FQZA31 FAPR 240830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 24th OF NOVEMBER 2025 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 241000 TO 251000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 in the west while drifting to the eastern parts towards the end of the period. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1026 hPa 33s05e, Low 1011 hPa 41s10w, Low 972 hPa 53s20e 1. Cold Front: 40s11w 45s23w 51s22e into 53s20w AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise S to SE 05 to 15 VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south, otherwise E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the south-east at first. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east subsiding from mid-period, with S swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-west, otherwise N to NW 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 over the central north-eastern parts, but SE to E 05 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the west, drifting to the central part and the south-east towards mid- period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east, with W to SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the north-west, otherwise S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the north-east at first, but S to SW 15 to 25 in the south-east and W to NW 15 to 25 in the south- west. VIS : Good becoming moderate in showers and rain the south-west towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-east, with S to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to NW 05 to 15 in the east, otherwise variable 05 to 10, but W to SW 15 to 25 over the south VIS : Good, but moderate in rain and showers in the south at times. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, reaching 5.0 to 5.5m in the south- east at first, with SW to S swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : Cyclonic 15 to 25 in the west, otherwise variable 05 to 10, but E to NE 05 to 1 5 in the north-east. VIS : Good, but poor to very poor in showers and thundershowers in the west but moderate in places in the north-east from mid- period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-east at first, but 4.0 to 5.0m at first over the central west at first, with SW to S swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 10, but E to SE 05 to 15 in the west and south- east. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the west and over the north-eastern parts by mid-period. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 05 to 15, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-east. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places in the south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south subsiding from mid-period, with S to SW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 25 to 35 in the west while drifting to the eastern parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Good in the north, but moderate in showers and rain in the east, but poor over the south in snow-showers. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m but 5.5 to 6.5m in the west, where it will reach 7.5 to 8.5m by the end of the period, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 25/11/24 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING GALE OVER CRO AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/11/24 AT 0000UTC - HIGH 1021 NEAR 31S/58E, STEADILY MOVING EASTWARD. - FILLING LOW 970 NEAR 53S/48E, WITH WEAK COLD FRONT (CF) ASSOCIATED AXIS 38S/32E, 44S/50E, 50S/53E, 53S/49E, RAPIDLY MOVING EASTWARD. - COLD FRONT (CG) AT END OVER WESTERN CRO, ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW EXPECTED 974 NEAR 51S/49E THE 25/11 AT 06UTC. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/11/24 AT 0600UTC TO 25/11/25 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SLIGHT FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER FAR SOUTHERN. SCATTERED SHOWERS ELSEWHERE, MORE FREQUENT SOON OVER NORTHERN. WIND : NORTHERN HALF: ANTICLOCKWISE OR VARIABLE 2/4. SOUTHERN HALF: WESTERLY 5/6, AT TIMES 7 OVER FAR SOUTHERN. GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST BY SW SWELL 3 TO 5M ABATING, BECOMING GRADUALLY MODERATE TO ROUGH. VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND : NORTHERN HALF: ANTICLOCKWISE 2/4. SOUTHERN HALF: WESTERLY 4/5, AT TIMES 6 OVER FAR SOUTHERN. GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH BY SW SWELL 4 TO 5M. VIS : MAINLY GOOD. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS WITH CF THEN CG. SCATTERED SHOWERS BETWEEN THE BOTH. WIND : WESTERLY 6/7 AT TIMES 8. GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH, BUT ROUGH OVER NORTH-WESTERN. SW SWELL 3 TO 5M. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) SCATTERED SHOWERS, THEN SOON FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS WITH CF. WIND : WESTERLY 6/7 AT TIMES 8, DECREASING AT END 5/6. GUSTS. SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH BY W SWELL 4 TO 6M. VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=