Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-11-15 00:23:21 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 141645 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 14th OF NOVEMBER 2026 AT 16:45 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 142200 TO 152200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: SW to S 35 in places in the east at first. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1029 hPa 32s01e 1. Cold front: 39s10w 45s04e 53s15e 62s17e into 64s01e. 2. Cold front: 38s57e 45s62e 52s64e into 52s58e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 in the west, otherwise SW 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the north at times, but NE 10 to 15 in the south-west spreading to the south-central parts from mid-period. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme south-west. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 15 to 25, reaching 30 in places in the south-east from mid-period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with S to SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the east until mid-period, otherwise N to NW 15 to 25 in the north-west, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the west spreading to south-east towards the end of the period while clearing in the south-west. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : E to SE 20 to 30 in the north-east, otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 15, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-east while becoming SW to S 10 to 20 from mid-period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the north-east, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : S to SW 20 to 30 in the east until mid-period, otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 15, but E to NE 15 to 25 in the north-west from mid-period reaching 30 towards mid-period. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the north-west and moderate in showers and rain in the south-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south but 6.5 to 7.5m in the south-east at first, with SW swell. It will subside 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, but 4.5m in the east by the end of the period, with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NW 05 to 15 in the north-east until mid-period, otherwise E to SE 15 to 25, but SW to S 10 to 20 in south-east until mid-period. It will become NE to N 10 to 20 in the west from mid-period while reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west and in places in the north-east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, spreading to the north from mid- period, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers clearing in the south by mid-period. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south, otherwise E to SE 05 to 15. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain at times in the north but thundershowers by the end of the period as well as in the extreme south-west. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW to S 20 to 30 reaching 35 in places in east at first, otherwise NW to W 15 to 25 in the west spreading to the east from mid-period. VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the east and in the south-west from mid-period but poor in snow showers in the extreme south-east at first. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, but 5.0 to 7.0m in the east until towards the end of period, with SW to S swell. AREA 2: ====== MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/11/14 AT 1400UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE FORCE 8 RUNNING OVER CRO AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/11/14 AT 1200UTC - LOW 952 NEAR 52S/57E MOVING RATHER QUICKLY EASTWARD, WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CF AXIS 35S/54E, 41S/60E, 48S/62E, 51S/60E. - HIGH 1021 NEAR 34S/72E, MOVING EASTWARD, AND HIGH 1029 BY WESTERN WAM AT THE END. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/11/14 AT 1800UTCTO 26/11/15 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED SHOWERS. FRONTAL RAIN (CF) AND SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN, THEN OVER NORTHEASTERN AT END. WIND: NW 4/5 AHEAD OF CF, BACKING W 5/7 SOON BY WESTERN AREA BEHIND CF, THEN BACKING SW 5 TO 7 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH LATER. GUSTS. BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 4 BY WESTERN AT THE END. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BECOMING VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHWESTERN AT FIRST. BECOMING HIGH OVER SOUTHWESTERN AREA LATER WITH A SW SWELL 4 TO 6 METERS ARRIVING. CROSSED SEA OVER SOUTHERN IN FRONT OF CF. VIS : POOR WITH PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SQUALLS AND FRONTAL SHOWERS (CF) ARRIVING BY SOUTHWESTERN AREA SOON, ELSEWHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND: ANTICYCLOCKWISE 2/4 AT FIRST, INCREASING NW 5 TO 7 BY SOUTHWESTERN AREA SOON, THEN BACKING W 5/6 BY WESTERN AREA AT END AT THE BACK OF CF. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BECOMING VERY ROUGH BY SOUTHWESTERN AT THE END. SW SWELL 3 TO 4 MERTERS OVER SOUTHERN.CROSSED SEA OVER SOUTHERN IN FRONT OF CF SOON. VIS : POOR WITH PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN (CF), SQUALLS AND SHOWERS OVER ESATERN AT FIRST, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS EVERYWHERE. WIND: W THEN SW 6 TO 8 DECREASING 5 TO 7 BY WESTERN AT END. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. ARRIVAL OF W SWELL FROM 4 TO 6 METERS. CROSSED SEA IN FRONT OF CF. VIS : POOR WITH PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS, THEN FRONTAL RAIN (CF), SQUALLS AND SHOWERS CROSSING THE AREA. WIND:NW 6 TO 8 AHEAD OF CF, THEN BACKING WESTERLY 5/7 BEHIND LOCALLY 8 OVER SOUTHERN. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH OVER NORTHEASTERN, BUT VERY ROUGH ELSEWHERE BY W SWELL 3 TO 5 METERS. LOCALLY HIGH OVER SOUTHERN BY SOUTHWESTERN. CROSSED SEA OVER IN FRONT OF CF SOON. VIS : POOR WITH PRECIPITATION.