WTNT22 KNHC 180248

TCMAT2



TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072025

0300 UTC THU SEP 18 2025



TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  49.5W AT 18/0300Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.

34 KT.......210NE 180SE  30SW 150NW.

4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE   0SW  90NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  49.5W AT 18/0300Z

AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  49.0W



FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.3N  51.0W

MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW 120NW.



FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.3N  52.9W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT...140NE 110SE   0SW 100NW.



FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.2N  54.9W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.



FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.3N  56.9W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.



FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N  58.8W

MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.



FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.8N  60.3W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 28.9N  62.7W

MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.



OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 32.5N  62.0W

MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  49.5W



NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z



$$

FORECASTER HAGEN