Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-10-16 18:40:10 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 161700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 16th OF OCTOBER 2026 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 162200 TO 172200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in places in the west and south. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1019 hPa 19s12w, High 1027 hPa 30s56e. Low 972 hPa 51s22e, Low 972 hPa 57s41e. 1. Cold front: 25s13w 34s07w 42s19w into 51s22e. 2. Cold Front: 48s40e 52s48e 56s49e into 57s41e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 10 to 15 but variable 05 to 15 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15, but S to SE 15 to 25 in the south. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the central and southern parts, clearing from the south-west from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in places in the southern parts, spreading to the central parts from mid-period, with W to SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south and east from the second half of the period. VIS : Good but moderate in rain in places in the south-west and south. SEA STATE: 3.0m in places in south-west and southern parts, with SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : W to SW 15 to 15 in the south, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20, but anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west and central parts spreading to the north from mid-period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, subsiding in the west towards mid-period, with S to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : SW to S 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the southern parts, but variable 05 to 15 in the north-east until mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in places in east and southern parts. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the southern parts, with W to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : SW to S 15 to 25 in the west, otherwise N to NE 10 to 20. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the west and south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west and south, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west, with W to SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the north, becoming SW 15 to 25 in the south-west during the first half of the period. VIS : Good becoming moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the central north and south-west, with NE swell but SW in the south-west. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 in the north for the first half of the period, otherwise variable 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain in places in the north until mid-period. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to SE 15 to 25 but NE 15 to 25 in the south-west spreading to the south from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain in places and at times. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the northern parts, with SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 30 to 35 in places in the west and south, becoming variable 05 to 15 in the north-west towards mid-period. VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and rain in the west and southern parts. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, reaching 5.0 to 7.0m in the south-west and southern parts. AREA 2: ====== MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/10/16 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN CRO AND SOUTHERN KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/10/16 AT 1200UTC - COLD FRONT CF AXIS39S/66E, 40S/70E, 46S/76E, 50S/77E MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD 5/10 KT.- HIGH 1028 HPA ALMOST STATIONARY NEAR 30S/57E, EXTENDING OVER NORTHERN AMS. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/10/16 AT 1800UTC TO 26/10/17 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) FEW SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 OR 4 OVER NORTHERN, W 4 OR 5 OVER SOUTHERN. SEA : MODERATE, BECOMING ROUGH OVER FAR SOUTHERN WITH SW SWELL 2 TO 3 METERS. VIS : GOOD. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER FAR SOUTHERN THEN EASTERN AREA WITH CF. WIND: NW 5/6 AHEAD THE FRONT WITH GUSTS, BACKING SW 5/6 BEHIND, THEN WESTELY 3 TO 5. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. SW SWELL 2 TO 3 METERS. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWESTERN, CLEARING UP BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. WIND: WEST TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, THEN NORTH-WESTERLY 7 TO 8 WITH GUSTS AS A NEW FRONT MOVES IN; SHIFTING TO WEST 6 TO 8 IN ITS WAKE DURING THE DAY. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. VERY ROUGH IN THE SOUTH. SOUTHWEST SWELL 2 TO 4 METERS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. VIS : POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT, FOLLOWED BY A NEW FRONT TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND: NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH GUSTS, SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 BEHIND THE FRONT WITH STRONG GUSTS, TEMPORARILY NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 AHEAD OF A NEW FRONT DURING THE DAY. SHIFTING TO WESTERLY 6 TO 8 BEHIND THE FRONT TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH OVER SOUTHERN AREA. SOUTHWEST SWELL 4 TO 7 METERS OVER SOUTHERN. VIS : POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.