Bulletinset for METAREA 7 Edition date (UTC): 2026-02-19 23:34:00 ============================ HIGH SEAS FORECAST ============================ FQZA31 FAPR 191600 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 19TH OF FEBRUARY 2026 AT 16:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 192200 TO 202200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: Cyclonic 35 to 45 the in south-east until mid-period. 2. CAPE WEST: S to SE 35 in the south-west where it will be 40 by mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1026 hPa 43s15e Low 1006 hPa 35s02w, Low 989 hPa 41s46e 1. Cold front: 30s04w 35s05w 32s02w 34s01w into 35s02w. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : SW 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 10. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : NW to W 10 to 20 in the south-east at first, where it will become SW 15 to 25, otherwise SE to S 10 to 20. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers in the south-east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-east, where it will reach 4.5m by mid- period. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : NW to W 15 to 25 in the south-west, otherwise, S to SE 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in rain and thundershowers in the south- west. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west towards end of period. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to S 15 to 25, becoming cyclonic 20 to 30 in the central east reaching 35 to 45 the in south-east until mid-period, but NW 15 to 25 in the extreme west. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in thundershowers and rain over the eastern parts and in the south-west from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the eastern parts, reaching 4.5 to 6.0m in the south- east, with S to SE swell, and 3.0m in the south-west from mid-period, with NW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the north-west, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 35 in the south-west where it will be 40 by mid- period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in thundershowers and rain in the west. SEA STATE: 3.0m with S to SE swell reaching 3.5 to 5.0m in the south-west, with SE swell but NE in the north-west. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : SE 15 to 25 in the west, otherwise SW 10 to 20, becoming NW 05 to 15 in the north-west from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in the showers and rain in the west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the west, and south-east with S swell, but SE in the west. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 10 to 20 in the east and west, otherwise SW to S 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the east. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : SE to S 05 to 15, reaching 20 in the south-east towards end of period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : SE to E 05 to 15 in the north, otherwise E to NE 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain at times. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the east, and NW 15 to 25 in the south- west, spreading to the south-east by end of period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain over the north-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, reaching 4.0 to 5.0m in the north-east until mid-period, with SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/02/19 AT 1500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE CONTINUING TO STRONG GALE OVER CRO EXPECTED LATER AND TO STORM AT THE END. - GALE EXPECTED LATER TO STRONG GALE TO STORM EXPECTED AT THE END OVER KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/02/19 AT 1200UTC - POST-TROPICAL LOW 10 (GEZANI) 988 HPA NEAR 41S/46E, WITH SQUALLY WEATHER. MOVING QUICKLY SOUTHEASTWARD, DEEPENING LATER. EXPECTED 978 HPA NEAR 48S/62E AT 12 UTC THE 20/02. - HIGH1025 HPA NEAR 36S/73E, MOVING EASTWARD. - HIGH 1021 HPA OVER WESTERN CRO AND WESTERN WAM AT THE END. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/02/19 AT 1800UTC TO 26/02/20 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) RAIN OR THUNDERY SQUALLS BY WESTERN, MOVING EASTWARD. WIND: MAINLY NORTHERLY, 3 TO 5 IN NORTH, INCREASING SOON 5 TO 7 ON SOUTH. SEVERE GUSTS. BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 4 BY WESTERN AT THE END. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH, BECOMING SOON ROUGTH TO VERY ROUGH AND CROSSED OVER SOUTHWEST AREA. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4, LOCALLY NW 5 TO 6 OVER SOUTHERN AT THE END. SEA : MODERATE BY SW SWELL, LOCALLY ROUGH OVER SOUTHERN. VIS : GOOD. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) HEAVY RAIN AND SHOWERS. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 OVER EASTERN AT FIRST, INCREASING CLOCKWISE 7 TO 8 BY NORTHWEST, AT TIMES 9 AND TO 10 AT END DUE TO EX-GEZANI. VIOLENT GUSTS. BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 4 BY WESTERN AT THE END. SEA : ROUGH IN SW SWELL, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH TO HIGH ANS CROSSED FROM NORTHWEST WITH CYCLONIC SWELL 3 TO 5 M. VIS : VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) HEAVY RAIN AND FRONTAL SHOWERS BY WESTERN. WIND: SOUTH-WESTERLY DECREASING 3 TO 5 FROM THE NORTH, BUT 6 TO 7 WITH GUSTS DECREASING 4 TO 5 OVER SOUTHEAST AREA. BACKING NORTHERLY 5 TO 6 FROM WEST LATER THEN CLOCKWISE 7 TO 8 BY WESTERN, AT TIMES 9/10 AT THE END OVER SOUTHWESTERN WITH EX-GEZANI. VIOLENT GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. SW SWELL INCREASING 3 TO 5M FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. CYCLONIC SWELL OVER WESTERN AT THE END. VIS : MODERATE TO POOR IN PRECIPITATION.