Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-02-07 12:51:51 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ============================ WTIO22 FMEE 071204 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 07/02/2026 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND) MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 07/02/2026 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 1007 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5 S / 57.6 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTER,IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2026/02/08 AT 00 UTC: 18.2 S / 57.1 E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 24H, VALID 2026/02/08 AT 12 UTC: 17.8 S / 56.6 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 55 NM SE: 90 NM SW: 90 NM NW: 55 NM OTHER INFORMATION: INTERRUPTION OF THE BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM, PENDING FURTHER RE-INTENSIFICATION. FURTHER INFORMATIONS WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH THE SECURITE SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR METAREA VIII(S) ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES OF MAURITIUS (FQIO25 FIMP).= ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ============================ WTIO22 FMEE 070601 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 07/02/2026 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND) MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 07/02/2026 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 1005 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.4 S / 58.2 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM IN THE NORTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2026/02/07 AT 18 UTC: 18.7 S / 57.7 E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 24H, VALID 2026/02/08 AT 06 UTC: 18.1 S / 57.1 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 90 NM SE: 90 NM SW: 90 NM NW: 65 NM OTHER INFORMATION: NIL= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 070830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 07TH OF FEBRUARY 2026 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 071000 TO 081000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: N to NW 35 in the south-west at first. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: SW 35 in the west and south-west from mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1022 hPa 28s05w, High 1023 hPa 41s01w, High 1022 hPa 40s66e Low 986 hPa 50s25e, Low 1004 hPa 43s43e 1. Cold Front: 33s01e 35s08e 40s14e 45s22e into 50s25e 2. Cold Front: 31s34e 35s41e 40s44e into 43s43e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW to W 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15, but anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south. VIS : Good. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east. VIS : Good. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the north-east, otherwise N to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south-west at first. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the west and south- west, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, with NW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : W to SW 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the south, but S to SE 15 to 25 in the south-west, spreading to the east and south-east towards the end of the period. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south- east, spreading to east towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south, drifting to the south-east towards the end of the period, with SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : NW 20 to 30 in the south-east and NE 20 to 30 in the north-west until mid-period, otherwise W to SW 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south. It will become S to SE 15 to 25 in the south-west, spreading over the central parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places in the east and south-west, spreading over the central parts towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east until mid-period, with W to NW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : W to NW 05 to 15 in the south, otherwise E to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the north and west. It will become S to SW 10 to 20 in the south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the south-west. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : NW 10 to 20 in the north, otherwise SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east until mid-period, but variable 05 to 10 over the central parts. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers over the northern half. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme south-east until mid-period, with SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : S to SW 05 to 15 in the extreme north, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in places. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25, becoming SW 25 to 35 in the west and south-west from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the east until mid-period, but in the west and south-west, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the north and north-east until mid-period with NW swell, but 3.5 to 4.5m from the west and south-west towards the end of the period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 2026/02/07 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - NIL. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 2026/02/07 AT 0000UTC - COLD FRONT CF AXIS AT 35S/70E, 37S/80E MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH AMS ZONE. - NEW COLD FRONT CG AXIS 33S/32E, 36S/40E, 43S/42E APPROACHING OVERNIGHT CRO THEN WAM. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 2026/02/07 AT 0600UTC TO 2026/02/08 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) ISOLATED SHOWERS FOLLOWED BY RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS WITH CG OVER THE SOUTHWEST AREA TONIGHT. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5, INCREASING NORTH 5/6 OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN AREA AHEAD OF CG TONIGHT. SEA : MODERATE BECOMING LOCALLY ROUGH. VIS : POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SHOWERS, AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH CF AND CONVERGENCE LINE ISSUE FROM EX FYTIA OVER THE NORTHWEST AREA. WIND: NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 AHEAD OF CF, RETURNING TO THE EAST 3/4 BEHIND. SEA : MODERATE. VIS : POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED SHOWERS FOLLOWED BY RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS WITH CG OVERNIGHT. WIND: WESTERLY 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, INCREASING NORTH 5/6 LOCALLY 7 AHEAD OF CF, RETURNING NORTHWEST 4/5. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH. SOUTHWEST SWELL 2 TO 3 M OVER SOUTHERN AREA. VIS : POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN, MORE FREQUENT OVER SOUTHERN. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2/3 OVER NORTH, INCREASING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 OVER SOUTHERN, EASING WEST 4/5 OVERNIGHT. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH WITH 2 M SWELLS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. VIS : POOR DURING PRECIPITATION.