Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-01-15 10:48:56 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 150830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 15TH OF JANUARY 2026 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 151000 TO 161000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. DURBAN EAST: SW 35 in the extreme south-west until mid-period. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in places in the east until mid- period, but S to SW 35 in the south. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1028 hPa 37s15w, High 1024 hPa 35s60e Low 1000 hPa 49s40e, Low 984 hPa 60s40e 1. Cold Front: 37s28e 44s34e 50s33e into 49s40e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in places in the south. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south, with SE swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the south. VIS : Good. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : SW 15 to 25 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20, but Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-west. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, subsiding from mid-period, with SE swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : SW 15 to 25 in the south, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 30 in the north-east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south from mid- period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south and north-east, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NW 10 to 20 in the east and in the south-west by the end of the period, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25, reaching 30 in places in the south. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west, spreading to the east from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, spreading to the central parts from mid-period, with S to SW swell but NW swell in the east. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : SW 20 to 30 in the south-west, reaching 35 in the extreme south- west until mid-period, otherwise N to NE 15 to 25 reaching 30 in places. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, but good in the south-east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the north and south-west, with N to NE swell, but SW swell in the south-west. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : NE to E 10 to 20 in the west, but variable 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the south-western and northern parts. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : NE to E 15 to 25 in the south, otherwise variable 05 to 10. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with E to SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 20 to 30 in the east reaching 35 in places until mid- period, otherwise S to SW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south, becoming SE 15 to 25 in the west from mid-period, but Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the north-west by the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the east, clearing in the south-east from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5m in the south, with W to SW swell but NW swell in the east. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 2026/01/15 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN KER AT THE END. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/01/15 AT 0000UTC - HIGH 1027 OVER WAM AND AMS. - STATIONARY FRONT OVER CRO AND KER. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/01/15 AT 0600UTC TO 26/01/16 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5. SEA : MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH. VIS : GOOD. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5. SEA : ROUGH BECOMING MODERATE BY WESTERN. SW SWELL 2 TO 3 M. VIS : GOOD. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. WIND: NW TO W 4 TO 6 INCREASING LOCALLY 7 BACKING S 3 TO 5 BY WESTERN AT THE END SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN LATER. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER SOUTH-WESTERN LATER. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 4 TO 6 INCREASING W 6 TO 7 LOCALLY 8 OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN AT THE END WITH GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. W TO SW SWELL 2 TO 4 M ABATING BY WESTERN. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.