Bulletinset for METAREA 7
Edition date (UTC): 2026-01-11 08:43:33
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HIGH SEAS FORECAST
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FQZA31 FAPR 110830



WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.

ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE

11TH OF JANUARY 2026 AT 08:30 UTC.



FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2

BELOW.



NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.

======================

COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE

MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.



AREA 1:

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FORECAST VALID FROM 111000 TO 121000 UTC:



WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.



NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.

INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.

WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.



GALE FORCE WARNINGS:

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1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in the extreme south at first.



SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z

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High 1022 hPa 30s21w, High 1029 hPa 38s50e



Low 963 hPa 59s35e



1. Cold Front: 44s27e 50s50e into 59s35e



AREA FORECAST:

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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : SE to E 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the south-west.

VIS      : Good.



ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N):

WIND     : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in the east.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north-

           east, but in the south-east towards the end of the period.



ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-west, otherwise E to SE 10 to

           20.

VIS      : Good.



TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST):

WIND     : S to SE 10 to 20.

VIS      : Good.



TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):

WIND     : NW 15 to 25 in the east at first, otherwise W to SW 10 to 20

           reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west towards mid-period, drifting

           to the south-east by the end of the period, while becoming

           anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the north-west.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the east, but in the

           south from mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with SW swell.



CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):

WIND     : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the central parts, otherwise W to NW 05

           to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the south and south-west, but S to SE

           15 to 25 in the north-east.

VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the south-west,

           spreading to the south towards mid-period.

SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south and north-east, with S to SW swell.



CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):

WIND     : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-east until mid-period,

           otherwise E to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the north-west,

           but SE 10 to 20 in the west. It will become S to SW 05 to 15

           along the south coast towards the end of the period.

VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

           south.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, reaching 4.0m in the south-east, with S to SW swell

           but with E to NE swell in the north-west.



DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND     : SE 05 to 15 in the north-west at first, otherwise E to NE 10 to

           20 reaching 25 to 30 in the north and south-west.

VIS      : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, but

           good in the south.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the north and west with S to SE swell, but with E

           to NE swell in the south-west.



MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:

WIND     : Variable 05 to 10 in the north and east, otherwise E to NE 10

           to 20 but SE 15 to 25 in the south.

VIS      : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the

           north-east, but in the south-west at first.



MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):

WIND     : E to SE 10 to 20.

VIS      : Moderate in showers and rain in places.



MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):

WIND     : W to NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 in the extreme south at first.

VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the southern parts,

           becoming moderate to poor in thundershowers in the north-west

           towards the end of the period.

SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south and south-west,

           with W to SW swell.



AREA 2:

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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)



2026/01/11 AT 0400UTC



AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%

STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).



PART 1: WARNING

- NIL.



PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 2026/01/11 AT 0000UTC

- HIGH 1030 NEAR 42S/88E, MOVING RATHER QUICKLY EASTWARDS.

- HIGH 1027 NEAR 39S/47E, MOVING EASTWARD, EXPECTED VERY SOON OVER SOUTH OF

  WAM.

- BETWEEN THE TWO CELLS, COLD FRONT OVER WAM AND KER, MOVING RATHER QUICKLY

  EASTWARDS AND WAVING FRONT FILLING OVER EAST OF AMS.



PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 2026/01/11 AT 0600UTC TO 2026/01/12 AT

0600UTC



WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)

SHOWERS, AT TIMES THUNDERY IN FAR NORTH.

WIND: BECOMING RAPIDLY ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4, MAINLY EASTERLY.

SEA : MODERATE OR ROUGH IN SW SWELL.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.



AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)

SHOWERS.

WIND: VARIABLE 2 TO 4, LOCALLY 5 IN SOUTHWEST.

SEA : MODERATE OR ROUGH IN SW SWELL.

VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.



CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)

SCATTERED RAIN OR SHOWERS IN SOUTH.

WIND: WESTERLY 3 TO 5 IN NORTH, BUT 6 OR 7 IN SOUTH. GUSTS.

SEA : ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH IN FAR SOUTH. SW SWELL 4 OR 5 M.

VIS : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.



KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)

RAIN OR SHOWERS.

WIND: NORTHWEST 5 OR 6, AT TIMES 7, AHEAD THE FRONT, BACKING WESTERLY

      BEHIND. GUSTS.

SEA : MODERATE OR ROUGH, BUT ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH IN SOUTH. SW SWELL 4 OR 5 M

      IN SOUTHWEST.

VIS : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.