FQAU24 AMMC 160900

IDY10250

SECURITE



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR SOUTHERN METAREA 10

SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE



ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 16 SEPTEMBER 2025



PART 1 WARNINGS

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR DETAILS OF THE AREA AFFECTED.



MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 3.

MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 6.

MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 7.

MELBOURNE GALE WARNING 8.



PART 2 SITUATION AT 160600 UTC

COLD FRONT NEAR 50S111E 62S111E. FORECAST NEAR 50S126E 61S122E AT

170600UTC,

AND NEAR 55S126E 61S123E AT 171200UTC.



FORECAST COLD FRONT [2] ENTERING FROM NORTH NEAR 43S130E TO LOW [1]

973HPA NEAR

48S126E AT 170300UTC, THEN 50S137E TO LOW [1] 959HPA NEAR 52S128E AT

171200UTC.



LOW [2] 963HPA NEAR 50S141E. FORECAST LOW [2] 976HPA NEAR 51S164E AT

171200UTC.



WARM FRONT [1] NEAR 54S148E 54S157E 53S163E. FORECAST NEAR 57S164E

57S160E

161800UTC, EXITING EAST THEREAFTER.



FORECAST WARM FRONT [2] ENTERING FROM WEST NEAR 48S085E 51S079E AT

161800UTC,

THEN NEAR 49S094E 56S080E AT 171200UTC.



PART 3 FORECAST

REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS FOR BOUNDARY OF AFFECTED AREA AND TYPE OF

WEATHER

SYSTEM.



WHOLE AREA, OUTSIDE WARNING AREAS:

SOUTHWESTERLY QUARTER WINDS WEST OF 114E, SHIFTING EASTERLY QUARTER

WITHIN

240NM SOUTH OF WARM FRONT [1], TURNING CLOCKWISE WITHIN 300NM OF

LOWS, SHIFTING

NORTHERLY QUARTER WITHIN 300NM EAST OF COLD FRONTS, TURNING

NORTHWESTERLY NORTH

OF WARM FRONT [2] AND SHIFTING NORTHEASTERLY QUARTER WITHIN 120NM

SOUTH OF WARM

FRONT [2]. WINDS TURNING SOUTHERLY QUARTER EAST OF 146E AFTER

170300UTC. WIND

SPEEDS 25/33 KNOTS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL

DECREASING TO MODERATE SWELL SOUTH OF LINE 53S128E 53S160E.



SCATTERED SHOWERS, RAIN AREAS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY

WITHIN 120NM OF

FRONTS, AND WITHIN 240NM OF LOWS. VISIBILITY REDUCING BELOW 2NM IN

PRECIPITATION.



PART 4 ICE EDGE

APPROXIMATELY 58S080E 60S110E 61S130E 61S140E 60S150E 60S160E.



PLEASE BE AWARE

WIND AND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND GUSTS CAN BE 40 PER CENT

STRONGER

THAN THE FORECAST, AND STRONGER STILL IN SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAXIMUM

WAVES CAN BE TWICE THE FORECAST HEIGHT.





WEATHER MELBOURNE



THE NEXT ROUTINE FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 21:00 UTC TUESDAY.=