Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2025-12-14 18:10:02 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 141630 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 14TH OF DECEMBER 2025 AT 18:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 142200 TO 152200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: NW 35 in the south-east at first, but SW 35 to 40 in the south, drifting to the south-east towards mid-period. 2. CAPE WEST: W to NW 35 in the south until towards mid-period, becoming S to SE 35 to 40 in the south-west towards the end of the period. 3. CAPE EAST: W to NW 35 in the south and south-west until towards mid- period. 4. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40, moderating from the south-west, but over the central parts towards the end of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1021 hPa 28s05w, High 1022 hPa 35s43e Low 998 hPa 42s05w, Low 984 hPa 47s34e 1. Cold Front: 30s19w 35s09w into 42s05w AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15, but W to SW 05 to 15 in the south-east until towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in light rain in places in the south. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the north-east and south-east. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the extreme south-west from mid- period. VIS : Good, becoming moderate in light rain in extreme south-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the east at first, with S to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : NW 15 to 25 in the east reaching 30 to 35 in the south-east at first, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 but SW 30 to 40 in the south, drifting to the south-east towards mid-period, while becoming anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the west. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the east and north-east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the southern and western halves, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south-east, with W to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south until towards mid-period, but SE 05 to 15 in the north-east where it will become S to SW 10 to 20 from mid-period. It will become S to SE 30 to 40 in the south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south and south- west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the southern half, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south until mid-period, but in the south-west towards the end of the period, with SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the north-east at first, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south and south-west until towards mid-period, but E to NE 10 to 20 in the north-west and variable 05 to 10 in the extreme west. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, except in the north-east, reaching 4.0 to 5.0m in the south and south-west until towards the end of the period, with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : S to SW 10 to 20 in the north-west at first, otherwise E to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in north and west. VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and rain in the north-east towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the north but in the south until mid-period, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north, otherwise SE to E 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the south-east. It will become NE 05 to 15 in the south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places in the northern half. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east, but NE 10 to 20 in the south-west. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in places. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 30 to 40, but SW 20 to 30 in the south-west, spreading to the central parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, but with possible snow-showers in the south. SEA STATE: 5.5 to 6.5m but 3.5 to 4.5m in the south-west, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/12/14 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here). PART 1: WARNING Gale expected over CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/12/14 AT 1200UTC CF front axis 31S/40E, 35S/50E, 40S/55E, 45S/60E and 50S/63E moving rapidly eastward but with a 1027 hPa anticyclonic belt over far northern of the area. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/12/14 at 1800UTC to 25/12/15 at 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) Rain or frontal showers in the south with CF. WIND: Over the northern : Anticlockwise 3 to 5. Over the southern : North-westerly 5 to 7 ahead CF decreasing north-westerly 3 to 5 behind the CF. Strong gusts. SEA : Rough, locally strong in the south with a west swell of 2 to 3 m. VIS: Poor to very poor during precipitation. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) Rain or showers over the southern with CF. WIND: Anticlockwise 3 to 5, increasing north-westerly 5 to 6 over far southern ahead of CF, returning westerly 4/5 behind. strong gusts. SEA: Moderate to rough with south-westerly swell 2 to 3 m, easing from the west. VIS : Poor to very poor in precipitation. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) Rain or frontal showers with a brief lull before new showers associated with a new front. WIND: North-westerly 5 to 7 ahead of the CF, temporarily returning to westerly 4/5 behind, freshening to north-westerly 6 to 8 ahead of a new front during the day. Strong gusts. SEA: Moderate to rough locally very roughwith a westerly swell of 3 to 5 m. VIS : Poor to very poor during precipitation. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) Rain or frontal showers with CF, then arrival of new showers with a new front at the end of the forecast period. WIND : North-westerly 5 to 7 ahead of CF, turning south-westerly 4 to 6 behind CF. Increasing north-westerly 5 to 7 ahead of a new front at the end of the forecast period. Strong gusts. SEA : Rough to very rough, with a westerly swell of 2 to 3 m. VIS : Poor to very poor during precipitation