Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-02-04 10:14:07 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ============================ WTIO22 FMEE 040620 CCA ***************CORRECTIVE************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 04/02/2026 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 025/9 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND) MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 04/02/2026 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: REMNANT LOW 9 (FYTIA) 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.4 S / 54.9 E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI STATIONARY 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2026/02/04 AT 18 UTC: 23.9 S / 55.3 E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, REMNANT LOW 24H, VALID 2026/02/05 AT 06 UTC: 25.5 S / 56.1 E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, FILLING UP OTHER INFORMATION: LAST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM, UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. FURTHER INFORMATIONS WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH THE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGHT SEAS FOR METAREA VII, ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES OF SOUTH-AFRICA (FQZA31 FAPR).= ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ============================ WTIO22 FMEE 040608 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 04/02/2026 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 025/9 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND) MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 04/02/2026 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 (FYTIA) 996 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.7 S / 54.8 E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-NORTH-EAST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 270 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2026/02/04 AT 12 UTC: 24.3 S / 55.6 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, REMNANT LOW 24H, VALID 2026/02/05 AT 00 UTC: 25.5 S / 56.8 E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, REMNANT LOW OTHER INFORMATION: LAST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM, UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. FURTHER INFORMATIONS WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH THE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGHT SEAS FOR METAREA VII, ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES OF SOUTH-AFRICA (FQZA31 FAPR).= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 040830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 04th OF FEBRUARY 2026 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 041000 TO 051000 UTC: GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== Nil. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1026 hPa 35s04w High 1019 hPa 37s39e. Cold Front: 48s38e 50s47e 57s53e into 59s44e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to S 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SW 05 to 10 but S to SE 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, but variable 05 in the south. VIS : Poor in intermittent light rain at first and towards the end of the period, otherwise good. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, but variable 05 in the extreme north. VIS : Good. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the north-east, otherwise NW 10 to 20 reaching 25 in places in the south-west spreading to the south- east from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the south-west spreading to the central parts from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west, with NW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the north-east, while becoming anticyclonic 05 to 10 in the south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers over the central parts at first and in the east from mid-period. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : E to NE 10 to 20 in the north-west, but SE 05 to 15 in the south- west otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 15. It will become W to SW 15 to 25 in the extreme south-east from mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers except over the central parts, otherwise good. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : NE to N 15 to 25 in the extreme south-west, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-central parts, otherwise SE to S 10 to 20. VIS : Moderate in showers in the north-east, otherwise good. SEA STATE: 3.0 m in the north-east, with SE swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east, but W 05 to 15 in the extreme north, otherwise S to SW 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : SW 15 to 25 in the south-east otherwise 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the south-central at first. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north, otherwise good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, with S swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to SW 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the south-east and in the extreme north-east, while becoming NW to W 10 to 20 in the south from mid-period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5 m in the south, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 2026/02/04 AT 0400UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - NIL. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/02/04 AT 0000UTC - LOW 997 NEAR 52S/94E WITH COLD FRONT CF ASSOCIATED AND AXIS 32S/67E, 36S/74E, 40S/79E, 45S/86E, MOVING EASTWARD. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/02/04 AT 0600UTC TO 26/02/05 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER NORTHERN AREA. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 OVER SOUTHERN AREA BUT SE 5 TO 6 OVER NORTHERN AREA. SEA: MODERATE. SW SWELL 1,5 TO 2 METERS. VIS: GOOD BUT POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF. WIND: NW 4/6 AHEAD CF OVER EASTERN AREA BUT VARIABLE 2 TO 4 BEHIND OVER WESTERN AREA. SEA: BECOMING MODERATE. SW SWELL 1,5 TO 2 METERS. VIS: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND: WESTERLY 3/5 LOCALLY 6 OVER FAR SOUTHERN AREA. SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH. SW SWELL 2 TO 3 METERS OVER SOUTHERN AREA. VIS: POOR UNDER PRECIPITATIONS. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND: W TO NW 3/5 LOCALLY 6 OVER SOUTHERN AREA. SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH. NW SWELL 2 TO 3 METERS OVER EASTERN AREA AT BEGINNING THEN SW SWELL 2 TO 3 METERS OVER SOUTHERN AREA AT END. VIS: POOR UNDER PRECIPITATIONS.