Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-01-29 00:49:03 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 281700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 28TH OF JANUARY 2026 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 282200 TO 292200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW 35 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east by mid-period, while becoming W to SW 35 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east towards theend of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1021 hPa 32s08e, High 1027 hPa 41s67e Low 1007 hPa 37s03w, Low 955 hPa 64s48e 1. Cold Front: 25s22w 30s13w into 37s03w 2. Cold Front: 35s32e 40s44e 45s57e 50s67e 55s72e into 64s48e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15, but N to NW 10 to 20 in the south-east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the west and south-west, drifting to the south-east towards the end of the period. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east, but variable 05 to 15 in the south-west and extreme east. VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme north-east towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, with S to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 in the east, otherwise SW 15 to 25, becoming variable 05 to 10 in the north-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, becoming good in the north-west towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east at first, reaching 3.5 to 4.0m in the south-west towards mid-period, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period, with SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : SW 10 to 20 in the south-east at first, but anticyclonic 05 to 15 over the central parts, otherwise NW 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west, but S to SE 15 to 25 in the north-east. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west and south-west, spreading to the south-east by the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south and east, reaching 4.0m in the south- east at first, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 in the north-west, otherwise W to NW 10 to 20 but SW 15 to 25 in the south-west. It will become anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the west towards mid-period, and E to NE 15 to 25 in the north-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers over the central and south-eastern parts, but moderate in light rain over the southern and north-western parts until mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the southern and western parts, reaching 4.0 to 4.5m in the south-western parts at first, with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the north at first, but SE E 10 to 20 in the north-west and south-west, spreading over the central and eastern parts from mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, but good in the north-west. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the west and south-west, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : NW 20 to 30 in the north, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the extreme south-east at times. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the northern and central parts. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 10 to 20, but cyclonic 15 to 25 in the north-east until towards mid-period. It will become S to SE 10 to 20 from mid- period, but W to SW 10 to 20 in the north. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, becoming good in the central parts from mid-period. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east by mid-period, while becoming W to SW 15 to 25 in the west, reaching 30 to 35 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, becoming good from the north-west towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west towards mid- period, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/01/28 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here). PART 1: WARNING - Nil. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/01/28 AT 1200UTC - High pressure system 1026 hPa around 41S/68E, almost stationary. - Low pressure system 955 hPa around 63S/48E with associated CF cold front axis on 40S/44E, 42S/50E, 48S/60E, 50S/62E moving south-eastward at 20kt. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/01/28 at 1800UTC to 26/01/29 at 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) Showers and locally stormy squalls under the convergence line over the eastern zone. WIND : East 4/5 locally 6, veering north 3 to 5 over the southern zone and freshening northeast 4/5 over the eastern zone at the end of the forecast period. SEA: Moderate. VISIBILITY : Poor under precipitation with the arrival of a convergence line over the eastern zone. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) Showers over northern and eastern areas. WIND : South to south-east 3/4 veering north-east over northern areas but anticyclonic 2 to 3 over southern areas veering north 3/4 over south-western areas. SEA : Moderate. VISIBILITY : Poor under precipitation. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) Rain, squalls and frontal showers under CF. WIND : North-westerly 5 to 7 ahead of CF, easing to westerly 4 to 6 behind. SEA : moderate to rough. West swell 2 to 3 m. VISIBILITY : poor under precipitation. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) Rain, squalls and frontal showers under CF in the south-western zone. Rare showers elsewhere. WIND : anticlockwise 3/4 over the northern zone, but north-westerly 5 to 7 over the southern zone ahead of CF. SEA : rough to very rough in the southern zone. South-westerly swell of 2 to 3 metres. VISIBILITY : poor under precipitation.