Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-07-08 15:09:44 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 081330 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 08TH OF JULY 2026 AT 13:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: Cyclonic 35 in the west at first. 2. CAPE EAST: N to NW in the south-east at first, but SW to S 35 to 40 in the extreme south-west drifting to the extreme south-east from mid- period. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to SW 35 to 45 in the extreme east at first and in the north-west towards mid-period drifting to the north-east by mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1034 hPa 33s65e. 1. Cold Front: 17s12w 22s06w 32s03w 36s13w into 32s11w. 2. Cold Front: 35s20e 36s30e 40s36e into 43s38e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west spreading to the north and east from mid- period, with S to SW swell. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : SW 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 15 in the north drifting to the south-east from mid-period, otherwise NW to W 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the south- central until mid-period and in the west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the extreme south at first but poor in showers and thundershowers in the south-west from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the south-central at first, with S to SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : variable 05 to 10 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south subsiding from mid-period, with S to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Cyclonic 25 to 35, but NE to E 15 to 25 in the south-east, becoming NW to W 15 to 25 in the north and west from mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers. SEA STATE: 4.0 to 5.0m reaching 5.5 to 6.5m in the west at first, while subsiding 3.0 to 4.0m towards the end of the period, with SE to E swell but NW to W swell in the north. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : SE 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise NE to E 15 to 25, but SW 15 to 25 in the south-east. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the south-east, with SW to S swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NW 25 to 35 in the east until towards the end of the period, otherwise SW to W 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in the extreme south- west drifting to the extreme south-east from mid-period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain but poor in showers and thundershowers in the east until the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south but 6.5 to 7.5m in the south-central from mid-period, with NW swell in the east, otherwise SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : NE to E 10 to 20 in the north-east, otherwise N to NW 10 to 20, but SW to S 10 to 20 in the south-west. VIS : Good in the north-west, otherwise moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south from mid-period, with SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the north, otherwise variable 05 to 10. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in places in the north. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to SE 15 to 25 in the north, otherwise NE to N to 10 to 20 but variable 05 to 10 in the central-west. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, with SE to S swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to SW 25 to 30 reaching 35 to 45 in the extreme east at first and in the north-west towards mid-period drifting to the north- east by mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain but poor in snow-showers in the south. SEA STATE: 5.0 to 6.0m reaching 7.0 to 8.0m in the north-east at first and in the north-west from mid-period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 2026/07/08 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE CONTINUING OVER SOUTHERN KER AT FIRST, THEN EXPECTED OVER WESTERN AT END. - GALE EXPECTED OVER FAR SOUTHERN WAM AT END. - GALE TO SEVERE GALE EXPECTED OVER CRO LATER, LOCALLY STORM OR VIOLENT STORM OVER SOUTHERN AT END. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/07/08 AT 0000UTC - FRESH OR STRONG DISTURBED WESTERLY FLOW OVER CRO AND KER. - HIGH 1035 OVER WAM NEAR 33S/60E AT 18 UTC, SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARDS, EXPECTED 1033 OVER AMS NEAR 32S/71E AT 18UTC, THEN 1035 HPA NEAR 33S/77E AT END. - LOW EXPECTED 965 HPA NEAR 48S/52E AT 00 UTC, THEN 956 HPA NEAR 51S/58E AT END. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT AXIS NW/SE CROSSING CRO LATER. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/07/08 AT 0600UTC TO 26/07/09 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) FEW SHOWERS, THEN FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN AT END. WIND: IN NORTH: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 OR 4, INCREASING NW 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH LATER. IN SOUTH : NORTHWEST 5 OR 6, GRADUALLY INCREASING 6 OR 7, LOCALLY 7 OR 8 OVER FAR SOUTHERN AT END. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA: MODERATE OR ROUGH, BECOMING ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH IN FAR SOUTH AT END VIS: POOR IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) FEW SHOWERS. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4, BUT NW 5 OR 6 OVER FAR SOUTHERN, LOCALLY INCREASING 56 OR 7 WITH GUSTS OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN AT END. SEA: MODERATE OR ROUGH, LOCALEMENT VERY ROUGH OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN AT END. VIS: LOCALLY MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND : IN NORTH : NW 5 OR 6, GRADUALLY INCREASING 7 OR 8 LATER, BACKING 5 OR 6 BEHIND THE FRONT OVER FAR NORTHWESTERN AT END. SEVERE GUSTS. - IN SOUTH : W 6 OR 7, TEMPORARILY ANTICLOCKWISE 3 OR 4 OVER NORTHERN SOON, INCREASING NW 7 OR 8 LATER, BACKING W 8 OR 9, LOCALLY 10 OR 11 BEHIND THE FRONT AT END. VIOLENT GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH OVER SOUTHERN, BECOMING VERY HIGH OR ROUGH AT END. SW SWELL 4 TO 6 METERS. VIS: POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND: WEST OR NORTHWEST 6 OR 7, AT TIMES 8 OVER SOUTHERN AT FIRST, INCREASING 7 OR 8 OVER WESTERN AT END. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH, BECOMING LOCALLY HIGH LATER OVER FAR SOUTHERN, THEN OVER WESTERN AT END. SW SWELL INCREASING 5 OR 6 M OVER SOUTHERN LATER THEN OVER SOUTHERN AT END. VIS: POOR IN PRECIPITATION.