WTNT23 KNHC 281451

TCMAT3



HURRICANE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025

1500 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025



HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  77.9W AT 28/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   8 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  892 MB

EYE DIAMETER  15 NM

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.

64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.

50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.

34 KT.......170NE 130SE  60SW  80NW.

4 M SEAS....180NE 210SE 150SW 180NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  77.9W AT 28/1500Z

AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  78.1W



FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.0N  77.1W

MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.

64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.

50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

34 KT...160NE 150SE  70SW  90NW.



FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N  75.7W...INLAND

MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.

50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

34 KT...160NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.



FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.4N  74.1W...OVER WATER

MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.

50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.



FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.6N  71.5W

MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.

50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.



FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 30.8N  67.5W

MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

64 KT... 40NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.

50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.

34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 110NW.



FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 35.9N  61.5W

MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

64 KT... 40NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.

50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.

34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 110NW.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 45.9N  47.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

50 KT... 60NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.

34 KT...200NE 220SE 200SW 100NW.



OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 52.8N  30.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

34 KT...210NE 260SE 200SW  90NW.



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  77.9W



INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 28/1800Z



NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z



$$

FORECASTER BEVEN