FQAU24 AMMC 212000

IDY10250

SECURITE



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR SOUTHERN METAREA 10

SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE



ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 21 FEBRUARY 2025



PART 1 WARNINGS

MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 1.



PART 2 SITUATION AT 1800 UTC

COLD FRONT [1] 50S130E 52S126E 50S124E TO LOW [1] NORTH OF AREA.

FORECAST

50S141E 59S132E TO LOW [1] 977HPA NEAR 57S127E AT 230000UTC.



COLD FRONT [2] 50S096E 61S104E TO LOW [2] 972HPA NEAR 63S091E.

FORECAST COLD

FRONT 51S118E 61S116E TO LOW 975HPA NEAR 62S100E AT 222000UTC, THEN

JUST LOW

977HPA NEAR 62S100E AT 230000UTC.



TROUGH FORECAST ENTERING AREA NEAR 50S077E 56S082E AT 221800UTC, THEN

50S084E

55S087E AT 230000UTC.



PART 3 FORECAST

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS.



WHOLE AREA, OUTSIDE WARNING AREAS:

WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS, TENDING NORTHEASTERLY QUARTER WITHIN 600NM

EAST OF COLD

FRONT [1], SHIFTING SOUTHWESTERLY QUARTER WEST OF COLD FRONT [1],

TENDING

NORTHWESTERLY WITHIN 300NM EAST OF TROUGH, SHIFTING SOUTHWESTERLY

WEST OF

TROUGH, AND TURNING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 180NM OF LOW [1] AND WITHIN

540NM OF LOW

[2]. WIND SPEEDS 20/33 KNOTS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. LOW TO

MODERATE SWELL,

INCREASING TO MODERATE TO HEAVY WEST OF LINE 50S100E 57S100E.



RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY

WITHIN 300NM OF

FRONTS AND LOWS. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION.



PART 4 ICE EDGE

APPROXIMATELY 65S080E 65S090E 64S100E 65S110E 65S130E 65S160E.



PLEASE BE AWARE

WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT

STRONGER

THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAXIMUM

WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.





WEATHER MELBOURNE



THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 08:00 UTC SATURDAY.=