FQZA31 FAPR 281700 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 28TH OF OCTOBER 2025 AT 17:00 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 282200 TO 292200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the south, becoming SW 35 to 40 in the south-west from mid-period. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1034 hPa 31s11w, High 1022 hPa 31s34e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m until mid-period, with SE swell. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : SE 10 to 20 in the west, but variable 05 to 10 in the north- east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m until mid-period, except in the extreme north-east, with S to SE swell. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, but NE 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate in light showers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0m until mid-period, except in the south, with S to SE swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 15 to 25. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m except in the south-west with S to SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : W to NW 10 to 20 in the south spreading to the north-west from mid-period reaching 25 to 30 in the south-west, otherwise anticyclonic 05 to 15. It will become SW 20 to 30 in the extreme south-west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the south- west drifting to the south-central parts towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m except in the north reaching 4.0m in the south- west towards the end of the period, with S to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the north reaching 25 to 30 in the north- east, otherwise SW to W 10 to 20 reaching 25 in south-east at first. It will become NW 10 to 20 in the south-west from mid- period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south At first. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the north-west, but 4.5 to 5.0m in the extreme south-east, with W to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to SW 10 to 20 in the west reaching 25 in places in the extreme south-west, otherwise NW 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the south-east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places but poor in thundershowers in the extreme north-west from mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m reaching 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west drifting to the central parts by the end of the period, with W to SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : NE to N 05 to 15 in the west and in the east reaching 20 to 25 in the south-west until mid-period, otherwise SE to E 05 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in the north-central parts. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in rain and thundershowers in places in the south-east at first and in south-west from mid- period. SEA STATE: 3.0m to 3.5m except in the east, with a SW to W swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the south reaching 25 in the south-east at first and towards the end of the period, otherwise variable 05 to 10. VIS : Good, but moderate in light rain and showers in the north at first. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : NE to N 05 to 15 reaching 20 in the extreme south-west, otherwise, E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good, but moderate in light rain and showers in the north and extreme west. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 20 to 30, reaching 35 to 40 in the south, becoming SW 20 to 30 in the west but 35 to 40 in the south-west from mid- period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places and snow- showers in the south. SEA STATE: 6.0 to 7.0m reaching 8.0 to 9.0m in the south-west spreading to the south-east from mid-period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/10/28 AT 1700UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here). PART 1: WARNING Gale over CRO and storm over KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/10/28 AT 1200UTC Deepening low 994 hPa near 43S/66E with cold front CF associated and axis 30S/42E, 35S/54E, 40S/64E, 43S/68E, moving east north-eastward. Cold front CG axis 40S/45E, 47S/50E, 55S/49E moving Eastward. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/10/28 at 1800UTC to 25/10/29 at 1800UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) Frontal rains and showers, squalls. WIND : NW 5/6 locally 7 with gusts ahead CF, backing SW 5/6 behind, then becoming variable later with anticlockwise mainly over northern and westerly 5/6 over southern. Gusts on squalls. SEA: Moderate to rough from North to South. SW swell 3 m over southern and western soon. VIS : Poor or very poor in precipitation. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) Frontal rains and showers. WIND: Westerly 4 to 6 from north to south, backing SW 6/7 over southern behind CF. Becoming anticlockwise 3 to 5 over western at end. SEA: Moderate to rough from North to South. South-West swell 3 m over southern. VIS: Poor under precipitation. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) Showers. WIND : Westerly 6/7 locally 8 over southwestern later. SEA : Rough to very rough. Westerly swell increasing 3 to 5 m. VISI: Very poor in precipitation. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) Frontal rains and showers, squalls. WIND : Clockwise 6 to 8, 9 at times over western of low, then 10 later, setting up westerly 6 over western at end. Severe gusts. SEA : Very rough to high. SW swell 3 to 4 m over eastern at first then west swell 4 to 6 m by west area. VIS: Very poor in precipitation