FQZA31 FAPR 071700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 07TH OF OCTOBER 2025 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 072200 TO 082200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: cyclonic 35 to 45 at first, moving eastwards by mid-period becoming NW 35 to 40 in the south- west by end of period. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: cyclonic 35 to 40 in the north drifting to the extreme east by mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1030 hPa 32s06w. Low 992 hPa 44s29e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 10 to 15 in the west, otherwise SW 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, but NE 05 to 15 in the south-west. VIS : Good. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east, with S to SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : W to NW 10 to 20 in the west and south, reaching 25 to 30 over the extreme south-west at first, drifting eastwards by end of period, otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 10. It will become SW 15 to 25 in the south-west by end of period. VIS : Good, becoming moderate to poor in rain over the extreme south-west in the first half of period. SEA STATE: 4.0 to 5.0m in the extreme south-west spreading eastwards by end of period, with SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 but SE 10 to 20 in the north and north-east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m, except in the north-west, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the extreme south-east, with SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : SW 20 to 30 in the west otherwise cyclonic 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 45 at first spreading eastwards by mid-period, becoming NW 30 to 40 in the south-west by end of period. VIS : Moderate to poor in rain and showers. SEA STATE: 4.0 to 5.0m, reaching 6.0 to 7.0m in the southern central parts spreading eastwards by mid-period, with SW swell but NW in the east at first. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 10 to 15 in the east at first, otherwise S to SW 05 to 15 but variable 10 in the south. VIS : Good but moderate in rain and showers in the north a first. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south, with SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : NE to N 10 to 20 in the east at first otherwise variable 10 becoming SE 05 to 15 in the south from mid-period. VIS : Good. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in places in the north, but NE 10 to 20 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the northern parts. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW 15 to 25 in the south-west, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25, but cyclonic 20 to 30 in the north reaching 35 to 45, drifting to the extreme east by mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain, with possible snow- showers in the south. SEA STATE: 4.0 to 5.0m, but 6.0 to 7.0m in the north-west while reaching 7.0 to 8.0m, spreading eastwards by second half of period, with W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/10/07 AT 1600UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here). PART 1: WARNING - Gale over all areas then storm over CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/10/07 AT 1200UTC - Filling low 999 near 39S/73E, with associated cold front (CF) over eastern AMS and KER, slowly moving south-eastward, leaving area on validity. - High 1026 near 29S/60E, almost-stationnary. - Cold front (CG) over western WAM ans CRO, moving eastward, expected over South AMS and KER later. - Cold front (CH) over CRO and southern WAM on daytime associated with deepening low expected 969 near 49S/55E at end. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/10/07 at 1800UTC to 25/10/08 at 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) Frontal rain, showers and squalls. WIND : west to north-west 4/5 increasing NW 6/7 ahead CG with gusts, backing SW 5 behind, but increasing NW 7/8 with gusts ahead CH over southwestern, then setting up westerly 5 to 7 from north to south at end. SEA: moderate to verty rough from north to south. Westerly swell 3 to 5 m. VISI : poor or very poor in precipitation. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) Showers and squalls. WIND : clockwise 6 to 8 setting up soon westerly 5 to 7 from north to south. Gusts. SEA : rough to very rough. Southerly swell around 3 m then SW at end. VISI : poor or very poor in precipitation. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) Frontal rain, showers and squalls. WIND : N 7/8 ahead CG, backing Westerly 5/6 behind at times 7. Increasing N 7/8 on daytime over western, then becoming clockwise 7 to 9 increasing locally 10 over southern at end. Gusts. SEA : rough to very rough becoming very rough to high. NW swell 3 to 5 m, W 5 to 7 m at end over western. VISI : poor or very poor in precipitation. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) Frontal rain and showers, squalls. WIND : clockwise 5 to 7, at times 8, then setting up N 5/6 at times 7 ahead CG, backing Westerly 4 to 6 behind. Veering N 6/7 at end over western. Gusts. SEA : rough to very rough. Clockwise swell 3 to 4 m then W. VISI : poor or very poor in precipitation.