NORTH TO NORTHWEST 5/6, REACHING 7 WITH GUSTS ALONG THE FRONT FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 2 TO 4 METERS FROM WEST TO EAST. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) ISOLATED SHOWERS WIND: SOUTHWESTERLY FORCE 5 TO 8 FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST, LOCALLY REACHING FORCE 9 IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST WITH VIOLENT GUSTS, GRADUALLY DECREASING DURING THE DAY FROM THE WEST; VEERING TO SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FORCE 2 TO 4 OVERNIGHT, BUT WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY FORCE 5 TO 6 IN THE SOUTH. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, LOCALLY VERY HIGH IN THE SOUTHEAST IN DAYTIME. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 5 TO 6 METERS. VIS : GOOD.= WE RESPECT YOUR PRIVACY AND ACKNOWLEDGE THAT THIS EMAIL MAY CONTAIN PERSONALLY IDENTIFIABLE INFORMATION. THE EMAIL MAY BELONG TO YOU, OTHERS, AND OR TO YOUR ORGANIZATION, AND WHICH WE WILL PROCESS, WHICH PROCESSING WILL BE DONE IN ACCORDANCE WITH OUR PRIVACY NOTICE ON OUR WEBSITE - HTTPS://WWW.WEATHERSA.CO.ZA/HOME/PRIVACYNOTICE=