Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2025-11-17 05:06:08 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 161700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 16TH OF NOVEMBER 2025 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 162200 TO 172200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: SW to W 35 in places in the south. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1030 hPa 38s08e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : SE 05 to 10 but SW to S 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : NE 05 to 15 in the south-east at first, otherwise SE to E 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in light rain in places in the south until mid-period. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, with S to SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north, otherwise NW to W 10 to 20. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the east until mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the north-east, with SW to W swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S to SE 20 to 30 in the north-east, otherwise variable 05 to 10, but NW to W 05 to 15 in the south. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west until mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the north-east, with SE swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : SE to E 15 to 25 in the north-west, otherwise SW to S 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east from mid-period, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate in light rain in places in the extreme south-east from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the west, with SW to S swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NW 05 to 15 in the north-east, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25. It will become NE 10 to 20 in the extreme south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the north and in places in the east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the west, with SW to S swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : NE to E 05 to 15 in the north, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in places in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the north at first and in the south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme south-west, with SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : NE to N 05 to 15. It will become S to SE 10 to 15 in the extreme south-west from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in places in the north at first and in the south-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the east at first, with S to SW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW to W 20 to 30 reaching 35 in places in the south. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, with possible snow-showers in the south from mid-period. It will clear from the west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 4.0 to 5.0m reaching 5.5 to 6.0m in the south, with SW to W swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/11/16 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here). PART 1: WARNING Gale continuing or expected in all areas. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/11/16 AT 1200UTC Low 973 near 54S/56E, moving rapidly East-South-eastwards. Associated cold front (CF) axis 32S/46E, 40S/57E, 49S/65E, 53S/55E, expected near 30S/58E, 39S/71E, 49S/75E, 50S/78E the 17 a 12 UTC. New low 986 at end near 52S/49E. Associated cold front (CG) over southwest of CRO. High 1025 over WAM near 35S/71E, moving rather quickly Eastwards. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/11/16 at 1800UTC to 25/11/17 at 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) Frontal rain or showers CF. WIND: Northwest 4 to 7 from northeast to southwest, locally 8 near CF, backing South or Southwest 5 or 6 behind it. Severe gusts. SEA: Moderate or rough, but very rough and crossed in south. VIS: Poor or very poor in precipitation. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) Frontal rain or showers CF. WIND: Anticlockwise 3 to 5, at times 6, increasing Northwest 6 or 7 from southwest, at times 8 near CF till 17 at 12 UTC. Severe gusts. SEA: Rough in SW swell, becoming locally very rough and crossed in southwest. VIS: Poor or very poor in precipitation. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) Frontal rain or showers CF then CG. WIND: N 7/8 ahead CG, backing Westerly 4/6 locally 7 behind CG. Gusts to severe gusts ahead CG. SEA: Rough or very rough, crossed. NW swell 4 or 5 m in east, decreasing. VIS: Poor or very poor in precipitation. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) Frontal rain or showers CF. WIND: Northwest 7 or 8, but Anticlockwise 3 to 5 at first in far northeast, decreasing Westerly 4 or 5, at times 6, behind CF. Severe gusts. SEA: Rough or very rough, crossed. NW swell 4 or 5 m. VIS: Poor or very poor in precipitation.