FQAU24 AMMC 150900

IDY10250

SECURITE



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR SOUTHERN METAREA 10

SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE



ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 15 JULY 2025



PART 1 WARNINGS

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED.

MELBOURNE STORM FORCE WIND WARNING 2

MELBOURNE STORM FORCE WIND WARNING 3.

GALE WIND WARNING 12.



PART 2 SITUATION AT 150600 UTC

COLD FRONT [1] 50S142E 52S144E 59S137E TO LOW [1] 948HPA NEAR

59S130E. FORECAST

COLD FRONT [1] 50S156E 65S154E TO LOW [1] 960HPA NEAR 65S120E AT

161200UTC.



TROUGH 50S104E 58S104E. FORECAST TROUGH 50S133E 58S120E AT 161200UTC.



LOW [2] 952HPA NEAR 58S093E. FORECAST LOW [2] 959HPA NEAR 57S099E AT

151500UTC

AND WEAKENING THEREAFTER.



FORECAST LOW [3] 955HPA DEVELOPING NEAR 58S106E AT 151200UTC, AND

954HPA NEAR

57S109E AT 161200UTC.



FORECAST LOW [4] ENTERING FROM THE NORTH NEAR 49S135E AT 160600UTC,

AND 965HPA

NEAR 51S137E AT 161200UTC.



FORECAST LOW [5] 974HPA ENTERING FROM THE WEST NEAR 53S077E AT

151200UTC, AND

959HPA NEAR 53S111E AT 161200UTC.



PART 3 FORECAST

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF

WEATHER

SYSTEM.



WHOLE AREA, OUTSIDE WARNING AREAS:

WESTERLY QUARTER WINDS. WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY QUARTER WITHIN 360NM

EAST OF

COLD FRONT AND 180NM EAST OF TROUGH, TENDING NORTHEASTERLY EAST OF

TROUGH FROM

160000UTC. CLOCKWISE WINDS WITHIN 420NM OF LOW [1], 360NM OF LOW [2],

240NM OF

LOW [3], AND 180NM OF LOW [4], EXPANDING TO WITHIN 360NM OF THE

EASTERN

SEMICIRCLE OF LOW [4]. WINDS TENDING SOUTHWESTERLY QUARTER WEST OF

LOW [5],

SOUTH OF 52S. WIND SPEEDS 20/33 KNOTS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS.

MODERATE TO

HEAVY SWELL.





RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY

WITHIN 180NM OF

FRONTS AND WITHIN 240NM OF LOWS. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN

PRECIPITATION.



PART 4 ICE EDGE

APPROXIMATELY 59S080E 59S100E 64S150E 63S160E.



PLEASE BE AWARE

WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT

STRONGER

THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAXIMUM

WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.





WEATHER MELBOURNE



THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 21:00 UTC TUESDAY.=