FQPS44 NZKL 280648

MARINE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR FORTIES

Area from 40S to 55S, western boundary from 40S 163E to 45S 160E then to 55S 160E, eastern boundary 170W.



Issued by Meteorological Service of New Zealand,

Wellington issued at 280648UTC Valid until 291200UTC.



Part 1 - WARNINGS

WARNINGS IN FORCE: 651 652 653



Part 2 - Situation analysis at 280600UTC:

Ridge R1 42S 179E 49S 174W 55S 165W, moving southeast 25kt.

Low L1 993hPa near 42S 173W, moving eastsoutheast 15kt.

Front F1 expected near 40S 180 42S 180 45S 180 by 281800UTC, then moving east 35kt.

Area A1 bounded by 46S 160E 40S 163E 40S 174E 46S 166E 46S 160E, slow moving.

Low L2 953hPa expected near 54S 161E by 281200UTC, then moving east 20kt.



Part 3 - Forecast:

Refer to latest warnings.

Within 300 nautical miles west of R1 from 42S 179E to 49S 174W: Northwest 30kt, easing by 290000UTC.

Within 900 nautical miles west of R1 from 49S 174W to 55S 165W: Northwest 30kt, with gales as in warning 651, easing by 290000UTC, areas of heavy northwest quarter swell, easing by 290600UTC.

Within 240 nautical miles of L1 in sector from northeast through southeast to south: Clockwise 25kt, easing by 281800UTC, areas of heavy swell, easing by 281800UTC.

Within 420 nautical miles west of F1: Westerly quarter 25kt at times, areas of poor visibility in showers.

Within A1: Westerly quarter 30kt at times, with gales as in warning 652, areas of poor visibility in showers with possible thunderstorms, areas of heavy westerly quarter swell.

Within 480 nautical miles of L2: Clockwise 30kt at times, with gales as in warning 653, areas of poor visibility in showers, areas of heavy swell.

Outlook for the following 72 hours:

Throughout area: Westerly quarter 30kt to gale at times, and areas of heavy westerly quarter swell.