Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2025-10-09 01:15:27 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 081700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 08TH OF OCTOBER 2025 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the south-east at first. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the north-west, drifting eastwards by mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1028 hPa 32s00w. Low 974 hPa 46s47e. Cold front: 35s43e, 40s50e into 46s47e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : SE 10 to 15 in the west and south, otherwise S to SW 05 to 10. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 in the north, otherwise variable 05 to 10 10 but NW 05 to 15 over the extreme south-west. VIS : Good but poor in rain in the extreme south-west by end of period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west by end of period, with SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east until mid-period. VIS : Good SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east at first, with S to SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : NW 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south at first, but SW 15 to 25 in the south-west, spreading to north-east by end of period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in rain and showers over the south-west, drifting to the north-west and south-east by second half of period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west, spreading eastwards by second half of period, with W to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : NW 10 to 20 in the south-west, otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 15 but W to SW 10 to 20 in the south, and SE 10 to 20 in the north and north-east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-east at first, with SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to NW 20 to 30 reaching 30 to 40 over the south-east at first, but W to SW 10 to 20 in the west, spreading eastwards during the first half of the period. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in rain and showers in the south- east for the first half of period. SEA STATE: 4.0 to 5.0m, reaching 6.0 to 7.0m in the south, shifting eastwards by mid-period, with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 10 to 15 in the east at first, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15 but variable 05 to 10 in the south. It will become NW 10 to 20 in the south-west by mid-period, drifting eastwards by end of period, while becoming SW 10 to 20 in the south-west. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 10 but SE 05 to 15 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east by end of period, but S to SW 10 to 20 in the south-east at first. VIS : Good. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 05 to 15 in the south, otherwise variable 05 to 10 but E to SE 10 to 15 in the north. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW 20 to 30 but cyclonic 30 to 40 in the north-west, drifting eastwards by mid-period. It will become W to SW 10 to 20 in the west by second half of period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain, with possible snow-showers in the south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m but 5.0 to 6.0m in the north and west, drifting eastwards towards the end of the period, with W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/10/08 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - STORM FORCE 10 OVER WAM AND CRO. - GALE FORCE 8 OVER WAM AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/10/08 AT 1200UTC - HIGH 1026 HPA NEAR 29S/65E, SLOW-MOVING. - COLD FRONT (CF) AXIS 57S/71E, 46S/71E, 39S/72E MOVING EASTWARD AT 25/30 KT. - LOW 970 HPA NEAR 47S/51E ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT (CF) AXIS 47S/55E, 41S/56E, 36S/50E MOVING SOUTH-EASTWARD AT 25/30 KT. - LOW 993 HPA NEAR 44S/33E ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT (CH) AXIS 44S/33E, 42S/23E AND A WARM FRONT (WH) AXIS 44S/33E, 40S/40E, THE WHOLE SYSTEM MOVING EASTWARD AT 45/50 KT. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/10/08 AT 1800UTC TO 25/10/09 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED SHOWERS, THEN FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN AREA (CH AND WH). SQUALLS. WIND: WESTERLY 4 TO 6 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, INCREASING NW 7/8 LOCALLY 9 AHEAD OF THE FRONT, THEN BACKING TO SW 6 TO 8, LOCALLY 9 FROM WEST TO EAST BEHIND THE FRONT. AT THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER FAR SOUTH-EASTERN AREA, WESTERLY WIND FORCE 10. GUSTS. SEA: MODERATE TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, BECOMING LOCALLY ROUGH TO HIGH WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 5 M. VISI: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS MORE FREQUENT OVER SOUTHERN AREA, THEN FRONTAL SHOWERS (CH AND WH) OVER SOUTH-WESTERN AREA AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. WIND: WESTERLY 5/6, INCREASING NW 7/8 AHEAD OF THE FRONT AT THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER SOUTH-WESTERN ZONE. GUSTS. SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH, BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH OVER WESTERN ZONE. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 2 TO 3 M. VISI: POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CG AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD, THEN UNDER CH AT THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER WESTERN AREA. WIND: CLOCKWISE 8 TO 10 OVER SOUTHERN AREA, DECREASING WESTERLY 7/8, THEN BECOMING CLOCKWISE 8 TO 10 OVER NORTHERN AREA DUE TO THE CH FRONT. GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH TO HIGH, LOCALLY VERY HIGH OVER SOUTHERN AREA AT THE END. W TO NW SWELL 5 TO 7 M, ABATING. VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS UNDER CF AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD, THEN UNDER CG AND FINALLY UNDER CH AT THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER WESTERN AREA. WIND: WESTERLY 5/6 LOCALLY 7 OVER EASTERN AREA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD, SETTING UP NORTHERLY 5/6, THEN WESTERLY 5/6 LOCALLY 7 AND BECOMING CLOCKWISE 6 TO 8 OVER NORTH-EASTERN AREA AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH OVER WESTERN AREA AT THE END. WEST SWELL 3 TO 4 M, INCREASING TO 5/6 M OVER WESTERN AREA AT THE END. VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.