Bulletinset for METAREA 7
Edition date (UTC): 2026-02-20 13:27:53
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HIGH SEAS FORECAST
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FQZA31 FAPR 201330



WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

20TH OF FEBRUARY 2026 AT 13:30 UTC.



FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.



NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.



AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 202200 TO 212200 UTC:



WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.



NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.





GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. CAPE WEST: Cyclonic reaching 35kt in the south-west at first.





SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

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High 1027 hPa 42s13e



Low 993 hPa 49s20w, Low 978 hPa 48s64e



1. Cold front: 28s02e 34s04e into 33s01w.



AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : SE 05 to 15.

VIS      : Good.



ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND     : SW 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS      : Good.



ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : SW 15 to 25 in the south-east, otherwise SE to S 05 to 15.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in rain and showers in the south-east at first.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, reaching 4.0m at first.



TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND     : NW to W 15 to 25 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15.

VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in rain and thundershowers in the south-

           west.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west during the first half of the period

           with a SW swell.



TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the east at first, moderate to 10 to 20 from the

           second half of the period, but NW 15 to 25 in the extreme-west

           drifting to the west during the second half of the period.

VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain over the

           eastern parts and south-western parts clearing in the east from the

           second half of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the east, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m during the

           first half of the period, with S to SE swell, and 3.0m in the south-

           west with NW swell.



CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND     : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the west, reaching 35 in the south-west at

           first, otherwise SE 15 to 25.

VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in thundershowers and rain in the west and

           south.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m with E to SE swell reaching 4.0 to 5.0m in the south-

           west at first, but NW in the north-west.



CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND     : E to SE 15 to 25 in the west spreading to the central towards the

           second half of the period, otherwise variable 05 to 10.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in the showers and rain over the central parts.

SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3.0m with SE swell in the west.



DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND     : Variable 05 to 10 in the south-west and south-east, otherwise SE 10

           to 15.

VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the east

           and over the extreme south-west.



MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND     : SE 15 to 25 in the south otherwise variable 05 to 10.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north.



MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND     : Variable 05 to 10 in the north, otherwise E to NE 05 to 15.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain at times.



MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND     : W 15 to 25 in the south, spreading to the north-west towards

           mid-period, otherwise variable 05 to 10.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west drifting to

           the south-east towards the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3.0m in the south, reaching 3.5 to 4.0m in the extreme south,

           with SW swell.





AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)



26/02/20 AT 0600UTC



AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).



PART 1: WARNING



- STORM RUNNING OVER CRO.

- GALE TO STRONG GALE EXPECTED AT FIRST OVER KER. STORM, LOCALLY VIOLENT STORM,

  EXPECTED LATER OVER KER.



PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/02/20 AT 0000UTC



- EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW 10 (GEZANI) 982 HPA NEAR 45S/53E, WITH SQUALLY WEATHER.

  MOVING QUICKLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD, DEEPENING LATER. EXPECTED

  970 HPA NEAR 51S/77E AT 06 UTC THE 21/02.

- HIGH 1024 HPA NEAR 35S/75E, MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD.





PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/02/20 AT 0600UTC TO 26/02/21 AT 0600UTC



WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

RAIN OR THUNDERY SQUALLS BY WESTERN, MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD.

WIND: MAINLY NORTHERLY 4 TO 5, AT TIMES 6 OVER SOUTHEAST. GUSTS.

      BECOMING VARIABLE 3 TO 5.

SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH AND CROSSED OVER SOUTHWEST AREA.

VIS: POOR IN PRECIPITATION.





AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4, LOCALLY NW 5 TO 6 OVER SOUTHERN AREA.

SEA: MODERATE BY SW SWELL, LOCALLY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN.

VIS: GOOD OR MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION.





CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERY SHOWERS ON WESTERN, MOVING EASTWARD AND DECREASING AT

     THE END.

WIND: CLOCKWISE 8 TO 9, AT TIMES 10 WITH VIOLENT GUSTS. BECOMING GRADUALLY

      SOUTHWESTERLY AND DECREASING 4 TO 5, AT TIMES 6. BACKING NORTHWESTERLY 6

      TO 7 OVER FAR SOUTHWEST AREA AT THE END.

SEA: VERY ROUGH TO HIGH AND CROSSED FROM NORTHWEST WITH CYCLONIC SWELL 3 TO 5 M,

     DECREASING STRONG TO VERY STRONG AT THE END.

VIS: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.





KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

HEAVY RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS BY WESTERN, RUNNING OVER SOUTHERN AREA.

WIND : NORTHERLY 5 TO 6, INCREASING 7 OVER WESTERN AREA AT FIRST.



     BECOMING CLOCKWISE 9 TO 10 BY WESTERN, AT TIMES 10 TO 11 LATER BY WESTERN

     WITH EX-GEZANI. VIOLENT GUSTS.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH AND CROSSED SOON BY

     WESTERN AREA. SW SWELL INCREASING CYCLONIC SWELL 4 TO 6 M LATER, RUNNING WEST TO EAST.

VIS : MODERATE, BECOMING VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=