FQZA31 FAPR 211330 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 21ST OF FEBRUARY 2025 AT 13:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 212200 TO 222200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: E TO NE 35 IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PARTS UNTIL MID-PERIOD. 2. DURBAN EAST: E TO NE 35 IN THE NORTH. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW 35 IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN HALF UNTIL MID-PERIOD. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== HIGH 1027 HPA 35S23W, HIGH 1030 HPA 39S54E LOW 1000 HPA 48S32E 1. COLD FRONT: 29S02W 35S14E 40S22E INTO 48S32E AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE TO E 10 TO 20. VIS : GOOD. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S TO SE 10 TO 20, BUT SW TO W 05 TO 15 IN THE EAST. VIS : GOOD, BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE NORTH AND NORTH-EAST. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E TO SE 10 TO 20, BUT VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE EAST. VIS : GOOD, BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE WEST. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S TO SE 05 TO 15, BUT SW 05 TO 10 IN THE SOUTH UNTIL TOWARDS MID-PERIOD. VIS : GOOD. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE TO S 10 TO 20 IN THE NORTHERN HALF, OTHERWISE W TO SW 10 TO 20 REACHING 25 IN THE SOUTH-EAST UNTIL TOWARDS MID-PERIOD, WHILE BECOMING VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE WEST. VIS : GOOD. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE SOUTH-EAST, WITH SW SWELL. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S TO SE 10 TO 20 IN THE WEST AND NORTH-WEST, OTHERWISE W TO SW 05 TO 15 REACHING 20 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH-WEST, SPREADING TO THE SOUTH-EAST TOWARDS END OF PERIOD. VIS : GOOD, BUT MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE SOUTH-EAST. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE SOUTH, WITH SW SWELL. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W TO SW 10 TO 20 IN THE WEST, OTHERWISE E TO NE 15 TO 25 REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PARTS UNTIL MID-PERIOD. IT WILL BECOME W TO NW 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH-WEST AND VARIABLE 05 TO 10 IN THE EXTREME WEST TOWARDS END OF PERIOD. VIS : GOOD, BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN THE WESTERN PARTS, DRIFTING TO THE CENTRAL PARTS TOWARDS MID-PERIOD. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M, WITH S TO SW SWELL BUT 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS, WITH E TO NE SWELL. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E TO NE 15 TO 25 REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE NORTH. IT WILL BECOME S TO SW 10 TO 20 IN THE EXTREME SOUTH-WEST TOWARDS END OF PERIOD. VIS : MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN PLACES. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M, REACHING 4.5M IN THE NORTH, WITH SE TO E SWELL BUT WITH S TO SW SWELL IN THE EAST AT FIRST. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : NW TO N 15 TO 25 IN THE NORTH, OTHERWISE CYCLONIC 10 TO 20 BUT SE TO E 15 TO 25 IN THE SOUTH. VIS : MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN PLACES. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 3.5M IN THE SOUTH, WITH SE SWELL. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : CYCLONIC 05 TO 15 IN THE NORTH, OTHERWISE E TO NE 10 TO 20, REACHING 25 TO 30 IN THE SOUTH-WEST. VIS : MODERATE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS IN PLACES. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M IN THE SOUTH, WITH S TO SE SWELL. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : NW 15 TO 25, REACHING 30 TO 35 IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN HALF UNTIL MID-PERIOD, BUT S TO SW 10 TO 20 IN THE WEST, SPREADING OVER THE CENTRAL PARTS TOWARDS END OF PERIOD. VIS : GOOD, BUT MODERATE TO POOR IN SHOWERS AND RAIN IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PARTS, DRIFTING TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH-EASTERN PARTS TOWARDS END OF PERIOD. SEA STATE: 3.0 TO 4.0M BUT 4.0 TO 5.0M IN THE SOUTHERN HALF UNTIL MID-PERIOD, WITH W TO SW SWELL. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/02/21 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE FORCE 8 OVER KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/02/21 AT 0000UTC - LOW 1004 HPA (EX-THALIA) NEAR 34S/73E, EXPECTED 1002 HPA NEAR 38S/82E AT END. - HIGH 1028 HPA NEAR 39S/48E, EXPECTED 1032 HPA NEAR 40S/56E AT END. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/02/21 AT 0600UTC TO 25/02/22 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED RAIN OVER NORTHERN. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 OVER SOUTHERN, EASTERLY 5 TO 6 OVER NORTHERN AREA. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. SOUTH-WEST SWELL 3 TO 5 M. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH GUSTS. WIND: CLOCKWISE 6 TO 7 OVER EASTERN PART, SETTING-UP SOUTHERLY 4 TO 5 BEHIND. SOUTHERLY 4 TO 7 FROM WESTERN TO EASTERN AT END. SEA : BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. SOUTH-WEST SWELL 3 TO 5 M. VIS : VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 OVER NORTHERN, WEST TO NORTH-WEST 6 TO 7 OVER SOUTHERN. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, HIGH OVER EASTERN AT BEGINNING. LONG SOUTH-WEST SWELL 4 TO 6 M, DECREASING 3 TO 4 M AT END. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SHOWERS. WIND: SOUTH-WEST 4 TO 5 OVER NORTHERN AREA, WESTERLY 6 TO 7, LOCALLY 8 WITH STRONG GUSTS OVER SOUTHERN AT BEGINNING, THEN DECREASING 5 TO 6 AT END. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. WESTERLY SWELL 6 TO 7 M BY WESTERN AREA AT BEGINNING, DECREASING 3 TO 5 M AT END. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. 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