FQZA31 FAPR 141630 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 14TH OF JUNE 2025 AT 16:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 142200 TO 152200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE WEST: NW 35 in the south at first. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW to W 35 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east by mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1031 hPa 30s36e Low 962 hPa 56s09e, Low 962 hPa 61s25e 1. Cold front: 29s18w 35s04w 40s00w 45s05e into 56s09e 2. Cold front: 19s07w 25s01w 30s02e 35s10e 40s14e 45s30e 50s52e into 61s25e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the west. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but variable 05 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : S to SW 10 to 20 in the south-east at first, otherwise SE to E 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the south-west, spreading to the west and south-east towards mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south and west, spreading over the central parts towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south and west, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west, spreading to the west and south-east towards mid- period, with S to SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : W to SW 05 to 15 in the south at first, but NE 15 to 25 in the extreme east until mid-period, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the south-west from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west, spreading to the south and west towards the end of the period, while reaching 4.5m in the south-west, with S to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the north, otherwise NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the south at first. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the west towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, becoming good from the south- west towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 4.5 to 6.5m, subsiding to 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west towards the end of the period, with SW to S swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : N to NE 10 to 20 in the north-east, otherwise NW 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the southern half and 35 in the south at first, but SW 15 to 25 in the extreme south-west, spreading to the central and south-eastern parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the west and south- west, spreading to the central and south-eastern parts towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south and west, spreading to the southern and western halves towards the end of the period, while reaching 5.5 to 6.5m from south-west, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 in the east, otherwise N to NW 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south and south-west towards mid- period, spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, becoming moderate in showers and rain in the south-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south and south-west but in the east at first, with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : S to SW 10 to 20 in the south-east at first, but anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south, otherwise SE to E 10 to 20 but N to NE 15 to 25 in the west, where it will reach 30 in places. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east until mid-period, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the north-east but in the south-east until mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers over the western parts, but in the northern half at first. SEA STATE: 3.0m in places at first, with S to SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the north. VIS : Moderate in rain and showers, but good in the south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the northern half, with S to SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW 15 to 25 in the east at first, otherwise NW to W 20 to 30 reaching 35 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east by mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in intermittent rain and showers in the southern parts. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m reaching 5.5 to 6.5m in the west, spreading to the east towards the end of the period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/06/14 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here). PART 1: WARNING - Gale to locally storm continuing or expected in all areas. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/06/14 AT 1200UTC - Low 962 near 47S/84E, moving rather quickly eastwards. Associated cold front over northeast of AMS, clearing up rapidly, and squally weather over AMS and KER. - New low deepening 989 near 49S/59E the 15 at 00 UTC, moving rapidly northeastwards. Expected 985 near 42S/73E the 15 at 12 UTC. - High 1030 near 31S/41E, moving slowly eastwards, expected at end just northwest of WAM. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/06/14 at 1800UTCto 25/06/15 at 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) Rain or showers. WIND: West or Southwest 4 or 5, but 6 or 7 in far southeast, occasionally 8, till 15 at 15 UTC. Severe gusts. SEA : rough or very rough, locally high in southeast with long SW swell 5 or 6 m. VIS : poor in precipitation. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) Rain, showers and thundersqualls. WIND: - In far north: Southwest 4 or 5, at times 6. - Elsewhere: Southwest 6 or 7, at times 8, increasing 8 or 6 later, becoming Clockwise in far southeast at end with threat of storm. Severe gusts. SEA : very rough or high. Long SW swell increasing 5 or 6 m. VIS : poor to very poor in precipitation. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) Rain or showers. WIND: increasing Westerly 7 or 8, locally 9 in east, temporarily decreasing 6 or 7 in west soon. Severe gusts. SEA : very rough or high, decreasing locally rough in northwest. Long SW swell 5 or 6 m in east, occasionally 7 m. VIS : poor to very poor in precipitation. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) Rain, showers and thundersqualls. Locally snowy in south. WIND: Southwest 7 or 8, increasing soon Clockwise 8 or 9, at times 10, from southwest. Severe gusts. SEA : very rough or high, crossed with long SW swell 5 or 6 m, occasionally 7 m. VIS : poor or very poor in precipitation.