Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-04-05 04:51:17 ============================ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ============================ WTIO22 FMEE 050025 PANPAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 05/04/2026 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND) MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 05/04/2026 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (INDUSA) 979 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.6 S / 70.1 E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 21 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 20 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 95 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 130 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2026/04/05 AT 12 UTC: 30.1 S / 71.3 E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 28 KT NE: 185 NM SE: 140 NM SW: 110 NM NW: 110 NM 34 KT NE: 110 NM SE: 90 NM SW: 50 NM NW: 55 NM 48 KT NE: 45 NM SE: 45 NM SW: 20 NM NW: 20 NM 24H, VALID 2026/04/06 AT 00 UTC: 33.8 S / 73.1 E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28 KT NE: 185 NM SE: 140 NM SW: 90 NM NW: 125 NM 34 KT NE: 110 NM SE: 85 NM SW: 50 NM NW: 55 NM OTHER INFORMATION: NIL= ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 041730 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 04TH OF APRIL 2026 AT 17:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 042200 TO 052200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE WEST : W to SW 35 to 40 in the south and south-east at times. 2. CAPE EAST : W to SW 35 to 40 in the south-west at times. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW 35 in the south-west towards mid- period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1024 hPa 35s15w, High 1020 hPa 43s56e. Low 969 hPa 51s14e 1. Cold Front: 35s15e 40s21e 45s23e 49s23e 54s19e into 51s14e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the south-west at first. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers over the northern parts. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the west, with SE swell. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, but SW 05 to 15 in the east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north and east clearing in the evening. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south, otherwise E to SE 15 to 25. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the west. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the north at first, with SE swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 20 to 30 in the central and south- eastern parts at times. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north-east until mid-period. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15, but NW 15 to 25 in the south-west, reaching 30 from mid-period. VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme south-west from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the east and south-west, with W to SW swell, but NW in the south-west. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 in the north, otherwise W to SW 15 to 25, reaching 30 to 40 in the south and south-east at times. It will become anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the west from mid- period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-east at times. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m except in the extreme northern parts at first, but 5.0 to 7.0m in the south, reaching 7.5 to 8.0m in the south- east, with W to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NW 05 to 15, reaching 20 to 25 in the south-east at first, but W to SW 15 to 25 in the west, reaching 30 to 40 in the south-west at times. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers over the western and central parts. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m over the central and north-eastern parts, but 4.5 to 5.5m in the west, reaching 6.5 to 7.5m in the south-west, with NW swell in the central, but SE in the north-east, otherwise, SW. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : S to SW 15 to 25 in the east, reaching 30 in the south-east, otherwise, anti-cyclonic 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the west, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-east until mid-period, with S to SE swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-east, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north, otherwise good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m over the southern parts, with S to SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the extreme north, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north until mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the central and southern parts, with S to SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : N to NW 15 to 25, but 30 in places in the west, reaching 35 in the south-west towards mid-period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places at first, otherwise good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, becoming 4.5 to 5.5m in the west from mid-period, reaching 6.0 to 7.0 towards the end of the period, with W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/04/04 AT 1700UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - STORM FORCE 10 EXPECTED WITH THE POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION INDUSA. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/04/04 AT 1200UTC - A STORM SYSTEM WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 999 HPA IS FILLING IN AROUND 33OS/58OE. A COLD FRONT (CF) AND A WARM FRONT (WF) ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IT OVER AMS. - THE POST-TROPICAL LOW INDUSA IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE OVER AMS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/04/04 AT 1800UTC TO 26/04/05 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) RAIN AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM FILLING. WIND : 5 TO 7 , SETTLING TO 4 TO 6 SOUTH OVER WESTERN AREA. STRONG GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEA, CROSSED SEAS, GRADUALLY EASING. VISIBILITY : VERY POOR DURING RAINFALL. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS, FOLLOWED BY LOCALLY STORMY SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE POST-TROPICAL SYSTEM INDUSA TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND : NORTH 4 TO 5, OCCASIONALLY 6, SHIFTING TO EAST 4/5 OVER FAR SOUTHERN , BECOMING 6 TO 8, LOCALLY 9/10, OVER THE NORTHERN AREA TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SEA : ROUGH TO HIGH, BECOMING HIGH TO VERY HIGH OVER THE NORTHERN AREA WITH CROSSED SEAS TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. VISIBILITY : VERY POOR DURING RAINFALL. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED SHOWERS, FOLLOWED BY RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER FAR SOUTHERN. WIND : EASTERLY, FORCE 4 TO 5 OVER THE NORTHERN, INCREASING NORTH-WESTERLY, FORCE 5 TO 7, AHEAD OF A NEW FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN. SEA : ROUGH TO HIGH, LOCALLY VERY HIGH OVER FAR NORTHERN. VISIBILITY : GOOD, BECOMING MODERATE DURING RAINFALL. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER FAR NORTHERN . WIND : - FAR NORTHERN: EASTERLY 5 TO 6, GRADUALLY EASING TO 4 TO 5. - ELSEWHERE: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5, BUT NORTH-WESTERLY 5 TO 6, OCCASIONALLY 7, OVER FAR SOUTHERN. GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO HEAVY, BUT VERY HEAVY DUE TO A SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL OF 3 TO 4 M IN THE FAR SOUTH. VISIBILITY : POOR IN RAINFALL.