FQZA31 FAPR 051630 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 05TH OF MAY 2025 AT 16:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 052200 TO 062200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: Cyclonic 35 in the west, spreading to the central and south- west from the morning, moderating in the west and south-west from mid-period. 2. CAPE EAST: W to NW 35 in places in the south-east. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in the north and north-east as well as south-west from the morning, while moderating in the north from the afternoon and north-east towards the end of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1024 hPa 32s43e High 1020 hPa 35s08w Low 952 hPa 55s22e 1. Cold Front: 38s17e 41s26e 45s30e 53s33e 56s28e into 55s22e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme north at times. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 but SW to W 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north-east at times. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : N to NW 10 to 20 in the southern parts, otherwise anti- cyclonic 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the south and west, spreading to the south-east towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south towards the end of the period, with SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, but variable 05 to 10 in the east and west spreading to the south-west by the end of the period. VIS : Good. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the eastern half at first, otherwise cyclonic 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the west, spreading to the central and south-west from the morning, moderating in the west and south-west from mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west, central and north-east, spreading to the east by mid-period and south-east by the end of the period while clearing from the west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, reaching 4.0 to 5.0m in the west, spreading to the central parts by the end of the period, with W to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15 in the north and east, but W to SW 15 to 25 in the south and south-east, otherwise anti-cyclonic 05 to 15. It will become N to NW 15 to 25 in the west from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south and south- east, becoming moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west from the morning, spreading to the south-west by the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the southern parts, reaching 4.5m in the south- east by the end of the period, with W to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 15 in the north-east until mid-period, but SW 20 to 30 in the south-west, becoming variable 05 to 10 in the west towards mid-period, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 30 to 35 in places in the south-east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the southern parts. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the west and northern parts, reaching 4.5m in the south-west from the morning, with S to SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 15 to 25 in the south-west, but S to SE 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise anti-cyclonic 05 to 15. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.0m in the central and eastern half, subsiding over the central parts from the morning, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : N 05 to 15 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 at times in the south-east and north-western parts. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places in the central and northern parts, but moderate in light rain in the south at first, otherwise good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, and northern parts, subsiding in the northern parts from the afternoon, with S to SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the south and west as well as in the extreme north-western parts. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, but very poor in the west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west and southern half, spreading to the east from mid-period, with S to SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 20 to 30, reaching 35 in the north and north-east as well as south-west from the morning, while moderating in the north from the afternoon and north-east towards the end of the period. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the north-west by the late afternoon spreading to the north by the end of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain in places, with possible snow in the extreme south-west towards mid-period, becoming good in the east and central parts from the afternoon. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, but 5.0 to 6.0m in the south-west from the morning spreading to the west and south from mid-period, reaching 7.0 to 7.5m in the extreme south-west towards mid- period, W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/05/05 AT 1400UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE OR SEVERE GALE CONTINUING OR EXPECTED OVER CRO ANS KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/05/05 AT 1200UTC - LOW 993 BETWEEN CRO AND KER NEAR 45S/63E, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARDS AND DEEPENING. EXPECTED 981 AT THE END NEAR 50S/78E. - HIGH 1027 NEAR 33S/42E, MOVING EASTWARDS, EXPECTED OVER NORTHERN WAM AT END. - COLD FRONT REACHING CRO AT FIRST ANS MOVING EASTWARDS. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/05/05 AT 1800UTC TO 25/05/06 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) RAIN OR SHOWERS, AT TIMES THUNDERY OVER EASWARD AT FIRST. WIND : SOUTHWESTERLY 5 OR 6, LOCALLY 7 IN SOUTH, BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 SOON IN NORTHWEST. GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 4 M. VISI : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN OR FRONTAL SHOWERS, AT TIMES THUNDERY. WIND: NORTHERLY 5 OR 6, LOCALLY 7 IN SOUTH, VBACKING SOUTHWESTERLY 6 OR 7 SOON FROM WEST. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA: MODERATE OR ROUGH, BECOMING SOON VERY ROUGH IN SOUTHWEST. SW SWELL, 3 TO 5 M. VISI: POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) RAIN OR SHOWERS, AT TIMES THUNDERY. WIND: CLOCKWISE 7 OR 8, AT TIMES 9, DECREASING SOON WESTERLY 6 OR 7 FROM WEST. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY MODERATE IN SOUTH. S SWELL NEAR THE LOW 2 TO 3 M. VISI: POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN OR FRONTAL SHOWERS, AT TIMES THUNDERY. WIND: CLOCKWISE 7 OR 8, AT TIMES 9, FROM WEST. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH OR VERY ROUGH, AT TIMES HIGH. VISI : POOR OR VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.