Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-01-28 10:09:43 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 280830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 28TH OF JANUARY 2026 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 281000 TO 291000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW 35 in the south-west towards mid-period, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1021 hPa 32s06e, High 1028 hPa 41s66e Low 1009 hPa 36s04w, Low 954 hPa 63s46e 1. Cold Front: 24s24w 30s14w into 36s04w 2. Cold Front: 34s31e 40s43e 45s53e 50s66e 55s72e into 63s46e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15, but N to NW 10 to 20 in the south-east but in the south until mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south- west, drifting to the south from mid-period. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme north-east towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, with S to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Cyclonic 15 to 25 in the south-east until mid-period, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25, but S to SW 15 to 25 in the west, spreading to the western half towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, becoming good in the north-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, reaching 3.5 to 4.0m in the south-west towards the end of the period, with SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : SW 10 to 20 in the south but S to SE 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 15, but NW 10 to 20 in the west reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west towards mid-period, spreading to the south towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west and south-west, spreading to the south towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south and east, reaching 4.0m in the south- east until mid-period, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 in the north-west, otherwise W to NW 10 to 20 but SW 15 to 25 in the south-west. It will become anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers over the central and south-eastern parts, but moderate in light rain over the south-western and north-western parts. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south and west, reaching 4.0 to 4.5m in the south-west until towards the end of the period, with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : SE 05 to 15 in the north-west and south-west, otherwise E to NE 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the north until mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the eastern and central parts, but in the south-western parts towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the west and south-west, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : NW 20 to 30 in the north, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the extreme south-east at times. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the northern and central parts. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 10 to 20, but cyclonic 10 to 20 in the north. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 in the south-west towards mid-period, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, becoming good from the north-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west towards the end of the period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 2026/01/28 AT 0400UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - NIL. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 2026/01/28 AT 0000UTC - CONVERGENCE LINE AXIS 23S/59E, 28S/61E, 32S/63E, SLOW MOVING. - HIGH 1027 HPA NEAR 40S/67E, SLOW-MOVING - LOW 957 HPA NEAR 61S/45E WITH COLD FRONT CG ASSOCIATED AND AXIS 43S/45E, 46S/51E, 49S/56E, 54S/62E MOVING SOUTH-EASTWARD 20 KT. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 2026/01/28 AT 0600UTC TO 2026/01/29 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND LOCALLY STORMY SQUALLS UNDER THE CONVERGENCE LINE OVER NORTH-EASTERN AREA. WIND: E 4 TO 5 LOCALLY 6, SETTING UP NORTHERLY 2 TO 3 OVER SOUTH-WESTERN AREA. SEA : MODERATE. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN AREA. WIND: S TO SE 3/4 BUT ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 3 OVER SOUTHERN AREA. SEA : MODERATE. SW SWELL 1 METERS 50. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CG. WIND: NW 4 TO 5 AHEAD CG DECREASING W 4 A 6 BEHIND CG. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. WESTERLY SWELL 2 TO 3 METERS. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CG OVER SOUTHERN AREA. RARE SHOWERS ELSEWHERE. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3/4 OVER NORTHERN AREA, BUT WESTERLY 4 TO 5 OVER SOUTHERN AREA. SEA : MODERATE OVER SOUTHERN AREA. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 2 METRES. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.