FQZA31 FAPR 071700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 07TH OF AUGUST 2025 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 072200 to 082200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE WEST: Cyclonic 35 to 40 in the south-west, spreading to the south towards the end of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1030 hPa 30s03w, High 1025 hPa 30s58e Low 1021 hPa 37s02w, Low 971 hPa 67s12e 1. Cold Front: 31s19w 34s10w into 37s02w 2. Cold Front: 36s22e 40s34e 45s42e 50s40e 55s33e into 67s12e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good, but moderate in light rain in places in the west until mid-period. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : SW 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the south-west until mid-period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m until mid-period, with S to SW swell. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south until mid-period, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers in the south and west. SEA STATE: 3.0m, subsiding from the south-west towards mid-period, with S to SE swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south-west at first, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25, reaching 30 in places in the east and south-east at first. It will become SW 10 to 20 in the south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, with S to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north until mid-period, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east at first, but anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the west, drifting to the central parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the north and east until mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, but 3.0m in the south-west, spreading to east towards the end of the period, while subsiding from the west, with SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the north-east, otherwise, W to NW 15 to 25, but SW 05 to 15 in the south-east at first, but cyclonic 30 to 40 in the south-west, spreading to the south towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in rain and showers in the south- west, spreading to the central and south-eastern parts towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the south and south-west, but SW 15 to 25 in the west and north-west. It will become NE 15 to 25 in the west and north-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places, but good in the extreme north-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the southern and western halves, reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in south-west, with SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the east at first but S to SW 10 to 20 in the west until mid-period, otherwise E to NE 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 30 in the west and south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places, becoming good from the south-west by mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the west, with S to SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 10 over the central parts, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the extreme north-east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the northern parts, but NE 05 to 15 in the south. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the north, with E to SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to SW 20 to 30. VIS : Moderate to poor in rain and showers in places, but with possible snow-showers in the south. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/08/07 AT 1700UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - GALE FORCE 8 RUNNING OVER SOUTHEASTERN AMS AND NORTHEASTERN KER. - STRONG GALE FORCE 9 RUNNING OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/08/07 AT 1200UTC - HIGH 1025 HPA NEAR 30S/56E, MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD. - COLD FRONT CF AXIS 42S/69E, 41S/75E, 40S/84E LEAVING KER AREA AT FIRST. - COLD FRONT CG AXIS 36S/25E, 39S/32E, 46S/43E EXPECTED OVER CRO AT END. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/08/07 AT 1800UTC TO 25/08/08 AT 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN AREA. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 LOCALLY W 6 OVER SOUTHWESTERN AT FIRST. SEA: MODERATE TO ROUGH LOCALLY VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHEASTERN AREA. SW SWELL 2 TO 3M. VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN. WIND: W 4 TO 6 INCREASING W 7/8 OVER SOUTHERN SETTING UP ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 BY WESTERN AREA SOON. GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH TO HIGH FROM NORTH-WEST TO SOUTH-EAST, BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH LATER. SW SWELL 3 TO 5 M ABATING. VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS AT END. WIND: W 5 TO 7 BECOMING VARIABLE 2 TO 4 OVER NORTHWESTERN AT END. GUSTS. SEA: ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, LOCALLY HIGH OVER EASTERN AREA AT FIRST. S SWELL 2 TO 3 M OVER EASTERN AREA AT FIRST. ARRIVAL OF A W SWELL 3 TO 4 M BY WEST. VISI: POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) FRONTAL RAIN OR SHOWERS OVER NORTHEASTERN AREA AT FIRST , SCATTERED SHOWERS ELSEWHERE. WIND: SW THEN W 5 TO 7, LOCALLY 8/9 OVER FAR NORTH-EASTERN AREA AT FIRST. SEVERE GUSTS. SEA: OFTEN VERY ROUGH TO LOCALLY HIGH OVER NORTHERN AREA. SW SWELL 2 TO 4M , LOCALLY 5/6M OVER NORTHERN AREA. VISI: VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.