Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2025-11-21 14:14:07 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 210830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 21ST OF NOVEMBER 2025 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 211000 TO 221000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: SW to S 35 to 40 in places in the south-east. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: SW to W 35 in places in the west and in the north from mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1029 hPa 37s01e Low 994 hPa 50s19w Low 971 50s60e 1. Cold Front: 32s22w 32s15w 47s08w 51s15w into 50s19w 2. Cold Front: 35s48e 40s58e 47s62e 52s61e into 50s60e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW to W 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : NE to N 05 to 10 in the south-west, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the east, with SE swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m, with S to SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 in the south-east, otherwise anti-cyclonic 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the north-east, with W to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west, otherwise SE to E 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the extreme north-east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the east, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : NW to W 20 to 30 in the north-east, otherwise SW to S 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in places in the south-east, moderating 05 to 15 in the west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the east. SEA STATE: 4.5 to 5.5m, reaching 6.0 to 7.0m in the south-east, subsiding 3.0 to 4.0m in the west from mid-period with SW to S swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north, otherwise NW to N 20 to 30, but SW to W 10 to 20 in the south-west spreading to the north towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in light rain in places in the south-east. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m spreading to the north from mid-period, reaching 5.0m in places in the south from mid-period, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SW 10 to 20 in the south-east at first, otherwise variable 05 to 10. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the north. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NW 10 to 15 in the north, but SE to E 05 to 15 in the south becoming variable 05 to 10 from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places in the central and southern parts. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW to W 20 to 30 reaching 35 in places in the west and in the north from mid-period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, with snow-showers in the south. SEA STATE: 6.0 to 7.0m, reaching 7.5 to 8.0m in the south-west at first, with SW to W swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/11/21 AT 0600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE FORCE 8 EXPECTED OVER AMS AND KER. - STRONG GALE FORCE 9 EXPECTED OVER WAM AND CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/11/21 AT 0000UTC - HIGH 1024 NEAR 34S/81E, EXPECTED 1025 NEAR 35S/90E AT END. - LOW 979 AROUND 47S/57E WITH COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED AND AXIS 37S/50E, 41S/55E, 47S/58E, DEEPENING AND EXPECTED 955 AROUND 60S/60E AT END. - LOW 1003 AROUND 29S/62E EXPECTED 1001 AROUND 42S/73E AT END. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/11/21 AT 0600UTC TO 25/11/22 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSQUALLS OVER FAR NORTH-EASTERN, THEN FRONTAL RAINS AND SHOWERS OVER THE AREA. WIND : NW 6/7 LOCALLY 8 AHEAD OF THE FRONT AT FIRST, DECREASING TEMPORARILY 4/5 LOCALLY 6, THEN INCREASING 6/7 LOCALLY 8 LATER, 9 AT TIMES AT END OVER FAR SOUTHERN. GUSTS TO SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH, VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTH-WESTERN, BECOMING AT END ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, HIGH OVER SOUTH-WESTERN. SW SWELL 2/3 M, INCREASING 3/5 M, LOCALLY 6 M. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSQUALLS. WIND : CLOCKWISE 5/6 LOCALLY 7, TEMPORARILY 8 AT FIRST. NW 4/6 LOCALLY 7 FROM THE NORTH TO THE SOUTH AT END OVER THE WESTERN AREA. GUSTS. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. SW OR CLOCKWISE SWELL 2/3 M. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAINS, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. WIND : NW 7/8 LOCALLY 9 AHEAD OF THE FRONT, DECREASING 5/6 LOCALLY 7 BEHIND IT BUT INCREASING AT END OVER FAR NORTHERN 8 LOCALLY 9. GUSTS TO SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH. WESTERLY SWELL, LOCALLY NW, 3/5 M, 6 M AT TIMES. VIS: POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL RAINS AND SHOWERS OVER FAR SOUTHERN AT FIRST, THEN OVER THE WHOLE AREA. WIND : NW 5/6 LOCALLY 7, TEMPORARILY 8 AHEAD OF THE FRONT, DECREASING 4/5 LOCALLY 6 BEHIND IT AND VEERING NORTHERLY AT END. GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH BECOMING VERY ROUGH OVER THE WESTERN AREA. WESTERLY OR NW SWELL 2/3 M, INCREASING 4/5 M OVER WESTERN AREA. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.