Bulletinset for METAREA 7
Edition date (UTC): 2026-10-10 23:48:34
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HIGH SEAS FORECAST
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FQZA31 FAPR 101615



WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

10TH OF OCTOBER 2026 AT 16:15 UTC.



FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.



NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.



AREA 1:

=======

FORECAST VALID FROM 102200 TO 112200 UTC:



WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES

LESS THAN 3M.



NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED

BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.



GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

====================

1. TRISTAN  : W TO SW 35 IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS, SPREADING TO THE SOUTH-

              EAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD WHILE MODERATING IN THE SOUTH.



       2. CAPE WEST: W TO NW 35 IN THE SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST AND

BY THE END OF

              THE PERIOD.



       3. CAPE EAST: NW 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST AT FIRST.



       4. DURBAN EAST : N TO NE 35 IN THE WEST AND SOUTH-WEST

FROM MID-PERIOD.



5. MARION FORTIES EAST: W TO SW 35 IN THE SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST, BUT N

TO

                        NW 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM MID-PERIOD

                           SPREADING TO THE

SOUTH BY THE EVENING.



    SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

    =====================

    HIGH 1020 HPA 24S04W, HIGH 1024 HPA 38S36E.



    LOW 991 HPA 45S07E, LOW 949 HPA 65S41E.



    1. COLD FRONT: 28S03W 32S04E 36S09E 41S10E INTO 45S07E.



    2. COLD FRONT: 36S52E 41S56E 45S63E 50S68E 54S69E

60S65E 62S60E  64S53E

               INTO 65S41E.



        AREA FORECAST:

        ==============

        ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

        WIND     : E TO SE 05 TO 15.

        VIS      : GOOD.



        ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

        WIND     : S TO SE 05 TO 15 BUT W TO SW 05 TO 15 IN

THE EAST.

VIS      : GOOD.



ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : ANTICYCLONIC 05 TO 15, BUT S TO SW 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH.

VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN RAIN AND SHOWERS IN THE SOUTH AND

           SOUTH-EAST. CLEARING IN THE SOUTH FROM MID-PERIOD AS WELL

AS

           SOUTH-EAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

    SEA STATE: 3.0M IN THE SOUTH FROM THE MORNING, WITH SW

SWELL.



TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND     : W TO NW 15 TO 25 IN THE EXTREME SOUTH-WEST, BECOMING SW 15

TO

           25 FROM MID-PERIOD, BUT ANTI-CYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE WEST

AND

           SOUTHERN PARTS, OTHERWISE S TO SE 05 TO 15 REACHING 25 IN

THE

           SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE SOUTH-WEST.

    SEA STATE: 3.0M IN THE SOUTH-WEST BY THE END OF THE

PERIOD, WITH SW

           SWELL.



    TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

    WIND     : NW 15 TO 25 IN THE EAST AT FIRST, OTHERWISE W

TO SW 15 TO 25

           REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS, SPREADING TO THE SOUTH-

               EAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD WHILE MODERATING

IN THE SOUTH.

VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE CENTRAL,

SOUTH

           AND EASTERN PARTS. CLEARING IN THE CENTRAL FROM THE

MORNING

           AND SOUTH BY THE EVENING.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M (EXCEPT IN THE EAST AND NORTH-EAST

AT FIRST)

           REACHING 4.5 TO 5.5M IN THE SOUTH-WEST SPREADING TO THE SOUTH-

               EAST FROM THE AFTERNOON WHILE SUBSIDING IN THE

SOUTH-WEST,

           WITH SW SWELL.



    CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

    WIND     : ANTI-CYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTH AND

NORTH-EAST, OTHERWISE

           W TO NW 15 TO 25 SPREADING TO THE NORTH FROM MID-PERIOD

WHILE

           REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST AND BY THE

END OF

           THE PERIOD.

    VIS      : MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE SOUTH-EAST

AT FIRST, BUT

           MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE WEST SPREADING

TO

           THE SOUTH FROM MID-PERIOD AS WELL AS SOUTH-EAST BY THE END

OF

           THE PERIOD.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS,

SPREADING TO

           THE WEST FROM THE AFTERNOON, WITH W TO SW SWELL.



    CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

    WIND     : N TO NE 20 TO 30 IN THE NORTH-WEST, SPREADING

TO THE CENTRAL

           AND SOUTHERN PARTS FROM THE MORNING, BUT NW 15 TO 25 IN

THE

           SOUTH-WEST REACHING 30 TO 35 AT FIRST, OTHERWISE

ANTI-CYCLONIC

           05 TO 15.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE

SOUTH-WEST AT

           FIRST. IT WILL BECOME MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND

               THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE CENTRAL PARTS FROM THE

MORNING,

           SPREADING TO THE SOUTH AND NORTH-WEST FROM THE AFTERNOON.



 SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE CENTRAL, SOUTH AND WESTERN PARTS, WITH

SW

           SWELL.



    DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

    WIND     : N TO NE 15 TO 25 IN THE WEST AND SOUTH-WEST

REACHING 30 TO 35

           FROM MID-PERIOD, OTHERWISE E TO SE 05 TO 15 REACHING 20 TO

30

           IN THE NORTH SPREADING TO THE CENTRAL PARTS FROM THE

EVENING.

VIS      : GOOD.

SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM THE MORNING, WITH NE SWELL.



MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND     : S TO SE 10 TO 20, REACHING 25 TO 30 IN THE SOUTH-EAST.

VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS OVER THE

           NORTH-EAST AT FIRST AND BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE SOUTH-EAST DURING THE FIRST

HALF OF THE

           PERIOD, WITH S TO SE SWELL.



    MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

    WIND     : NE 05 TO 15 IN THE SOUTH, OTHERWISE E TO SE 15

TO 25.

VIS      : GOOD BECOMING MODERATE IN LIGHT RAIN IN THE NORTH FROM THE

           EVENING.





    MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

    WIND     : W TO SW 15 TO 25 REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE

SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST.

           IT WILL BECOME N TO NW 15 TO 25 IN THE WEST FROM THE

MORNING

           REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE SOUTH-WEST FROM MID-PERIOD

SPREADING

           TO THE SOUTH BY THE EVENING.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN RAIN AND SNOW-SHOWERS IN

THE SOUTH AT

           FIRST. IT WILL BECOME MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND RAIN

IN

           THE WESTERN HALF FROM MID-PERIOD SPREADING TO THE

SOUTH-EAST

           BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M REACHING 5.0 TO 7.0M IN THE

SOUTHERN PARTS, WITH W

           TO SW SWELL.



    AREA 2:

    ======

    MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA

REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)



26/10/10 AT 1600UTC



AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).



PART 1: WARNING



- NIL.



PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/10/10 AT 1200UTC



- COLD FRONT OVER CRO, AXIS 37S/54E, 44S/64E, 50S/67S, MOVING

EASTWARD.- HIGH1030 HPA NEAR 40S/86E WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING

NORTHWESTWARD, MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD.- HIGH1024 HPA NEAR 36S/39E,

EXPECTED 1033 HPA NEAR 38S/51E AT THE END.





PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/10/10 AT 1800UTC  TO 26/10/11

AT 1800UTC



WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

SHOWERS AND FRONTAL RAIN.

WIND : NORTHERLY 3 TO 5 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT,

BACKING    SOUTHERLY THEN SOUTHEASTERLY 3/5 BEHIND, REACHING

LOCALLY 6 IN    THE SOUTHEAST AT END.

SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH.

VISI : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.





AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS, THEN SHOWERS AND FRONTAL RAIN.

WIND : VARIABLE ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4, SETTLING FROM SOUTH-WEST

    NORTHWESTERLY 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AHEAD THE FRONT,

BACKING    SOUTHERLY  5/6 BEHIND OVER SOUTH-WEST AT END.

SEA : MODERATE, BUT ROUGH IN FAR SOUTH.

VISI : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.



CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

SCATTERED SHOWERS, BUT RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS IN THE NORTHEAST AT

FIRST.

WIND : NORTHERN HALF: SOUTHWESTERLY 4/6, BECOMING VARIABLE 2/4 IN

   THE NORTHWEST AT END. BUT NORTHWEST 4/5 IN THE NORTHEAST AT

      START.SOUTHERN HALF: WESTERLY THEN SOUTHWEST 5/6,

REACHING 7 IN    THE SOUTHERN AREA.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH IN THE

SOUTH.    ARRIVAL OF  SOUTHWEST SWELL  3 TO 6 METERS  BY

   SOUTHWEST.

   VISI : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.



   KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

   RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS.

   WIND : NORTHWESTERLY 6/7 WITH GUSTS AHEAD THE FRONT,

BACKING WESTERLY    THEN SOUTHWESTERLY 5/6, LOCALLY 4 BEHIND.

SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY MODERATE IN THE NORTH.

WESTERLY TO    NW SWELL 2 TO 4 METERS, THEN ARRIVAL OF SOUTHWEST

SWELL  2 TO 4    METERS IN THE SOUTHWEST AT END.

VISI : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.