FQAU24 AMMC 050900

IDY10250

SECURITE



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR SOUTHERN METAREA 10

SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE



ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 5 MAY 2025



PART 1 WARNINGS

MELBOURNE STORM FORCE WIND WARNING 1.

MELBOURNE STORM FORCE WIND WARNING 2.

MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 3.

MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 4.

MELBOURNE STORM FORCE WIND WARNING 10.



PART 2 SITUATION AT 0600 UTC

TROUGH [1] 50S106E TO LOW [1] 963HPA NEAR 64S120E. FORECAST TROUGH

[1] 50S134E

58S135E TO WEAKENING LOW [2] 972HPA NEAR 63S125E AT 061200UTC.



LOW [2] 957HPA NEAR 60S143E. FORECAST LOW [1] 959HPA EXITING AREA TO

SOUTH NEAR

63S157E AT 060000UTC.



FORECAST LOW [3] 976HPA ENTERING AREA FROM NORTH NEAR 50S137E AT

051200UTC.

FORECAST DEVELOPING TROUGH [2] 52S160E TO LOW [3] 967HPA NEAR 52S141E

AT

052100UTC, THEN TROUGH [2] 57S160E TO LOW [3] 958HPA NEAR 54S143E AT

061200UTC.



FORECAST COLD FRONT 60S078E TO LOW [4] 987HPA NEAR 61S083E ENTERING

AREA FROM

WEST AT 052100UTC, THEN COLD FRONT 56S091E 59S102E TO LOW [4] 972HPA

NEAR

61S099E AT 061200UTC.



FORECAST WARM FRONT ENTERING AREA FROM NORTH NEAR 50S087E 50S080E AT

060000UTC,

THEN WARM FRONT 51S080E 52S095E 50S101E AT 061200UTC.



PART 3 FORECAST

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS.



WHOLE AREA, OUTSIDE WARNING AREAS:

WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS SHIFTING EASTERLY QUARTER SOUTH OF TROUGH [2]

AND WITHIN

180NM SOUTH OF WARM FRONT, AND SHIFTING SOUTHWESTERLY QUARTER WITHIN

660NM WEST

OF TROUGH [1] AND COLD FRONT. CLOCKWISE WINDS WITHIN 240NM OF LOWS.



RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY

WITHIN 240NM OF

FRONTS AND LOWS. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN PRECIPITATION.



PART 4 ICE EDGE

APPROXIMATELY 64S080E 63S100E 65S111E 64S130E 64S150E 62S160E.



PLEASE BE AWARE

WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT

STRONGER

THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAXIMUM

WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.





WEATHER MELBOURNE



THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 21:00 UTC MONDAY.=