Bulletinset for METAREA 7
Edition date (UTC): 2026-09-29 14:02:59
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HIGH SEAS FORECAST
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FQZA31 FAPR 281630



WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

28TH OF SEPTEMBER 2026 AT 16:30 UTC.



FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.



NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.



AREA 1:

=======

FORECAST VALID FROM 282200 TO 292200 UTC:



WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES

LESS THAN 3M.



NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED

BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.



GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

====================

1. TRISTAN : N TO NW 35 IN PLACES OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN

PARTS,

             BUT CYCLONIC 35 IN THE WEST TOWARDS MID-PERIOD.



      2. CAPE WEST: E TO SE 35 IN THE EAST.



      3. CAPE EAST: S TO SW 35 IN THE SOUTH-EAST.



      4. MARION FORTIES EAST: CYCLONIC 35 TO 40 IN THE CENTRAL

NORTH AND

                        NORTH-EASTERN PARTS UNTIL THE AFTERNOON.



   SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z

   =====================

   HIGH 1031 HPA 39S17E, HIGH 1035 HPA 38S74E.



   LOW  1001 HPA 38S18W, LOW  992 HPA 45S43E.



   1. COLD FRONT: 21S28W 29S20W 35S15W INTO 38S21W.



   2. COLD FRONT: 26S34E 34S46E 40S50E INTO 45S43E.





   AREA FORECAST:

   ==============

   ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

   WIND     : E TO SE 05 TO 15.

   VIS      : GOOD.



   ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

   WIND     : S TO SE 10 TO 20 BUT SW 05 TO 10

IN THE EAST.

VIS      : GOOD.



ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : ANTI-CYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTHERN PARTS, OTHERWISE W

TO

           NW 15 TO 25, REACHING 30 IN PLACES IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTH-

               WEST.

        VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE SOUTH

           AND SOUTH-WESTERN PARTS.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE SOUTH-WEST, WITH SW SWELL.



    TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

    WIND     : S TO SE 05 TO 15, REACHING 20 TO 25 IN THE

SOUTH-EAST AT

           FIRST.

    VIS      : GOOD.

    SEA STATE: 3.0M IN THE SOUTH-EAST AT FIRST, WITH S TO SE

SWELL.



TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : N TO NW 15 TO 25, REACHING 30 TO 35 IN PLACES OVER THE

CENTRAL

           AND SOUTHERN PARTS, BUT CYCLONIC 20 TO 30 IN THE WEST,

               REACHING 35 TOWARDS MID-PERIOD.

        VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE NORTH,

           SOUTH AND WESTERN HALF, SPREADING TO THE EAST FROM THE

               EVENING.

        SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE WEST, SOUTH AND

CENTRAL PARTS, REACHING 4.5

           TO 5.0M IN THE SOUTH-WEST, SPREADING TO THE WEST FROM MID-

               PERIOD, WITH NW SWELL, BUT SW IN THE WEST.



        CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

        WIND     : ANTI-CYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE

SOUTH-EAST UNTIL MID-PERIOD, BUT

           N TO NE 15 TO 25 IN THE WEST, OTHERWISE E TO SE 15 TO 25,

               REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE EAST.

        VIS      : GOOD.

        SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE EASTERN PARTS,

WITH S TO SE SWELL.



CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND     : ANTI-CYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE SOUTH-WEST, BUT E TO NE 15

TO 25

           IN THE WEST, REACHING 30 IN PLACES FROM THE MORNING,

OTHERWISE

           S TO SW 15 TO 25, REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE SOUTH-EAST.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE

CENTRAL AND

           EASTERN PARTS.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M (EXCEPT IN THE SOUTH-WEST),

REACHING 4.5 TO 5.5M

           IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS BUT 6.0 TO 6.5M IN THE

               SOUTH-EAST, WITH SE SWELL IN THE WEST,

OTHERWISE S TO SW.



DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND     : N TO NE 15 TO 25 IN THE EAST, OTHERWISE S TO SW 15 TO 25,

           BECOMING SE 15 TO 25 IN THE WEST TOWARDS THE END OF THE

               PERIOD.

        VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS

AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE

           NORTH-WEST AND CENTRAL PARTS AT FIRST AS WELL AS

SOUTH-EAST

           SPREADING TO THE EAST FROM MID-PERIOD.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE SOUTH AND WESTERN PARTS,

WITH S TO SW

           SWELL.



    MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

    WIND     : E TO NE 05 TO 15 IN THE WEST AND NORTH-WESTERN

PARTS DURING

           THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD, OTHERWISE S TO SE 05 TO 15,

               REACHING 20 TO 30 IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS

SPREADING TO THE

           CENTRAL FROM THE EVENING.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS

IN THE

           SOUTH-WEST.

    SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE SOUTH-WEST SPREADING TO THE

SOUTH-EAST FROM

           THE EVENING, WITH S TO SE SWELL.



    MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

    WIND     : S TO SE 10 TO 20 BUT N TO NE 05 TO 15 IN THE

SOUTH, REACHING

           20 TO 25 AT FIRST.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN PLACES

IN THE CENTRAL

           AND EAST UNTIL MID-PERIOD.



    MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

    WIND     : CYCLONIC 30 TO 40 IN THE CENTRAL NORTH AND

NORTH-EASTERN PARTS

           UNTIL THE AFTERNOON, OTHERWISE S TO SW 15 TO 25.

    VIS      : GOOD BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE

CENTRAL AND

           EASTERN PARTS.

    SEA STATE: 3.5 TO 4.5M, REACHING 5.5 TO 6.5M IN THE

CENTRAL AND NORTHERN

           PARTS, WITH W TO SW SWELL.





    AREA 2:

    ======

    MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA

REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)



26/09/28 AT 1600UTC



AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).



PART 1: WARNING



GALE EXPECTED OVER KER.



PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/09/28 AT 1200UTC



LOW 992 NEAR 44S/43E, MOVING EASTWARD. COLD FRONT 24S/32E,

28S/40E, 30S/42E, 40S/48E, 46S/47E.- HIGH 1035 OVER AMS

LEAVING AREA.





PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/09/28 AT 1800UTC TO

26/09/29 AT 1800UTC



WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

FRONTAL RAIN.

WIND: NORTH-WESTERLY 4/6 OVER NORTHERN, 6/7 OVER SOUTHERN.

SEA:  MODERATE TO ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN.

VIS:  POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.





AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

RARE SHOWERS.

WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 INCREASING N 4/5 OVER WESTERN AT END.

SEA:  ROUGH BECOMING MODERATE FROM WEST. SW SWELL 2 TO 4 M ABATING.

VIS:  GOOD.





CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

FRONTAL RAIN OR SNOW.

WIND: N TO NW 6/7 DECREASING TEMPORARILY W 3/5 THEN INCREASING

      SW 5/6 LOCALLY 7 OVER NORTHERN AT END.

      SEA:  ROUGH. NW SWELL 2 TO 4 M.

      VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.





      KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

      RAIN OR SNOW OVER SOUTHWESTERN SOON.

      WIND: NORTH-WESTERLY 5/6 INCREASING 7/8 AT END.

      SEA:  ROUGH BUT VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHEASTERN AT FIRST AND

            BECOMING VERY ROUGH AT END. SW SWELL 3 TO 5 M ABATING

           AT END.

    VIS:  BECOMING VERY POOR FROM SOUTHWEST.