FQAU22 AMMC 172000

IDY10210

SECURITE



High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10

SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO

50S129E TO COAST AT 129E



Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 17 January 2025



Part 1 Warnings

Melbourne Gale Warning 4.



Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC

Low [1] 1000hPa near 29S157E. Forecast low [1] 1003hPa near 27S155E at

181800UTC, and weakening thereafter.



Low [2] 1002hPa near 31S171E. Forecast low [2] 1001hPa near 32S172E at

180600UTC, and east of area thereafter.



Cold front approaching area from west near 37S125E 50S125E. Forecast cold front

46S134E 50S135E at 180600UTC, and south of area thereafter.



Trough 36S154E 40S162E 44S165E 47S165E. Forecast trough 33S163E 41S164E 46S169E

at 190000UTC.



Part 3 Forecast

Refer to latest warnings.



East of line 33S152E 36S150E 47S160E:

Southerly quarter flow 20/30 knots shifting easterly quarter below 25 knots

east of trough. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell.



Within 420nm of low [1]:

Clockwise winds 20/30 knots in southern semicircle, easing below 25 knots from

181800UTC. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell.



Within 240nm of low [2]:

Clockwise winds 20/30 knots in southern semicircle, easing below 25 knots from

180600UTC. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell.



North of line 42S141E 41S148E:

Northeasterly quarter winds 20/30 knots, easing below 25 knots from 181800UTC.

Rough seas. Low to moderate swell.



West of line 42S135E 50S142E, outside warning areas:

Northerly quarter winds 20/33 within 300nm east of front, shifting westerly

quarter 20/33 knots west of front. Winds easing below 25 knots from 180600UTC.



Remainder:

Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell,

increasing to moderate to heavy south of line 44S143E 44S156E.



Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 360nm of lows,

and within 180nm of front and trough. Heavy at times within 120nm of low [2].

Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.



Please be aware

Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger

than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum

waves can be twice the forecast height.



WEATHER MELBOURNE



The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Saturday.