Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2025-11-22 08:25:00 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 211700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 21ST OF NOVEMBER 2025 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 212200 TO 222200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: SW to S 35 in places in the south-east. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: SW to W 35 in places in the east. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1028 hPa 37s01e Low 992 hPa 50s15w 1. Cold Front: 32s22w 37s15w 44s08w 52s06w into 50s15w AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but variable 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : NE to N 05 to 10 in the south-west, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the extreme north-east towards the end of the period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east at first, with S to SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 in the south-east at first, otherwise anti- cyclonic 05 to 15. It will become NW to N 20 to 30 in the west from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south until mid-period. It will become moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the south-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m except in the north-east, with W to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west, otherwise SE to E 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the extreme north-east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme east, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : SW to S 20 to 30 in the east reaching 35 in places in the south-east, otherwise variable 05 to 10 spreading to the central parts towards the end of the period. It will become NE to E 10 to 20 in the north-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the east, clearing towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 4.5 to 5.5m, reaching 6.0 to 7.0m in the south-east, but 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, with SW to S swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the extreme north at first, otherwise SW to W 15 to 25, but NW to N 20 to 30 in the south-east. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south- east, clearing towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the south, with SW to S swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 in the west, but SW 05 to 15 in the east. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the north at first. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south from mid-period, with SW to S swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NW 05 to 15 in the north, otherwise variable 05 to 10. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places in the central and southern parts. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW to W 20 to 30 reaching 35 in places in the east. It will become NW to N 10 to 20 in the west towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, with snow-showers in the south. It will clear towards the end of the period . SEA STATE: 6.0 to 7.0m, with SW to S swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/11/21 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE OR SEVER GALE CONTINUING OR EXPECTED OVER ALL AREAS. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/11/21 AT 1200UTC - LOW 1001 OVER NORTHWEST OF AMS, RAPIDLY MOVING TO NORTHEAST OF KER AND FILLING. - LOW 964 NEAR 53S/61E, MOVING SOUTHWARDS. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER WAM AND CRO, VERY SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARDS. - NEW LOW DEEPENING SOON 974 OVER NORTH OF CRO, EXPECTED 955 AT END JUST WEST OF KERGUELEN ISLAND. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CG MERGING WITH THE OTHER ONE. - HIGH 1024 NEAR 35S/83E, VERY SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARDS. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/11/21 AT 1800UTC TO 25/11/22 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND: NORTHWEST INCREASING 7 OR 8, THEN 8 OR 9 IN SOUTH SOON, DECREASING WEST 6 OR 7 LATER, AT TIMES 8 IN SOUTH. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : MODERATE OR ROUGH, GRADUALLY BECOMING VERY ROUGH OR HIGH FROM SOUTHWEST. LONG SW SWELL 4 OR 5 M IN WEST. VISIBILITY: POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND: CLOCKWISE 6 OR 7, BECOMING NORTHWEST SOON, INCREASING 7 OR 8 LATER IN SOUTHWEST, AT TIMES 9. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : MODERATE OR ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH AT FIRST NEAR THE LOW, BECOMING VERY ROUGH OR HIGH IN SOUTHWEST LATER. VISIBILITY: POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND: NORTHWEST 5 OR 6, AT TIMES 7, BECOMING CLOCKWISE 7 OR 8, AT TIMES 9, SOON, THEN WEST 7 OR 8 LATER. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH, BECOMING HIGH IN NORTH. LONG W-SW SWELL 4 OR 5 M IN WEST, DECREASING. VISIBILITY: POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND: NORTH OR NORTHWEST 7 OR 8, BUT 6 OR 7 IN EAST, INCREASING 8 OR 9 IN WEST LATER, BECOMING CLOCKWISE IN FAR SOUTHWEST AT END. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH OR HIGH IN WEST AT END. VISIBILITY: POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=SEA : VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH. WESTERLY SWELL, LOCALLY NW, 3/5 M, 6 M AT TIMES. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL RAINS AND SHOWERS OVER FAR SOUTHERN AT FIRST, THEN OVER THE WHOLE AREA. WIND : NW 5/6 LOCALLY 7, TEMPORARILY 8 AHEAD OF THE FRONT, DECREASING 4/5 LOCALLY 6 BEHIND IT AND VEERING NORTHERLY AT END. GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH BECOMING VERY ROUGH OVER THE WESTERN AREA. WESTERLY OR NW SWELL 2/3 M, INCREASING 4/5 M OVER WESTERN AREA. VISIBILITY: POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.