Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-11-05 21:59:30 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ============================ WTIO22 FMEE 051438 CCA ***************CORRECTIVE************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 05/11/2026 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND) MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 05/11/2026 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2 1007 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.1 S / 58.5 E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 300 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2026/11/06 AT 00 UTC: 12.4 S / 56.9 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 75 NM SE: 90 NM SW: 120 NM NW: 50 NM 24H, VALID 2026/11/06 AT 12 UTC: 13.7 S / 55.6 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 28 KT NE: 80 NM SE: 105 NM SW: 120 NM NW: 55 NM 34 KT NE: 40 NM SE: 65 NM SW: 75 NM NW: 35 NM OTHER INFORMATION: THE SYSTEM'S CURRENT INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. NEXT WARNING TOMORROW AT 0600Z.= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 051700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 05th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 052200 TO 062200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: N to NW 35 in places in the north-west towards the end of the period. 2. CAPE EAST: NE to N 35 to 40 in places in the central parts at first. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW to N 35 to 45 in places in the north-central and north-eastern parts towards mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1024 hPa 31s08w, High 1026 hPa 36s61e. Low 999 hPa 33s28e. 1. Cold Front : 40s01w 44s08e 50s14e 55s18e into 53s10e. 2. Cold front : 35s19e 39s25e 43s28e into 43s25e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south, otherwise SE to E 10 to 20, but NW to N 15 to 25 in the south-west. VIS : Good. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : SE to S 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the north-east towards the end of the period. VIS : Good. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise N to NW 20 to 30 drifting to the east towards the end of the period while reaching 35 in places north-west. VIS : Good but moderate in showers in the west spreading to central parts towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the extreme west by the end of the period, NW to N swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : SW to S 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the south-east, becoming variable 05 to 10 in the west by mid-period. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in places in the east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the extreme south-east towards mid-period, W to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to NW 20 to 30 in west spreading to the central parts by the afternoon, otherwise N to NE 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in places in the central parts at first. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the central parts drifting to the east towards mid-period, otherwise showers and rain are expected in places. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the west towards the end of the period, with SW swell but NW in the east. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NW 15 to 25 in the west reaching 30 in places in the south-west, otherwise NE 15 to 25, becoming SW to S 10 to 20 in the south-west towards mid-period. VIS : Good becoming moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme south-west at first. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west until mid-period, NE swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 in the south, otherwise NE 10 to 20. It will become N to NW 05 to 15 in the south towards mid-period. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme north-east. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : SE to E 15 to 25, but NE to E 05 to 15 in the south. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north- east MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : NW to N 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 45 in places in the north- central and north-eastern parts towards mid-period, but NE 10 to 20 in the south. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain but thundershowers in places in the north. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m,reaching 4.5m in the north-east from mid- period, with SW to W but NW in the north swell. AREA 2: ====== MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/11/05 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE EXPECTED OVER CRO AND RUNNING OVER KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/05 AT 1200UTC - LOW 997 NEAR 42S/25E, RATHER QUICKLY MOVING SOUTH-EASTWARD. TROUGH TOWARD CRO AT END.- HIGH1026 OVER WAM, SLOW-MOVING EASTWARD. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/05 AT 1800UTC TO 26/11/06 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) FEW SHOWERS. WIND : ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 INCREASING N 6/7 OVER SOUTHWESTERN AT END. SEA : MODERATE, LOCALLY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN. VISI :GOOD. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER FAR NORTHERN. WIND : ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4 LOCALLY E 5 OVER NORTHERN. SEA : MODERATE OVER NORTHERN, ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN. SW SWELL 2 OR 4 M. VISI : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN OR SHOWERS. WIND : WESTERLY 6/7 INCREASING N 8 OVER WESTERN AT END. SEA : ROUGH, VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHEASTERN AND BECOMING VERY ROUGH OVER WESTERN AT END. SW SWELL 2 TO 4 M. VISI : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED RAIN. WIND : WESTERLY 6/7 LOCALLY 8 OVER SOUTHERN, DECREASING 4/6 AT END. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH OVER SOUTHERN. SW SWELL 3 TO 5 M AND CROSS SEA. VISI : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.