WTNT21 KNHC 200840

TCMAT1



TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026

0900 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026



TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  33.1W AT 20/0900Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   4 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.

34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  33.1W AT 20/0900Z

AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  33.2W



FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.1N  32.8W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.

34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.



FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 34.0N  32.3W

MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.



FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 33.3N  32.4W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.



FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 32.0N  33.3W

MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.



FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.0N  34.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.1N  36.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 28.9N  40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.



OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N  33.1W



NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z



$$

FORECASTER CANGIALOSI