FQAU24 AMMC 042100

IDY10250

SECURITE



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR SOUTHERN METAREA 10

SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE



ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 4 AUGUST 2025



PART 1 WARNINGS

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED.



MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 1.

MELBOURNE FINAL GALE WARNING 4.

MELBOURNE STORM FORCE WIND WARNING 8.

MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 12.



PART 2 SITUATION AT 041800 UTC

COLD FRONT [1] 39S142E TO LOW [1] 985HPA NEAR 48S141E, TO WARM FRONT

[1]

48S141E 52S145E. COLD FRONT [1] FORECAST 56S161E 62S162E TO LOW [1]

967HPA NEAR

63S152E, TO WARM FRONT [1] 63S152E 63S166E AT 051800UTC THEN SOUTH

AND EAST OF

AREA.



COLD FRONT [2] 50S130E 62S126E TO LOW [2] 946HPA NEAR 62S118E,

FORECAST JUST

COLD FRONT [2] 57S139E 64S128E AT 052100UTC, THEN DEEPENING INTO

DEVELOPING LOW

[3], FORECAST 961HPA NEAR 61S145E AT 060000UTC.



COLD FRONT [3] 50S103E 54S105E 60S095E TO LOW [4] 947HPA NEAR

61S082E, TO

TROUGH [1] 61S082E 62S071E, FORECAST COLD FRONT [3] 50S130E 62S126E

TO LOW [4]

946HPA NEAR 62S118E, TO TROUGH [1] 62S116E 54S110E AT 060000UTC.



TROUGH [2] 52S072E 54S081E, FORECAST 52S127E 55S130E 58S129E AT

060000UTC.



WARM FRONT [2] FORECAST ENTERING AREA FROM NORTHWEST 52S081E TO LOW

[5] 964HPA

NEAR 53S074E, TO COLD FRONT [4] 53S074E 46S072E AT 051500UTC AND

50S101E TO LOW

[5] 950HPA NEAR 54S081E, TO COLD FRONT [4] 44S080E 53S084E 54S081E AT

060000UTC.



PART 3 FORECAST

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF

WEATHER

SYSTEM.



WHOLE OF AREA, OUTSIDE WARNING AREAS:

NORTHWESTERLY QUARTER WINDS NORTH OF WARM FRONT, EAST OF COLD FRONTS

TENDING

EASTERLY QUARTER WITHIN 120NM SOUTH OF WARM FRONT [2], SHIFTING

WESTERLY

QUARTER WEST OF COLD FRONTS AND TENDING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 240NM OF

LOWS. WIND

SPEEDS 20/33 KNOTS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE TO HEAVY

SWELL.



RAIN AREAS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY

WITHIN 180NM OF

FRONTS, TROUGHS AND WITHIN 240NM OF LOWS. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW

2NM IN

PRECIPITATION.



PART 4 ICE EDGE

APPROXIMATELY 58S080E 60S100E 60S120E 63S140E 61S160E.



PLEASE BE AWARE

WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT

STRONGER

THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAXIMUM

WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.





WEATHER MELBOURNE



THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 09:00 UTC TUESDAY.=