FQZA31 FAPR 221330 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 22ND OF JANUARY 2026 AT 13:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 222200 TO 232200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: NW 35 to 40 in the central and southern parts for the first half of the period. 2. DURBAN EAST: SW 35 to 40 in the south-west at first. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the central and eastern parts. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1027 hPa 34s20w, High 1020 hPa 37s54e Low 940 hPa 45s25e, 1. Cold Front: 36s20e 40s25e 43s26e into 45s25e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places for the first half of the period. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-east at times. VIS : Good but moderate in rain in the south and west for the first half of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the south-east from mid-period, with SE swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W): WIND : Anticyclonic 05 to 15, otherwise NW to W 10 to 20 in the south, but SW 10 to 20 in the south-west spreading to the south from the second half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west, drifting to the south-east from mid-period. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : S to SE 10 to 20 in the north, otherwise SW to W 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south. VIS : Good, but moderate in rain in the south-east, towards the end of the period. SEA STATE: 4.0 to 4.5m in the south-east, but 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, spreading to the north-east from the second half of the period, with S to SE swell but SW in the south-east. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : N to NW 10 to 20 in the east reaching 30 to 35 in the central and southern parts for the first half of the period, otherwise W to SW 20 to 30 spreading to the southern parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north-western, southern and central parts drifting to the south-eastern parts from the second half of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, but 4.5 to 5.5m in the south-west towards mid- period, spreading to the west and south by the mid-period, with S to SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : E to NE 10 to 20, but SW 20 to 30 in the south-west where it will reach 35 to 40 at first. It will become variable 05 to 15 in the central and north-eastern parts from mid-period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the north-eastern, eastern and south-western parts. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the central and eastern parts, as well as the south-western parts with S to SE swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 to 15 in the south-west, but SE to S 10 to 20 in the south-eastern parts spreading to the southern parts from the second half of the period, otherwise SW to W 10 to 20 in the central and northern parts. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the northern and eastern parts. MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : W 10 to 20 in the extreme north, otherwise NE 10 TO 20 reaching 25 in the south-east. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers but very poor in the south and south-east for the first half of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m, in the southern parts, with W to SW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : W to NW 20 to 30 reaching 35 to 40 in the central and eastern parts moderating to 10 to 20 towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in the west, drifting to east from the second half of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the north-east at first, otherwise 5.0 to 5.5m, with W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) 26/01/22 AT 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE). PART 1: WARNING - FORCE 10 STORM OVER NORTHERN KER AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. - FORCE 8 GALE OVER AMS AND CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 26/01/22 AT 0000UTC - POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION DUDZAI OVER WAM ASSOCIATED WITH A 990 HPA MINIMUM FILLING IN. MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS KER. - LOW 986 HPA AROUND 46S/62E, WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CF AXIS 31S/63E, 40S/66E, 44S/69E, 47S/68E AND WARM FRONT WF AXIS 47S/69E, 47S/76E, 46S/80E. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 26/01/22 AT 0600UTC TO 26/01/23 AT 0600UTC WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER EASTERN AREAS AT THE START. WIND : FORCE 5 TO 6 WESTERLY OVER SOUTH-EASTERN AREAS AND ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 4 OVER WESTERN AREAS, INCREASING FORCE 4 TO 6 NORTHERLY OVER WESTERN AREAS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING MODERATE TO ROUGH. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 4 M, DECREASING 2 TO 3 M. VIS : VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH CF. WIND : NORTH-WESTERLY 6 TO 8 AHEAD OF CF, VEERING WESTERLY 4 TO 6 BEHIND, THEN BECOMING ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5 AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. VIOLENT GUSTS. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING VERY ROUGH IN THE WEST. NORTH-WESTERLY SWELL 3 TO 4 M IN THE WEST, SUBSIDING. VISIBILITY : POOR TO VERY POOR IN PRECIPITATION. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E) SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OVER THE EASTERN AREA AT THE START OF THE PERIOD, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS BECOMING MORE FREQUENT OVER THE WESTERN AREA AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. WIND : LOW 5 TO 6, LOCALLY 7 TO 8 OVER FAR SOUTH-EASTERN, THEN 4 TO 5 FROM WEST, INCREASING WESTERLY 5 TO 7 FROM WESTERN ZONE AT THE END OF THE PERIOD AHEAD OF A NEW FRONT. GUSTS. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH LOCALLY VERY ROUGH IN THE NORTH. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL 2 TO 3 M. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR DURING PRECIPITATION. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E) RAIN, SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH WF AND CF. WIND : NORTH-WESTERLY 8 TO 10 AHEAD OF CF LOCALLY CLOCKWISE 4 TO 6 FRESHENING WESTERLY 6 TO 7 LOCALLY 8 BEHIND CF EASING SOUTH- WESTERLY 3 TO 5 AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OVER THE WESTERN AREA. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH BECOMING ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. NORTH-WESTERLY SWELL OF AROUND 3 M. VIS : POOR TO VERY POOR UNDER PRECIPITATION.=