Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-01-22 11:25:54 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 220830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 22ND OF JANUARY 2026 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 221000 TO 231000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: W to SW 35 to 40 in the south-west, reaching while becoming NW 35 to 40 in the central and south towards mid-period. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the north-west towards mid- period, spreading to the central and eastern parts from the second half of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1027 hPa 35s15w, High 1019 hPa 45s35e Low 948 hPa 63s25e, 1. Cold Front: 40s19e 47s29e 50s32e into 63s25e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the southern and central parts for the first half of the period, with SE swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east at times. VIS : Good becoming moderate in rain in the south and west from mid- period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west, for the first half of the period, with SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15, but NW to W 10 to 20 in the south, becoming SW 10 to 20 in the south-west from the second half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west from the second half of the period. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, otherwise, SW to W 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east for the first half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain in the south-east, at first. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, but 4.0 to 4.5m in the south-east, with S to SE swell but SW in the south-east. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise N to NE 10 to 20 but W to SW 20 to 30 in the south-west, reaching 35 to 40, while becoming NW 35 to 40 in the central and south towards mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south-west spreading to the central and south-eastern parts from the second half of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, becoming 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west towards mid-period and spreading to the west and south by the end of the period, with S to SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to SE 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the north-eastern parts but N to NE 15 to 25 in the south-west becoming SW 20 to 30 in the south-west from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in north-east and eastern parts but in the south-west from mid- period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the central and eastern parts, as well as the south-western parts with S to SE swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : SE to E 15 to 25 in the southern parts, otherwise SW to W 10 to 20 becoming variable 05 to 15 in the south-west from the second half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the northern and eastern parts. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east for the first half of the period , with S to SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : S to SW 15 TO 25 in the extreme south-west for the first half of the period, but W 10 to 20 in the extreme north, otherwise NE 10 TO 20 reaching 25 in the south-east from the second half of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers but very poor in the south and south-east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, in the southern parts, with W to SW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in the north-west towards mid-period, spreading to the central and eastern parts from the second half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west, drifting to east from the second half of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, but 5.0 to 5.5m in the south-west, spreading to the central and eastern parts from the second half of the period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/01/22 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - FORCE 10 STORM OVER NORTHERN KER AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. - FORCE 8 GALE OVER AMS AND CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/01/22 AT 0000UTC - POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION DUDZAI OVER WAM ASSOCIATED WITH A 990 HPA MINIMUM FILLING IN. MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS KER. - LOW 986 HPA AROUND 46S/62E, WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CF AXIS 31S/63E, 40S/66E, 44S/69E, 47S/68E AND WARM FRONT WF AXIS 47S/69E, 47S/76E, 46S/80E. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/01/22 AT 0600UTC TO 26/01/23 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER EASTERN AREAS AT THE START. WIND : FORCE 5 TO 6 WESTERLY OVER SOUTH-EASTERN AREAS AND ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 4 OVER WESTERN AREAS, INCREASING FORCE 4 TO 6 NORTHERLY OVER WESTERN AREAS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING MODERATE TO ROUGH. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 4 M, DECREASING 2 TO 3 M. VIS : VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH CF. WIND : NORTH-WESTERLY 6 TO 8 AHEAD OF CF, VEERING WESTERLY 4 TO 6 BEHIND, THEN BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. VIOLENT GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH IN THE WEST. NORTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 4 M IN THE WEST, SUBSIDING. VISIBILITY : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER THE EASTERN AREA AT THE START OF THE PERIOD, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS BECOMING MORE FREQUENT OVER THE WESTERN AREA AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. WIND : LOW 5 TO 6, LOCALLY 7 TO 8 OVER FAR SOUTH-EASTERN, THEN 4 TO 5 FROM WEST, INCREASING WESTERLY 5 TO 7 FROM WESTERN ZONE AT THE END OF THE PERIOD AHEAD OF A NEW FRONT. GUSTS. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH LOCALLY VERY ROUGH IN THE NORTH. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 2 TO 3 M. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH WF AND CF. WIND : NORTH-WESTERLY 8 TO 10 AHEAD OF CF LOCALLY CLOCKWISE 4 TO 6 FRESHENING WESTERLY 6 TO 7 LOCALLY 8 BEHIND CF EASING SOUTH- WESTERLY 3 TO 5 AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OVER THE WESTERN AREA. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. NORTH-WESTERLY SWELL OF AROUND 3 M. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION.=