FQMQ54 LFPW 182008 Weather bulletin on METAREA 3, METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Sunday 18 January 2026 at 21 UTC Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE. Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE. Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the significant height. WARNING : Regarding the elaboration and dissemination of routine bulletins, erratic service is possible from january 17, 2026, following a strike notice. However, security aspects will be monitored on a permanent basis and warning bulletins will be sent out. Part 1 : NO WARNING. Part 2 : General synopsis, Sunday 18 at 12 UTC Wide low area near 1005 over north of Africa, and high pressure 1025 over north of Italy. Low "Harry" expected 1004 tomorrow morning between Sardinia and Tunisia, then moving towards Balearic islands in afternoon and deepening slowly. Thundery rain and showers in north, locally heavy, gradually extending over the entire basin. Poor vis in rain or showers, locally very poor in heavy rain or thundersqualls. Part 3 : Area forecasts to Tuesday 20 at 00 UTC EAST OF CABRERA. Northeasterly 3 or 4, increasing 4 or 5 in morning, at times 6, then becoming Cyclonic 5 to 7 at end. Gusts. Moderate, becoming rough from northeast in afternoon, then rough or very rough and cross at end. Long N or NE swell 3 to 3.5 m in north at end. BALEARES. North or Northeast 3 to 5, increasing 5 or 6 in daytime, then 6 or 7 at end. Gusts. Moderate, becoming rough from northeast at midday, then rough or very rough at end. MINORQUE. East or Northeast 4 or 5, increasing 6 or 7 from north in morning, then 7 or 8 from northeast in late afternoon. Severe gusts. Moderate or rough, becoming gradually very rough from north in afternoon. Cross in south at end. Long NE swell 3 to 3.5 m in south at end. LION. East 6 or 7, increasing East or Northeast 7 or 8 in south in late day, and decreasing Northeast 3 or 4 in far north. Severe gusts. Rough or very rough. E swell 3 to 3.5 m in north. PROVENCE. East or Northeast 7 or 8, at times 9 in far east at end. Severe gusts. Rough or very rough. LIGURE. In west : North or Northeast 7 or 8. Severe gusts. In east : East or Northeast 5 to 6, locally 7 near Cape Corse in late day. Gusts. Moderate or rough, becoming very rough in far southwest in morning. CORSE. In north : Northeast 7 or 8, at times 9 in far northwest at end. Severe gusts. In south : East 5 or 6, increasing 6 or 7 in morning, then 7 or 8 in afternoon. Severe gusts. Moderate or rough, becoming rough or very rough in north in late night, then in south in afternoon. SARDAIGNE. East or Southeast 4 or 5, locally 6 in far north and in far south, increasing 6 or 7 in daytime, then East or Northeast 7 or 8 in afternoon. Severe gusts. Moderate or rough, becoming rough or very rough in afternoon, and cross at end. Long NE swell 3 m in extreme west at end. MADDALENA. East or Southeast 5 or 6, increasing 6 or 7 in morning, then at times 8 in south in afternoon. Severe gusts. Moderate or rough, becoming rough or very rough in afternoon. ELBE. In north, East or Northeast 5 or 6, at times 7 at end. Gusts. In south, East or Northeast 4 or 5, increasing 5 or 6 at end. Moderate, becoming moderate or rough at end. ALBORAN. Variable 2 to 4, locally East or Northeast 3 or 4 in east at first, becoming Westerly 3 to 5 in late night, then increasing West or Northwest 5 or 6 in afternoon, at times 7. Gusts. Slight, becoming moderate in afternoon, locally rough in south at end. PALOS. North or Northeast 3 to 5, backing North or Northwest 4 or 5 in morning, locally 6 in east, then increasing West or Northwest 5 or 6 at end. Gusts. Slight or moderate, becoming moderate or rough at end. ALGER. East or Northeast 2 to 4, backing North or Northeast in late night and becoming Cyclonic in east, then increasing Northwesterly 3 to 5 in afternoon, locally West or Southwest 4 or 5 in east at end. Gusts. Slight or moderate, becoming moderate or rough at end. WEST OF CABRERA. North or Northeast 4 or 5, locally 6 in extreme west, increasing North 5 or 6 in daytime, then North or Northwest 6 or 7 at end. Gusts. Slight or moderate, becoming moderate or rough at end. ANNABA. East or Southeast 4 or 5, at times 6, becoming Cyclonic 3 to 5 in morning, temporarily East 7 or 8 in far north at midday, then becoming mainly Southwesterly 2 to 4 in late day, locally East or Southeast 3 to 5 in far north. Severe gusts. Moderate, locally slight in far south, increasing moderate or rough in late morning, locally very rough in far northeast. E swell 3 to 3.5 m in north in afternoon. TUNISIE. East or Southeast 5 or 6, increasing 7 or 8 in late night, at times 9. Severe or violent gusts under thundersqualls. Moderate, becoming very rough from southeast in morning, locally high in south at end. Long E swell 3 to 3.5 m in extreme west in afternoon and long SE swell 3 to 3.5 m in far north at end. CARBONARA. East or Southeast 4 or 5, increasing 6 or 7 in morning, then at times 8 in afternoon. Severe gusts. Moderate, increasing rough or very rough in late morning. Cross at end. Long SE swell 3.5 m in late day. LIPARI. East or Southeast 5 or 6 increasing 6 or 7 overnight, locally 8 in far southeast in morning, then increasing 7 or 8 everywhere in late day. Severe gusts. Moderate, becoming moderate or rough in late night, locally very rough in northwest at end. CIRCEO. East or Southeast 5 or 6, increasing 6 or 7 in morning. Gusts. Moderate, becoming moderate or rough in late night. Part 4 : outlook for next 24 hours Low "HARRY" between Balearic islands and algerian coasts, generating Easterly strong flow over the basin, at times very strong over Tyrrhenian sea, and locally Cyclonic near low. West or Northwest fresh or strong flow over Alboran sea.