Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2025-11-24 16:49:12 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 241330 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 24th OF NOVEMBER 2025 AT 13:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 242200 TO 252200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in the west while drifting to the eastern parts towards the end of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1026 hPa 34s06e, Low 1010 hPa 42s05w, Low 972 hPa 53s28e, Low 1016 hPa 26s35e 1. Cold Front: 32s19w 36s12w 39s07e 41s04w into 42s05w AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15 VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 reaching 30 in the south-east at first. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east subsiding from mid-period, with S swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : NW to W 15 to 25 over the central parts and south-east, otherwise 05 to 10, but S to SW 10 to 2 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the south-west, drifting to the south-east towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with W to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : NW to W 15 to 25 in the south-west, otherwise variable 05 to 10, but SE to E 15 to 25 in the north-east. VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and rain the south towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : SW to W 05 to 15, reaching 25 to 35 in the south-east at first, otherwise, variable 05 to 10, becoming NE 10 to 20 in the extreme north-east towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers in the south and south- east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, reaching 5.0 to 5.5m in the south- east at first, with SW to S swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Cyclonic in the north-east at first, otherwise E to SE 05 to 15, but NE 15 to 25 in the west. VIS : Good, but poor to very poor in showers and thundershowers in the west but moderate in places in the north-east. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 10, but E to SE 05 to 15 in the west and south- east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places over the north- eastern parts by mid-period. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 05 to 15, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-east. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places in the south and western parts. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south at first, with S to SW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 30 to 35 over the west and central parts, drifting to the eastern parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, but poor in snow-showers in the south. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m but 5.5 to 6.5m over the western half, where it will reach 7.5 to 8.5m by mid-period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/11/24 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING GALE OVER CRO AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/11/24 AT 0000UTC - HIGH 1021 NEAR 31S/58E, STEADILY MOVING EASTWARD. - FILLING LOW 970 NEAR 53S/48E, WITH WEAK COLD FRONT (CF) ASSOCIATED AXIS 38S/32E, 44S/50E, 50S/53E, 53S/49E, RAPIDLY MOVING EASTWARD. - COLD FRONT (CG) AT END OVER WESTERN CRO, ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW EXPECTED 974 NEAR 51S/49E THE 25/11 AT 06UTC. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/11/24 AT 0600UTC TO 25/11/25 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SLIGHT FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER FAR SOUTHERN. SCATTERED SHOWERS ELSEWHERE, MORE FREQUENT SOON OVER NORTHERN. WIND : NORTHERN HALF: ANTICLOCKWISE OR VARIABLE 2/4. SOUTHERN HALF: WESTERLY 5/6, AT TIMES 7 OVER FAR SOUTHERN. GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST BY SW SWELL 3 TO 5M ABATING, BECOMING GRADUALLY MODERATE TO ROUGH. VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND : NORTHERN HALF: ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4. SOUTHERN HALF: WESTERLY 4/5, AT TIMES 6 OVER FAR SOUTHERN. GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH BY SW SWELL 4 TO 5M. VIS : MAINLY GOOD. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS WITH CF THEN CG. SCATTERED SHOWERS BETWEEN THE BOTH. WIND : WESTERLY 6/7 AT TIMES 8. GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, BUT ROUGH OVER NORTH-WESTERN. SW SWELL 3 TO 5M. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS, THEN SOON FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS WITH CF. WIND : WESTERLY 6/7 AT TIMES 8, DECREASING AT END 5/6. GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH BY W SWELL 4 TO 6M. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=