FQZA31 FAPR 091740 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 09TH OF MAY 2025 AT 17:40 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 092200 TO 102200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN: NW 35 to 40 in the south-west towards mid-period. 2. CAPE WEST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the south-east, but SW 35 in the west and south-west, spreading to the south-east by mid-period, while moderating from the west. 3. CAPE EAST: NW 35 to 40 in the west, spreading to the central parts by mid-period. It will become SW to W 35 to 40 in the extreme west towards the end of the period. 4. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in the northern half from mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1029 hPa 30s17w, High 1022 hPa 32s46e Low 991 hPa 40s10e 1. Cold front: 28s04e 32s11e 36s13e into 40s10e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 15 to 25. VIS : Good, but moderate in light showers in places in the west and south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the west and south-west until mid-period, with SE swell. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 but SW to W 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme north-east at times. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-west towards mid-period, mainly SE swell. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15, reaching 20 to 25 in the north. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the west and north- west at times. SEA STATE: 3.0m but 3.5 to 4.0m in the south and south-east until mid- period, with SW swell, but with S to SE swell in the north. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : SW 10 to 20 in the south until mid-period, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the north and east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period, with SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 in the north, but SW 15 to 25 in south-east at first, otherwise NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in the south- west towards mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the extreme south- west, spreading to the extreme south-east towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m but 4.5 to 5.5m in the east until mid-period, with SW swell, but in the south-west towards the end of the period, with W to NW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in the south-east, but SW 25 to 35 in the west and south-west, spreading to the south- east by mid-period, while moderating to 10 to 20 from the west. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the extreme north- east and NW 15 to 25 in the south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain in places, but good in the north and west. SEA STATE: 5.0 to 7.0m but 3.0 to 4.0m in the north and north-east, but in the west towards the end of the period, with SW to W swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the east but N to NE 20 to 30 over the central parts, otherwise NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 40 in the west, spreading to the central parts by mid-period. It will become SW to W 30 to 40 in the extreme west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south and west, spreading over the central parts towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5m in the south-east at first, but 5.0 to 8.0m in the west, spreading over the central parts towards mid-period, with W to SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 but N to NE 10 to 20 in the west, where it will reach 25 to 30 in places. It will become W to SW 10 to 20 in the extreme south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the east at first. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, with S to SW swell but with SE swell in the north and north-east. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : N to NE 10 to 20 in the south-west, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the north and south-east. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the north towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the northern parts. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east until mid-period, with S to SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : SE to E 10 to 20, becoming NE 10 to 20 in the extreme south- west towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, mainly S to SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW 20 to 30 in the extreme south-east at first, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the northern half from mid- period. It will become S to SE 20 to 30 in the west and south- west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the west, spreading to the east towards mid-period, but with possible snow-showers in the extreme south. SEA STATE: 4.0 to 6.0m, reaching 7.0 to 8.0m in the south-east at first, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/05/09 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE EXPECTED OVER CRO AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/05/09 AT 1200UTC - COLD FRONT 32S/50E, 34S/60E, 37S/65E, 39S/70E, 40S/72E, 41S/75E, 45S/78E. - HIGH 1028 OVER WAM SOON, OVER AMS AT END. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/05/09 AT 1800UTC TO 25/05/10 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SCATTERED RAIN. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3/5, INCREASING NW 6/7 OVER FAR SOUTH-WESTERN AT END. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SW SWELL 3 TO 5 M. VIS: POOR IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL RAIN. WIND: WESTERLY 4/5 BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 3/5 AT END. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. SW SWELL 3 TO 5 M. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS, RAIN OVER WESTERN AT END. WIND: WESTERLY 7/8 LATER. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. SW SWELL 3 TO 5 M. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER EASTERN AT FIRST, THEN SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. WIND: WESTERLY 5/6 INCREASING 7/8 OVER WESTERN SOON, DECREASING 5/6 AT END. SEA : VERY ROUGH, BECOMING HIGH OVER SOUTH-WESTERN LATER. W TO SW SWELL 3 TO 5 M. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION.