Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-10-12 12:51:30 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 120830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 12th OF OCTOBER 2026 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 121000 TO 131000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: W to NW 35 over the central parts from mid-period. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW 35 to 40 in the south from mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1023 hPa 28s13w High 1035 hPa 37s57e. Low 980 hPa 47s18e. 1. Cold Front: 35s14e 40s19e 45s23e into 47s18e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : S to SE 10 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 10 to 15 but SW 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : NW 15 to 20 in the south-west, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20, but anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the south-east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme south, with W to SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, becoming anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the south- west from mid-period. VIS : Good. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : W to NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 over the central parts from mid- period. It will become SW 15 to 25 in the south-west from mid- period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5m in the extreme south-east, with SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the south but anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the north-east from mid-period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain but good in the north-east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south and west reaching 4.5m in the extreme south-west, with SW to W swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NE 20 to 30 but SW 15 to 25 in the west. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers over the central parts. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, except in the north-east, with mainly SW swell but N to NE swell over the central parts. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the south-west and central north. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west and in the central north, with NE swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 10. VIS : Good. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to SE 15 to 25 but NE 10 to 20 in the extreme south-west. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in the south from mid- period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 5.0 to 7.0m in the south from mid-period, with W swell. AREA 2: ====== MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/10/12 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE EXPECTED OVER CRO AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/10/12 AT 0000UTC - COLD FRONT OVER WESTERN AMS, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD.- HIGH 1032 NEAR 37S/55E, SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD, EXPECTED 1031 NEAR 31S/61S AT END.- NEW FRONTAL AREA GOING OVER CRO SOON THEN OVER KER LATER.- OTHER COLD FRONT OVER CRO AT END. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/10/12 AT 0600UTC TO 26/10/13 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) FEW SHOWERS. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5, SOON INCREASING 5 OR 6 OVER FAR SOUTHERN. SEA: MODERATE OR ROUGH, BECOMING LOCALLY VERY ROUGH LATER OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN. VISI: MAINLY GOOD. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL RAIN OR SHOWERS OVER EASTERN AT FIRST, THEN FEW SHOWERS. WIND: S 5 OR 6, LOCALLY 7 WITH SEVERE GUSTS BEHIND THE FRONT, BUT W 4 OR 5 OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN AT FIRST, BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 FROM WEST SOON, BUT W 5 OR 6, AT TIMES 7 WITH SEVERE GUSTS LATER OVER FAR SOUTHERN. SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH, INCREASING VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN LATER BY SW SWELL 3 OR 4 METERS. VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND: SOUTHWEST 5 OR 6, INCREASING SOON NORTHWEST 6 OR 7, AT TIMES 8 WITH SEVERE GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH. SW SWELL 3 TO 5 METERS, ABATING. VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS THEN, FRONTAL RAIN OR SHOWERS, AT TIMES SNOWY. WIND: SW 5 OR 6, BUT W OVER SOUTHERN, INCREASING FROM WEST W THEN SW 6 OR 7, AT TIMES 8, DECREASING 5 OR 6 OVER WESTERN AT END. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH OR HIGH LATER. SW SWELL 4 OR 5 METERS. VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATION.