FQPS44 NZKL 170819

MARINE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR FORTIES

Area from 40S to 55S, western boundary from 40S 163E to 45S 160E then to 55S 160E, eastern boundary 170W.



Issued by Meteorological Service of New Zealand,

Wellington issued at 170819UTC Valid until 181200UTC.



Part 1 - WARNINGS

WARNINGS IN FORCE: NIL



Part 2 - Situation analysis at 170600UTC:

Area A1 bounded by 35S 170W 42S 170W 41S 175W 35S 175W 35S 170W, moving south 15kt.

Low L1 999hPa near 30S 177E, moving southeast 30kt, then moving southsoutheast 35kt after 171800UTC.

Low L2 990hPa near 46S 176E, moving southsouthwest 5kt, weakening by 180000UTC.

Front F1 expected near 40S 161E 46S 160E 55S 152E by 180600UTC, then moving east 25kt.



Part 3 - Forecast:

Refer to latest warnings.

Within A1: Northerly quarter 30kt, easing by 180000UTC, areas of poor visibility in showers and rain, easing by 180000UTC.

Within 420 nautical miles of L1 in northeast semicircle: Clockwise 35kt at times, areas of poor visibility in showers and rain, heavy swell.

Within 300 nautical miles of L1 in southwest semicircle: Clockwise 35kt at times, areas of poor visibility in showers and rain, heavy swell.

Within 180 nautical miles of L2 in sector from west through north to south: Clockwise 25kt at times, areas of poor visibility in showers and rain.

Within 300 nautical miles of L2 in southwest quadrant: Clockwise 35kt, easing by 171200UTC.

Within 120 nautical miles east of F1: Northwest quarter 25kt at times, areas of poor visibility in showers and rain.

Within 180 nautical miles west of F1: Southwest quarter 35kt at times, areas of poor visibility in showers and rain.

Outlook for the following 72 hours:

South of 45S and west of 175E: Southwest 30kt to gale developing by 191200UTC.

West of New Zealand: areas of heavy swell developing by 200000UTC. West and south of Chatham Islands: areas of heavy swell developing by 210000UTC.

First Low near 40S 175W by 181800UTC, moving south. Within 300 nautical miles of First Low: Clockwise gale, areas of heavy swell. Clearing by 200600UTC.

Second Low expected near 55S 180 by 210000UTC, moving eastnortheast. Within 300 nautical miles of Second Low in northern semicircle: Clockwise gale.